Berkshire's $400B Cash Hoard Signals Potential Market Crash
WARNING: Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on nearly $400 BILLION in cash. This is not normal. Are they preparing for a major market downturn? Should investors be paying closer attention? https://t.co/Uo2EPCrMmt
Berkshire’s New Leaders Face $400 B Deployment Dilemma
Now that Warren and Charlie are no longer running the company... what do you think Berkshire Hathaway and the new management team should do with their $400+ billion of cash? $BRK $BRK.A $BRK.B I joked last year that $BRK should...
Transparent CEOs Emphasize Lumpy Revenue, Long-Term Growth
Really need to commend the CEOs of $FEIM and $BRM.V for their blatant transparency about how quarterly revenue can be lumpy within a very positive long-term growth trend. If you buy these stocks and still complain about dips in the...
Passive Design Exploits Rare Shifts in Equity Premium
Coimbra et al. Pension plan design augmented by passive. Many misinterpret the equity risk premium as stable. We benefitted from two "once in a lifetime" changes. https://t.co/eUzA2WGus1
Reddit’s WAU Jumps 50% While DAU Ratio Stays Flat
I'm publishing my full analysis of Reddit's $RDDT Q1 2026 earnings tomorrow, but one thing I find striking is how sticky engagement has remained as WAUq has increased. DAUq/WAUq is essentially flat from Q2 2024 while WAUq is up by...
Sensitive Sectors Outperform Early and Mid Economic Cycles
Fidelity: Business cycle approach to equity sectors Economically sensitive sectors historically have performed better in the early- and mid-cycle phases of an economic expansion. https://t.co/bneuYFe5oy
Fewer Positions, Greater Profit: Embrace Concentrated Investing
More positions don't mean more profits. They mean more decisions, more mistakes, and more noise drowning out your best ideas. Buffett doesn't own 5 cars. He doesn't run 500 stocks either. Concentration is a feature, not a bug.
Berkshire's Cash Swells to Record 32% of Assets
🚨INSIGHT BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY NOW HOLDS $397 BILLION IN CASH Cash, cash equivalents, and US Treasury Bills up almost 4x since 2022 In the same time, total assets climbed to $1.25 trillion Cash percentage of total assets is at a record 32%, higher than...
Fund Managers Sell Magnificent 7 to Fund SpaceX Bets
Interesting article from @theinformation's @coryweinberg and @validapau. To sum it up (as I can't post it): Fund managers are getting ready by planning to sell big chunks of “Magnificent 7” tech stocks — especially Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Tesla — to...
EV/Gross Profit Metric Spot
Forward EV/Gross Profit vs NTM revenue growth gives a cleaner lens than EV/Sales. It accounts for margin quality, not just top-line expansion. $NET (+29% growth) trades at the highest multiple on the chart, supported by strong margins and AI tailwinds. $SHOP (+26.1%)...
Key Traits to Spot Early Multibagger Stocks
How to Identify a possible multibagger early - 1. Smallcap or Microcap with superb growth. 2. No compromise with margins, PAT growth is a must. 3. Walk the talk Management, With good skin in the game (High promoter holding). 4. Good Capex plans...
Learn Top Investors' Strategies with Free Resources
You don't need an MBA to understand the markets. You just need to study the greatest investors of all time. I've compiled the top strategies of 10 world-class investors + one FREE resource from each that will sharpen your edge immediately. A...
Multiple Macro Forces Make Equities Irresistibly Bullish
Timeless and universal really bullish equity drivers 1. Companies don't need any money from capital markets and in fact are aggressive buyers of their own debt and equity. 2. Budget deficits are expanding YoY at a pace in excess of Nominal GDP...
Missing a Few Top Days Slashes S&P Gains
If you invested $10k in the S&P 500 from 2005 to 2024, you would have ~$71k. BUT if you missed just 10 best days, the value drops to ~$32k. Missed 20 best days, and it's now $19k. Most of the BEST days happen...
S&P 500 Drops Profit Rule, Becomes PE Dumping Ground
On S&P 500 Rule Changes: “The S&P 500 is removing long-standing profitability requirements — the “enshittification” of the index. This change potentially turns the index into a “dumping ground” for Private Equity to offload unprofitable, highly leveraged companies onto retail index...
Fundamentals and Options Beat 0‑DTE Day Trading
The older, wiser, more experienced you get with markets, the more you realize true wealth is made via fundamental research, finding great companies and staying invested in them while staying current via quarterly calls to ensure you still want to...
Energy EPS Forecast Jumps 40ppt; Consumers Largely Unaffected
BofA: Energy 2026 EPS growth revised up by >40ppt since Iran conflict began, but minimal cuts to consumer sectors https://t.co/Z0Zyezl5JZ
AMD FY28 EBITDA Doubles, Powering Share Surge
$AMD On 10/1/25, consensus for FY28 EBITDA was $14.27B, today that estimate is $29.27B Hence, shares have been on an absolute heater Nothing more powerful than screening for notable forward estimate shifts, as fundamentals drive markets https://t.co/1Xw0ZzburV
Buy Turpaz: Phoenix Deal Boosts US Footprint
Macro: Turpaz expands US via $95M Phoenix acquisition. Key: $36.8M rev, $6.9M adj EBITDA, $2M synergies, strong liquidity. Risk: integration & rich valuation. Trade: buy the consolidation. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Stocks Rise if Growth Outpaces Inflation
Great chart. The bigger question is whether growth soars more than inflation? What do stocks do if growth keeps surprising to the upside?
Polen Capital Trims Software Holdings Amid AI Overhype
Polen Capital on selling $ADBE, $INTU and $PAYC "The previously discussed price dislocations within the software space have presented opportunities for long-term patient investors and we believe it prudent to consolidate some of the portfolio around businesses where we believe the...
Perceived Risk Drives Overcautious Investing, Not Real Danger
“One of the peculiarities of investing is that the more risk people feel they’re taking, the less risk they are taking.” Chris Davis explains why perceived risk and actual risk often move in opposite directions. And Rich Bernstein explains why today may...
SME Watchlist Shows Explosive YoY Revenue and Profit Gains
Good results from my SME Watchlist - 1. Prizor Viztech : Revenue 105.93 Cr vs 40.06 Cr (+164.42% YoY) PAT 14.84 Cr vs 5.87 Cr (+152.83% YoY) MARGINS UP + SECTOR TAILWIND 2. Rajesh Power : Revenue 990 Cr vs 759 Cr (+30% YoY) PAT 79.5 Cr...
Majors Snap Up Cheap Tier‑1 Gold as Juniors Struggle
M&A wave hitting tier-1 gold deposits trading at dirt-cheap P/NAV due to junior financing woes. Majors are using strong cash flows/retained earnings to buy without dilution. Time to load junior miners $gdxj before banks flood the zone.
Backlog Outpaces CapEx Bubble, Portfolio Soars
Why do we keep talking about a CapEx bubble, when the backlog of the same companies is rising (substantially) faster? That and more is found in our very well received monthly portfolio update on @RealVision .. We remain solidly up...
Investors Succeed by Asking “What If I’m Wrong?”
Howard Marks has managed billions across 40+ years. His edge isn't models. It's one question he asks before every investment: "What if I'm wrong?" Most investors ask: "How much can I make?" The best investors ask: "How bad can this get?" Do the math. Then...
Identifying Mega
Hey @grok Which current mega-cap tech stock looks the most like a future underperformer based on historical valuation extremes and slowing fundamentals?
High‑grade Uranium Deposit, but Not a Immediate Buy
IsoEnergy’s Hurricane deposit has world-class uranium grade, but that doesn’t mean it’s a buy now. The development timeline is long—first production likely late this decade or early next. High-grade ore won’t fix delayed cash flows or dilution risks. Uranium
Berkshire's New Leader Gains Credibility, Yet Sentiment Wanes
Macro: Berkshire shifts to Greg Abel. Abel wins operational credibility but attendance and merchandise dipped. Risk: fading Buffett aura may dent sentiment. Trade: Hold BRK.B; await catalyst ⚠️ — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Record S&P Earnings Mask Underlying Inflation-Adjusted Decline
S&P 500 earnings hit a record, but it's not all good news. Inflation-adjusted earnings are actually below past peaks, and growth is driven by just a few mega-cap tech stocks. A warning sign for complacent markets. 📉 StockMarketWarning
Burry Bets on Microsoft as Recession‑proof Dividend King
Burry just opened a brand new long in $MSFT. Microsoft. Down 25% from its July 2025 peak. Worst Q1 since 2008. He called it "forensic" analysis. That's an engineer's word. BuyTrigger: $440 Price: $428 Power Rating: A Risk Level: 22 (sleep-well-at-night) Recommend: 93 Recession Proof. Dividend King. Mega...
Mauboussin’s TSR Checklist Prioritizes Mechanical Value Drivers
Michael Mauboussin is the gold standard for structured thinking in investing. Here is his checklist for assessing Total Shareholder Returns (TSR). It forces you to look past the "story" and focus on the mechanical drivers of value: ✅ Net Income Growth (Sales,...
Colgate’s 63‑Year Dividend Streak Speaks Volumes
The best dividend charts don’t need explanation. They just go up. 📊 Colgate. 63 consecutive years. Chartporn Discl: no position
Amag Aluminium Earnings Drop on Tariffs, Weak Auto Demand
Amag aluminium earnings fell in 2025 as tariffs, weak automotive demand and high costs hit margins. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/05/amag-aluminium-earnings-fall-as-tariffs.html
Gold & Silver Mining Booms on Unprecedented Free Cash Flow
What the gold and silver Mining game is all about…free cash flow. Hasn’t been this good ever fundamentally? https://t.co/15t8fEa6bf
Invest in Businesses, Not Stock Prices, to Avoid Losses
Most investors lose money they didn't have to lose. Here's why, in 3 lines: 1️⃣ They buy stocks, not businesses 2️⃣ They watch price, not value 3️⃣ They sell on fear, not fundamentals Peter Lynch's whole philosophy fits in one sentence: know what you own. If...
Apple Q2 Beats Estimates, Services Drive Growth
MyPOV: @Apple Q2 better than expected https://t.co/hfQfCC501U Apple reported better-than-expected fiscal Q2 results driven by services growth. Apple's product categories other than the iPhone also beat Wall Street estimates. @ldignan @constellationr
Berkshire’s Pricing Power Shifts as Buffett Steps Back
Times are changing: "Warren Buffett doesn’t participate much in pricing decisions and has only talked three times in the past ten years to one Berkshire CEO." May 2018. A private seller's motivation is now different. From coverage by Barron’s of...
Quantum Tech Nears Portfolio Readiness, but Risk Remains
Quantum computing is leaving the lab—but is it ready for your portfolio? 🧪➡️💼 Key milestones in error correction & hardware show real progress. Pure plays like IonQ and Rigetti are high risk, but tech giants are all in. QuantumComputing
Secular Bull Markets Begin at Breakout, Not Bottom
When do secular bull markets start? I say on the breakout, meaning April 2013 (or Oct '80) not March 2009 (or Aug '82). What do you think? This seems to really get people fired up. 🐂 🐻 https://t.co/X24CfOzK8b
Tencent Becomes Sole External Shareholder of Game Science
Tencent has increased its stake in Game Science, the developer of Black Myth Wukong, from 5% to 24%. Hero Games, the original backer of the studio, sold its 19% share in the company. Tencent is now the sole external shareholder....
Normalize Cyclical Earnings, Demand Graham Discount at Peaks
Cyclical stocks are liars at the top of the cycle. Earnings look great. Margins look great. The P/E looks cheap. Then the cycle turns, and you realize you paid permanent prices for temporary profits. The fix: normalize earnings across the full cycle. Then...
Shareholders Reject Workforce Report, Keep Berkshire Board Intact
Berkshire shareholders rejected workforce report, approved say-on-pay and kept board. Decentralized model preserves subsidiary autonomy; operational incidents persist. Trade: overweight BRK.B. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Google Cloud Matches 2014 Google Size, 25% More Profitable
Google Cloud is now the same size Google itself was a decade ago, and it is 25 percent more profitable. $GOOG https://t.co/6lPID0NAuE
Cheap Offshore Wind Operator CDLR Booms Amid AI Hype
Everyone is watching $NVDA $AAPL $AMZN earnings prints Meanwhile $CDLR is sitting at a P/E under 8 with a €2.8B backlog and revenue that grew 149% last year It's an offshore wind installation vessel operator. Small cap, ~$2.5B. Boring chart. No AI...
Top S&P 500 Winners Across 5‑20 Year Horizons
The best performing stocks in the S&P 500 over the last 5, 10, 15, and 20 years... https://t.co/l5IYmkeySJ https://t.co/EuWF4B4RuU
Berkshire Sees Market as Casino, Cash Ready to Strike
Warren Buffett at Berkshire’s 2026 AGM talking about waiting to deploy its $397B cash pile: “I’ve compared the markets to the church with a casino attached. People can move between the church and the casino. The casino has gotten very attractive...
Adobe Undervalued: Burry Adds Position, Buyback Boosts Value
Burry's quietly added to $ADBE. Adobe at $241. The market is pricing it like Figma already won and AI ate the rest. The fundamentals say otherwise. BuyTrigger: $319 ValueTrigger: $458 (Undervalued) SellTrigger: $729 +90% to fair value. +203% to my sell zone. Buyback Reality Index: A rating....
S&P 500 EPS Projected to Rise 22% This Year
22% S&P 500 EPS growth expected this year... and it has been trending higher GS https://t.co/MIGNciysdn
Berkshire's Cash Surges to $397B After $8.1
A tender for Berkshire shares by BRK seems more than possible: "cash jumped to $397 billion in the first quarter as it offloaded a net $8.1 billion of equity holdings in the period. Operating earnings got a boost from an...