Travel Stocks Lead Large‑Cap Gains Amid Growth Surge
83% of large cap stocks up today with mid and small cap growth leading. Seeing travel stocks (airlines, cruises, booking sites) holding several of the top performing large cap stocks on the day.
Iran's Hormuz Closure Raises Global Energy Security Concerns
Iran has closed the Strait. What can be done with their having control of Hormuz? What is next?
Rusal Redirects Aluminum From China to Japan Amid Iran Conflict
Exclusive: Rusal plans to reroute aluminum from China to Japan as Iran conflict reshapes trade, sources say https://t.co/Rn0kOg7gVj
Rising Yields, Stable Inflation Expectations Pressure Gold
The market priced as a short-term shock, not structural change: bond yields rose, but long-term inflation expectations did not -> real yields moved rose, a headwind to price of gold.
Inside the Realities of Running a Pre‑Seed Startup
📚Blog Post: What It’s Really Like to Run a Pre-Seed Stage Firm https://t.co/mMnEaI8qOF @2048vc // #startuphacks // #VC
Oil Slump Pushes Yields Lower, India Growth Forecast Cut
🌍 Global News Update: ⦿ Brazil's 10-year bond yield tumbled toward 13.7% as crude oil prices plunged, improving the inflation outlook. ⦿ US crude inventories rose by 3.1 million barrels to 464.7 million barrels in the week ended April 3. ⦿ US 10-year...
Rally Needs 90% Up-Volume or Advances—Absent Now
In order for today's stock market rally to be sustainable, in the absence of a Zweig Breadth thrust, we need a 90% up volume day or a 90% advances day on the NYSE. At the moment we have neither...
Media Hype Mirrors CEOs' Enthusiasm for Corporate Hedges
LOL - The media's coverage of corporate hedges - not to mention CEOs' delight in those hedges - would appear to perfectly mirror their perceived value... https://t.co/iyhM43S3Yl
Design Your Own Retirement Structure, Not Empty Freedom
An empty calendar looks like freedom. Until you live it. No urgency. No deadlines. No clear place to begin. Without structure, time doesn’t feel expansive— it feels uncertain. The goal isn’t to escape structure. It’s to build one that works for you. Design the perfect retirement now: https://t.co/WHwMtrGLPr
Shipping Stalls in Hormuz Until Iran Halts Attacks
The last plot is through 9:43 AM ET today (April 8th). It is on track to be the highest of the last month. Again, this has to go to zero for shipping to start moving through the Strait. Note that the uptick...
SPX Above 6800 Triggers Heavy Selling, Below Supports Buying
In terms of SPX buying/selling pressure the key thing is that >6,800 the pressure gets heavy (darker red) which builds up into the billions of delta notional selling. Its light buying support below ~$500mm of delta buying below, selling above =...
Cease‑fire Trims Fed’s Demand‑risk Tail More than Inflation Upside
A durable cease-fire narrows the tail risks for the Fed on both sides, but it may do so asymmetrically: it cuts off the demand destruction tail that could have forced near-term cuts arguably more than it cuts off the upside...
Pay Off Debt when You Can; Enjoy Financial Peace
If you’re in a place financially where you can pay off the debt, just do it. If you hate having 0 payments, more margin, and financial peace … you can always go back.
Samsung Predicts Profit Surge From AI-Driven Memory Price Boom
MyPOV: @Samsung forecasts insane operating profit growth thanks to surging memory prices https://t.co/TtaW3vxXCN @SiliconANGLE @Mike_Wheatley “Nobody could have foreseen the ferocity of AI’s memory appetite, but it’s still a great advertisement for…” - @holgermu @constellationr
Productivity Boom Hidden by Stagflation Benefits Powerful Bureaucracy
My new framework: We are in a productivity boom inside a government sovereign debt bubble that causes geopolitical & demographic issues- these issues mask themselves as stagflationary. In a productivity boom there are massive winners and losers. Passive management doesn’t work well...
Tolls on Iran, Oman, DJT
Well, an Iranian toll -- Or an Iranian, Omani and DJT toll -- Would create a financial incentive to build this alternative export infrastructure for the GCC's oil and (more difficult) gas
Free Edition Highlights Apple, Anthropic,
Today's FREE Edition is out the door 🚪 628: Apple’s Air Traffic Controller Strategy, Anthropic's $30bn ARR + TPU Deal, Meta's Leaderboard, Berkshire Hathaway’s Mountain, Visa, Moody's & S&P Global, Max Life Expectancy, and Andy Weir https://t.co/p5cce4qVGU
Managed Futures Diversify Amid YTD Market Chaos
Carry and trend managed futures strategies hard at work diversifying against the chaos YTD. https://t.co/XvXlGj7r2y
Morning SPY Trim Beats Buying, Lows Offer Opportunities
$spy morning follow up as the first 30 minutes was a better trim/sale vs. buy.. now we have morning lows to use https://t.co/khvYAKig5Y
Purchase Applications Up 1% Weekly, Down 7% YoY
Purchase applicaiton data update +1% week to week -7% year over year First negative YoY print of the year, working off a harder one-week comp https://t.co/RPol0wlsHM
Regulators May Force Anthropic to Go Non‑Profit
So the bear case on Anthropic (equity) is the technology is so good that the government will never allow it to stay a for-profit enterprise?
Russia’s Oil Revenues Surge to War‑Era High
Russia Oil Export Revenues Hit Highest Since Early Ukraine War as Prices Surge, Despite Ukrainian Port Attacks. Trump lifting sanctions gives Putin revenue for Ukraine war. https://t.co/j3gLWruMFo
S&P 500 Jumps 2.1%, Biggest Gap Since Tariff Relief
The $SPX's opening gap today was a massive +2.1% over yesterday's close. That is the biggest bullish gap since May 12th - when the US and China agreed to cut their heavy reciprocal tariffs on each other for 90 days:...
Pullback Complete, Market Turns Bearish – Await Sell Signals
📊 AUDUSD D1 – Trade Update 🔥 The pullback move is complete and our Take Profit has been hit. 🎯📈 📉 Now the market is shifting back into the bearish direction. 🎯 Next Plan: • Wait for selling opportunities • Use lower timeframe confirmation before...
Unclear Market Surge: 78% Upside Opening Detected
One of the strongest openings ever and it's only a 78% upside day at 10:30. "There's something happening here; what it is ain't exactly clear..." UVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per https://t.co/iX5L1DJIjD. See https://t.co/7TpOm9eA5A for explanation.
S&P 500's 200‑day MA Breach Fails to Spark New Highs
That's interesting. In all of these cases the S&P 500 was still in a longer term downtrend and did not make a new ATH following the close above the 200 day MA. https://t.co/THrRmHqWrG
SPY Faces Overhead Resistance at 675, Support 670‑671
Tons of positive exposure above and below spot on $SPY. $675 holds elevated positive exposure and will likely act like a magnet/overhead resistance. Support is at $670/$671. I will not be taking any trades today.
Rapid Profit‑taking Triggers IGV Gap‑up Sell‑off
They were in a hurry to sell that gap up in the software ETF $IGV https://t.co/xXQvWTWqCy
Let Markets Breathe: No Rush on Gap‑Up
Pretty controlled digestion of this large gap up for the first hour. No need to rush in on days like today, let markets breathe and balance out. $QQQ https://t.co/5E2FwCGwMb
Whale's $30M Leveraged Oil Short Nets $4M After Ceasefire
🚨THIS CAN'T BE A COINCIDENCE Just hours before the US-Iran ceasefire, a whale started going heavily short on Oil. He built a $30,000,000 Oil short position with 3x leverage. After that, US-Iran ceasefire was announced, and Oil crashed nearly 25%. In a few hours,...
Iran Ceasefire Sparks Risk‑On Rally, Tech Oversold Gains
Look forward to discussing this risk-on market post the Iran ceasefire news and what this means for the oversold tech sector looking ahead on @CNBCClosingBell at 3:35 pm with @ScottWapnerCNBC @CNBC 🏆🍿📺🎯🐂
Foreign Investors Flee US Treasuries for Low‑Yield Chinese Bonds
Forget US Treasuries, Chinese bonds are the new safe-haven trade Since the start of the war, foreigners have: - Dumped $82B of Treasuries - Piled into panda bonds The math makes sense: - US 10-year yield: 4.4% - China 10-year yield: 1.8% In the midst of the...
Seek Breakout Stocks Amid Ongoing Market Volatility
Oil bulls and doomsday prognosticators getting crushed this morning. Volatility is not likely to subside in the near term. However, your focus should be on individual stocks. Namely, the ones that help up best during the decline. Remember, leaders...
US Oil Faces Largest Daily Drop Since 2011
Though US oil is gradually creeping back up, the daily candle is still sporting its biggest single day drop outside (outside of the negative price fiasco of April 2020) since the market assurances following the Sep 11 attacks (specifically Sep...
610
610 $QQQ solid area for a pause. Most bullish would be to have shallow pullback, base and then through in the upcoming days. Bearish-- anything but that. https://t.co/HHy1Pdz29F
Dollar‑EM Indicator Signals Return to 2010‑13 Weakness
It's the Dollar versus EM that's been the key leading indicator for USD direction and that's now tumbling (black). We're in a new regime for the Dollar and are going back to the 2010-2013 period, when Dollar weakness was primarily...
US Crude Stocks Rise 3.1 Mb, Diesel Demand Flagged
EIA: US commercial crude oil inventories increased by 3.1 mb to 464.7 mb. Products declined. Watch diesel ... diesel., diesel. https://t.co/1mveIh80Nu
Nasdaq Gap up Hits 2025 Resistance, Potential Squeeze Ahead
$COMPQX Daily. Hard gap up on news to a prior resistance level from late-September 2025 (~22,800) for Nasdaq. This *should* offer resistance/supply in coming weeks, though bulls expect a runaway squeeze https://t.co/79vseR2YoS
23
23BN of inelastic buying keeping us in stall. Will it be enough to rip the close?
VOO & Chill: Simple, Peaceful Path to Top Returns
Def surreal to hear it said like that, but this is why VOO & Chill is America's #1 investment strategy. It worked yet again as mkt up big today. Much more peaceful and profitable existence vs worrying/overthinking something that really...
Shock‑Driven Episodes Trigger Major RANd Capital Shifts
What Lesetja Kganyago describes here as the structural mechanism, '𝗵𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝘀 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲 𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗻𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗹 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀, 𝗰𝗮𝗽𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗳𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝗻 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗼𝘂𝘁, 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗿𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗶𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲'. That part is always true, it is textbook stuff. But every...
Rokid Targets Hong Kong IPO for AI Glasses
Chinese AI glasses maker Rokid planning Hong Kong IPO: sources | South China Morning Post https://t.co/rl1YQ27ki8
Tesla's Bounce Is Relief, Not a Buying Signal
📺 IS $TSLA BOTTOMED? TIME TO BUY? #Tesla is bouncing today, but this isn’t a confirmed bottom—it’s a classic broken bounce. While $TSLA may push slightly higher in the short term, the broader trend remains weak. Strong stocks like $SNDK, for...
All Major Assets Surge Above 20-Day EMA
everybody is happy again 😀 stocks, gold, bonds & bitcoin all > 20-day EMAs... https://t.co/2H6RCwkIx0
Dollar Set to Tumble, Weakness Through 2026
The Dollar is tumbling as I forecast in my posts predicting a ceasefire. USD will now unwind all its rise from the past month, which was entirely due to short-term safe haven flows that'll now reverse. We're back to Dollar...
Standex Peaks at $270.98; Trim Into Strength
Macro: Standex hits $270.98 ATH; +91% Y/Y. Key: EPS & rev beats, 56y dividend, datacenter-led capacity expansion. Risk: valuation stretched. Trade insight: trim into strength. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Only One State Faces Iran-Driven Electricity Hike
Most Americans Won’t See Electricity Prices Rise Because of Iran. This State Will. #energysky -- via Heatmap News https://t.co/gu4pNy9g1B https://t.co/vaUovVpRUC
Central Banks Buying Gold Aggressively; Follow with Monthly Purchases
PBoC bought 5 tonnes of #gold last month, the biggest purchase since Feb '25 and now 17 consecutive months. CBs as a group continue to be aggressive net buyers. This includes new and inactive ones. We should follow suit. You can even...
Simple MA Strategy Delivers a Small Fortune
Dumped a few names scooped last week Kept it simple waiting for that > 8 MA close rather than thinking low was in all way down Simple works Waking up at a place like this up a small fortune is always nice 😊...
UCAR Shows Suspicious 0
And there it is $UCAR .5x's to $1.4x's - sick trap 🔥 Be safe after this - clearly a rig.