Peso Retests Swing High; Upside Likely, Pros Profit
swing highs and lows = the most visible chart point...Peso perfect full retest up. odds still favor upside, but pros often take profits on these highs. https://t.co/dO3FyDI6a1
Use $JOJO to Complement Bonds During Spread Expansions
$JOJO is a complement, not a replacement. Add it alongside your core bond allocation for tactical credit rotation. When spreads blow out, you'll want this in the portfolio. https://t.co/xlY97itNk2
Risk Appetite Soars as S&P Nears Record High
What Middle East crisis? Sticky inflation? Exacerbated existing economic uncertainties? None of this is competing with risk appetite right now. $SPX is within 1 percent of its record intraday high and sporting is second strongest 10-day rally in four years...
CGNT Hits High‑grade Copper; PEA Imminent Amid Demand Surge
$CGNT.v MD-060: 68m @ 0.97% CuEq inside 371m @ 0.53% CuEq. Higher grades at southern margin (141m @ 0.71% CuEq). Copper ~$6/lb on AI/electrification demand + supply deficits. 3 rigs drilling toward PEA. @Cu_Giant should attract some attention.
March Sees Mixed Fund Performance, Many Losses
More evidence of a tough March: --Moore Offshoot JJJ: lost 11% --Guo Feng’s Symmetry lost 2.6% --Greg Coffey’s Kirkoswald joined Rokos: + 0.23%, bringing returns for the first quarter to 11%,. Others: -Blackrock STA: +1.2%/+4.2% and D1 Stock Book: -6%/+2.7 (March/YTD) https://t.co/X8Ifaxd1Yi
China Cracks Down on Firms Ditching Its Suppliers
1/2 NYT: "As China’s mammoth trade surplus stokes global tensions, Beijing has enacted sweeping new regulations to investigate and punish foreign companies that stop using Chinese suppliers in response to political pressure at home." https://t.co/hHhm9lhuk8
China’s March Soybean Imports Slump Far Below Expectations
🇨🇳China imported 4.02 million metric tons of soybeans in March, well below expectations and the month's average (both ~6 mmt). Halfway through 2025/26, total imports were a 3-yr high BUT below the 5-yr avg on minimal US arrivals. 10+ mmt per...
China Halts Exports From Plastic Trinkets to Missile Magnets
Bessent: “China is stopping exports of various products” Products like “plastic trinkets”, or products like “the rare earth magnets we need to rebuild our missile stockpiles to continue our war v. Iran”? 🤔
Falling VIX Masks Ongoing Geopolitical Risks
$VIX spiked to 29.3 in late March. It's now at 18.75. The market is telling you the fear is gone. But is it? VIX dropping while geopolitical risk stays elevated and Q1 earnings loom is either a relief rally — or dangerous...
Cloudflare's Edge Network Powers Essential AI Infrastructure
Why I’m Bullish on Cloudflare $NET Cloudflare leverages its expansive global network to become critical infrastructure for emerging AI workloads — and it is the kind of infrastructure without which AI cannot function. Cloudflare operates a distributed network that delivers security, networking,...
Energy ETF Slides 12%—Buy‑the‑Dip Opportunity
12% pullback in energy stocks $XLE for everyone who was frustrated they missed the move and swore to buy back in on the next dip https://t.co/xeYc2YdVHI
Platinum Nears Breakout as RSI Climbs Above 50
Platinum $PLAT Is Platinum about to go orbital?! Last resistance before Blue Sky is its 50 dma with RSI above 50 and climbing ... https://t.co/pO5lz6jmzs
SPY Holds Near
As we chop around $690, exposure at $695 has been increasing since open on $SPY. $689-$690 is now support for me. The data has been on point :)
Momentum's Many Faces, Private Credit Benchmarks, Sovereign Blowup History
🔬 Research links: the many faces of momentum, benchmarking private credit and a history of sovereign blowups. https://t.co/4qQ2hYNCiI chart: https://t.co/Pm4rrurbzu https://t.co/IQhwf35scS
Rapid $50k Analysis
See someone did the math overnight on $50k tin for what the metrics are on AlphaMoon $AFM.V
Optimal Return Stacking Requires Defined Base, Objective, Constraints
One question I get all the time with return stacking is, "what does the optimal stack look like?" Without constraints, it's an intractable question. What's our base? What's our objective? What are our constraints? We explore this in a new blog...
Santa Monica Rents Fall 8% After Three-Year Decline
Santa Monica rents have gone down for 3 years in a row, down 8.1% in the last year LA rents also down Remember: Rents go up and down https://t.co/ohWuaQQoYT
US Inflation Peaks as Hormuz Shock
JUST IN: US PPI inflation rises to 4%, its highest since February 2023. Meanwhile, the Strait of Hormuz supply shock is estimated to cause oil demand to contract by 80,000 barrels per day — the largest drop since COVID. Are you...
Nasdaq 100 Posts 11.75% 10‑Day Surge
10 day rolling returns for the Nasdaq 100 (+11.75%). That's one of the best streaks over the past 5 years. V-shaped happiness rally right into earnings season. $QQQ $NDX https://t.co/njBENziqXC
European Gas Hits Lowest Since War Began
European natural gas prices are heading toward their lowest settlement since the war started (Feb 28), currently trading at €43 per MWh (that's ~$15 per mBtu). The European gas benchmark TTF is now **lower** than it was in late January...
Buy Early, Not When the Coast Is Clear
I've been fiddling with a lot of back testing recently. It's a fools errand to wait until the "coast is clear" to get long the market overtime. You need to define a system that allow you to "hold your nose...
Three Consecutive Green Bars Indicate Uptrend
and y'all know this pattern by now: 3 consecutive green bars UP off OP... shake and bakee https://t.co/385FXOtwW0
Asset Types
It's an honor to contribute to our team's annual survey of diversification and correlations. Here, @AmyCArnott1 calls out which asset types bring something to the diversification party and which don't deliver. Her piece includes a link to the full paper....
TQQQ Breaks VWAP on Risk‑On NASDAQ Move
hit the #NASDAQ here with $TQQQ as we take it off the #VWAP here after deciding it was a RISK on day. thanks for the help with the #VWAP talk Brian @alphatrends #trading #stocks #futures #sp500 https://t.co/WOHJlqwlKz
China's Export Growth Falters as Global Demand Slumps
China’s Export Momentum Slows Amid Iran War—Weaker global demand threatens a growth driver for Beijing @hannahmiao_ @TByGraceZhu https://t.co/vpepE1zohz https://t.co/vpepE1zohz
Investing in a 50%+ CAGR Hyper‑Growth Stock
🚨A new Trading Alert is now live📈 We've just invested in a hyper-growth business (its stock was down ~70% from its all-time high). Revenue is projected to grow at 50%+ CAGR over the next few years. Subscribers: Login 👇https://t.co/YKr5pL7G2c
Lagarde Reverses Stance: Europe Not Epicenter of Iran War Fallout
Lagarde: Europe NOT at epicenter of Iran war fallout. That's quite a turnaround from the Mar. 26 interview with The Economist, when she said: “We are facing a real shock…probably beyond what we can imagine at the moment.”
Iran Conflict Eases Yuan Pressure as Banks Shed $30B
The Iran war took the heat off China's currency. After facing strong appreciation pressure from November through February, the direction of pressure changed in March -- The state banks look to have reduced their foreign assets by ~...
Canada Pauses Fuel Tax, Cutting Gas Price 10¢ per Litre
After Germany, here it comes Canada: Prime Minister Mark Carney said he will suspend a fuel excise tax until Labor Day weekend. The measure will lower gasoline prices by 10 Canadian cents per liter, and diesel by 4 Canadian cents.
Options Expiry Fuels S&P 500 Swing, Not Fundamentals
In just 2 weeks, the S&P 500 has gone from widely oversold to overbought. However, this is not being driven by fundamentals. Options expiration is creating complacency.
Risk Appetite Returns: High‑Beta $SPHB Outpaces Low‑Beta $SPLV
Spring is here and risk appetite is back in the air. High beta basket $SPHB relative to low beta stocks $SPLV pushing higher https://t.co/vr7eIgfZgR
NYMO Flips From Oversold to Overbought During Earnings Season
Def. doing some trimming into hefty earnings season, NYMO from extreme oversold buy signal to extreme overbought sell signal quickly now
Iran's Inflation ~64%, Rial up 8% Despite Claims
Startup Fortune (not Fortune magazine) claims Iran's inflation is 180% and the rial is in freefall. WRONG. I measure Iran's yearly inflation at 64%/yr. Since the war began, the rial has gained 8% vs the USD. I AM THE ONLY ACCURATE...
Austin's Housing Boom Cuts Rents Amid Population Growth
"Austin’s Surge of New Housing Construction Drove Down Rents" (even as its population grew) https://t.co/Mi7GYtLlbz https://t.co/HAdE5iQaBO
China Ramps up Export Controls Ahead of US‑China Talks
China has increased its use of export controls, underlining Beijing’s willingness to leverage its power over supply chains as Xi Jinping prepares for talks next month with US President Donald Trump. by @leahyjoseph, @cheng_leng_ & Wenjie Ding https://t.co/oGe6739GIG
Sell Covered Call on HOOD After 8.5% Jump
STO - Covered call - $HOOD Up 8.5% today so the perfect time to sell a covered call on Robinhood. 5/15 for $90 at the $100 strike. Are you trading today?
Rising Power Bills From AI Data Centers Fuel Election Backlash
Bloomberg: "Across the country, soaring electricity costs are burdening consumers and stirring voter anger. The rapid build-out of artificial intelligence data centers, along with tariffs and upgrades to an aging grid, has raised power prices at rates unseen in decades....
April 14 Tactical Update: New Portfolio Tweaks Unveiled
(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: April 14, 2026 - All The Trimmings..." Tuesday A.M. portfolio tweaks... via The Lyons Share https://t.co/imbOEcrTTV https://t.co/cMdMjNVjrm
Airbnb Must Surpass $139 to Break Its Base.
Airbnb continues to set up well. Above $139 would break the stock out of this year-long base https://t.co/NigdCHxmEo
V‑bottoms Went From Odd to Almost Mainstream Since 2018
i'm old enough to remember when we used to call "V bottoms" unusual... since 2018, they've become "almost" typical...
Higher Bracket only Taxes Income Within that Range
I know someone who declined a promo because he thought the increase would push him into a higher tax bracket and make all his income taxed at that rate. In reality, only the income within the new tax bracket is taxed...
Dollar Slides Below 99, Signaling Eroding Confidence
DXY just broke below 99 — a 1.25-month low. Dollar weakness at this scale matters globally: commodities reprice, EM debt gets relief, US exporters benefit. But a structurally weaker $DXY also signals eroding confidence. That's the part worth watching. https://t.co/G2iZaPA5wz
Start Early, Invest Patiently, Let Time Build Wealth
Building wealth starts with thinking ahead. What you invest in today will shape your future. Instead of focusing on quick wins, remember that success often comes from steady, patient moves that add up & the earlier you start, the more...
VIX Drops 38% in Two Weeks, 7th Largest Crash
The 38% decline in the $VIX over the last 2 weeks is the 7th biggest volatility crash in history. https://t.co/WG93PaZexq
Amazon Calls Near 100% Gains as Stock Cheapens
Have to bank some $AMZN calls nearing that +100% mark Yet another name that got stupid cheap https://t.co/Hui9LDG1bd
Buy April 84/82.5‑82 Put Spread, Credit 5¢
$WFC "Trade Idea 1: Buy the April 84/82.50-82 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit." sell to close a 84/82.50 put spread on any strength in the stock. Let IV fall then can buy to close remaining put...
Bullish on Oil as Hormuz Closure Sparks Market Tension
I'm used to oil hate because, well, I'm not a permabull and normally the dooming is deeply overwrought This episode has been weird bc I'm bullish oil given THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ HAS BEEN CLOSED FOR SIX WEEKS and now I've...
GDX Overbought Yet Stuck in Neutral Trend
gold stocks $GDX are RSI(5) overbought on the daily and are NOT in an uptrend (lower lows) but that doesn't mean they're in a downtrend (they're NOT because there isn't a lower high)... https://t.co/FGu5lmhg15
Stocks Climb Despite Bad News, Says Analyst
Why are stocks higher with all the bad news? Nice one from @_JoshSchafer on earnings.
April 124/121 Put Spread Busted, Credit Lost
$C "Trade Idea 1: Buy the April 124/121 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit." a bust, will expire