Gold Drops 12% Since War, Defying Safe‑Haven Expectation
I'm a fan of the debasement trade and think precious metals will keep going higher over the medium term. But the fact that gold keeps falling when it should act as a safe haven also isn't nothing. Gold is now down 12% since war began in contrast to 2022... https://t.co/39F4OQ2zto https://t.co/XCzBaVbFEW
Brent Surges, Outpacing WTI; Gold, Silver Plummet
Brent soars 6%... now $16-$17 above WTI... Gasoline futures jump another 8.5 cents... Gold and silver destroyed https://t.co/qLglGU9Cbr
Broad Market Slides, Energy Sector Bucks the Trend
$SPY -0.1% $IWM -0.6% $VEU -0.8% $GLD -3.2% $IBIT -1.3% $USO -1.1% $XLE +0.6% https://t.co/iZ5UFBuvtj
Brazilian Real Set to Rally Amid Higher Oil Prices
We've now reached the point where - four years ago after the invasion of Ukraine - the Brazilian Real began to rally and outperform everyone else. As we settle into a higher-for-longer equilibrium on oil, the same will now start...
Combine Relative and Absolute Strength for Superior Stock Picks
owning stocks with strong relative strength is great, but it's far greater if they also have strong absolute strength...
Free NVDA Deep Dive: My Thesis, Entry, Market Outlook
I’ve decided to make my full Deep Dive on $NVDA completely free. I want you to see exactly how I’m thinking— my thesis, my entry, my full reasoning. No paywall. Just value. It’s up on my Substack Take a look and tell me where you...
USD Spikes Post‑Fed, Central Banks Stay on Hold
$USD surged yesterday during the Fed's press conference. Follow-through buying has been limited today. BOJ, SNB, & Riksbank stood pat. BOE and ECB next but will also hold steady. War rages, and Brent made new highs,...
Analyzing the Future Trajectory of the U.S. Dollar
Before anybody asks, no, the following is NOT financial advice. The U.S. dollar is constantly in the spotlight, so where is it heading? Full Newsletter: https://t.co/qD5bHTPN4x #usd #usdollar #economy https://t.co/6JfYCZFI5C
Buffett's 5 Quiet Habits That Grow Middle-Class Wealth
Warren Buffett: 5 Subtle Habits That Quietly Build Massive Wealth For The Middle Class https://t.co/N7BvM6vNW2
Iranian Attacks Surge as US Loses Grip, Markets Wobble
Yes, the U.S. is losing control of the situation in many ways. Iranian attacks have re-intensified, and their hit ratio has increased. Trump's "we've already won" comments are looking increasingly bizarre. Here’s what it means for markets, macroeconomics, and more.
Traders Revise BOE, ECB Rate Forecasts Hours Pre‑Decision
Traders shift BOE, ECB rates outlook just hours before policy decisions https://t.co/HA0mTq7RsS via @greg_ritchie @alicegledhill1 https://t.co/CmyGExhjII
Emerging Market Ambitions Clash with Capital Controls
If the government is intent on the country becoming an emerging market, why does it insist on capital controls and foreign ownership limits? https://t.co/FnahXHXxsu https://t.co/NKzW8fXfGG
Oil Surge Boosts Trump TACO Risk, Yet Markets Hold
Brent is at $115. As oil prices rise, the risk of a Trump TACO also rises. That in turn depends on dysfunction in global markets. At the moment, even with Brent up 70% from a month ago, markets are looking...
Profit‑taking and Portfolio Rotation Curb Gold Amid Risk
One of the most recurrent questions I’m seeing at the moment is – why are #gold prices not going up, when we’re seeing one of the biggest risk events in the last 10 years, and when gold was a major...
Patient, Rational Nerds Dominate; Few Rise Above 99%
Charlie Munger: "99% will be in the bottom 99%. That's just the way it's going to work." "In my generation, the nerds who were patient and rational eventually did well — who lived within their income and worked at being sensible...
New MR Signals Outpace SPY with Double‑digit Gains
Mean reversion (MR) updates for subscribers. There are new signals. -#ES_F bonus MR +16% YTD -Bonus MR+momentum: +4.2% YTD -Main MR strategy: +5.2% YTD - $SPY -3% YTD Links in profile (second link) 🔽 $GLD $TLT $QQQ
Brent Surge Won’t Reach $150‑$200 Amid Capacity Limits
Brent is up 70% in the past month. This prices Strait of Hormuz tanker traffic at half its capacity indefinitely. With the Saudis diverting lots of oil to the Red Sea and Iran continuing to export, we're already almost at...
Microcap Success: Rare, Unpredictable, Right Time, Right Place
It’s always been amazing to me how you can have 10 microcaps in the portfolio with a similar positive fundamental/solid management setup over the next two years. You think they can 2-3x. A few will and several won’t quite make...
EAH Beats Expectations, Recovery Potential Despite Weak Price
#EAH "ahead of expectations". Pretty beat up so recovery could have plenty of legs. Worth looking at. I don't hold.
LSL Shows Strong Fundamentals Amid Iran Risk
#LSL results read well and they say current trading is decent; but of course Iran mess could rock this. ShareScope has fwd p/e 9.2 falling to 7.9 and fwd Divvy 5% rising to 5.2% AND Buybacks on top. Certainly interesting....
IGG Valuation Improves: Lower P/E, Higher Dividend, Buybacks
ShareScope has #IGG on fwd p/e 11.6 falling to 10.5 and fwd Divvy 3.5% rising to 3.6%, BEFORE 5% jump today - BUT remember there are Buybacks on top. With a strong history of growth it seems reasonable value still.
India Seeks More Fertilizer Imports Amid Supply Risks
MUMBAI/NEW DELHI(Reuters)-India, a leading importer of fertilisers, is in talks to increase purchases from Russia, Belarus and Morocco as Middle East tensions and China's export curbs risk tightening supplies ahead of the summer planting season - government and industry sources
SPY Battles Around $661: Will It Stay Below?
Tactically $spy $661ish is the battle ground for today. Does it stay under or reclaim. https://t.co/NCX9lIi8IW
Duke Announces 0.70p Q4 Dividend, Ex‑Div March 26
#DUKE to pay a Q4 Dividend of 0.70p per Share with ExDiv date 26th March 2026.
SNB Holds Rate at Zero, Reaffirms Franc Commitment
SNB restates increased resolve on the franc as it holds its rate at zero https://t.co/SZ7RmvXJDF via @bbenrath https://t.co/djvkw40yjQ
US Gas Prices Jump 37%, Reach 2022 High
Average US gasoline prices have surged 37% since the January lows, rising to the highest since 2022. The absolute price level, $3.88, is still within the range of normal from a historical perspective. But it's rising at an rapid clip,...
Gold's RSI Hits Record Overbought, Expect Sharp Pullback
$Gold - I want to remind you that the 14 month RSI closed at 95.67 at the end of February, its most overbought level in history. If you can't stomach an 11% drawdown and cry about "manipulation" or "suppression" or...
SNB Signals Greater Willingness to Intervene in FX
🇨🇭 Stronger verbal intervention language from the SNB: "the SNB's willingness to intervene in the foreign exchange market has increased". https://t.co/yuDHGc7oUG https://t.co/wcrzVudyN7
European Gas Buyers Must Panic Immediately Amid Price Shock
European gas buyers need to panic ... now. Brutal for the more price elastic EM buyers here.
European Gas Prices Double in Four Weeks, Exposing Fossil Dependence
European natural gas prices keep on rising and have now more than doubled )+134%) in just four weeks from €29/MWh on 17 February to €67/MWh today. Geopolitical tensions and wars always drive up gas prices. Not a bug in the system....
Entry Misses Last Week's High by Just $1
Imagine someone gave you an entry, 48 hours in advance, that only went $1 offside from last weeks high 😉 #efl26 https://t.co/Z59J1kQC7K
Pure Gamma Bet on Sensex 74500 CE Requires Immediate Upside
Thinking of going long Sensex 74500 CE (today’s expiry) @ ~620, but let’s be real. 🧐 This option already spiked to 1158 and cooled to 620, so most of the gamma + IV expansion is already done.... Now it’s a pure gamma...
Asia's LNG Shortage Revives Coal as Primary Fuel
MUST READ: Coal remains king — even in 2026. "... Across Asia, a sharp drop in liquefied natural gas supplies is pushing major importers back toward coal, undermining LNG’s long-held role as a stable energy anchor..." https://t.co/MZqvZYa8RD
Turn Your First $100 Into Investment Seed
$100 will not make you rich. But the decision you make with your first $100 will determine whether you ever become rich at all. Getting your first $100 is a big deal. Whether it came from a freelance job, a gift, a side hustle...
Rising US Debt Drives Gold and Silver Surge
US national debt just hit ~$39T fueling fiat debasement fears. Gold's parabolic run to $5,000+/oz & silver to $120+/oz? Classic safe-haven hedge against exploding debt, uncertainty, central bank buying & weak dollar. $gld $slv https://t.co/IcA8Eo0nGL
Reserves Meant for Supply Shocks, Not Price Cushioning
Reserves shouldn’t be for cushioning prices at this point… you may never know with the madmen bombing everything in the Middle East, there may be no fuel coming in at all… the reserves are for such times…. If it was...
Eurozone Inflation Below Target as Money Growth Lags
The Eurozone’s inflation comes in at 1.9%/yr. That's below its 2% target. The ECB’s money supply is only growing at 3.4%/yr. That's BELOW Hanke’s Golden Growth Rate of 6%/yr, a rate consistent w/ hitting ECB’s 2%/yr target. INFLATION STORY = MONEY SUPPLY...
European Gas Spikes 30% After Qatar LNG Plant Hit
European gas prices surge 30% after Qatar said the world’s largest LNG export plant was damaged in an Iranian attack (Still TTF futures are far from the record highs of 2022) https://t.co/FC5b6KjHpJ
EVs Shave 1.5 Mbpd Off Global Oil Demand
World 1.5MBPD displaced by EVs in 2024 China in 2025 Oil market not about the 100 mbpd we use, but the 1-2 mbpd YOY change Oil markets break on variations > 1-2MBPD China's vehicle fleet electrification has just removed 250ML/day of China's demand...
Iranian Ayatollahs Condemn UAE’s Growing Open Economy
Iran’s Ayatollahs Attack the Idea of the U.A.E. They hate seeing an open, resilient economy flourish in one of the world’s most contested regions. https://t.co/8UHgwE39t7
War’s Turmoil Can’t Shake the VIX’s Absurdity
For all the bad news that has come out of the war - the Vix remains a joke
Fertilizer Shortage Hits Poor Nations, Rich Remain Unscathed
The fertilizer crisis brewing because of Hormuz is going to be felt predominantly by people in some of the poorest nations on earth. Americans will only barely notice. Why? 1. The US, China, Europe, and other rich regions apply so much...
Nifty50 Options Signal 31% Weekly Volatility, Demand Zone 23100‑228
In these uncertain times, options data tells a deeper story. Plugged today’s Nifty50 weekly options into my model, it’s pricing => 31% IV (annualized) for nxt 7 days...😳🔥 >> Structure suggests 23100 to 22800 as a strong demand zone, but remember,...
North Sea Dated Surges Past $112 Amid Supply Shock
North Sea Dated jumps above $112/bl as Europe absorbs delayed supply shocks from the Mideast war. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/north-sea-dated-benchmark-hits-highest.html
Stop Duplicating Savings: Align Education Funds with Investments
You open a savings account labelled "Education Fund." You start contributing every month. You feel responsible. Meanwhile, there's an investment plan you set up years ago. Quietly compounding. Already on track to hit $200,000 by the time your child turns 18. Nobody...
Asia's Russian Fuel Imports Surge Amid Middle East Turmoil
Asia's Russian fuel imports poised to hit all-time high due to Middle East disruption https://t.co/VUFUxd0Npq
Micron
MS note on $MU. I get it, and this both makes sense and makes no sense at the same time. https://t.co/eXaRfWNQ04
Petroleum Product Prices Surge Beyond Crude, Podcast Explains
It isn't just about higher crude anymore , as various petroleum based products are soaring. We discussed this on the latest Facts vs Feelings, complete with St Patrick's Day gear and some I'm Shipping Up To Boston 🎶 🎵 https://t.co/zEoEFfsk2d
China's Energy Shock Unavoidable Despite Renewables and Reserves
The Economist: China cannot escape the energy shock—Despite renewables and reserves, it will suffer https://t.co/hzNezKxOUo
Fed Ends Easy Cuts
Takeaways from the March Fed meeting: • The era of 'easy' cuts could be over. Last year's were a recalibration; the next ones have to be earned with better inflation data or downside risks being realized. • The dots weren't as hawkish...