Indian Market Blood bath🩸( All Over Sectors 💔 ) SmallCap: -600🔻 Nifty: -735🔻 Midcap: -2040🔻 Sensex: -2400🔻 Banknifty: -2410🔻 FIN NIFTY: -1050🔻 NIFTY AUTO: - 1152🔻 NIFTY FMCG: -950🔻
S&P is down almost 5% this year https://t.co/jJ8zHsWyLU No one thought it could be done, but Donald Trump did it!

One of the strangest headlines I've had to write: Oil pares gains (today) to just 27% now https://t.co/W2IOR839WN
Oil and S&P 500 Futures Extend Tumble to Start the Week – Is Sentiment Giving Way? Wrote this week ahead article on an airplane with awful wifi... https://t.co/PoHGRgI2oL
“Encouragingly, China now seems very alert to the threat of deflation…Li Qiang said the government will steer the cost of living ‘back into positive territory.’ That’s tougher language than last year…a welcome recognition that Beijing has a problem.” https://t.co/V270GGGAJB
Last month I wrote a column about whether Trump could take credit for low oil prices. Trump loves to talk about how much he wants/pushes for low prices, but I argued his aggressive foreign policy was a massive bullish driver of...
Dubai faces immediate risk from Singapore. If Dubai wants to retain itself as the best foreign destination it should direct @DIFC to lay out easy rules for investors. Large banks like @RAKBANKlive and @EmiratesNBD_AE should ensure that both existing...
If you have crude inventory right now you’re selling every single barrel in your tanks (& buying back 6 mths down curve for $30/bbl less pocketing the diff) If you’re not, you’re in a really tough spot because you actually need...

Corn will eventually trade at $13 Beans will eventually trade at $27 Maybe not this decade, but someday Corn ethanol is a fuel My truck (Nissan) is approved for flex-fuel (FFV) It can run on gas that is 80% corn ethanol $ZC_F $ZS_F https://t.co/CYZjGOzeLt
The stickiness that once anchored people and capital to great cities is gone. It is not coming back https://t.co/D0BFIOpVUy
‼️Hedge funds are EXTREMELY BEARISH on the US Dollar: Net dollar positioning of hedge funds and other asset managers is down to -$18.9 billion, near the most bearish level in at least 3 years. Hedge funds are getting caught off guard. 👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-stocks-dropped-amid-rising-ai-and-geopolitical-uncertainty-weekly-market-recap-trading-week-09-20-a312
If past oil surges are a guide, we could see small trucking operators park their rigs, waiting for fuel prices to stabilize.
Puzzling. In risk-off market yields go down, but they're flat to up, globally (so not "sell-America"). Central banks seen as less likely to ease. True, until you get non-linearities and recessions (e.g. summer of 2008, oil up sharply and ECB...

The Brent crude prompt timespread is currently over *$9/bbl*, a new all-time record. Timespreads measure the steepness of the crude futures curve, which at the front (prompt) reflects how tight—loose if neg—the spot market is. The oil market has literally never been...
Reminder, oil futures once traded at negative $42 a barrel. And if the meme stock traders get a hold of this thing who knows where it can go?
This is actually looking like a great framework after oil hit $110 tonight… Aged pretty well for now. Can change in about ten minutes tho 😂
Middle East tensions spike oil past $100 and shake inflation forecasts. This week's CPI and PCE data could pack extra punch as rate cut hopes fade. 🟢 Open https://t.co/dcFgI6Pdro

*BRENT CRUDE OIL EXTENDS SURGE TO 25% ON MIDEAST WAR DISRUPTION In addition to rallying 25% today (Sunday night), May Brent Crude oil futures are up 56% since last Wednesday's low (March 4th). https://t.co/Afycm5leiS
We discussed on the impact of the crisis on Asia and it is a big negative shock for the region as we are very oil and gas dependent & we are importers of that from the Middle East. Price higher =...
voice: .@HPE reports Q1 FY2026 after the bell tomorrow. The real story is not whether HPE hits the number. It is the mix shift inside the number. • AI systems revenue versus traditional compute: how fast is the portfolio rotating toward higher-density,...

Stocks don't open for 12 more hours, but with futures -125 the S&P looks like it will gap down through the Dec. low; a low which became even more significant after Wednesday's bounce off its corresponding support. And if the...
US oil futures are now on track to rise +60% this month, marking their largest monthly gain in history. https://t.co/P4ciDNwr85
Oil spiking to $107 while gold falls. The dollar is strengthening as global markets panic. Both moves happening at once. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/Og6roiaoNd
The longer the Straits are closed, the more we will see unexpected chokepoints emerge. Case in point: nickel refiners in Indonesia and copper miners in Africa might have to slow production for want of sulphur

Just an fyi this was primarily a move to free up cash for the dip. You can’t consistently stay levered long if you want any chance to get a better entry by buying the dip. I don’t know if we...
Losses for stock futures accelerating Nasdaq futures now down 2.3% S&P 500 futures down almost 2%
Every single time the VIX soars and panic ensues there has been a tremendous opportunity for investors. Buckle up. That moment may be coming soon. 🙏🏻👊🏻💪🏻
Asian markets are tanking. Here’s Tracy Jordon on with Larry King with some real-time analysis https://t.co/GLnTrM06jf

If anyone asks — I am now an oil and geopolitics expert. In other news, check out the price of crude https://t.co/FDyPB506SG
After adding more than $40 a barrel in a little more than five trading sessions, the nominal record for West Texas Intermediate futures—$145.29, set on July 3, 2008—no longer seems out of reach @WSJmarkets https://t.co/rlxj1lnh5N

📈Speculative bullishness across U.S. grain/oilseed futures is at a three-year high, but funds haven't even begun to tap the potential that lies in corn. Does this mark the start of a run-up in corn? What could be the limiting factors? I covered...
People aren’t freaking out enough The situation is not under control Price of oil up 40 bucks in a week
Brent surged to a high of $110 at market open Monday. What next for oil? Speaking to Singapore's 938 Live Radio at 9.00 am SGT. https://t.co/xI65gMZvag

Brent is $106 and markets are in full panic mode. They were slow to price the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz, but at this point the Strait isn't going to get any more closed. If anything, it'll...

Taiwan's government will set a weekly cap on oil price increases to help contain domestic inflation, local media reports 🇹🇼🛢️ Fuel prices to be adjusted overall by ~5% this week The likelihood of freezing electricity tariffs in April is high https://t.co/tTWfUV2wiI https://t.co/LgRs7ClOH7
Yeeps: @Bob_McNally of @RapidanEnergy "Gulf War III has disrupted ~20% of global oil supply for nine days and counting – more than double the previous record set during the Suez Crisis of 1956-57, which disrupted just under 10%."
My game plan: - Looking for continued downside on US indexes & fade-away any short term strength in them , but waiting for intraday pullbacks - Eyeing the current move in Gold as a dip buying opportunity , but waiting for levels...
Compared to the last maximum disruption during the 1956-1957 Suez Crisis (as a percentage of total liquids demand), this represents the largest oil supply loss in history, by a factor of two. Worse, unlike in past crises, there's zero spare capacity...
Negative supply shock will lead to price increases & the only way to correct that if supply doesn’t rise is, well, demand destruction. We are headed towards demand destruction if the conflict doesn’t end by Day 14. Today is Day 10....
[looks at Brent curve] Gary Gorton voice: "investors can earn a risk premium by buying distant commodity futures at a discount to spot"
Isn't it likely that countries in fiscal distress find it hard to borrow, have to pay high default premia, and run down their reserves like everything else?

According to @Polymarket, there is a 64% chance of average US gas prices surpassing $4.50/gallon this month. THE WINDS OF WAR = HIGHER GASOLINE PRICES = MORE AFFORDABILITY PROBLEMS FOR TRUMP. https://t.co/yN19wtznw8

Left is a still unfilled gap in S&Ps from Jan 1, 2013 Will another gap in S&Ps become unfilled? Just asking for a friend. https://t.co/cNPv8XxpVb
The war’s not stopping because of some pain at the American pump. The implications for global fertilizer markets (ammonia, sulphur) are probably going to be as big of a deal as the energy disruptions in several months. Asian economies are in...

On Liberation Day, we created a Long/Short basket (dollar neutral) meant to capitalize on any fears of stagflation due to Tariffs. That wasn’t our expectation, however. We wrote “The likely result…the administration declares victory, and most tariffs eventually come down...

We've been saying for weeks now that the odds of a banana peel sell off was high. It simply is that time of year and now it is happening. Lot of fear out there, but more weakness into mid-March would...

Oil futures over $100, which is going to shock folks — but I’m old enough to remember $140-150 peaks in the past (inflation adjusted) Only upside, is that folks will lean into EVs and solar if this lasts more than...

Small caps down more than 3% because 1.) Inflation is a much bigger worry than a week ago and no cuts are coming? 2.) Sell the winners? 3.) Lucy https://t.co/3gsriv02Qd
Asia supply of oil, gas & fertiliser is rather concentrated. We are seeing a massive supply shock to the most important input of modern life: food and transport.

$105/bbl A few months ago many said this would never happen. Never bet against inflationary assets in an inflationary era. Deglobalization is structural no cyclical. Watch food prices next. In a world of extreme inequality, with a Fed that needs lower rates to keep...