Only 30 Stocks Generate 43% of Market Gains
From Hendrik Bessembinder's updated report: Only 30 stocks (out of 29,000) have produced 43% of wealth creation since 1926 Some will say this is why you just buy a market cap weighted momentum index like the S&P. I would say it proves the stock market is for stock picking and buy and hold forever is probably the most difficult game in town regardless of how simple and cerebral it all sounds.
His Position Sizing Defies Traditional Investing Rules
Derek Pilecki has compounded at 20%+ annualized over the past five years. In a recent conversation, he broke down his core position sizing rule... and it challenges one of investing's most repeated principles. Here's what he does differently.🧵
US Tech Hyperscaler Valuation Premium Declines
GS: The valuation premium of the US technology Hyperscalers has fallen S&P 500 12m forward P/E multiple https://t.co/29BVbVl8AT
Governance Gaps Highlighted Amid Unanswered CEO Outreach
Just so everyone has the full picture, the Koala has never received a reply to any of these emails to TNR Gold $TNR.V $TRRXF Have never met with or spoken with the CEO (despite trying) Swapped DMs with his son the VP...
US PEG Ratio Diverges From Global Benchmark
GS: The PEG ratio between the US and the rest of the world has re-set https://t.co/jWxIsm2v9R
Probability of Success Integrates Development Risk Into Biotech Valuations
Incorporating Probability of Success (PoS) is a unique aspect of #biotech valuation investors must be aware of. It tries to factor development risk into revenue and cost assumptions. Here is a table of PoS values: #learnbiotechinvesting #investing #BiotechPrometheus https://t.co/GA3LVSmWFZ
Tech's Relative Returns Hit 50-Year Low
GS: We have seen one of the weakest periods of relative returns for technology over the past 50 years Distribution of returns of World Tech vs. World ex. TMT, data since 1973 https://t.co/S5HpmcroXj
Staying Long Energy, Short Financials for Q3
SECTORS: we remain Long of Energy $XLE and Short of Financials $XLF in #Quad3 https://t.co/yzGAEJws8f
OHGR Lands 3‑year Sheffield Deal; Valuation Dips, Modest Dividend
#OHGR got Sheffield Teaching Hospital to sign up to 3 year deal. ShareScope has fwd p/e 19 falling to 18 and fwd Divvy 2.6% each of next 2 years. Interesting with NHS a national disgrace. I don't hold.
BKS Secures £2.1m
#BKS won a 5 year £2.1m contract for Proximity Cloud. Says sees "strong momentum across the business". ShareScope has fwd p/e 18.4 falling to 15.3 and but no Dividend. Interesting. I don't hold.
2026 S&P Outlook: Down Year with Late‑Year Opportunities
Coming up on @thestreetpro Why 2026 Looks Like A Down Year for the S & P Index * Though the negatives are accumulating, a few stocks are approaching buyable levels * "Slugflation" is more likely than ever - with economic growth...
Cash
For the many reasons I have mentioned in columns on @thestreetpro... the "cash on the sidelines" is a B.S. argument that often surfaces during maturing Bull Markets as Bulls run out of arguments... @dougkass
Pick Great Companies Over Favorable Industries Every Time
"If it's a choice between investing in a good company in a great industry, or a great company in a lousy industry, I'll take the great company in the lousy industry any day." ~ Peter Lynch
Tech’s Valuation Gap Narrows, Bubble Narrative Fades
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 6, 2026) In the late 1990s, Tech's market-cap share towered 15 percentage points above its earnings share. Today that spread is 1.5 points. Earnings have done the catching up. Is the bubble comparison finally...
Buy the Dip, Hold Long—Veteran Gold Miner’s Strategy
I started in gold mining sector before 2000… buy the dip and stay long has been my strategy. https://t.co/IJIQMj8beA
Overweight Tesla as ARK Pivots to EVs
Macro: ARK shifts from industrial semis to EVs. Key: sold Teradyne, bought Tesla. Risk: ARK flows will amplify volatility. Insight: Consider overweighting TSLA within risk limits. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Sunway's RM11B IJM Bid Masks High‑P/E Time Bomb
Everyone thinks Sunway's RM11 billion bid for IJM is just about building a "NATIONAL CHAMPION," but the underlying math reveals a brilliant trap. At an implied 46.6x P/E, this isn't a generous premium buyout—there is a ticking time bomb most investors...
Start Valuation with Balance Sheet, Not Earnings
"Graham valuation starts with balance sheet reality, then adjusts for earning power." Most investors focus on earnings, but overlook what’s actually real.
Founder‑led Companies Crush S&P Returns with Long‑term Focus
Data from Bain & Company shows that indexed total shareholder returns for founder-led firms vastly outperform the rest of the S&P 500. Why? ✅ Long-term obsession > Quarterly smoothing ✅ Willingness to pivot fast ✅ "Founder's Mentality" Is your portfolio weighted toward founders?
Investing in Inevitable Tech: Wang’s AI Playbook
“I like to invest in inevitabilities.” Anthony Wang, manager of the $12B T. Rowe Price Science and Technology Fund joins us to discuss his approach to finding the inevitable, and where he sees it in tech and AI today. https://t.co/th3u4YuK6L
S&P 500 Historically Surges 30‑44% After Wars
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 6, 2026) History is on the side of the bulls. The S&P 500 rose 31%-44% in the two years after four of six major US military conflicts since WWII. Does history rhyme here? https://t.co/L002x8ENP4
Trump-Era Markets Thrive, Except March Downturns
March Madness: the stock market has done well under Trump (both terms) EXCEPT the month of March. All the big negative mkt catalysts seem to happen in March (COVID, Tariffs, Iran). Here's S&P long term avg vs Trump Years. Do...
Berkshire's Cash Ratio Spikes to 44%, Double Historic Average
Since Berkshire is an insurer, it needs a lot of cash on hand, and so ratio charts tend to be more informative than nominal charts. Berkshire's cash amount as a share of enterprise value has averaged 24% over 20+ years, whereas...
Globalize Your Portfolio Amid De‑globalization Trends
𝗚𝗹𝗼𝗯𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘇𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝗻 𝗔 𝗗𝗲𝗴𝗹𝗼𝗯𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘇𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗪𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱 🌍 "When the world is falling apart, your portfolio should be putting countries together. You should globalize your portfolio when the world is de globalizing." - Owen Lamont & Randolph Cohen https://t.co/zvS3rH5cbA
J.P. Morgan Sets $145 Target for Tesla
This is the J.P. Morgan analyst who just put a $145 price target on $TSLA btw https://t.co/4MYZZS8Zsm
Disney's Parks Power Fuels Profit, Yet Risks Stagnation
Over the past decade, Disney’s Parks & Cruises division has jumped from 18% to 57% of DIS operating profit. The combined TV, Sports and Film Studio operating profit fell from 70% to 25% (32% if include streaming). Parks & Cruises still...
Weightwatchers Leverages GLP‑1
Weightwatchers now at a market cap of $120m, with: • $160m cash • $110m adj. EBITDA guidance for 2026 • some 80% growth in its GLP-1 business GLP-1 transition couldn’t be any better as Novo Nordisk is going all in on telehealth distribution, with...
Diversify: Blend Growth, Value, and Income Stocks
Barron’s Top 10 Stocks for 2026 👀 From growth names like AMZN to income plays like BMY & XOM—this list shows one thing: There’s no “one-size-fits-all” portfolio. Mix growth + value + income.
Greek Shipping Stocks Shine Despite Governance Reputation
I asked @ed_fin about the shipping industry's reputation for "governance issues" He went in-depth about Greek shipping and its "adventurous governance..." but there are two Greek shipping stocks he thinks are actually very good https://t.co/qUjYx8adg2 https://t.co/KgHyDZaVTT
Tax‑Smart Strategies Outperform Pure Stock‑Picking Returns
If you are solely focused on generating better returns through stock picking and/or market timing, you are leaving a TON OF MONEY on the table. Get smarter about the many ways you can substantially improve your net, after-tax, total returns...
Low Prices Aren’t Guarantees: Avoid Cheap Stock Traps
Learn why a low stock price doesn’t automatically mean a good investment in this engaging topic inspired by Peter Lynch. This idea focuses on the dangers of “cheap stocks” and how they can still fall to zero, making it essential...
Proximity's Edge: What Really Gives Fund Managers Advantage
Mutual fund managers have long been thought to benefit from being close to the companies they follow. But what exactly creates that edge? Better public information, faster internal communication or something more human? by @ebasilico https://t.co/OmOz0vddDJ https://t.co/W9P6uPA4aO
War Depreciates Money; Real Assets Outperform
"The one thing you can be quite sure of: if we went into some very major war, the value of money would go down. You’re going to be a lot better off owning productive assets over the next fifty years...
Improvement Outperforms Quality: Upgrade Beats Stable Greats
The most important chart in all of investing? Michael Mauboussin’s data shows that improvement beats quality every single time. ✅ Buying an optically "Bad" company that becomes "Great": +33% TSR 📈 Buying a "Great" company that stays "Great": +20% TSR ❌ Buying a...
Eli Lilly's Oral GLP‑1 Faces Price War Threat
6April: Why are @EliLillyandCo investors concerned that sales of its just-approved oral GLP-1 may be dampened this year by a price war with @novonordisk? Read about $LLY & $NOVOB plus updates on $INO $ORIC & $SGMO in my latest StockWatch for @GENbio: https://t.co/leir6iyURg
MercadoLibre’s Integrated Logistics‑Fintech Flywheel Fuels Growth
4 Stocks Dominating E-commerce + Fintech Outside the U.S. 👇 $MELI MercadoLibre is compounding via a tightly integrated ecosystem. Reinvested 5–6 pts of margin into logistics + credit while handling 500M additional deliveries YoY. Brazil unit shipping costs dropped 11% in local...
Best Investors See Corrections as Opportunity, Not Panic
Every correction is different, but investor behavior doesn’t change. Bad investors panic and sell. Good investors get nervous but hold. The Best investors get excited about potential opportunities. https://t.co/YtG3rq0fnN
QVC and HSN Bankruptcy Threatens
Wherever will I acquire my capodimonte now? QVC, HSN cable networks face Chapter 11, insolvency https://t.co/60gKHLv5PG
Stick to Quality: 27 Years of Market‑Beating Returns
Francois Rochon has beaten the market over the past 27 years He built his edge by staying within his circle, focusing on quality businesses that grow above the rate of the market, and avoiding terrible businesses with poor economics Learn more about...
RA Capital Boosts Wave Stake Amid Clinical Setback
🚨Here is an interesting report from this week’s @barronsonline regarding a major investment made in $WVE by RA Capital - despite Wave’s recent disappointing clinical readout of its obesity candidate $WVE-007 🧵👇. According to the report RA Capital has raised...
Consider Fully Diluted Shares for True Market Cap
Investors should look at fully diluted shares outstanding #FDSO when looking at the market cap of a company. Dilutive securities, including options, warrants, converts, etc, can have a meaningful impact on the actual market cap of a company #learnbiotechinvesting #biotech #investing...
3% of UK Stocks Create All Wealth, 97% Destroy Value
New UK research tracked every stock listed between 1975 and 2024. The finding: just 3.1% of UK stocks generated ALL the real wealth created by the market over 50 years. The other 97%? Collectively destroyed value.And the concentration is accelerating. 🧵 https://t.co/bhIoecLzfT
Nasdaq 100 P/E Drops 23%, Russell 2000 Lags
"The Nasdaq 100’s forward price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) has compressed by 23% since the highs at the end of October, while the Russell 2000 P/E has only compressed by 9%." -Liz Thomas, SoFi
Buffett Sells Apple, Amazon, BofA; Adds Domino's
🚨WARREN BUFFET ISSUES FINAL BERKSHIRE PORTFOLIO FILING This is Buffet’s last update before he hands over the company’s new CEO In short: they sold more Apple, Amazon & Bank of America Google shares remained untouched Berkshire also took up new or added to...
Accumulate, Don't Trade; Long‑term Holding Builds Wealth
Too many people trade. Too few people accumulate in a secular trend (especially through weakness) and allow it to compound. There are very few rich traders but there are many, many rich people who owned assets for longer time horizons. Zoom...
S&P 500 Valuation Drops as Earnings Surge, Recession Fears Unfounded
The S&P 500's valuation multiple fell 18% while forward earnings climbed to a record high. The market priced in recession fears that analysts never shared. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/nsxnGQf0yN
April Matches July as S&P’s Most Likely Green Month
Over the past 20 years, the S&P 500 in April has been higher 80% of the time, tied with July for the most likely month to be green. https://t.co/aVppxUQE3r
Geopolitical Risk Dominates S&P 500 10‑K Disclosures
I analyzed fifty S&P 500 10-Ks. The data is wild. I scanned for 8 risk themes: tariffs, war, geopolitical risk, oil/energy, sanctions, supply chain, interest rates, and recession. Morgan Stanley has 221 mentions of geopolitical risk. Citigroup has 269 mentions. Bank of America had...
Buy Cash‑flow Assets Cheap, Ignore Market Hype
"The intelligent investor buys discounted cash-producing assets, not market excitement." Stop chasing hype, start owning real value.
CLO Equity Fund Discounted yet Still Offers 24% Yield
OXLC cut its distribution 50%. The price crashed 60%. And the yield is STILL 24%. Here's the catch — and why this CLO equity fund trading at a 16% discount might actually be interesting for the first time in years: https://t.co/oLGHvO4MvQ