T‑Bills: Safe, Steady Growth for Young Nigerians
Treasury Bills will not make you rich overnight. But they will grow your money safely, consistently and with zero drama; which is exactly what every young Nigerian investor needs as a foundation. Start lending to the government, and get paid.
Gold's Buying Power on Oil Has G
18 years ago, an ounce of gold bought your 7 barrels of oil. Now it buys your 50 barrels. https://t.co/oEjSQkutLM
Yield Spike Near 4.5% Signals Market Trouble
Long yields broke out last week and finished the week at 4.39%. As I have written many times, nothing good happens above 4.5% when the risk-free rate is competitive with risky assets, as is now the case. https://t.co/mq0q2S2nBU
Gulf Shut‑ins Cut Iraq, Iran Output by ~13 MMbpd
GULF SHUT-IN UPDATE: Brings Iraq's confirmed shut-ins to ~3.5 MMbpd as of yesterday, lifts overall confirmed *crude* Iran War output shut-ins to ~9.5 MMbpd. Gas condensate/NGL output losses are on top of that. ~200 million barrels of expected crude won't be...
Biotech XBI Surges to 5‑day Highs, Finds Range Low
Market bouncing across the board, but biotech $XBI is standing out here. Strong follow-through [so far] pushing it through 5-day highs. Might finally have found the range low here? (disclosure: long) https://t.co/10IuXq9wlv
Portfolio Construction Shifts Dramatically for the Next Decade
An outstanding catch up today with @APompliano - portfolio construction over the next decade has taken a sharp turn, join us soon, details to come. https://t.co/QShJKvrcKn
Gas Prices Surge Above $4, Highest Since 2022
National retail gas prices have crossed the $4.00 per gallon threshold. Highest prices since August 2022. Just a month ago, the President was saying they were under $2 https://t.co/o1wA1BwG3C
Spot Dubai Crude Holds Premium Amid Hormuz Uncertainty
Balance of the month cash Dubai crude barrels (white line) still trading higher than the prompt Oman futures (blue) I'm seeing quoted this morning, which are down more sharply, but spot Middle East barrels certainly feeling less pressure and all...
Investors Shun Bond Dip Amid Massive Losses
$TLT bleeding $1.2B. $HYG losing $623M. Credit spreads widening. Nobody is buying the dip in bonds. What do they know? $LQD $BND https://t.co/88YFIH3YtD
All Central Banks Share the Same Inflation Blunder
Powell's Inflation Excuse – It's All BS! Powell: "Inflation was global so you can't blame us." Me: That's BS. Every central bank made the same mistake – cutting rates, printing money, flooding economies. That doesn't excuse the Fed. It proves they ALL...
Brent Stays >$100, WTI Under $100 Amid Strait Closure
While WTI has remained just under $100barrel, Brent has remained well above $100 as it is more dependent on the Strait. Per the bottom panel below, the backwardation of the forward curve has continued to sit around $20/barrel as the...
Five Undervalued Moat Stocks to Watch
5 Quality Stocks with strong competitive advantages trading below median valuation 👇 $SOFI Full-stack bank + infrastructure. Galileo + Technisys cut costs, speed launches. Members expand across products, lowering CAC structurally. $ZETA 240M+ identity profiles power targeting. Athena automates campaigns across channels....
Fed Cuts Fail to Curb
the @federalreserve has cut interest rates six times since Sep '244 and U.S. 10-year yields $TNX have risen from 3.7% to 4.4% since that cutting program began... https://t.co/EQHFpoQsIC
No Viable Alternative: US Dollar Remains Unshakable
When I read articles like this I'm always minded to ask what could replace it? On every occasion the possible alternatives don't stakc up - the US dollar isn't going anywhere
Every Double‑Digit S&P Drop Since 1928 Had a Cause
As we noted last year around this time, there is always a reason stocks lose double digits during a calendar year. Only 12 times since 1928 has the S&P 500 finished down double digits and each one had a reason. https://t.co/8bqfgijTgs
Passive Inflows Lock Markets as Ultra‑wealth Drives Equity Demand
WSJ: "There are about 430,000 U.S. households worth $30 million or more, according to an analysis of Federal Reserve data by Zidar. Within that, there are about 74,000 worth $100 million or more. Over the past few decades, the growth...
Slow Gap Fill Signals Potential Breakaway Trend
$SPY would have to decline to 657.03 and $QQQ to 587.93 to fill this morning’s gaps. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is… but if...
SPX Tests Resistance, Bearish Trend Still Intact
The $SPX is back up to the top of five-week descending trend channel and the 200-day SMA as combined resistance. What's the prevailing trend for the benchmark index? Bullish or bearish? https://t.co/CyJUytkudU
S&P Slingshot Years Predict Double‑Digit Gains Ahead
Small sample size, yes. Still, last year saw the S&P 500 down more than 15% YTD at some point and finished the year up more than double digits. We called this a slingshot year. The other three times that happened (1982, 2009,...
BCA Research Hormuz Crisis Dashboard Now Open to Public
Just a reminder that everyone should check out the BCA Research Hormuz Crisis dashboard, which we have now made available to non-cients. https://t.co/2w3YrSrMuA https://t.co/PRmuyuEG4a
SPY Breadth Collapse: Only 25% Above 50‑Day MA
Only 25% of $SPY components are above their 50-day MA. The index is hiding a breadth collapse. Don't trust the headline number. $QQQ $IWM https://t.co/gMu0klhbVb
Margin Call Crushed Hunt Brothers' Silver Corner
On this day, March 25, 1980 the Hunt brothers received a massive margin call that helped trigger one of the biggest commodity crashes in history. Texas billionaires Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt had cornered nearly one third of the...
Unused Pension Allowance Can Boost Contributions to £220k
Did you know that unused pension allowance carries forward for three tax years? This means that in this tax year a person (depending on their specific circumstances) could put up to £220k in a pension
Analysts Await Hormuz Reopening Amid Iran War Headlines
Every oil analyst reading the Iran War's done headlines and watching the Iran War's done price action waiting for the Strait of Hormuz to actually begin flowing again https://t.co/4kBqUoI2Np
QQQ's Modest Dip After 100 Sessions Signals Strength
Today will be the 100th session since the Nasdaq 100 QQQ peaked. Yet it isn't even 10% off its high. That has tended to be a good sign, esp relative to those times it was deeper into a correction at the 100-day...
20‑Day EMA Highlights Defensive Decline, Offensive Rise
i like watching the sector $SPX relatives using a short-term 20-day EMA... to see inflection points, we want to see the defensive stuff turn down, and offensive stuff turn up... #SectorWatch https://t.co/wK9aSrUKoN
Robinhood Buyback: Dip Play Amid Crypto‑Driven Fragility
Robinhood Stock Rises After $1.5 Billion Buyback as Shares Stay Under Pressure Question: if stock tripled in 2025 then dropped 39% in 2026, is $1.5B buyback buying the dip or catching a falling knife? Robinhood's crypto reliance = structural vulnerability when...
TACO Boosts Trump, War Uncertainty Keeps Oil Low
"Rather than being a sign of weakness, TACO is working in Trump’s favor. No one knows for certain when or if he’ll try to end the war, which has been enough to stop traders from pushing up the oil price."...
Markets Rally Amid Iran Conflict Uncertainty
🚨 Markets are surging - but Iran says truce, talks NOT viable in current conditions Missiles are still flying Oil is driving EVERYTHING ⚠️Is this a real move or a trap? Here's what I'm watching before I touch anything $SPY $GLD $USO $DXY $EURUSD...
Homebuilders Face Critical Shift Despite Stable Housing Market
Everyone’s asking if the housing market is crashing. It’s not. But something important is happening with homebuilders right now that every investor needs to understand.
DC ATR Model Justifies SPX Vertical Line
it's a weekly model, and it wouldn't take much to turn it back at this stage, BUT, i acknowledge my DC ATR model for the S&P 500 $SPX deserves a vertical line... https://t.co/Xavd5QMtFy
Gold Soars, Bonds Crash: Safe‑Haven Playbook Overhauled
Gold $4,550+. Missiles flying. Bonds selling off. The safe haven playbook just got rewritten. $GLD $GC_F $TLT https://t.co/mnn27BiQUs
Oman Oil Plunges From $170 to $90s, Market Wraps
Lots of headline whipsaw but call me crazy but I do find market price action useful. Oman oil back down to the 90’s from the 170 highs says this is a wrap https://t.co/0WwZo0Hanz
Markets Now Drive Geopolitics, Keeping Stocks Resilient
Animal Spirits: The Best Stocks in History Markets rule geopolitics now Why would the Fed raise rates? Why aren't stocks down more this year? Why is gold down 20%? Why are new car payments so high? How to keep your customers happy & more https://t.co/7HhzBVbwb8 https://t.co/D1K44yFSeR
Will QQQ Hold Above Yesterday’s High? Watch Monday
Can the $qqq get and stay above yesterday’s high? Or fades. If it holds. Watch Mondays high https://t.co/lSsXXal0P7
Semiconductors Keep Outperforming S&P Over Long Term
despite all the folks always jumping around screaming about tech stock performance, or underperformance, one thing remains clear... the semiconductors $SMH have shown a long period of $SPX outperformance and a relative uptrend... https://t.co/Ox35eNzmWs
Oil Prices Global, Gas Prices Regional—Explaining US‑UK Gap
Some awkward facts: Oil is sold via a global price mechanism (there are some variations due to transportation costs). Gas is sold on a regional basis. If it was global, then why is US gas a fraction of UK gas?
US Stockpiles Keep $5 Corn From Surpassing 2022 Peak
$5 Corn May Mark a 2026 Peak Alongside $120 Crude - The December corn future (Dec26) stretch to $4.99 a bushel around the onset of the Iran war on March 9 may have peak inklings akin to Dec22's $7.66 apex...
Financial Freedom Makes Life 1000x Easier
Life becomes 1000X easier when you have: - No car loan - No school loans - No credit card debt - 6 months of expenses saved - Automated monthly investments
FTSE100 Appears to Have Dismissed Hammer Pattern
So far it does look like the #FTSE100 has turned off that Hammer 2 days ago: https://t.co/9itZslTJ9y
S&P 500 Re‑tests Oct 10 Low Amid Pullback
left: S&P 500 $SPX pulled back and in the neighbourhood of the lows from the Oct 10th "biggest bar against" right: S&P/TSX $TSX https://t.co/kzsEuflLan
Pension Funds Snap Up $14B Equities, Top Percentile
GS on Flows via BBG: - Pension funds to buy $14 billion in equities for month/quarter-end rebalancing. - Ranks 75th percentile over the past three years in absolute dollar terms, and 97th percentile on a net basis. https://t.co/PkjmgbNxLG
Analysts Bullish on MAZE, yet Pre‑market Price Drops
$MAZE - Analysts pitching tent poles over the AMKD data, yet stock is down pre market. What's the disconnect?
All Hedge Fund Algorithms Revealed in 151 Strategies
This paper unlocks every algorithm used by hedge funds. 151 trading strategies. Get it here (361 page PDF):
Gold Crushes Stocks Over Every Decade Span
imagine being an investor that is so stubborn to be unwilling to invest in an asset (gold) that has outperformed stocks on a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 10 and 20-year time frame... $PHYS $GLD $SPX $TSX not just outperformed... crushed......
Retail Influx and Hedge Fund Margin Calls Drove Gold Slump
Why has gold tumbled? Two reasons: (i) the big rally pre-war sucked in lots of retail investors who're more skittish than the previous buyer base; (ii) volatility meant hedge funds had margin calls, so sold profitable positions like gold to...
Diesel Prices Fell Over 25% in Real Terms
Diesel was $7.25 in real dollars back in July 2008, $6.51 in June 2022 @jkempenergy .. $5.38 in real-time. I'd like to see @JeffWeniger work his magic on this chart https://t.co/u3Tn1K8vRc
Choose Growth or Preservation: Define Your Family’s Wealth Goal
Are you trying to grow your $5M to $10M? Or are you trying to make sure it still exists when your grandchildren are adults? Those are two completely different strategies. And most families never have the conversation about which one they're...
Oil’s 14‑point Swing Signals Massive Unresolved Risk Premium
Oil crashes 10% on diplomacy hopes. Snaps back 4% when Iran denies those talks. WTI: $88 to $91.62 in 24 hours. Same war. Same region. Different headline. The volatility is the signal — not the direction. A 14-point crude range in 48...
Oil’s Wild Swing Shows Volatility Is the Real Indicator
Oil -10% Monday. Oil +4% Tuesday. Same war. Same geopolitics. The volatility IS the signal. $USO $XLE $SPY https://t.co/Od9t9fzbbl