Figure Weighs SPAC Revival for Triple‑dip Gains
Should Figure run a SPAC? “The goal here is to triple dip. We can make money for Figure shareholders on the SPAC economics, we drive more usage on the Figure ecosystem and we get another listing on OPEN.” 🤔 maybe they should do 10…
Buy the Price‑value Gap, Not the Hype
Investors spend years trying to predict which businesses will transform industries. Graham spent his career not caring about that at all. He wasn't buying stories. He was buying the gap between price and provable value. Stories change. Spreadsheets don't lie.
When Markets Pause, Undisciplined Traders Err Most
The market just ran a sprint. Now it's catching its breath. And that's exactly when undisciplined traders make their worst decisions.
Metro Home Prices Diverge: Winners and Losers Nationwide
Chart: Year-over-year shift in home prices across the 50 largest metro area housing markets Where do you think home prices in your local housing market head next? Take the @_TurboHome-ResiClub Housing Sentiment Survey: https://t.co/x319m6NQxc
Starbucks Beats Forecasts, Shows Ste
$SBUX: “Back to SBUX” strategy working w a nice beat/raise against fairly high expectations. Total SSS +6.2% w US +7.1% - whisper was 6%. Intl & China also beat. OM at 9.4% vs. 8.2% y/y - showing gradual improvement. EPS...
Use Hedges as Safety Nets During Sector Pullbacks
$qqq also held the 8day at first kiss. They usually do. P.S having some hedges when sectors are very extended from the 8day helps when they pullback to them. https://t.co/5QJoDcmDyo
Strong Sectors Typically Sustain Early 8‑day Rallies
$smh almost missed the 8day. The strongest sectors usually hold them. At least at first kiss. https://t.co/8YNoTpWAjk
Diminishing Participation Signals Bearish Divergence and Low Volume
SPY: Stock participation has deteriorated over the last days, creating a bearish divergence similar to those that preceded healthy pullbacks last year. What makes this occurrence particularly intriguing is the vanishing volume, adding a layer of divergence and caution. #SPX
RSI Soars 123% Amid Industry Decline
Including an after-hours spike following increased revenue guidance projections, $RSI stock is now up more than 123% in the past 12 months; Rush Street's growth comes as most other digital operators have seen significant drops
Starbucks Lifts Same‑store Sales Target to 5%+
Starbucks raised its expectations for same-store sales this year to 5% or better globally and in the U.S. $SBUX
Starbucks Forecasts Lower Tariffs, Coffee Costs Later 2024
Starbucks expects tariffs and coffee prices to ease in the back half of this year. $SBUX
Starbucks' Top 10 International Markets Finally Post Positive Same‑Store Sales
All 10 of Starbucks' 10 largest international markets generated positive same-store sales for the first time in nine quarters last period. $SBUX
Starbucks Margins Rise Thanks to Growth and Cost Discipline
Starbucks margins are up "We have more work to do, but we're pleased to see the combination of our comp growth and cost discipline starting to show up in margins" - CFO https://t.co/9xXd09aYXO
Airport Traffic Boosts Starbucks Licensed Same‑store Sales
Strong airport demand led to improving same-store sales in the Starbucks licensed business last quarter. $SBUX
Visa's Double-Digit Growth Fuels $7.9B Buyback
Visa continues to be a beautiful compounder with Strong double-digit growth & did $7.9B in buybacks $V
CEO Buys 6.9K Shares, Signaling No M&A Imminent
$CHTR President and CEO Christopher Winfrey discloses purchase of 6.9K shares So I guess no M&A imminent. 🧐
Visa Posts Double‑digit Earnings Growth and $20B Buyback
$V Q2’26 EARNINGS up 4% everyone • Revenue $11.23B vs $10.74B ✅ • Adj EPS $3.31 vs $3.10 ✅ • Payments Volume +9% • Cross-Border +12% • Transactions 66.1B vs 66.39B ⚠️ Highlights: • Strong double-digit growth (+17% rev, +20% EPS) • Cross-border still leading (high-margin driver) •...
Precious Metals Near Oversold, Rebound Likely Soon
The precious metals complex remains firmly in an uptrend and is now approaching oversold levels, a condition that often signals a rebound is near.
AI Flags Hidden Related‑Party Risk in TOYO’s Revenue
AI is great for assessing risk. Since I'm generally a half glass full investor, I find this really helpful. Related party risk is one we used to look for when @GeoInvesting was writing short reports. So, it's a risk I...
Defying OPEC Quotas Invites Invasion, UAE Demands Guarantees
Probably worth reminding that the last time a gulf state defied opec quotas in the context of damages from a wider regional war with Iran, it also got invaded. Context was that after the Iran–Iraq War, Iraq was heavily indebted and...
HOOD Misses
$HOOD Q1 EARNINGS down -6% everyone • Revenue $1.07B vs Est. $1.14B ❌ • EPS $0.38 vs Est. $0.39 ❌ • Net Income $346M vs Est. $354M ❌ • Total Platform Assets: $307B (+39% YoY) ✅ • Gold Subscribers: 4.3M (+36% YoY) ✅ • ARPU:...
UAE Exits OPEC After Six Decades, Reshaping Oil Market
JUST IN: The UAE has left OPEC after 59 years. Oil will never be the same. Here's what's happening and why it matters:
Starbucks Comps Surge 6.2% on Transaction Growth
Starbucks global comps up 6.2%, "led by transaction growth." North America/U.S. up 7.1%, including 4.3% transaction growth. That's the best result since 2023. The company is crediting its new "green apron" service model. Revenues up 8.8% to $9.5B. EPS 45...
Blockade Leaves Hundreds of Ships Stalled, Hurting Trade
US Central Command. With blockade, the number of ships stuck at Chah Bahar port. The impact on trade and the economy.
UAE Exit Leaves OPEC with Minimal Market Power
With the UAE exit, OPEC has officially lost most influence it still had over global oil markets... Full analysis available exclusively for Analyst Tier members on Patreon ➡️ https://t.co/Es6KeSByiI #opec #crudeoil #geopolitics https://t.co/UIfE0geRBI
Tech's “Cats and Dogs” Rally to New Recovery Highs
Even the “cats and dogs” within the tech space are stirring again, making new recovery highs last week as they rallied out of a holding pattern. https://t.co/YVhrMqi5WA
Gold Remains Bullish Long‑Term, Yet Near‑Term Risks Loom
GS: Structurally Bullish Gold, Tactically Cautious Near‑Term Risks Skew to the Downside, With Gold Still Vulnerable to Liquidation If Hormuz Disruptions Persist https://t.co/jO5rDjhspl
May RBOB Hits $3.57; June Settles
May RBOB soared to $3.57 today, but June will soon be the prompt.. it's 13 cents lower https://t.co/FFrAdC596l
Cheap Chinese Property, But Capital Controls Trap Returns
I'd say "Now is the time to buy some cheap Chinese real estate", except you shouldn't. China has capital controls, meaning that even if prices go back up, you won't be able to get your money out of the country.
China Maintains Oil Imports Amid US‑Israeli Conflict
Since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran, China has not drawn been forced to draw down its inventories of oil. China has obviously been able to import oil at a normal pace. CHINA IS WINNING. https://t.co/Wg0kqvLybI
Survey Flags High Credit Risk, yet IG Spreads Stay Low
In @steveliesman FOMC survey, 70% of respondents labeled systemic credit risk as "extremely elevated or "somewhat elevated." How can you possibly square that with IG credit spreads 80bps in the bottom quintile? https://t.co/1lJyASMnM1
Biotech Hits Jan 2026 High; Bulls Must Curl
Biotech back to the January 2026 high. Bulls need a curl here… or risk getting trapped back in the range. $XBI https://t.co/cfcXch5jD4
DCBO's AI Pivot May Justify Tender Valuation
Anyone follow $DCBO, a SaaS casualty? Saw that management is saying it's actually an AI beneficiary (via recent integrations). Given the current estimates, valuation seems decent. $74 M in cash, but putting $60 M toward a tender above...
Mortgage Rates Dip, Spread Widens to 202 Bps
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today: 6.38% Same day last year: 6.82% -------------------- 10-year Treasury yield today: 4.36% Spread today: 202 bps
Today's TICK Hits Low -605, High 395: Quiet Market
Low TICK today just -605 and high of 395, one of the quietest days in a long time
Strategic Low Pricing Fuels Two‑Week SF Contracts
Most properties get into contract within two weeks in San Francisco. The market is really hot right now, but this is also about properties being priced strategically low to generate multiple offers to get into contract quickly. Any thoughts? https://t.co/B899f4lZ1d
Ibotta Is Actually a B2B Ad‑Tech Platform
Day 14 of 30: How $IBTA Ibotta actually makes money (which one should I do next?) Most people think it's a consumer cashback app It's not. It's a B2B ad-tech company that uses cashback as the user-acquisition wrapper And the latest earnings exposed the...
Oil Bulls Snap Up $55 Brent Calls Amid Rising Prices
Brent Oil (BNO) buyer 2000 May 22nd (W) $55 calls $4.30 as Oil stays bid
Roth MKM Sticks to $108 ASTS Target, 40% Upside
Despite recent challenges, Roth MKM Reiterated its $108 Price Target for $ASTS 40% Upside. Are they right?
Philippines Dividend Yield Hits Record, JP Morgan to Index Bonds
The Philippines' stock market is so depressed that its dividend yield is back to Lehman collapse levels. At 3.22%, the country's dividend yield is now more than two percentage points higher than the US, marking a record in a multi-decade...
HSAs: Tax‑Free Growth, Lifetime Benefits, Retirement Flexibility
Why we love Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) in 2026: 1️⃣ Tax-deductible contributions (lower your taxable income) 2️⃣ Tax-free investment growth 3️⃣ Tax-free withdrawals for medical bills 4️⃣ Your balance never expires and stays with you if you change jobs. 5️⃣ At age...
Hormuz Insurance Remains Critical Amid Global Energy Turmoil
⭕️UAE Exits OPEC: Implications for Global Oil Markets ⭕️Oil & LNG Tankers Transit Hormuz: What About Insurance? ⭕️The Media Hype Around Iran’s Oil Storage Situation ⭕️Aramco OSPs: Will They Lower the Premium? ⭕️Malacca Strait: The Next Flashpoint? ⭕️EU Jet Fuel Crisis: One Among Many ⭕️Vietnam to...
Oil Cartel Shows Serious Cracks, Says Geoffrey
Geoffrey has written abundantly on this topic for clients: that the Oil cartel had cracks - serious cracks. #UAE #OPEC https://t.co/WNKTZOV734
Private‑Equity ETFs Still Carry Excessive Fees
Seems like every day, a new ETF/CEF/interval fund focused on private equity or VC is being launched. Why doesn't someone do it for a <1% fee? Why do they all have to be 2%, 3%, 4%, or 5% in annual fees? Honestly,...
Energy Price Surge Triggers Unexpected Water Shortage
Oops. I was told this could never happen either. Don’t blame it on droughts. This is a second-order effect of the surge in energy prices. https://t.co/ebPms2fHjQ https://t.co/dA0xFI38wY
Treasury Warns Banks: Chinese Refineries Buying Iranian Oil Risk Sanctions
US Treasury publishes an "alert," warning banks about the sanctions risks of dealing with independent Chinese oil refineries ('teapot') due to their purchases of Iranian oil. (I have my doubts about the efficiency of the alert, considering yuan-based payment for Iranian...
Three Momentum Buy Signals: DDOG, RBRK, DUOL
Can't believe I'm going to post bullish ideas in software land, but here we go. Three fresh buy signals recently hit our momentum model. In this video, I break down the setups in $DDOG, $RBRK, and $DUOL and what we're looking...
Passive Ownership Shifts Mirror Stock Performance Trends
Everyone is always talking about passive's impact on the market -- its definitely having some impact. We looked at US stocks with rising & falling passive ownership % over last 3 years. The trend speaks for itself. Though there's obviously...
Sell‑in‑May Myth Fading as Markets Stay Bullish
It may be time to retire "Sell in May" forever.. "It made sense when 19th-century London's moneyed elite swapped trading floors for summer estates -- but 21st-century algo-driven markets that never sleep have undone that adage. The S&P 500...
Avoid Holding Trades Through Earnings; Let Them Ride
I don't hold trades into earnings reports. It is 50-50 at best. I will hold let it rides as they have lots of cushion and can handle pullbacks. I do own many names that are reporting this week. ...