Geopolitical Risk Dominates S&P 500 10‑K Disclosures
I analyzed fifty S&P 500 10-Ks. The data is wild. I scanned for 8 risk themes: tariffs, war, geopolitical risk, oil/energy, sanctions, supply chain, interest rates, and recession. Morgan Stanley has 221 mentions of geopolitical risk. Citigroup has 269 mentions. Bank of America had 102 mentions. Chevron has 188 oil risk mentions. NVDA has 50 mentions of "sanctions" alone in their filings. The entire AI boom runs on a supply chain that cuts through Taiwan, China, and the Strait of Hormuz.
AI Reveals Optimal Sub‑System Pairings and Allocation
I've been playing around with AI to look closer into some old strategies of mine by feeding it a 10-year trade list. I initially asked it to assess the 10 sub-systems within this short-term strategy and look for issues that...
Buy Cash‑flow Assets Cheap, Ignore Market Hype
"The intelligent investor buys discounted cash-producing assets, not market excitement." Stop chasing hype, start owning real value.
Existing Home Sales at 1.29M, Well Below Normal
We will get this updated this week with the new existing home sales report. ...
U.S. Stocks Plunge Following Liberation Day Tariffs
This is what the 🇺🇸 stock market looked like on April 3rd, 2025 the day after the Liberation Day tariffs were announced
Simple Steps to Build Strong Credit Quickly
Building your credit is not hard. Do this: - pay off your credit cards on time, every month - keep credit utilization low by requesting increased credit limits every 6-12 months - keep old accounts open, even if you don’t use the credit cards -...
Crude Oil Gaps Higher, Outpaces Falling Futures
/CLK6 gaps open to 112.96, trades up to 114.83 (Friday close of 111.89)...now +1.7%ish /ESM6 -0.6% /NQM6 -0.7% /ZNM6 -0.03% DXY +0.02%
Seasoned Investors Turning to Private Money Lending Boom
I think the private money lending sector is about to grow even more. I see so many experienced investors who focused on raising capital for their deals now shift to being the private lender.
US‑Iran Talks Show Positive Momentum After Holiday Pause
catching up on the news after the holiday week, seems like the US-Iran negotiations are going well
Iran Conflict Spikes Oil, Threatens UST Long‑end Auctions
This is a high-stakes week for the bond market. The recent spike in crude prices - fueled by the conflict in Iran - will show up in March’s inflation data. The consensus on Wall Street is a headline print...
U.S. Drivers Spent $8.4 B Extra on Gas
American drivers have paid an additional $8.4 BILLION in fuel costs since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran. The cost of regular gas has JUMPED from $2.80 to $4.11 per gallon since January 11. AMERICANS DRIVERS SHOULD SEND A BILL...
Credit Spreads Stay Under Historic Peak at 2.11%
Even with the LTCM drama of the late 1990's, spreads never got above 2.40%, we are at 2.11% today https://t.co/yTyr072f92
CLO Equity Fund Discounted yet Still Offers 24% Yield
OXLC cut its distribution 50%. The price crashed 60%. And the yield is STILL 24%. Here's the catch — and why this CLO equity fund trading at a 16% discount might actually be interesting for the first time in years: https://t.co/oLGHvO4MvQ
US Chemical Stocks Surge 6% Amid Gulf Crude Squeeze
U.S. chemical producers like Dow are outperforming the S&P 500, with shares up about ~6%, as access to Persian Gulf crude (a key ingredient for plastics) tightens due to the Iran war
Understanding the Buffett Put: Weekly Market Insights
Weekly Market Report: The Buffett Put. Almost everything you need to know. Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/6Hq5oQ1ODi
China Slashes Crude Imports, Doubles Floating Storage
China's crude oil imports declined by about 490 kb/d in March YoY. Floating storage more than doubled. Onshore storage increased by about 66 mb. China knew...
Asian Oil Stocks Plunge, US And
Major drop in crude oil inventories in Japan, followed by India. US and China are up! Make you own conclusions.
Debt to Ourselves Just Excuses Unlimited Money Printing
When an argument is made that "Our debt doesn't matter because we owe it to ourselves"...that is code for "we can print the money and just debase the currency"...
Simple Money Mindset: Prioritize Needs, Invest, and Negotiate
ten tiny money tips I live by quality > quantity budget ≠ broke investing = security needs > wants save, not hoard money is a tool learn, then earn give generously delay, don't deny negotiate, don't immediately accept
India's Exports Pivot: Services Up, Textiles/Agriculture Down
#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: India’s export mix has been REWRITTEN in the past 30 years. Services SURGED from 17% in 1995 to 45% in 2023. In the meantime, as a share of total exports, textiles and agriculture COLLAPSED. https://t.co/rjJl7fH9a0
Google's SpaceX Stake Dwarfs Its Quarterly Revenue
GOOGL stake in SpaceX could be worth up to $120B. That’s more than their entire quarterly revenue… and about 4x GOOGLs net income🤯
India’s Foreign Policy: Hedge, De‑risk, Diversify for Long‑term Stability
S. Jaishankar, India's Minister of External Affairs on the importance of hedging: “Hedge, de-risk, diversify is how India navigates a fractured world.” STRATEGY OVER NOISE. INDIA PLAYS THE LONG GAME. https://t.co/Y303y6Dl2Q
Weak Yen, AI Capex Drive Japan Stock Upside
Macro: governance reform, weak yen, AI-capex support Japan equities. Key: buybacks, rising margins, supply-chain leverage. Risks: demand weakness, policy shifts. Trade: buy exporters on dips. —Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Current Listings Surge From Historic Lows
New listings data this last week were 70,191 The same week back in 2009 -287,185 2010 - 306,150 2011 - 367,465 https://t.co/hrxkJ4eTa5
Regime Dictates Success; Any Indicator Will Work
It always amazes me how people fall for this nonsense. From 2007 onward the SP was a pure BTFD regime. Of course buying the down day worked. In all strategies the ONLY variable that matters is regime. Get that right...
Cisco Poised for AI-Driven Revival to New ATH
$CSCO was incredibly well setup for the AI era. We called it in our @FuturumEquities AI 15 a year+ ago that AI + Cyber would bring Cisco back to life. Back to ATH 💪🏻🚀
AI Unicorns Poised for $2 Trillion Valuations
What are my current valuation predictions for OpenAI and Anthropic? OpenAI was valued at $28B in April 2023. Its latest funding round puts it at $852B. Anthropic was valued at $4B in early 2023. Today, it’s worth $380B. In my...
Funds Go Net Long Wheat, Snap Corn Buying Streak
📈Funds are record bullish CBOT soybean oil & Minne wheat, and they're now net long in CBOT wheat for the first time in nearly 4 years. But funds' corn buying streak snapped. I discuss implications of specs' latest positioning in Sunday's...
Asia Faces Fuel Squeeze as Reserves Dip to 30 Days
Asian countries (excluding China) only hold 30 days of fuel in reserve. If that isn't bad enough, they rely heavily on oil shipments from the Persian Gulf. IN THE COMING DAYS, IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE A SQUEEZE AND HIGHER PRICES...
US Inaction Will Trigger Oil Shock in Two Weeks
Listen to the question carefully then listen to the answer. Those waiting for US Leadership in solving the Strait of Hormuz issue, you are gonna be disappointed. They have ABSOLUTELY NO IDEA how to solve the issue. In less than 2 weeks, global...
SPY Faces Three Paths: Bounce, New Lows, or V‑Bottom
Should be a very active/fluid week. First weekly chart is mine. We did see the first reflex oversold bounce. Seems like two/three scenarios going around. 1) One more move to $spy $674 area in the next week or...
Rising Delta Amid Falling Price Signals Bounce Intent
Price dropping into NY VWAP… but delta rising? That’s the divergence you want to see. Buyers stepping in beneath the surface = higher probability bounce off value. This is how you read intent, not just price. 📉📈 #VWAP #OrderFlow #FuturesTrading
Small‑cap Call Success: APLD, IREN Lead the Way
Some of y'all know how my calls do when I get small caps....APLD IREN etc Some of you are about to find out.....
QQQ May Dip to 540 Before Confirming Bottom
$QQQ - The weekly low was 555 which is close to the yearly pivot but I doubt it has bottomed. If it keeps following the 2006 analogy which I posted about, the target would be 540, a retest of the...
3%
A history lesson on spreads and how rare 3% spreads have been in recent history. We never had 3% + spreads during the GFC or Covid We did in 2023, as the Fed was still hiking rates & the SVB crisis was...
Target 4‑6 Bedroom Rentals, Beat Saturated Market
The Airbnb platform is not going anywhere. 70% of listings on Airbnb and VRBO are 1, 2, and 3-bedroom homes. That is exactly where 99% of the competition lives. The moment you go to a 4, 5, or 6-bedroom home, you are competing...
Gold Outshines Stocks; Don’t Ignore Bullion Now
Other than Japan's 34 years & 2 months to nominally return to its late 1980s highs, still losing to inflation. Gold bullion, on a relative & % performing basis, crushed those 2 past US Stock bubbles for years that followed. Bet...
Patience Beats Tickers: Invest in Quality, Not Daily Swings
Warren Buffett shows us that patient, long-term investing beats watching the stock ticker every day. Using See’s Candy as an example, once you buy a high-quality business, fundamentals matter more than daily price swings.
USDA Surprises with Corn Acre Gains; Fertilizer May Trim
USDA Corn Acres Surprise, But Fertilizer Could Cut Them Back | Mike Castle https://t.co/KLu30ieo06 via @YouTube
Mortgage Spreads High; 8% Rates Demand Booming Economy
With where mortgage spreads are at with the Fed Funds Rate, 8% rates would need a booming economy with job and wage growth picking up again Spreads got as high as 3.11% in 2023, currently at 2.11% https://t.co/25afwLqFtN
Tesla's Seven‑week Slide Persists; 329 Support Target
$TSLA - Closed down for 7 weeks in a row but the downtrend isn't over yet. The target remains the 100 week MA that is currently at 329. Further downside will be invalidated only in case of a weekly close...
Trends Persist: Keep Buying the Deeper Dips
Trends do not die easily, at least that's how you feel as you buy deeper dips.
US Crude Production Hits Record, Global Impacts Loom
US crude oil production breaks new records. What does this mean for other countries? For the American public? More charts and graphs featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/WAXH5XLi1r
Static Bond Portfolios? JOJO Offers Dynamic Yield Rotation
Financial advisors: your clients' bond portfolios are probably static. Same exposure in every environment. $JOJO rotates between high yield and Treasuries. That's differentiation. https://t.co/9yp8ZpcIhr
ETF Liquidations Accelerate, Winners Face Curse, Aluminum Squeezed
🆓 Sunday links: how the winner's curse works, the quickening pace of ETF liquidations, and tough times for aluminum consumers. https://t.co/WzJWiWfiDv image: https://t.co/25ICizy0cu https://t.co/squG5KO1ww
3‑Step Framework Turns $
(New Video) A Simple 3 Step Framework to Avoid Choppy Markets that helped this Thai Doctor turn $47,000 into $1,000,000 in Trading Capital https://t.co/i4mZuJM4fC https://t.co/i4mZuJM4fC
Invest in OC & San Diego: Scarcity at Discount
We’ve been leaning heavily into Orange County & San Diego—and it’s not by accident. In a world where capital is chasing “cheap,” we’re focused on irreplaceable: • Coastal supply constraints that are nearly impossible to replicate • High-income, sticky renter base • Chronic underbuilding...
Utah Multifamily Outperforms Hype with Sustainable Growth
Utah multifamily is one of the few markets where the fundamentals still quietly outperform the headlines. • Top-tier population growth (driven by jobs, not speculation) • Land constraints + disciplined development • Household formation > new supply over the long run While others chase...
Create a Flawless AI Buy‑sell Indicator in 30 Seconds
How to make the PERFECT buy & sell indicator using AI in less than 30 seconds. #howtotrade #daytrading #momentum #tradingeducation #stockmarket
Weekend Futures Data Too Small to Be Meaningful
I respectfully disagree with your explanation... The IG Weekend Futures is a tabulation of a very small sampling of contributors on the site. It is statistically insignificant. This is easy to prove - as at times 100% of the respondents are long...