Tesla Undervalued: Driverless Robotaxis Under $500
While people online were calling me a moron, an asshole, and shitting their pants over a minor correction I was buying calls Tesla remains dramatically undervalued. There are driverless pure vision Robotaxis on the road and it’s still trading under $500. That’s insane.
All Hedge Fund Algorithms Revealed in 151 Strategies
This paper unlocks every algorithm used by hedge funds. 151 trading strategies. Get it here (361 page PDF):
Large‑Cap Growth Breakouts Power May Gains, Not Broad Market
Bullish Percent Indexes are breadth indicators based on point & figure charts. So far in May, $BPNDX has moved higher while $BPSPX has remained sideways. Conclusion: breakouts in large cap growth are driving recent gains instead of a...
Volume Signals Big Moves in Emerging Uptrends
One technique I’ve probably underused over the years? Volume. In today’s video I explain why “power days”- big moves on big volume- can be such an important clue during emerging uptrends. https://t.co/TL5NzTgeF7
AVGO Stalls Near ATH; 461 Resistance Ahead
$AVGO - Made a new all time high 2 weeks ago but has barley made any progress since then. The next upside target is the 1st yearly resistance at 461. https://t.co/dgeAOMOmFc
Rising Oil Forwards Threaten 60/40 Portfolio Stability
What if this condition lasts longer than the market assumes? What if it’s not the spot price that is too high but the forwards that are too low? If this left tail risk manifests, it could have far reaching implications...
Trust Horizontal Structure, Not Diagonals, in Interlocking H&S
Subject: Interlocking H&S This is called an interlocking H&S whereby the right shoulder of the head of the topping pattern becomes the left shoulder of the inverted H&S. This can be a powerful pattern. The target is determined by projecting the...
News‑driven Breakouts Often Get Sold Into: Buy Rumor, Sell News
Extended breakouts that come with news are often sold into. Two great examples today with $MP and $IREN Buy the rumor, sell the news
BofA Delays Fed Rate Cuts to 2027
"We push the two cuts in our Fed forecast out from Sep-Oct '26 to Jul-Sep '27. The data simply don't warrant cuts this year." - BofA
Powell Warns Removal Power Threatens Fed Independence
David Wilcox points out Powell, without being explicitly asked about, pointed to the governors' ability to remove regional Fed Presidents as a risk to independence in his latest press conference. @HooverInst https://t.co/J4Uy69mrei https://t.co/Q0ltpyO3sf
NYSE A/D Line Hits Record, Proving Broad Market Gains
A lot of talk again how only a few stocks are going up. This isn't true, much like it hasn't been true for years. NYSE A/D line hit a new ATH on Wednesday. Hard to think this happens if only...
10‑Week MA Reveals Dot‑Com Bubble Overbought Spike
OK. My bad. Weekly price chart. Need to adjust MA to 10 weeks (50 days). We did get even more OB back in the DotCom bubble. That ended well, right? 😉 https://t.co/qyMoaY829y
MU's Future Upside Hinges on 2027 Earnings Delivery
Client asked me how high $MU can go. The answer is a lot higher or no higher at all. "That's the problem it has an 8 p/e relative to 2027 EPS and 4.7 P/S relative to 2027 forward revenue...
Apple Stock Poised for Strong Gains Today
Apple, IBD Stock Of The Day, Looks Ripe For The Picking. Here's Why. https://t.co/jdPXGmhqVp $AAPL
AI Enhances Quant Investing, Yet Judgment Still Crucial
“When the computer model produces the results, the work is just starting.” Bridgeway Co-CIO Elena Koziaeva joins us on @excessreturnpod https://t.co/OebmbVb6K4 We discuss: • Why the S&P 500 may be less diversified than investors think • What Bridgeway’s research says about the small-cap premium •...
Sticky Inflation Turns Junk Bonds Into Attractive Carry
Geopolitics & sticky inflation are creating a wild bond market. The surprise? It’s making high-yield "junk" bonds look attractive for carry. Defaults stay low, so investors are reaching for that extra yield. 📈 HighYieldBonds
JPMorgan Slides While Chips and Nasdaq Surge
$JPM Daily. As stealth a breakdown as you'll see for JPMorgan given its size & prominence. But in this tape we have chips & Nasdaq melting up again. Chase losing 200-day m.a. pretty soundly here https://t.co/4cDfuRrsOG
PTCT Jumps 17% on Strong Drug Uptake
$PTCT up 17% on results, really liked that one after writing up this week, nice value with strong uptake in its new drug, and those Jan. calls kept accumulating https://t.co/HEe8G2Sjdx
Backwardation Masks True Oil Price, Reflects Convenience Yield
Below we see the front contract for crude oil, as well as its 9-month forward (purple line). For WTI the spread is $109 vs $75. That’s called backwardation, and the lazy interpretation (of which I have been guilty) is that...
Comprehensive Apple 2Q26 Earnings Review Released Today
I just published today’s Above Avalon Daily update. Subscribers, this should now be in your inboxes. A collection of earnings-related items that wrap up my Apple 2Q26 earnings review. As is the case with Above Avalon analysis, no financial stone...
War‑rumor Rally May Be Short‑lived, Sell Soon
Remember the old adage, buy the rumor sell the news... Well if folks are buying in anticipation of the end of war/conflict rally, they appear to have already created that rally. Will be interesting to see how long the spike up...
Iran Risk Still Unpriced, Arab Spring 2.0 Delayed
Arab Spring 2.0 - part of my "Iran Risk Not Priced In" - is not removed only delayed.😢 @anasalhajji
High-Yield Bond Flash Warning: Historical Chart Worth Watching
Tom clued me into this a number of years ago. Here's a look that goes back farther and highlights a couple of other times when it's been valuable (2018 and 2022). Nothing's perfect but this one should be on your...
AI-Driven Memory Shortage Spikes Console Prices
Sony, Nintendo grapple with memory price surge as AI boom constrains supply More collateral damage from US controls on memory... https://t.co/zUdAvKWJsv
Tyson Beef Faces $350‑$500M Loss Amid Cattle Shortage
"Tyson’s beef operations posted a wider loss, and the company expects the segment to lose $350M to $500M in 2026... the severity of the current cattle shortage has sent prices so high that meatpackers are losing money on every animal...
US Slaps Anti-Dumping Duties on Chinese Pea Protein Exporters
Chinese ag-industrial policy story: the US is already levying anti-dumping duties on the following Chinese bio/ag tech firms that were selling underpriced pea protein to the USA. More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/jYxMe3342A
SPX Hits Record, Yet Market Breadth Weakens Significantly
While the $SPX has made a new all-time high in May... 📉 the NYSE advance-decline line has been drifting lower 📉 less $SPX members are above their 50-day MA 📉 Bullish Percent Index has gone down 📉 defense $XLP is outperforming offense $XLY https://t.co/iuUdTnHwvG
Oil Shock May Mirror 2022 Spike, Not Gulf War
Not to rain on this bullish parade, but there is a left tail lurking out there in the Strait of Hormuz. The more I learn about the mechanics of the energy market, the more concerned I am that what the...
Smallcaps Show 24.5% Median PAT Growth So Far
Smallcap results this far: 96/250 out, median PAT growth is 24.5%! Interesting data from thewrap https://t.co/mcytFgtkxe
China's Imports Stall While Exports Surge, Creating Trade Imbalance
Chinese import growth has stopped tracking with Chinese domestic demand growth. With Chinese export volumes growing much faster than global trade, there is now enormous gap -- an imbalance -- in China's trade https://t.co/BhObwF49bG
45% Drop, Still Holds U.S.’s Top Beer – Opportunity
A stock down ~45%… but still owns the #1 beer in the U.S. High margins. Permanent rights. Strong cash flow. Market sees risk. I see a question: Temporary pressure or permanent damage? That’s where the opportunity is.
Janus Henderson Shifts to Defensive Stance After Q1 Edge
Janus Henderson Flexible Bond Fund slightly edged its benchmark in Q1 📈. Managers leaned into risk-on trades like corporate bonds & Japan duration, but are now playing defense—trimming duration & staying cautious on high-yield. A "two-way market" ahead with tariffs...
2026 MLS Sales Financing Shows Surprising Shift to Cash
Here’s a breakdown of reported financing in MLS sales so far in 2026 in the entire region. What stands out to you? https://t.co/1DBuGVwRSM
Shorewood Buys Ex‑Walgreens Site for $13M Mixed‑Use Plan
#Shorewood sees mixed-use future for ex-#Walgreens #Chicagoland campus, paying $13M for the 37.5 acres. Seller #Orion demolished 6 bldgs to make it more appealing. #realestate #IL #CRE #REIT #DeerfieldIL https://t.co/rIc6rgjE0M
Current Price Action Mirrors 2021 Internet Bubble
price action eerily similar to internet bubble as well as 2021. as well as some of they bullish commentary...
Fibonacci Extension Points S&P 500 Toward 8,800
The next Fib level/extension (from the 2022 bear market) brings us to roughly 8800 on the S&P 500. Previous targets have panned out pretty well. TBD whether this one takes the same route. $SPX $SPY $ES_F https://t.co/cT70QE2euF
Portfolio Structure, Not Size, Drives Retirement Confidence
$5M… and still unsure? I see it all the time. It’s not the number. It’s the structure behind it. That’s what creates confidence. Check out thoughts in this article: https://www.kiplinger.com/retirement/retirement-planning/rich-but-restless-why-your-usd5m-portfolio-isnt-buying-retirement-confidence
Investor Places Massive $30
Intel (INTC) buyer of 1000 January 2028 $170 max strike calls $30 to $31.50 👀👀
Tesla Surpasses All Major Moving Averages After Holding
TSLA put all my shares into let it ride. Price now over all major ma's
Bullish Transport Earnings Season Tempered by Demand Caution
Earnings season is nearly over. 71-transportation related names have or will report across the spectrum of trucking, rail, ocean, 3PL, warehousing, tech, banks, and OEMs. We summarized the quotes and had AI rank them on bullishness in a new research...
AI Surge Mirrors 1999 Internet Bubble, Signals Blow‑Off Rally
With the AI theme continuing to accelerate higher, should we be back on bubble watch, as we were last October when things started to get frothy? I haven’t shown my bubble analog in a while, so we are due for...
S&P 500 Hits All-Time High Across All Weightings
The S&P 500 is at the highest level in American history. That’s true on both a market-cap and equal-weighted basis.
Silver Gains Amid Metals Complex Developments
(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: May 8, 2026 - Silver's Lining..." Developments in the metals complex - via The Lyons Share https://t.co/LuHqjsW3zE https://t.co/VzwML7lZxc
Canada’s Initial Rents Keep Dropping Amid Oversupply
Rents Fall For 19 Straight Months In Canada: There Is No Chance This Stops Soon Some clarity: this means INITIAL Rents, if you are currently renting your existing landlord will likely ask for an annual increase Why will initial rents keep falling? Several...
War Headlines Dampen Usual Pre‑auction Buying Optimism
Normally a nice level to love tap a few 5s before 3y auction on Monday, but war news and weekend headlines tough to ignore
Vale Indonesia Q1 Shows Nickel Output Decline, Cost Pressures
PT Vale Indonesia’s Q1 2026 earnings transcript is out. Key nickel output and cost trends were discussed—worth a read for insights on market direction. 📉🔍 NickelNews
Kevin Warsh Struggles to Push Rate Cuts At
It’s getting harder for Kevin Warsh to come into the Fed and push for rate cuts, if he even still wants them…
Infill Developers Can't Scale without Local Financial Ties
And it’s also why great infill developers cannot simply “scale” to other markets. Even if they had the same zoning and there is demand for the product They’d have to rebuild financial relationships from scratch. No banks will finance a 6-plex...
Buy May 8 Call Spread, Sell Put for Credit
$COIN "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 8 Expiry 197.50/200 Call Spread ($1.30) and sell the May 8 Expiry 175 Put for a 5 cent credit." Puts expire, unfortunately so does call spread
Wendy's Sales Slip, Ops Upgrades Offset Weak Breakfast
Wendy's earnings call summary: Same-store sales were not great last quarter; Breakfast was a big reason; Low-income consumers struggling; But operations improvements work; Company improving products; China getting Frosties; No updates on CEO or Nelson Peltz stuff. $WEN