Market Rally Fueled by Call/Put Oversold Reversal
One support behind the market’s surge last week was the reversal in sentiment from an oversold extreme, at least as judged by the call/put ratio. That ratio is still negative. https://t.co/i43C3jXDt6
DAX Doji Near Resistance, Bullish EMA Cross Signals Caution
#DAX doji Candle at 50 and 200 day MA Lines. Resistance 24366, 24897, ATH 25507. Support 23482, 23000, 22677. RSI 54 bit off Neutral. Done 13/21 day EMA Bull Cross. Top Bollinger Band 24522. Midpoint Line 23557. Bottom Band 22593.
Avis Shares Quadruple as Two Owners Hold 108%
Short Squeeze: Avis Stock Has Quadrupled In A Month — Two Owners Control 108% Of The Stock - View from the Wing https://t.co/JFyOZttcKq
Yield Gaps Reveal Overlooked Oil Supply Risks
Orange: UK 10y yields Blue: US 10y yields Light Green: German 10y yields Dark Green: Japan 10y yields Red: China 10y yields 2008 to today. Everyone is focused on sovereign oil supplies; no one is considering oil supplies in context of the chart below. Big mistake...big...yuge https://t.co/BrA762Bo13
Brent Oil Near Neutral, Watch $90 Support, $100 Resistance
#BrentOil Comp Doji Candle and Sideways 6 days. Support $90.4, $84, $73.2. Resistance $100, $103.9, $112.1. RSI 52 near Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish but Lines converging. Doing 8/21 Bear Cross. Top Bollinger Band $110.7. Midpoint Line $100. Bottom Band...
ETF Dump, but I Stay Bullish on GRUSF
Thank god $TOKE is now done selling $GRUSF. The ETF sold 4 million shares in 30 days into a brutal drawdown right as the company's growth trajectory is taking off. As the largest shareholder in $GRUSF, I remain very bullish...
2-Year Treasury Signals No Rate Cuts, Hikes Expected
The 2-year doesn't lie. It tracks Fed expectations closer than anything else in the market. And right now it's sitting above the Fed funds rate for the first time in a while. That's not pricing in rate cuts. That's pricing in rate...
Break the Paycheck-to-Paycheck Cycle, Start Small Steps
If you’re tired of working just to make more payments, and tired of wondering why it's so hard to get ahead... start HERE and take things one step at a time.
TOKE Liquidation Mistimed, Now Finally Concluding
The timing of the $TOKE liquidation could not have been worse. Selling illiquid cannabis stocks at the lows when we are on the cusp of federal reform was something I was against, but it wasn't my decision. At least the...
Stocks Hit Record Peaks as Sentiment Hits Record Lows
It's official: Stocks are at all-time highs, while consumer sentiment is at an all-time low
Asia's Energy Shortage Sparks Rationing and Black Markets
Rationing and black markets have already sprung up in Asia. Some countries have found ways around the shortage (for now), but that has created new issues for others. #iranwar #energy #geopolitics https://t.co/0wpmsFgat3
Dollar's Reserve Role Erodes as DXY Stalls Below
The other side to the toll booth narrative in the SoH is that the dollar will continue to devolve as the dominant reserve currency, as more and more of the world’s trade takes place locally or regionally. With that in...
Extended Style Box Shows Significant Red Sector
Actually quite a bit of red on the @stockcharts Extended Style Box I wrote about it today: https://t.co/4cER6C7dmo https://t.co/wXtiLeDXUh
Tech Rallies, Transport Slumps: Nasdaq’s Best Day Since 2023
After a steep decline, Nasdaq Comp vs Dow Transports is just about having its best day since early 2023... bullish reversal favoring tech at the expense of the 'real' economy? @stockcharts $COMPQ $TRAN https://t.co/3GneL22l5O
Iranian Oil Return Could Shift Energy Markets Soon
If the US and Iran reach a deal — a big if — it’s fair to assume Tehran gets sanctions relief. If that includes oil sales — another big, although likely, if — then in a few months the energy...
Imported Inflation via Energy and Food Remains Top Risk
“The biggest risk continues to be that inflation gets imported around the world,” first through energy, then to food & beyond: MS’s Ted Pick. Otherwise, markets will stay strong with even a “narrowing of the cone of uncertainty” around the...
Markets Surge to Record Highs, Silencing Doom Forecasts
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 both hit all-time highs today. Congrats all.. well, except for the columnists and economists who have spend the last 15mo wishcasting doom, my condolences to y'all. https://t.co/tWXvVesdyR
Building 1,000 Black Family Trusts at Premium Price
Some black people will be mad because I charge $750 for a trust fund strategy call that acts towards the deposit of setting up a trust fund for family but for the 60+ families clients they can not thank me...
War's Hidden Costs Hit Americans Irreversibly, Even After Ceasefire
The question that I get asked most often is: Even if the ceasefire holds, has the war already imposed large irreversible costs on Americans? So I made a video digging into these issues. The stakes may be much larger than you...
Microsoft Dips Below 200‑week Moving Average
$MSFT after watching everyone on this website and CNBC point out it closed below its 200WMA https://t.co/3DCIxOHLVO
V‑Bottom Returns: Stocks Surge While Quality Lags
V-Bottom Strikes Again: Stocks Soar as Quality Lags As the S&P 500 hits a record, I assess how far we've come... and where equities may be headed @stockcharts https://t.co/4cER6C7dmo https://t.co/oo4msWOBBK
31 Large‑Cap New Highs, Only One New Low
there are 31 large-cap stocks hitting the 52-week new highs list today... there is 1 large-cap stocks hitting the 52-week new lows list... #HighLowShow #marketUpdate #investing
Rising Economic Pressure on Iran, China Faces Scrutiny
Economic pressure on Iran goes up. Also pressure on China to stop supporting Iran financially and military
XLK Tech ETF Near Best Month Since July 2022
$XLK Tech ETF very close to its best month since July 2022 +12.7% so far https://t.co/X2dxwjXheF
Diversifiers Shine as Equities and Bonds Re‑correlate
With equities and bonds positively correlated again (a déjà vu to 2022), it’s good to see that the group of diversifiers that I have in my hypothetical 60/20/20 model have been doing their job. The chart below shows the “crawling”...
Small and Mid Caps Outpace Large Caps in Buybacks
BofA: small caps (in addition to mid caps) are now buying back more as a % of market cap than large caps https://t.co/ynbYTmLXzy
Small and Mid‑Cap Yields Surpass Large Caps
Asset location implications: Dividend yields are now higher in small and mid caps vs. large caps https://t.co/UPCV1LiXSB
Demographics, Not Growth, Fuel Housing Demand; New Builds Lag
"Demographic change—not population growth—is the main driver of housing demand. And while the surge in new construction [in California] is welcome, it has not yet translated into meaningful relief for households struggling with high costs." https://t.co/SvBbqFg8yx
April All‑Time Highs Predict 22‑0 S&P Gains
Another fun tidbit to watch into month end. April’s closed at a new all-time high monthly close 22 times. The S&P 500’s return the remainder of the calendar year is then a perfect 22-0 for average gains of 11.18%. $spx
RSI Jumps 30‑70 in 15 Days—Rare Historic Signal
RSI has gone from under 30 to over 70 in 15 days just two prior times since 1980: Nov. '16 & Aug. '82. It's not quite there yet but it's very close. $SPX $SPY https://t.co/qhQVEqh9QX
YC Remains Top Fintech Investor Despite Deal Decline
YC Once Again Tops Ranks Of Most Active Fintech Investors In Q1 Even As Deal Count Drops https://t.co/zmmPsTQOdx via @crunchbasenews
Higher Timeframes Reveal Stretch
If you think many daily charts are stretched check out the H1's/65's Has me sitting but still looking for future opportunity. Stops inched up on all holdings.
China Cuts African Tariffs, Contrasting US Stance on Rare Earths
China removing tariffs from Africa imports. The opposite of the US. And the rare earths?
Elon’s Hardware 5 Tape‑Out Fuels Tesla’s Biggest Rally
$TSLA up 7.4% today, marking its best daily performance in 9 months. I attribute 20% of today’s move to the market (Nasdaq up 1.4%), along with a UBS upgrade earlier today. I believe 80% of the move is related to Elon’s nocturnal...
DXY Weekly Order Block Sets Market Direction Cue
📊 Market Plan – Dollar Index Focus 🔎 We are currently waiting for the Dollar Index (DXY) to reach a key Weekly Order Block (OB) 📈 🎯 Plan: • Let the market retest the Weekly OB • Then wait for H4 confirmation (structure shift)...
All‑time High Proves War‑era Bear Trap Persists
Turned out to be indeed a bear trap. It didn't just get higher than before the war started, but it's on all time high.
ETF Flows Reveal Shifting S&P 500 Exposure Trends
This week's ETF video highlights two charts on evolving S&P 500 exposures and two charts how flows reflect this dynamic. Thank you for tuning in and reach out with any questions. https://t.co/T2wdw2En5J
NDX's 11-Day Rally Falls Short of 1979 Record
The NDX is up 11 days in a row. Not the record. The NDX was up 19 days in a row in August 1979.
SPY Reaches 52‑Week High, EMA Bullish Cross
$SPY hits the highs and in 52 week high list. Weekly chart 8/21ema bull cross
Rising Volatility Signals Risk-Off; Utilities Lead
Volatility is rising. Equities are correcting. Utilities are outperforming. These are textbook risk-off signals. $JOJO was built to read them. https://t.co/7bh6y3XuhR
Bitcoin Climbs as Strait Tolls Pressure Gold Reserves
One emerging narrative resulting from the Iran conflict is that Iran will more or less control the Strait of Hormuz with a “toll booth” approach and that countries might pay those tolls in Yuan or crypto. Meanwhile, the exporting countries...
French Corn Acreage May Drop 10‑15% Amid Cost Surge
🇫🇷Corn area in France could fall 10-15% on the year amid high fertilizer and energy costs. France's annual corn plantings are only about 4% of what the USA plants, but it plays an important role regionally, accounting for around one-fifth of...
Tesla Nears $398 Resistance, Stalled Below 50‑Day SMA
Test coming on $TSLA from here to 398 resistance as it stalls on underside of 50sma. https://t.co/G6G1I5h7q6
S&P 500 Hits Record with Just 11 Stocks Topping Year‑highs
I can’t recall a day when the $SPX made a new all-time high with only 11 of its components making new 52-week highs.
NVDA Trade #2 Targets $196 Support Level
trade #2 on the day is here with $NVDA and the support at $196 #trading #stocks @traderTVLIVE @ttvresearch https://t.co/UT8dUFPZ4q https://t.co/XKdPNGtfCi
Emerging Markets Surge as Yuan Hits 3‑Year High
While risk appetite has recovered sharply amid the Strait shutdown, emerging markets doing particularly well. While the EEM ETF has climbed (inverted below), the Chinese Yuan has climbed to a 3-yr high vs the Dollar - 254 days USDCNH below...
Buy Oil Majors at February Low Prices
Purchases of international oil majors that are trading at their early February levels when Brent was <$70 strike me as 'money good' $XOM $CVX $COP
QQQ Hits Upper Bollinger Band for Two Consecutive Days
Day 6 sweet spot (note two days over standard deviation 2 upper BB) $QQQ https://t.co/AV6sVcMumf
CRWV Nears Gap, Riding Strong Uptrend
$CRWV daily almost making it to a former gap today. Many up days in a row. The chart will need basing soon to unwind. Buying has been big see volume bars. I have just about all...
Blockading Ports Isn’t Strategy; It’s Self‑defeating.
2025: blockading American ports. 2026: blockading Iranian ports. Same move, different flag. If your grand strategy is just “less trade for everyone,” mate, that’s not chess. That’s flipping the board. https://t.co/Re8HN1bIye