HSBC Warns: Market Dips Are Quick‑play Opportunities
HSBC's Kettner: "'This doesn't make sense' and 'Risk assets are detached from reality.' This is how a lot of our meetings start right now...But these are exactly the sorts of dips one will have to use very quickly in the coming weeks...In short: be quick."
SPY Hits Record High, Fastest Recovery Since 1982
$SPY just closed at 7,126 — an ALL-TIME HIGH. +13% in 11 sessions from the March 30 low. That's the fastest recovery since 1982. Every bear who called a prolonged collapse is now underwater. https://t.co/8ltnRPpY7t
Watch Key Gaps; Otherwise Trends Persist Longer than Expected
Don’t overthink trends, they tend to keep doing longer than we expect. Just watch for key changes in character such as significant gaps in the other direction, extreme extensions. Or failed moves at key levels. Otherwise, the stock will tend to continue...
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⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Market Update ➡️ Free VIP List Newsletter: https://t.co/EW4O2nbz8N $NVDA $TSLA $IBIT $SNDK https://t.co/eDbEhRjgAv
Germans Shift €5.5bn From Stocks to €18bn Funds
Good Morning from Germany, where investors are moving money out of individual stocks and into investment funds. In Q4 2025 alone, Germans pulled €5.5bn from individual stocks, the largest outflow in more than a decade. At the same time, they...
Singapore Jet Fuel Doubles, Squeezing Un‑hedged Airlines
SINGAPORE jet fuel prices have doubled to an average around $166 per barrel so far in April compared with $82 in January. Fuel is one of the three largest costs for passenger airlines (together with crew labour and capital) so...
Emerging Market Outflows Near COVID-Level Severity
EM "outflows have been almost as bad as during COVID, i.e. they’ve been massive." -Robin J. Brooks, Shadow Price Macro
Silver Hits Critical Juncture—Here’s Why It Matters
Silver Price Has Reached a CRITICAL Time ...here's why https://t.co/wSo2jfQeoX [VIDEO] #silver #silverprice My thanks to Manuel Blay @TheDowTheory for the interview.
Timing Beats Price: Early Entry Drives Real Estate Gains
Why most investors lose money… even in a rising real estate market Everyone thinks: “If prices are going up, I’ll make money.” But this chart shows why that’s wrong. First — how to read this chart: • X-axis = when you enter the market cycle • Y-axis =...
Anthropic's Ownership: Big Tech Holds ~30% Collectively
Anthropic’s approximate major equity ownership: • Amazon: ~8–16% • Google (Alphabet): ~14%l • NVIDIA: ~3% • Microsoft: low single-digit % • Co-founders (Dario Amodei, Daniela Amodei & other 5 co-founders): each ~1.8%+ (collective significant founder stake; total founders likely...
Preserve Capital, Trade only High‑probability Opportunities
“You have to minimize your losses and try to preserve capital for those very few instances where you can make a lot in a very short period of time. What you can’t afford to do is throw away your capital...
Oil Spikes While Stocks and Commodities Slide
$SPY -0.5% $QQQ -0.5% $IWM -0.9% $EEM -1.5% $TLT -0.2% $USO +5.4% $IBIT -3.2% $GLD -1.2% $XLE +1.4% https://t.co/mpRZrC3jG7
John Bogle Debunked Index Fund Idea, Then Created It
In 1960, two academics proposed the index fund. The person who argued against them? A young John Bogle, writing under a fake name. He went on to launch the first one. We made a short film about the paper that started it...
ELIX AI Growth, Lower P/E, Higher Dividend—Still Not a Buy
#ELIX good Update; AI seems to be a growth area for them. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 12.9 falling to 10.9 and fwd Divvy 3% rising to 3.5%; pretty reasonable valuation. I don't hold.
Revenue Beats, Backlog Record, P/E Improves, Dividend Rises
#KNOS "Revenue ahead of consensus", "Record backlog levels". ShareScope showing fwd p/e 21.5 falling to 18.1 and fwd Divvy 3.4% rising to 3.7%, BEFORE cash stripped out. Lot to like. I don't hold.
Avid Budget Downgraded to Underweight Amid Overvaluation
Avid Budget Group $CAR downgraded to Underweight @ Barclays 'Rental Car 1Q Set-Up: fundamentals improving, but stock move is all technical; d/g CAR to UW' Nevertheless, while fundamentals have become favorable, we downgrade CAR to UW from EW and raise our PT...
North America Gains Urea Cost Edge Amid Global Gas Divergence
This chart underpins my positioning in North American nitrogen fertiliser producers. Urea supply has tightened following a sharp drop in exports from the Gulf. As urea production is highly sensitive to NatGas costs, the divergence in regional gas prices is...
US Tech's Edge Fades; Global Markets Take Lead
To outperform MSCI World Index was easy in the past due to the following: US mkt was outperforming rest of world US tech was outperforming US market Mag7 plus a few more similar stocks were outperforming US tech So you bought 5-7 US tech...
Dollar Index Targets 98.20, Possible Retracements to 99.25
The dollar index may have fallen in five waves, and it will confirm if we go above 98.20. Then a 50% retracement to 98.87 may follow or we can even attempt 61.8% retracement to 99.245 #DXY #DollarIndex #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex...
Hormuz Tension Leaves Dollar Dominance Unshaken
🔥The Hormuz Crisis: ▪️Pricing oil in US dollar is intact ▪️The GCC's dollar peg is intact
Russia Needs $100 Urals Oil to Close Deficit
“Russia’s ailing economy has failed to recover even as rising oil prices during the war in the Middle East have boosted the Kremlin’s depleted coffers, according to Sweden’s military intelligence chief. Thomas Nilsson, head of Sweden’s Military Intelligence and Security...
Geography Drives Oil Price Gaps, Splits Asset Returns
Oil: The have and have not. What's the price of crude in North America? Very cheap, as low as 72.7. What's the price in Sri Lanka, well, very expensive. Gas is the same story. So the oil market and pricing...
S&P Hits Record as Oil Plunges Amid Iran Tensions
The S&P just hit a RECORD HIGH. Oil crashed 13% in a week. Iran says the Strait is "completely open." Hapag-Lloyd and Maersk won't send ships through. The ceasefire expires TUESDAY. And the Navy just put 5-inch gun rounds into...
Sherritt Halts Cuba Nickel-Cobalt Production, Threatening 2026 Supply
Sherritt will pause Moa nickel-cobalt mining in Cuba over fuel shortages, raising new 2026 supply concerns. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/sherritt-moa-nickel-cobalt-pause-raises.html
Doubting a Quick Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz
Is it time to abandon hope the Strait of Hormuz will open soon? https://t.co/5BRLiEg2Tm @ClydeCommods
Independence First, Wealth Follows Through Patience
Charlie Munger never set out to become a billionaire. He just wanted to never need permission from anyone. The money? That came from the same place the independence did — patience, compounding, and not doing dumb things. Financial freedom isn't a destination. It's...
Taiwan Fights Chip Boom to Protect Undervalued Currency
Taiwan's willingness to do absolutely anything and everything to keep the chip boom from putting pressure on the wildly undervalued Taiwan dollar is unw=matched ... 1/ https://t.co/yVjNKHd7ci
Hedge Funds Lose New Hires to ‘Gazumping’ During Gardening Leave
BIG TAKE: The hedge fund talent war has a new name: gazumping. Trader accepts a job, the firm waits months for them to finish their gardening leave and then a rival swoops in and poaches them before they ever...
Markets Clash as Ceasefire Deadline Looms
Banks crushed earnings. Oil crashed 11% in a day. Gold refused to sell off. The Nasdaq just posted its longest winning streak since 1992. Something has to give. The ceasefire expires Wednesday. https://t.co/1ewAQlpSy4
US Blockade Pressures All, Targets Iran Most
Exactly. And this is why this US blockade is genius because it means it won't be just the Iranians that will benefit when it's partially open. The pressure cooker is on for everyone equally, especially Iran.
Earn Juiced Premium Selling Options Into Earnings
Wheel strategy PSA 5 of my wheel stocks are inside the 14-day earnings window right now $HOOD - Apr 28 $SOFI - Apr 29 $LMND - Apr 29 $BBAI - Apr 29 $ZETA - Apr 30 Selling puts or covered calls on these into earnings? you're getting...
BSE F&O Volumes Plunge 19‑40%, Index Options Down 19%
BSE F&O Volumes Drop 19% to 40%, Index Options Fall 19% BSE reports significant decline in futures and options trading volumes with F&O volumes dropping 19% to 40% while index options volume also falls by 19%, indicating reduced trading activity. BSE 3,516.30 -15.20 (-0.43%)
100% Bull Markets Average About Three Years Duration
The current bull market is up 99.2%. Looking at the 7 bull markets that made it to 100%, they lasted another 3 yrs on avg (with a median of 1.8 years). Yes, things peaked soon after 100% was hit in 1980, 2007,...
New Highs or 7‑Day Streak Signal 18% Annual Gains
Two to think about 1.) S&P 500 new high in April? Full year up 18 out of 19 times and up 18.8% on avg. 2.) S&P 500 7-day win streak? Full year higher 19 out of 20 times and up (once again)...
Lumentum to Triple Revenue as Photonics Limits AI Speed
Lumentum is expected to 3x its revenue by 2028. Photonics & the speed data is transferred is the real Ai bottleneck $LITE
Check the Economic Calendar Before Every Trade
If you’re trading without knowing what news is being released, you’re setting yourself up to get caught in volatility. Premarket prep starts with the economic calendar. GDP, CPI, jobless claims… these events move gold and Nasdaq fast. News can break...
It's Never Too Late to Achieve Financial Freedom
If you financially f****cked up and now in your 30s or 40s you want to turn it around, crush your debt, learn to invest, and get your money right — I hope you find my page. Because it’s NOT too late...
Nasdaq's Fastest 40‑year Swing Fuels 12% S&P Rally
The Nasdaq just posted its fastest oversold-to-overbought swing in 40 years while oil spikes $5 on Middle East tensions. The S&P 500 is up 12% in three weeks. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/Y24djSuQYp
US Trade Rep Greer Arrives in Mexico for USMCA Review
US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer has landed in Mexico City for meetings tomorrow related to the USMCA review. He was received at the airport by Economy Minister @m_ebrard and undersecretary @LuisRosendo_ (Video from Mexico's economy ministry) https://t.co/iweEQKUuJO
S&P 500 CAPE Hits 40, Tops 99% Historic Levels
The S&P 500's CAPE Ratio has moved up to 40, its highest level since 2000 and now above 99% of historical valuations. $SPX https://t.co/uhUt33SCp5
AMC Secures $425M Refinancing, Extends Debt Maturities
On Friday, we consummated a highly beneficial $425 million refinancing. AMC has once again taken decisive action to strengthen our financial position by extending our debt maturities by four full years, while simultaneously reducing our annual cash interest expense. I...
Oil Spike Highlights Balance‑of‑Payments Shock Over Dollar
With oil rising again (alas), my Odd Lots episode from last week gains new relevance -- tis at least as much about the balance of payments impact of an oil shock as about the dollar https://t.co/JtgH1nPC0z
S&P 500 Rebounds From 7% Loss to +4.5% YTD
On March 30, the S&P 500 was down 7% in 2026, the 12th worst start to a year in history. After one of the biggest 3-week rallies ever, it's now up +4.5% YTD and above the average year at this...
Dollar‑Cost Averaging Beats Market Timing Every Time
Nobody can predict exact bottom or top but for 95% of the folks just DCA and keep adding. You will always win almost always. If you DCA into SPY from the beginning of year you would beat SPY itself its...
Three LNG Shipments Stalled, Pakistan Faces Heat‑driven Blackouts
There are at least *three LNG shipments* stuck in the Persian Gulf that are supposed to go to Pakistan, according to ship-tracking data 🇵🇰🚢 Pakistan hasn't received an LNG shipment in over a month due to the Hormuz closure. That risks...
Fertilizer Costs Surge 53%, Threatening Food Inflation
Fertilizer prices have moved up to their highest levels since May 2022, rising 53% YoY. About a third of global fertilizer supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz. This will drive food price inflation higher in the coming weeks/months. Video: https://t.co/XaN1isYjSt
Russia's Upward Run Extends to Day 15
Rus going on day 15 of Extended run UP. (I have seen 28 days on one side in the past but now I am dating myself) https://t.co/i5XFxendBn
Profit Taken on MCE.AX as Deal Finalizes
Taking profits on $MCE.AX at 39c, now the deal has gone binding, spread mostly closed and most all the juice has been squeezed…was a good’un, on to the next ✊✊
Retail Is Evolving, Not Disappearing: Growth Across Sectors
Retail isn’t slowing down — it’s shifting. Grocery demand rising McDonald’s expanding again Walmart reinvesting Private equity betting on QSR Retail brands restructuring Service-based tenants growing The strongest retail isn’t disappearing — it’s evolving. Sumanjeet Singh DRE :02107827 #RetailRealEstate #NetLeaseInvestments #CommercialRealEstate #RetailInvestment #nnnproperties
US Weakens, China and Russia Gain Power Post‑War
My view on the outcome of the US-Israeli war on Iran w/ @MarioNawfal: "In the Great Geopolitical Game, one great power is going to become weaker: the United States. And two great powers are going to become stronger: China and Russia."...