Open Text Shares Slip Below S&P Support Level
Open Text, OTEX Shares Face Pressure Below S&P Composite Index Support. (Kalkine Media) #Technology #Stocks #Valuations #JVGpost https://t.co/aelZ7lprPc https://t.co/FpWy9WsDuz
Bond Market Warns: No Rate Cuts, Equity Rally Fading
The bond market is telling you what equities refuse to accept. Rate cuts aren't coming. This rally is just a bounce before the binary. https://t.co/Mh5FYZAawT
Growth Wins When SBC Dilution Stays Low
SaaS dilution check: growth is strong, but SBC is the hidden tax👇 This chart maps SBC/Revenue vs NTM growth • Red → SBC exceeds FCF margin (value leakage) • Yellow → moderate dilution • Green → disciplined compensation Market is starting to price efficiency, not...
Diesel Near Record High as Gas Hits $4.11
National avg for gas is now $4.11, per AAA Diesel avg is now $5.61 (just 20 cents below all-time high)
Consistent Quality Investing Turns Dividends Into Freedom
In 2014 I started investing with almost nothing. Today my dividends cover 85% of my monthly expenses. Not because I picked the right stocks at the right time. Because I kept buying quality businesses and let the compounding do its work. Year 1 felt...
Focus on Your Finances, Not Market Noise
The stock market feels disconnected from reality, but YOUR finances shouldn’t be. Control what you can: 📌 spending 📌 savings rate 📌 asset allocation Ignore the noise.
Prioritize Savings: Emergency Fund, Match, Debt, Then Investing
"I don't know how to prioritize my money" Here’s a good rule of thumb: 1. Build emergency fund (3-6m) 2. Sign up for the 401k/403b match 3. Pay off high interest debt (7.25%+) 4. ESPP (if applies) 5. HSA (if eligible) 6. Roth IRA 7. Max out 401k/403b 8....
Demand Decline, Not Tight Supply, Threatens Beef Prices
Most people are bullish cattle because "supply is tight." But tight supply is already priced in. The real risk? Demand bending. Consumers trading down to chicken. Packers pulling back. Weights creeping up. When everyone agrees, that's when the market turns. @DynamicWealth_ breaks it down...
S&P 500 Equity Risk Premium Hits Two-Year High
The S&P 500's equity risk premium is at a 2-year high.. even with higher TIPS yields @wisdomtreefunds https://t.co/T5y4c7SbGO
Extreme Bearish Sentiment Triggers Relief Rally, Signals Bottom
SPX: Over the last 30 years, we have seen this level of bearish sentiment (55%) only a few times. Relief rallies have followed without fail; even when those rallies were short-lived A major bottom materialized few weeks after. #SPY #QQQ #NVDA...
China Reserves Offshore Airspace for 40 Days, Hinting Military Activity
China Creates New Aviation Mystery With Offshore Warning Zones—Beijing reserves airspace for 40 days, suggesting possible military activity ahead @joyuwang https://t.co/S5iRx1CF03 https://t.co/S5iRx1CF03
Falling Forward P/E, Energy Rally, Decision‑Bias Tips
📊 Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns including: falling forward P/E ratios, the rally in energy stocks, and how to de-bias your decision making. https://t.co/49VfVWoRE9 chart: https://t.co/zX6UI4DmUC https://t.co/poNb6SvW33
Rule of 40: Market Rewards Balanced Growth
Rule of 40 is where SaaS valuation meets reality Growth alone isn’t enough 👇 Chart combines NTM growth + GAAP EBITDA margin • >40 = high-quality balance (green) • 30–40 = acceptable (yellow) • <30 = weak efficiency (red) Market is clearly rewarding balance, not just...
Energy Outperforms; Health Care and Staples Decline
Energy leads on the 1m, 3m, 6m zooms... Health Care & Staples have turned south recently @wisdomtreefunds https://t.co/vqQWQ5SYQV
Data Deluge, yet Iran Conflict Remains Market Driver
Another week of heavy data but don't be mistaken Iran War will run the show 👇 🇺🇸 US - ISM Services -CPI -Fed Minutes -Durable Goods -Personal income/spending -UMich 🇪🇺 EZ -Retail Sales -PMI Rev -GE Trade & IP 🇨🇦 CA -IVEY -Jobs 🇳🇿 NZ -RBNZ -PMI 🇦🇺 AU Retail Sales
Global Debt, Not Oil, Fuels True Complacency
I keep hearing the word complacency regarding oil prices. Maybe. But the real complacency is in global debt markets. We have an inflationary shock and fiscal policy that - especially in Europe and Japan - is out of control. This...
Forward Yield Spike Signals Looming Global Debt Crisis
The 10-year Treasury yield is 4.3% (blue) and looks benign. But 10y10y forward yield (red) is 5.5% and pushing above pre-2008 levels. The global debt crisis waits for no one. Fiscal policy is out of control and geopolitical uncertainty makes...
Policy Moves, Not Data, Drive Oil, Dollar, Gold Trends
On yesterday's live stream, I discussed which oil prices to watch, why the Dollar failed to rise on Friday's strong payrolls and the large drop in gold holdings of Turkey's central bank, which is entirely a function of the decision...
UK Tax Allowances Reset Tomorrow—Prepare Your Finances
Allowances, reliefs, and tax rates reset tomorrow in the United Kingdom. That includes: ¬ ISA allowance ¬ Dividend allowance ¬ Capital Gains allowance ¬ Savings income allowance ¬ Personal allowance ¬ Income tax rates ¬ Corporation tax rates ¬ And more Make sure you’re prepared for any upcoming changes. They...
Gulf Oil Disruption Hits Asian Nations, Fuels Global Price Surge
The bulk of crude oil out of the Persian Gulf - before the war - went to Asia. That dependence is now creating a giant hole, which is what's driving up oil prices globally. Especially hard hit are Pakistan (PK),...
Paying Premium? Demand Rapid Growth and Strong Metrics
If you're going to pay an expensive valuation, the business better be growing fast with exceptional financial metrics. High valuations with slow growth is the worst combination in investing. You're paying up for nothing.
Identify the Space Stock Poised for Pre‑SpaceX IPO Surge
Hey @grok What Space Exploration Sector stock will likely see the biggest run up before the SpaceX IPO this year?
Japan Secures Four Months of Naphtha Supply
Japan has secured at least four months of naphtha, Prime Minister Takaichi says 🇯🇵 🛢️ 📌 Two months' worth of imported naphtha already procured 📌 Two months' worth of inventories
Assess Management Reputation to Uncover Hidden Risks
A key variable for investors is management reputation A lot that happens inside a company that is critical for success is outside of public view Investors must ask themselves if they believe management is giving an accurate assessment, both good &...
Nifty50 Expected to Trade 22,208‑22,843, Watch VIX
Nifty50 closed Thursday at 22,713.10. Based on current VIX, the implied move for Monday comes in around 22,208 to 22,843. That’s the expected range for now... Any expansion or contraction in VIX will shift this, so keeping an eye on vol...
Tariffs Boost US Steel Prices
Tariffs sustain US steel prices; infrastructure demand firm. Nucor: scale + scrap verticals; Commercial Metals: rebar exposure, M&A. Risks: demand slump, tariff rollback. Trade: Buy Nucor for FCF upside. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
European Involvement Blocks Chinese Missile Aid to Iran
This is why it is so important for Europa to help create a stabil situation. European participation would make it politically hard for China to support Iran with missiles and drones. Chinese support could make it impossible for USA to...
Retail Energy Aid Delayed Until War Ends, Prices Stabilize
I know people are crying out for energy price support and it has already been provided for heating oil and people on benefits. My prediction is that they won’t rush into retail price support until we have a chance...
Diesel’s Gulf Surplus Makes It Cheaper than VLSFO
One of the most interesting pieces of information I had we relayed to me was that one of the ships stuck in the Persian Gulf loaded with diesel fuel vice Very Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (VLSFO). The reason? Diesel was substantially cheaper...
China's Bad‑Loan Market Grows Amid Squeezed Bank Margins
China Daily notes that non-performing loan disposals are rising, suggesting that China is slowly developing a bad-loan market, even as record low net-interest margins make it harder for banks to recognize bad loans. https://t.co/UhXgPDv3nE
China Urges Balanced Growth of Imports and Exports
1/3 Xinhua: "China has sent fresh signals of promoting more balanced development of imports and exports. A recent commentary article in the Qiushi Journal called for concrete steps to balance import and export growth." https://t.co/eO90uuquzA
India Ranks 4th in GDP, 126th per Capita
#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: India boasts the WORLD'S 4th largest GDP. But, when it comes to income per person, India comes in at a lowly 126th in the world. https://t.co/YKTgg6cZcJ
TSMC Quality High, Upside Limited at Current Price
I haven’t published my full thesis on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) yet but here’s the scorecard: Current view • Price: ~$339 • Expected value: ~$334 • Upside: Limited at current levels This is easily one of the highest-quality businesses you’ll find, dominant positioning, strong pricing power, and exceptional visibility. But...
US Oil Prices Now Fully Tied to Global Market
In the early days of the invasion of Iran, US oil prices were slightly insulated from the global price shock, by perhaps $10 a barrel or 25% of the spike. That has now ended. Oil is a globally traded commodity....
Reassessing Counterpoint’s 2022 Wide Moat Winners
This is a list of Wide MOAT businesses according to Counterpoint Global in 2022. What do you think has changed since then?
Higher Oil Prices Trigger Gas Flood, Lower Prices
Natural gas is nearly considered exhaust fluid by US oil drillers, but it is the backbone of the American plastics and petrochemicals industry. Oil is used far less than natgas in American chems or plastics. Natgas has an inverse pricing...
Diesel Prices Poised to Surge Toward $11/Gal
We warned in the Daily Energy Report and the Weekly US Data Report about a month ago that diesel prices will skyrocket and inventories might decline to record levels. Will it go to $11/g?
Watch These Two Metrics to Spot Nifty Bottom
In Today’s ‘Kya Lagta Hai’ sent exclusively to our smallcase and PMS subscribers we discuss the two most essential metrics to watch for our Nifty bottom. https://t.co/6ctAbLsdeY
OpenAI’s Valuation Overhyped Even as AI Thrives
I promised to write about OpenAI, and I finally have the time to sit down and pull my thoughts together. AI Is Not a Bubble, But OpenAI’s Valuation Could Be the Next One “Why Secondary Buyers Are Quietly Dumping OpenAI at $852...
Weekly S&P500 Chart
Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm https://t.co/JX6lIxWqjy This week: investor sentiment, economic sentiment, seasonality and studies, longs vs shorts, tech sentiment, big tech value, AI output, deadlines, global equity technicals... https://t.co/lTyVXrCwOe
EU's Own Sanctions Undermine
The irony is: the EU reduced its dependence on Russia to improve "energy security"! Slovak PM says EU should drop sanctions on Russian oil and gas to boost energy security https://t.co/FmUhPkAcgE
Invest in XLV and IHE for Resilient Healthcare Hedge
🚨During times of uncertainty (I predict next year not this year) 2 ETFs TBL will be focusing on (full disclosure we’re already in 1 of them) XLV (healthcare etf) IHE (pharmaceutical etf) Why? Simple they both have 2 stocks in...
Record Cash Reserves Signal Prime Buying Opportunity
Current cash levels in a historical perspective, as per the BofA FMS. Feels like a good time to buy https://t.co/KoeTO5ThBC
Quick Guide: Start Day Trading the Right Way
How to start day trading (the right way) from A-Z in 30 seconds. #howtotrade #daytrading #momentum #tradingeducation #stockmarket
Tariffs and Middle East Conflict Drive Aluminum Prices Sky‑High
Aluminum prices are up over 83% YoY. First, Trump’s tariffs strained supply. Now war in Iran is cutting Gulf imports that supply 20% of US aluminum imports. TRUMP’S TARIFFS + TRUMP’S WAR = A BIG BILL FOR AMERICANS. https://t.co/M0EPxDjZSN
Know Economic Calendar Before Trading to Avoid Surprises
Most traders skip pre market prep and get caught off guard by news. Before the session starts, you should know exactly when economic data releases like FOMC, CPI, or interest rate decisions are scheduled. These events can shift volatility, market structure, and...
Easter Eggs Hit 10-Year Low at $0.46 Dozen
Eggs haven't been this cheap on Easter in at least 10 years $0.46/dozen wholesale https://t.co/ki6U8RlOzd
Stop Wasting $120B
Americans waste 119 BILLION pounds of food a year. That’s your grocery money in the trash. I put together an A-Z guide for how to store every single thing in your fridge the right way so your food actually lasts....
LTV Hits Historic Lows, Unchartable Since 2008
The total LTV data is so low now that I can't even chart it back to 2008 when it was running back in the mid '80s 💀😏🎭 #housing #realestate #economics #mortgage #chartdaddy @housingwire @sarahteresa6
RBI Bans Rupee Shorting Tools, but Impact Doubtful
#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is stepping in to try to slow the rupee’s slide. By restricting derivatives and other tools traders use to SHORT the rupee, the RBI is trying to suppress bets AGAINST the currency. THE RBI'S ENGAGED...