Bullish Cup‑Handle Signals Intrepid Potash Breakout Above $45.50
$IPI Daily. Cockeyed bullish cup and handle setup for Intrepid Potash in context of uptrend, as fertilizer issues figure to persist via Strait of Hormuz. Long setup for next week above $45.50. https://t.co/vLPTlUXggm
10‑Year Yield
Another big development last week was that the 10-year Treasury yield rose sharply to 4.48%. The chart below shows that the yield has continued to coil in a large triangle, and could be on the verge of a break-out. Meanwhile,...
China to Curb Gas Power, Replace LNG with Coal, Renewables
China’s exposure to the loss of Middle East LNG China will likely reduce its liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports in response to the loss of supplies from the Middle East and higher spot prices mostly by curbing gas-fired power generation and...
Renting Cushing WTI Barrel Yields 25% Monthly Return
Prompt WTI timespreads today hit a record high of $15/bbl If you've currently got a barrel of physical WTI-deliverable crude in the Cushing area, you can *rent* said barrel to the market for the next two and a half weeks and...
Europe Gas Rises on Middle East Risks; US Prices Fall
European natural gas prices (TTF) are up 6% to about $17/mmbtu on fears that a prolonged disruption in the Middle East will curb supply 🇪🇺 US gas prices (Henry Hub) are down nearly 1% to $2.8/mmbtu as shale production keeps...
Buying Opposite‑direction Short Options = Long Volatility
Q: if you buy short-dated calls after sharp sell offs and buy short-dated puts after rips, are you effectively long or short vol? Asking for a friend :-)
SPX Rallies but Remains Under 20‑day Bearish Trend
We have some whiplash on time frames: the $SPX closed out its worst month in 12, we had the best single-day rally in 10 months Tuesday and the week is currently on pace to be the strongest in 17. All...
TACO Market Delays Pain, Recovery Expected by July
Feels like the market shifting of the goalposts on TACO is "Even if April will be bad, it'll be fine by July."
Big Money Finds $40 Comfortable for Nike Stock
$40 appears to be the level big money is comfy buying the dog $NKE (minus the premium raised via the put sales)
Oil Price Drop Pulls BATL Lower; Follow the Trend
When Oil $USO goes down, $BATL and its cohorts really trend down. The trend is your friend. #tradingstrategy #TradingCommunity https://t.co/dviMcfgDWp
SPY Holds at 645, Most #630Club Picks Turn Green
$spy $645 held and most names we went over in the #630club went green. Nice tactical morning. Cooler heads prevail
Take Profits, Surf, Then Re‑enter Before 3 Pm Rally
Probably should sell what I bought on the open for a fat gain, go surf for a few hours and come back to buy back in before the 3pm peace rally…
WTI Backwardation Spikes, Shale Hedging Options Remain Limited
CHART OF THE DAY: The extreme backwardation in WTI oil futures, and the impact on (lack of) hedging opportunities for US shale for 2027-28. While the front of the curve has exploded (+$44 a barrel), the back (24 months out...
Trade with a Plan, Not a Marriage—Use Stops
If you are a short-term trader, have a plan, but don't marry it. Markets are dynamic — let new info change your view (price). When you're in a hole, stop digging. The second emotion creeps in, put in physical stops,...
Iran War and Hormuz Blockade: A Marathon, Not Sprint
"Pace yourself. The Iran War and Hormuz closure is a marathon, not a sprint." https://t.co/BU5JGk7A7w
Key ICT Imbalance and Price Range Indicators Explained
BASIC arrays of ICT 📊 FVG+ 📊 VI- volume imbance 📊 IFVG-inversion fvg📊 SIBI- Selling imbalance📊 BISI- Buyside Imbalance📊 BPR - Balance Price Range📊 CE- Consequent Encroachment 📊
Fed’s Reserve Policies Shield Wall Street, Fuel Inflation
It prevents fed funds cuts, props up Wall Street, props up inflation, all because the Repo Gang of Four won't deal with uneven distribution of reserves.
Tech ETFs Show Broad Bearish Trend Across All Timeframes
technology $XLK stocks vs. S&P 500 $SPX on 4-time frames (all are bearish)... #SectorWatch top right: 8/20EMA top left: 20EMA/50SMA bottom left: 50/200SMA bottom right: 13/34-week EMA https://t.co/1szqnbsHfz
BWET Posts 1,000%+ Return, Rare Non‑leveraged ETF Miracle
$BWET has done it. Has a 1yr return of over 1000%, which I'm almost certain is the first time a non-leveraged ETF hit quadruple-digit returns in the range of one year. Perhaps even more amazing it only has $50m in...
Iran War Prep, UK Drift, China Gains: US Crisis
Devastating frontpage for America. 1/ Iran preparing for prolonged war 2/ UK leaning away from US alliance 3/ strength in China's bond market due to the Iran war What a disaster. https://t.co/XMURlfO7uv
Manual Vs. Hawk Algo: Conflicting Signals Prompt Tuning
This is a tough call... My manual process says these are sold to open Hawk Algo logic which has been refined many times says bought, so think will need to tweak more Alternative pricing methods are mixed https://t.co/fkZFK0A8Dn
5‑Day MA Determines SPY 30‑Min Direction
30-min $SPY POSSIBLE road map with the 5-day ma being the key. Downtrend, gap up above the 5-day; gap down that holds the 5-day; then the key is whether the 5-day holds and acts as support. https://t.co/G6fBqhbGMy
CFA Tag Reveals Client Ignorance on WTI‑Brent
If you manage outside money, put the letters “CFA” at the end of your social media name, and today you are asking “Why is WTI trading above Brent?,” I’m afraid your clients have a problem.
TRACE Reloaded Reveals Hidden Pressure Behind S&P 500 Moves
There’s a code behind today’s market, and you’re ready to see it. The TRACE Reloaded event on April 9th uncovers the hidden pressure driving support, resistance, and volatility in the S&P 500, with more precision than ever before: https://t.co/hA4hvasgi0
SPY Bounces Near 5-Day MA, Market Uncertain
So we got the first half-hour bounce, the $SPY BOUNCED near the 5-day ma. Now what? https://t.co/Ya4nZJd5CG
Iran Turns Hormuz Passage Into Paid ‘Peace’ Toll
Iran’s ‘Tollbooth’ Tightens Grip on Hormuz as Ships Offered Safe Passage—For a Price. Will this be the “peace” of the war? https://t.co/cD3EleDx1i
Delaying Coal Closures Risks Higher Prices and Unreliability
“It’s a risky strategy:” Why delaying coal closures may backfire on price and reliability #energysky -- via Renew Economy: https://t.co/HYRCRQ04NT https://t.co/I4f2Ny9CkJ
Key Support Holds: Buy Dips or Expect Lower
📺 IF THESE STOCKS FAIL, NEW LOWS ARE NEXT In a weak market, focus shifts to relative strength. Names like $FSLY, $LITE, $SNDK, and $WDC led the last move, but now the real test is the pullback. If these stocks hold...
Magic Formula Reveals Top 50 High‑Cap Value Picks
Now that most companies reported, lets run Greenblatt's Magic Formula and check what companies it returns. I regularly find quite a few interesting ones. These are the top 50 stocks that the formula churned out, based on a market cap of >$50m...
No Missed Deals; Market Prices Too High to Buy
There hasn’t been a deal we’ve passed on this year where the broker believed we were making a mistake by not pursuing. With rare exception, it’s very much an “I wouldn’t buy it at this price either” kind of market.
Erdoğan Warns War Extension Could Spark Regional Conflict
#TurkeyWatch 🇹🇷: President Erdoğan warned prolonging the war risks triggering a broader regional conflict, saying any new fronts would serve Israel’s “bloody strategy,” and vowed Turkey will act “without hesitation” to ensure peace. https://t.co/dy6Disl4Q7
War's Continuation Could Keep 10‑Year Rate Near 5
Thoughts? Certainly could happen but 10 yr could also be close to 5% if this war still rages
Retail Traders Dump Speculative Assets After October Peaks
IT’S SO OVER -Retail traders have been piling into $SQQQ (3x short Nasdaq 100) and $SGOV (cash) over the past two days -Call volumes traded peaked in October -Pretty much every speculative asset of note peaked in October https://t.co/ruhoAuTrha https://t.co/OAqKObkeTF
Market Bounces, Now Awaiting Next Setup
Market gave a two day bounce to work off oversold. Now we sit and wait for the next setup or go play and take a four day weekend.
Buy NDX if SpaceX IPO Gets Canceled
Here's a simple signal that will work great. Buy NDX when SpaceX cancels its IPO. https://t.co/RUszD8xRxZ
Gap Down? Short Traders Can Lock Profits
We walk into a gap down day. Gap downs offer an opportunity if short to take some profits out of the market and adjust stops.
WTI Crude Hits Highest Level Since Early War Melt‑Up
WTI crude just absolutely sending it. The US crude benchmark is now at its highest level since that melt-up we got on the second Monday of the war. https://t.co/4hONtQf997
Trump’s Policies Engineered Massive Oil Spike and Recession
To @anasalhajji ‘s point, you’d be hard pressed to engineer a more perfect recipe for a major sustained spike in crude & products, with accompanying global recession and market crash, than what Trump’s crew has unleashed. The 12-D chess of...
Airlines Scramble as Jet Fuel Scarcity Hits Markets
New Episode: For aviation, a “No Jet Fuel Left” reality is around the corner in several markets, as airlines try to outbid each other for the little Jet A-1 fuel remaining. 🛢️ Here’s what’s happening 👇🏽🎧 #OnAir (available on all...
Tesla Misses Q1 Delivery Targets, Tests 370 Support
$TSLA trying to bounce off $365 after numbers Expecting the 370-71 area to be telling fi it retests. https://t.co/WPU5fwQ0Hg
Iran Risk Unpriced Despite Trump's Stone Age Threat
Pretty simple, the fundamentals go like this: "Iran will be sent back to the Stone Age, where they belong." Trump, last night. Me, on repeat: Iran Risk Is Not Priced In https://t.co/pIYOLN90wD
Oil Prompt Spread Hits Record Backwardation
Look at that backwardation...prompt spread (difference between the front-month oil futures contract and the subsequent contract) blowing out to records https://t.co/KBfkkpr9IC
NBIS Target Cut to $215 Amid Financing Doubts
The perma bull on $NBIS cutting their Price tgt to $215 and making a sly comment "We continue to believe that NBIS is innovating faster on the software front relative to other AIaaS peers, but we are slightly incrementally concerned...
20‑day MA Below 200‑day Signals Confirmed Downtrend
$SPY - It doesn't need to be overly complicated but a 20 day MA crossing below the 200 day ma is just a very simple downtrend confirmation. FYI - Downtrends are not bullish developments. https://t.co/NuNLLKNEHD
Embrace Market Downturns: They Fuel Future Upside
The stock market goes down roughly once every four years, on average, and bear markets are a regular occurrence. Investors should embrace this risk because without the left side of this chart (downside) there would be no right side (upside)....
Admin Plans Iran Exit Despite $4+ Gas Surge
With the apparent TACO yesterday, the administration is saying we will wind down our involvement in Iran without figuring out how to work through the disruption leading to $4+ gas prices in the USA? @EnergyEmpirePod https://t.co/N9KbLRP829
SoFi Remains Strong Amid Geopolitical Turmoil, Bullish Long-Term
$SOFI platform continues to get stronger despite IRAN conflict puking all over equities. Short term is extremely volatile for the entire market but hard not to be long term bullish on this company. 💪🏻
OPEC Warns Oil Demand Forecasts Miss Rising ICE Sales
OPEC researchers raise a very important point here. A major oversight in forecasts predicting a sharp drop in oil demand from rising EV adoption is the failure to account for the ongoing growth in internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. Ironically,...
Insiders Buy €3M Kontron as Shares Dip
German Kontron $KTN shares recently dropped on poor results, mainly due to slow Q4 bookings and weak 2026 guidance. Insiders seem happy with the move and bought almost €3m worth of shares. ~6x forward EV/EBITDA, multi-bn order backlog, AI +...
Missed Millionaire: Investing in Reliance Beats LIC
Reliance was ₹1 in 2002, Today it is ₹1,450 If your father had put his full salary ₹10,000 in Reliance that time, today you would have ₹17.6 LAKH CRORE. Instead he bought LIC Policy Salary wala mindset. 😔