Markets closed today… which means PERFECT time to prepare and talk about the week ahead The traders who win this week are already preparing today. ⏰ Join us LIVE at 8:45AM ET Learn. Prepare. Trade. Because the market rewards the prepared 👇 https://t.co/m6ZWYcjupv
Via the Financial Times: My thoughts on why US "jobless growth" may have entered uncharted territory. The decoupling of US growth from employment looks more persistent—and consequential—than the three previous episodes we've seen over the last 40 years: https://www.ft.com/content/298a38bb-4cc1-44f3-bd62-6aff25d58b94 #economy #jobs #employment #unemployment #growth...
Hedge fund portfolios are being shaped by the shift from banks, multi-manager scale, and public/private convergence. Bobby Jain (CEO/CIO, Jain Global) on launching a $6B multi-strat, talent & risk management, and portfolio construction. https://t.co/BfZsVcl2vY With thanks to @AlphaSenseInc, @MorningstarInc, and Ridgeline.
One of the under-reported stories in DM fiscal discourse is that for all the talk about how treasuries in the UK, US, France etc 'want' lower rates, they also want, and desperately, need high(er) inflation and the nominal tax revenue...
BOUGHT £3000 worth of #GRI Grainger at 192p for my Income Portfolio. Already held some and doubled the position. Play on population growth and lack of house building. ShareScope showing fwd Dividend Yield 4.6% rising to 4.9%.... DYOR

US and China's mainland markets are closed today. The FX market is calmer and most G10 currencies are little changed. $JPY is the notable exception as disappointing data weighs on it. See https://t.co/cyTShaySWO https://t.co/ZB9uMP7xUC

Asia stocks headed for long CNY break. •Those that traded today did reasonably well, incl HK which opened half day. •Volume, not surprisingly, is light. •Most mkts will close for 2 days, China whole week. HK reopens Friday. •Japan, India...

U.S. GAS futures prices have retreated to the lowest for almost four months after spiking during Winter Storm Fern. Front-month futures have fallen back to just $3 per million British thermal units (the lowest since mid-October). The front month has...
Meanwhile Chamath Palihapitiya’s SPAC track record - Chamath became the face of the SPAC boom through his Social Capital Hedosophia deals. Their performance since? • $SPCE: −95% • $OPEN: −98% • $CLOV: −90% • $SOFI: −45% • $AKLI: −95% •...
Another light news day. #CREI done a useful acquisition of a Family Office portfolio. Apart from that not much going on (I don't hold CREI).
#BKS Update mixed really. Lots of positive stuff but Cash down and H1 Revenue light. The high p/e it used to sit on is 'normalising'. Lot to like but perhaps it can go lower. I don't hold.

bbaviation7 had an exclusive interview with Nakul Gupta, Vice President Sales and General Manager for Asia Pacific at GE Aerospace, where he shares what’s driving the rapid growth of aviation across the region from his perspective. We talk about how his...
COLUMN: In the oil market, the bears control the narrative — at least for now. (My summary after last week's International Energy Week, the oil trading industry's annual jamboree in London) @Opinion https://t.co/Y3OHEhD4k5
GAS MARKET: After a cold blast triggered sild price moves, US gas benchmark Henry Hub has fallen back below $3 per mBtu. Warmer temperatures and the irresistible supply force of the US shale revolution behind the pullback.
🚨Global equities 'SELL SIGNAL' was triggered for the 7th month STRAIGHT: Institutional investors' cash as a share of assets fell to 3.2% in January, the lowest EVER. Cash allocations at or below 4% indicate a SELL SIGNAL for world stocks.👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-stocks-ended-the-week-mixed-after-a-powerful-rebound-on-friday-weekly-market-recap-trading-week-0
Flat Index Masks Hidden Chaos A guest contribution post by our partners at SpotGamma https://t.co/XlP50y4c9B
Did Tencent’s New DBS and Tesla Tie-Ups Just Shift Tencent Holdings' Investment Narrative? ...deepened partnership with Tesla to embed WeChat-based services into in-car systems, moves show Tencent extending fintech and digital services reach.... https://t.co/6YRPhuqdKi

Unless and until NQ can consolidate above 26,800 there is a distinct possibility (50% Bayesian view) that this chart displays classic Wyckoff distribution For me the jury is still undecided @NQ_F $QQQ https://t.co/NdTFclpl7U

Whatever the difference between the US and China may be and however you evaluate it, it isn’t in “financialization”, at least not as measured by the share of finance in GDP (h/t twitter account of devarbol for this graph). More...
dailyanalysts 🚨 WEEK AHEAD ALERT: Feb 16-21 🚨 Three catalysts could define your portfolio's Q1. Markets closed Monday for Presidents' Day, but Tuesday through Friday is packed with market-moving data. S&P 500 is flat YTD. Nasdaq down 3%. Consumer confidence at DECADE LOWS. Here's...
The S&P 500 may appear calm on the surface, yet index-stock dispersion has increased dramatically and SPX has now slipped below the critical 6,900 level. With put skew rising and VIX expiration ahead, volatility risk is building. Read our latest...

We have the potential to see a large portion of S&P 500 companies out perform in 2026. With the top 10 stocks making up around 40% of the index, even a slight pullback in tech would make this quite easy.

What's on tap for the week ahead? An increased frequency of volatility meets a holiday liquidity gap, while a run of event risk weighs in on the steadily deflating US premium. https://t.co/17IH2lFIn0 https://t.co/AlKhX25xxn

There were a record 76 companies that increased dividends last week 33 of these companies have also managed to increase dividends for at least a decade The companies include:
#AIM All Share Doji Candle. Resistance 822, 837. Support 801, 775, 755. RSI 57 near Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish. Doji on Weekly. Top Bollinger Band 822. Midpoint Line 813. Bottom Band 804.
#FTSE250 needs Breakout 23585. Doji going sideways. Support 22816, 22226. RSI 62 not high. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish. Small Up Candle on Weekly and Sideways. Top Bollinger Band 23547. Midpoint Line 23330. Bottom Band 23118.
#FTSE100 doji Candle near ATH 10536. Support 10232, 10050. RSI 73.5 Overbought. Doji on Weekly. Top Bollinger Band 10480. Midpoint Line 10378. Bottom Band 10278.
#DAX doji Candle and Sideways. Resistance ATH 25508. Support 24272, 23924. On verge MACD Bull Cross. RSI 53 near Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish. Doji on Weekly and Sideways. Top Bollinger Band 25113. Midpoint Line 24800. Bottom Band 24500.
If all you knew was that semis were up double digits, you'd never expect tech to be this weak. It is like tech is being split into two groups, the stuff that goes up and the stuff that goes down.

Get my newsletter Tuesday morning: https://t.co/dSU3TT2kZX Busy week coming with GDP, Core PCE, FOMC Minutes $PANW $ADI $WMT $DE https://t.co/7mNeUbi7R9
**Reminder: Markets Closed tomorrow in observance of Presidents Day Weekly Technical Outlook Webinar will be on Tuesday at 8:30am ET Interactive Session: https://t.co/EpyXNC6zVR Live Stream on YouTube: https://t.co/iiptWpNEz9

My periodic reminder that the US TIC data doesn't measure China's holdings of US Treasuries. It only measures China's holdings of Treasuries in US custodians. The real question is how many Treasuries Chinese entities hold in non US...

US employment costs rose 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025, just under forecasts of 0.8%, and the lowest level since Q2 2021.

Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: 1. Tech stocks (particularly software) remain under pressure. 2. Investor exposure to tech is at historically elevated levels. 3. Surging tech capex is coming at the cost of buybacks. 4. Private equity stocks are also coming under...

East Asia has labour-market gender gaps comparable to those in Europe and North America. Sub-Saharan Africa is also surprisingly similar (in the formal labour market). MENA and South Asia have massive gender segregation and LatAm and Carib are surprisingly in-between....
Would you buy a $900K strip mall with 2 vacant units? Today it cash flows ~$5K/month. Want the breakdown? Comment $ and I’ll send it over
The share of people 25 to 39 years old making annual transfers to investment accounts more than **tripled** between 2013 and 2023 to 14.4 percent, outpacing increases for those 40 and over -- JPMorgan Chase Institute https://t.co/gcJCu02dAu @WSJmarkets

SPX 0DTE set a record at 70.5% percent of total SPX volume on 2/11. https://t.co/Mt3ulp1iSt

https://t.co/5Dz4e0JITs Baillie Gifford backs CoStar in activist battle Perhaps unnamed Baillie Gifford rep should look at the 5 year chart. Hard to see “repeatedly demonstrated” value creation over past 5 years. Happy to take your call so you can...
A $12B rare earth stockpile is a step in the right direction, but buying from China on the open market isn’t independence; it’s a piggy bank with a very fragile supply chain. Until we build domestic processing, this is a...

Just complete global domination from Israeli stocks ever since October 2023. New all-time highs once again this week. https://t.co/noTTZ7CotJ
This isn’t a victory lap, and it isn’t a doom story. The U.S. economy is closer to a soft landing than it’s been in some time, and there are real risks that could undo it from multiple directions. I try...

ECB President Christine Lagarde says creating incentives for investments in Europe is a better approach to prevent capital outflows to other regions than imposing taxes https://t.co/ULSkU54mw5 via @Rauwald @mcnienaber https://t.co/KxLtLZqWrp

The ECB will raise interest rates at least once this year, significantly boosting the euro against the dollar, according to Capital Group, the $3.3 trillion asset manager https://t.co/CFxgbQlz0Q via @Sujata_markets https://t.co/6EBSHD6SYI
Egypt expects electricity demand to increase by 7% this summer. That means strong demand for LNG imports. Egypt's LNG demand reached record high last year. 👇👇

81 percent of employment worldwide that is linked to trade in goods and services is in Europe and Asia. Globalization is a eurasian story. Chartbook 433 just dropped. Check it out. https://t.co/jq1gYjLP4X https://t.co/I3iRrM8XEN

Why smart people say that exports “contribute” to China’s growth rather than “driving” it: almost all the time, growth in consumption is, in fact, a bigger contributor. More at today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/NNNTMiyj6N

There's lots of commentary that US inflation will overheat, but there's no sign of that. My proxy for core services inflation was very well behaved in all of 2025 (purple) and the Jan. '26 data point (pink) was much more...

Hedgeye's Models vs. The Fed Reminder on the Hedgeye Nowcast for SLOWING US Inflation (which drove Bond Yields lower and Gold higher late this wk) Our monthly inflation nowcast is a weekly publication which augments our existing quarterly nowcast by offering a...
Credit almost always leads to people spending more. From Airbnb's Q4 earnings: "Reserve Now, Pay Later saw significant adoption among eligible guests in Q4. It's also led to longer booking lead times and a mix shift towards larger entire homes, especially those...