OPEC+ March Crude Supply Hits 2020 Low
OPEC+ crude supply in March will be the lowest since the major production cuts during COVID lockdown in 2020.
March PMI Slump Hits Australia; US‑Iran Energy Crisis Spreads
Global composite activity PMIs for March universality dropped for the latest month's activity. Australia took the biggest hit. Japan and US still holding up the best relatively speaking. Overall, the US-Iran conflict's energy crisis is spilling over https://t.co/viZdRPVFN9
North Korean Won Plummets 61%, World's 2nd Worst Currency
On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the North Korean won ranks as the WORLD'S 2ND WORST CURRENCY. The won has depreciated by 61% against the USD over the past year. THE COLLAPSE OF THE WON IS THE WORLD’S MOST UNREPORTED CURRENCY STORY. https://t.co/WiB50eaMz6
Oil Demand Peaks by 2030, Gas Demand Rises Onward
Yes. This has been my model for a decade. Oil is approaching peak demand. Perhaps 2030. Natural gas demand will continue to grow well beyond oil.
Trump‑Iran Talks Spark Hormuz Oil Fears, Lift Prices
Trump Iran talks revived Strait of Hormuz oil flow fears and pushed global energy prices higher. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/trump-iran-talks-put-strait-of-hormuz.html
Saudi Red Sea Exports Avert Major Hormuz Oil Disruption
Saudi oil exports from its Western ports on the Red Sea represented the most immediate and largest mitigation of the Hormuz crisis. Logically, any oil transported via pipelines from east to west and loaded at the Red Sea ports must be...
Copper Holds Breakout Support, Poised for Higher Gains
Copper has shown remarkable resilience despite the broader volatility across commodities. The metal precisely retested its breakout level, which now appears to be holding as strong support. In my view, this sets the stage for the next move higher. Both the technical and...
Australia Faces Fuel Shortage as Hormuz Disruption Persists
Australia is RUNNING OUT OF FUEL. As the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted, hundreds of gas stations across the country are running dry. THE GAS STATIONS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP AND NETANYAHU. https://t.co/9LMx4BprMq
New Homes Cost More Per Square Foot; Size Must Shrink
New construction always be more expensive PSF than older construction So the only way you can make new homes less expensive than existing homes by making them smaller … on average.
War-Driven Gold Sell‑off Followed by Ceasefire Rally
Start a war sell gold for 11 days in a row then rally it on rumors of a ceasefire https://t.co/6we9nz9Mhr
Pearl Abyss Shares Surge 28% After 3M Sales
Now, investors are having a "Whoopsie" moment and are currently sending the Pearl Abyss stock +27.76% up. The studio yesterday announced 3M Crimson Desert copies sold. Happens in Asian markets all the time with game stocks. (It's 11:30am Wed in Korea, trading continues)...
China Gas Prices Surge 20% Since Iran War
Gas prices in China jumped 20% since the war in Iran began. This is big. It affects 300 million drivers. CHAIRMAN XI SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/5AEwfc2iWb
Fed Says China's Exports Driven by Constrained Household Consumption
1/5 This new paper by the Fed concludes that China's export success stems from weak domestic demand "rooted in structural features of China's economy and financial system—particularly those that constrain household consumption." https://t.co/jplDeN5d6g
Markets Overestimate Rate Hikes; PMI Says Otherwise
The markets now think the ECB and BOE will now hike rates by at least 50bps apiece, and the RBA will hike by at least another 50bps on top of the 50bps they've done already. The PMI data says otherwise....
US Navy's Proximity Stalls Commercial Traffic in Hormuz
And Trump just explained why there’s virtually no commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz right now. The Lincoln is ~600 miles off Iran’s coast. That gives it several minutes of warning time, plus an entire air wing, three destroyers, a...
Hormuz Crisis Opens Historic Window for Canadian Oil
🇨🇦The ongoing Hormuz crisis presents a historic opportunity for Canada’s oil and LNG industries. 🇨🇦This is the moment. If we miss it, there may not be another. 👇👇👇 Daily Energy Report Link: https://t.co/9c26JYBjru
Record February Home Purchase Cancellations Hit 13.7%
42k US home purchases were canceled in February which equates to 13.7% of all homes under contract. That's the highest cancellation percentage for any February on record. https://t.co/QuxiWyB3TE
Relief Fails in Panic: Trump, IEA Miss Oil Reality
What Trump and the IEA Missed About the Oil Market: Relief Does Not Work When Markets Are in Panic Mode Daily Energy Report https://t.co/9c26JYBjru
Kazakhstan's Export Surge Signals Shifts for OPEC+
Kazakhstan's oil exports recovered: What are the implications for OPEC+ and the oil market? (SEE CHART) DAILY ENERGY REPORT https://t.co/3Iw9dtfnRU
Nvidia's Booming Sales Clash with Falling Stock
What happened to Nvidia? Business is booming, but the stock is selling off. The problem may be happening behind the scenes.
Gold Short Exit Fuels 10% Silver Surge
The day I exited my Gold short, Silver closed as a bullish spike, an IDF and SFP, so I went long this morning targeting the stops above the ID high. I held Gold for 3 weeks while it dropped 18%. Today...
Silver Closes
Silver followup: was lovely buy below previous swing low. It is now the first CLOSE back above the 5 SMA after Xtended run. However, it had upside BO from 3 bar, so that implies continuation potential...
Upside Impulse Trade Hits New Momentum High
Another Kyle Gem from yesterday - had upside Impulse out of "turtle soup" buy aka, Wyckoff spring. good follow-through today and new 2 per ROC momo high. https://t.co/z9z53IqWC2
Coffee Extends to Day 7, Hitting Fresh Momentum High.
Coffee now on Day 7 of extended run up. Nice BO from bade. 2-per ROC made new momo high. https://t.co/b1plmRyYCY
White House Wins Jawboning, yet Oil Prices Defy Expectations
The White House is (truly) winning the oil jawboning battle against Tehran — still to be seen if Trump would win the physical oil market war. But to see Brent trading at sub-$100 a barrel (and WTI below $90) after...
2‑Year Treasury Yield Jumps To
The March 2026 US Treasury 2-year yield hit 3.93%, up sharply from 3.45% last month. This is the highest yield since May 2025. TRUMP’S TARIFF WAR AND WAR ON IRAN ARE RATTLING BOND MARKETS. https://t.co/TfJWZRALwu
Amid Iran War Hype, Hidden Trade Opportunity Emerges
Markets are jumping from one Iran war headline to the next, but look through the noise and this trade seems to be hiding in plain sight. #IranWar #Macro #Dollar #Trading #Markets https://t.co/iAgNNxmpff
Europe Braces for Iran War Fuel Shortages
Europe will soon face the same kind of fuel supply disruptions as Asia due to the war in Iran, says Shell’s CEO 🇪🇺 ⚠️ “If you look through the slate, jet fuel is already being impacted. Diesel will be next...
Ask Why, Not Just Past Performance, When Choosing Funds
Next time your financial consultant recommends a fund, try asking this: what is the structural reason this should keep performing? If the answer is "it's done well," that's a description of the past. And past performance, as every disclaimer in the...
Ares Capital 17% Plunge Predicts Major S&P Drops
This chart is unique. Ares Capital, the BDC, has been clobbered, falling 17%. Previous dumps in ARCC saw dumps in the S&P 500 too. Other periods that saw ARCC fall 17% or more witnessed S&P declines of 9%, 28%, 22%,...
Uncertain Govt Action; Physical Oil Markets Soon Prevail
I’m asked frequently about whether governments are intervening in futures markets already, and I have no idea nor have I seen any evidence. But, if they are and if Hormuz remains shut, it’ll only work for a bit longer before physical...
BZAI Beats EPS, Revenue; Watch Overnight Price Action
$BZAI - "Blaize Holdings, Inc. GAAP EPS of -$0.03 beats by $0.17, revenue of $23.8M beats by $1.83M" Need to see how this move digests overnight before allocating specific criteria here, but worth a watch for sure. As long as this...
Dell Surges 20% in Four Days After Reversal
$DELL up 20% in 4 days from the Oops reversal off the High volume close https://t.co/5VsROLzfUd
Everyone Navigates Iran War Oil Market Differently
No judgment. We’re all dealing with the Iran War oil market in our own way.
B‑Book Strategies Thrive Until Market Reverses, Then Collapse
When B Books fail. I still remmember the GBPJPY trade of 2005-2006 like it was yesterday. I was working for FXCM whic was teh biggest retai dealer at the time and of course like dealers the delaing room was rarely offsetting risk...
Software Index Plummets 6.7%, Worst in Five Years
So Tourists were hoping Software "bottomed" 1 month ago Today Software vs Semis (GSPUSOSE - Goldman Basket) traded -6.7%, top 5 worst move over the last 5 years @HedgeyeTech @HedgeyeComm @SamofAmerica @RPKent https://t.co/QxAj4Blbqz
War Triggers Swing From Expected Cuts to Near‑zero Hikes
The day the war started (Feb 28), Fed fund futures were pricing in 2.5 rate Fed CUTS for 2026. Now they are pricing in 0.2 of a Fed rate HIKE for the rest of the year. https://t.co/kZikoSqzqz
Crisis Unites Yield and Oil: Correlations Converge
Tick chart starting Friday afternoon. 10-year yield (white) Nearby WTI crude oil futures (blue) In a crisis, all correlations go to 1. https://t.co/0ubKfHkt9Q
Trump Pushes Iran Ceasefire to Keep Strait Open
So Trump admin is [rightly] panicking about the Strait of Hormuz so they’re going to try to get Iran to agree to a 1-month ceasefire to negotiate during which I’m sure Trump wants the Strait open Iran’s main leverage is the...
False Iran Claim Fuels Fleeting S&P Rally, Then Fades
Yesterday the S&P 500 surged on Trump's claim of productive talks with Iran. Today Iran said those talks never happened. Oil jumped 4%. The rally evaporated. The S&P closed below its 200-day moving average for the third straight session —...
Dow Holds Near 45,500, RSI Rising, Watch Resistance
#DOW doji Candle and Sideways 4 days. Support 45369. Resistance 46712, 47428, 48000. RSI 34 quite low and flicked up. Top Bollinger Band 47486. Midpoint Line 46468. Bottom Band 45450.
Aluminum Prices Surge 12‑40% Amid US‑Israel Conflict
As a result of the US-Israeli war in Iran, ALUMINUM prices are UP 12-40% THROUGHOUT THE WORLD. The world’s biggest carmakers are reportedly “panic buying.” CARMAKERS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/yRInvBpEdm
Victory Capital Abandons Janus Deal over Committee Opposition
Victory Capital has pulled out of Janus acquisition after not getting support from Janus’ “special committee” https://t.co/VSWcoMUQal
Chaos in Middle East Markets Creates Trading Edge
The Middle East is on a KNIFE'S EDGE 🔪 Ceasefire talks. Marines steaming toward Hormuz. Saudis sharpening their knives. Oil dumping on every headline 🛢️💥 Markets are an absolute WARZONE right now But here's the cold hard truth... CHAOS = EDGE for those who...
Big Tech Valuations Drop Below 20x Earnings
$MSFT now below 20x earnings... $AVGO 18x $NVDA 16x $META 17x out-year earnings estimates @finviz_com https://t.co/i1ijeByOv6
Inflation, ECB Hikes, and Gold Dip Buying Explored
This morning on @asharqbusiness discussing inflation, ECB rate hikes, buying the dip on gold and other macroeconomic data. 📊
Public Signals Yield 10‑20% Gains—Don’t Hesitate
Hear me out — this matters. 22 days. 5 trades: CVX: $186 → 207 XOM: $152 → 165 COP: $113 → 129 OXY: $53 → 61 EOG: $124 → 142 Every single one up 10–20%. The signals were public. Most people just didn’t act. The market doesn’t lack opportunity. It exposes...
Gold ETF Hits $411 Amid Ceasefire News
$GLD trading at 411 AH on the 30day ceasefire news-- should be interesting day tomorrow if it holds to be true https://t.co/0vrW5jToHm
Tight MOB Supply Drives Record Occupancy and Rising Rents
Constrained MOB supply keeps occupancy high and rents growing. 5 Things to Know: 1⃣ MOB occupancy hit a record 92.7% in 2025, up 30 basis points from the end of 2024. Demand is outpacing every new square foot being delivered to...
Oil Surplus Dwarfed by Massive Asian Capital Excess
Three big picture observations about the oil surplus (petrodollars/ petroeuros/ petroequities are all downstream of this) pre Hormuz A) The oil surplus is modest relative to the surplus in Asia. Chinese state banks and offshore deposits of Chinese exporters are...