NICL Appears Cheap After Cash Strip, but I Stay Out
#NICL good Update. Net Cash £59.8m (up). Potential disruption from Middle East dramas. ShareScope has fwd p/e 12.9 falling to 12.1 and fwd Divvy 4.9% rising to 5.4%; strip out cash and it looks cheap. I don't hold.
Top Deep‑Value Blogs to Bookmark for Hidden Gems
Some of the best deep value / special sits blogs I've started following over the last 12 months, a mix of private investors and funds, all worth bookmarking 👇 1) @everyonehatesp1: Small & micro-cap ideas with inflection and catalyst-rich trades 2) @MaiusPartners:...
AXS Shows Modest Accoya Growth, Yet Valuation Stretched
#AXS Update reads well with decent growth in Accoya volumes and value. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 31.7 2 years out; with debt it's a very high rating, so lot more growth needed.
XPS FY Update Boosts Appeal: Lower P/E, Higher Dividend
#XPS good FY Update, especially after a strong prior year. ShareScope has fwd p/e 14.8 falling to 13.7 and fwd Divvy 4% rising to 4.3%; still appealing.
Investors Prematurely Swapped Tech for Staples at 25x
Another great report from @MacroCharts, but this one stood out. Five weeks ago investors were dumping tech to buy staples at 25x. Whoops. https://t.co/kHSzcGfSN2
Investing at S&P 500 Highs Isn’t a Fear
One of bigger worries investors have is investing at all-time highs for the S&P 500. Should you have a fear of heights? Probably not. https://t.co/OmqSvwlcYt
Buffett Hints at Future Apple Buys, but Not Now
Buffett on CNBC a few weeks ago talking Apple (Berkshire profited $100B+ on AAPL and still owns $60B+). “Tim Cook couldn’t have done what Steve did, but Steve handed him a hand Steve would not have done as well.” “I sold...
Tech Drives EPS Surge, Up 15% for 2027
EPS estimates have been soaring, but it is actually coming from only three areas: materials, energy, and tech. Tech is simply amazing, as 2026 EPS estimates are up 11.3% YTD and up an incredible 15.1% for 2027. https://t.co/u40iPitzvC
BRE Poised for Takeover by LYC or MP
$BRE is a strong potential takeover target for either $LYC or $MP, given that Mrs. Rhineheart is a shareholder in all three companies.
Silver Miners Cheap, Cash‑flow Rich Amid Price Resilience
With silver prices proving resilient at these levels, miners are trading at some of the cheapest valuations in their history. These companies are delivering record cash flows with exceptionally high margins. Game on. https://t.co/a2yC5hgWq2 https://t.co/06A0bDqjf9
Fervo Energy S‑1 Reveals Geothermal Pipeline and Costs
Enhanced geothermal energy pioneer Fervo Energy filed its S-1 in advance of a planned IPO, offering a closer look at their development pipeline, current and projected capital costs, and more. @heatmap_news's @MattZeitlin drills down for some insights: https://t.co/vpluY58Osk https://t.co/Q1X1QDKuNb
Onto's Rigaku Stake Raises Valuation Risk, Trim Suggested
Onto buys 27% of Rigaku for $710M, bolstering X‑ray/CD‑SAXS tie‑up; strong cash but 105x P/E flags valuation risk. Trading insight: trim ONTO on strength; watch execution. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Goldman Forecasts S&P 500 Hitting 7% Gain by Year‑end
Goldman: “The US equity market should continue to make new highs in coming months on the back of continued earnings growth. We expect a 7% rise in the S&P 500 to our year-end target of 7600”
Sell S&P Puts to Boost Returns Beyond the Market
You can buy the S&P and beat 90% of stock pickers… Or you can buy the S&P and sell puts on it… and quietly move into the top 1% Same foundation. Slightly different approach. One just adds income on top of the market’s long...
Four Criteria to Spot Potential 10x Stocks
When looking for 10x stocks, I want to see: ✅ Explosive revenue growth ✅ A massive market opportunity ✅ Low or no debt ✅ Product people love If a company checks all 4 boxes, I dig in. What’s a stock that passes your test? $ALAB $UUUU $IREN
AWS Alone May Be Worth $2 Trillion, Boosting Amazon
Amazon (ie $AMZN) current market cap is $2.7 trillion. After the news tonight with Anthropic, it's possible that AWS (by itself) is worth at least $2 trillion and maybe the full $2.7 trillion in which case you get the rest of...
2028 S&P 500: Three Scenarios, Wide Outcome Range
I have mapped out a half dozen S&P 500 scenarios for yearend 2028, based on the 2027 earnings consensus. Granted, earnings can vary wildly from expectations, as can market psychology. If the Street gets it right on earnings, the super-bull...
Price Appreciation, Not Dividends, Drives Equity Returns
From Al Rappaport's paper, "Dividend Reinvestment, Price Appreciation and Capital Accumulation": "Do dividends rather than price appreciation really dominate equity returns? To the contrary, I will show that price appreciation is the sole source of investment returns that increase accumulated...
New 11%+ Yield ETF Boosts High‑Yield Portfolio
It is officially Dividend Week. Why Dividend Week? Because I’m obsessed with one thing: increasing the value that Dividendology provides. And over the past few months, I’ve been working on something behind the scenes that ties directly into that. Recently, we added an ETF...
2026 May Mirror 2023 Market Gains, Says Morgan Stanley
"...We respect the “wisdom of the crowd” and appreciate that last year, markets ultimately rose more than 16% on 12% earnings growth. In fact, with the US economy no longer as sensitive to oil prices, consumer sentiment and the level...
Dan Loeb Dumps CSGP, Citing Reckless CEO Spending
Dan Loeb sells out of $CSGP "CEO Andy Florance has continued what can only be seen as a reckless drain on a majority of the company's operating income into Homes,com and related acquisitions even as the share price has continued to...
Amazon's Customer Moat Fuels Late‑Blooming AI Advantage
$AMZN had the customer moat. Its AI story was delayed compared to its peers, but its massive customer base was an advantage that is now coming to fruition.
Most US Stocks Lag Treasury Bills, Buy the Market
The majority of US stocks (59%) have underperformed Treasury bills over their lifetime and 45% end up having a negative cumulative return. “Don’t look for the needle in the haystack. Just buy the haystack.” - Jack Bogle Video: https://t.co/yQSLZ1RFLj
S&P 500 Crosses Optimism Threshold, Majority Above Trend
A few weeks ago, fewer than half of the S&P 500 components were trading above their long-term trend. Today, the majority is. Participation has cleared the optimism threshold. Now let’s see if it can hold.
IMOM’s Record Year Driven by Global Momentum Strategy
In 2025, the Alpha Architect Int’l Quantitative Momentum ETF posted its strongest year yet. But was it all luck? In our new paper, we break down how $IMOM captured shifts across countries, currencies, and sectors. Read here: https://t.co/1qzsZ9X5xg Learn more: https://t.co/HJuy9YYuaP
Data Center Stocks Offer Hidden Multibagger Value
Excerpt from yesterday’s @GeoInvesting Weekly Wrap-Up.. I keep telling myself that I want to move away from investing in stocks tied to the data center theme, but I keep coming back to it because that’s where so many legit future multibagger...
Wall Street Remains Calm Amid Iran Naval Blockade
The U.S. Navy is actively blockading Iranian ports. The $VIX is at 17.21. The $SPY is at all-time highs. Either Wall Street has priced in the geopolitical risk perfectly — or this is the most complacent market since 2007. History rarely rewards this level...
Inside Vanguard's Massive Index Fund: Structure, AI, Governance
What does it take to run one of the world's largest index fund operations? Rodney Comegys of Vanguard breaks down the philosophy and mechanics — ownership structure, equity concentration, governance, private assets, and AI. https://t.co/KDr1BxQ58M With thanks to @AlphaSenseInc, @CanoeAI, and Ridgeline.
Ex‑Glencore Executives Flock to New Cobalt Venture.
Not in the stock right now but cobalt stans should be paying attention to how many former Glencore execs are getting into this company including those with extensive cobalt + DRC experience They see the opportunity
GameStop Rally Is Hype, Fundamentals Still Weakening
GameStop's recent surge is just social media hype, not 2021 again, says analysis. The bear case argues its core business is still in decline. A selling opportunity? 🎮 Stocks
Invest in Untapped Operating Leverage for Hidden Profit Explosions
My favorite type of investment? Businesses with embedded operating leverage that hasn't fully flexed yet. The market is notoriously bad at pricing long-term optionality. It sees the red line and the green line moving together today, but misses the "breakout"...
Investing at Market Peaks Beats Timing Any Other Day
Are you ready to have your mind blown? Since 1989, money invested when the market is at all-time highs has actually outperformed money invested on any given day. 🤯🤯🤯 https://t.co/qDhqxMLUZg
Lululemon Downgraded Amid High Valuation, Slowing Growth
Lululemon's products are still great, but a new analysis warns the stock's risks are now greater. Citing high valuation, tough competition, and slowing growth, the rating gets a downgrade. investing
Holding Stocks Wins, But Discipline Remains Tough
In hindsight, buying and holding stocks was the right choice this past year. That's easier said than done. This is a nice personal essay from financial newsletter ace @SamRo on how hard that is even for someone like him. https://t.co/ondBWl2hlM
Netflix Accelerates Its Evolution Amid Market Shifts
Today's TSOH Investment Research Netflix: The Pace of Change $NFLX Thank you to @FrancoOlivera for his feedback https://t.co/pCr6qiYKfI https://t.co/5kuiihQ5I9
Germans Shift €5.5bn From Stocks to €18bn Funds
Good Morning from Germany, where investors are moving money out of individual stocks and into investment funds. In Q4 2025 alone, Germans pulled €5.5bn from individual stocks, the largest outflow in more than a decade. At the same time, they...
Anthropic's Ownership: Big Tech Holds ~30% Collectively
Anthropic’s approximate major equity ownership: • Amazon: ~8–16% • Google (Alphabet): ~14%l • NVIDIA: ~3% • Microsoft: low single-digit % • Co-founders (Dario Amodei, Daniela Amodei & other 5 co-founders): each ~1.8%+ (collective significant founder stake; total founders likely...
John Bogle Debunked Index Fund Idea, Then Created It
In 1960, two academics proposed the index fund. The person who argued against them? A young John Bogle, writing under a fake name. He went on to launch the first one. We made a short film about the paper that started it...
ELIX AI Growth, Lower P/E, Higher Dividend—Still Not a Buy
#ELIX good Update; AI seems to be a growth area for them. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 12.9 falling to 10.9 and fwd Divvy 3% rising to 3.5%; pretty reasonable valuation. I don't hold.
Revenue Beats, Backlog Record, P/E Improves, Dividend Rises
#KNOS "Revenue ahead of consensus", "Record backlog levels". ShareScope showing fwd p/e 21.5 falling to 18.1 and fwd Divvy 3.4% rising to 3.7%, BEFORE cash stripped out. Lot to like. I don't hold.
Avid Budget Downgraded to Underweight Amid Overvaluation
Avid Budget Group $CAR downgraded to Underweight @ Barclays 'Rental Car 1Q Set-Up: fundamentals improving, but stock move is all technical; d/g CAR to UW' Nevertheless, while fundamentals have become favorable, we downgrade CAR to UW from EW and raise our PT...
US Tech's Edge Fades; Global Markets Take Lead
To outperform MSCI World Index was easy in the past due to the following: US mkt was outperforming rest of world US tech was outperforming US market Mag7 plus a few more similar stocks were outperforming US tech So you bought 5-7 US tech...
Independence First, Wealth Follows Through Patience
Charlie Munger never set out to become a billionaire. He just wanted to never need permission from anyone. The money? That came from the same place the independence did — patience, compounding, and not doing dumb things. Financial freedom isn't a destination. It's...
100% Bull Markets Average About Three Years Duration
The current bull market is up 99.2%. Looking at the 7 bull markets that made it to 100%, they lasted another 3 yrs on avg (with a median of 1.8 years). Yes, things peaked soon after 100% was hit in 1980, 2007,...
S&P 500 CAPE Hits 40, Tops 99% Historic Levels
The S&P 500's CAPE Ratio has moved up to 40, its highest level since 2000 and now above 99% of historical valuations. $SPX https://t.co/uhUt33SCp5
Dollar‑Cost Averaging Beats Market Timing Every Time
Nobody can predict exact bottom or top but for 95% of the folks just DCA and keep adding. You will always win almost always. If you DCA into SPY from the beginning of year you would beat SPY itself its...
AMD Poised to Ride AI Chip Boom to $600
Bullish take on AMD: a deep-dive analysis argues the AI chip market is set to explode, and AMD's tech could drive its stock to $600. A bold, long-term vision. Investing
ServiceNow's Q1 Warns: Stock Demands Unrealistic Growth
ServiceNow's Q1 earnings preview sounds a caution. The bearish take? It's a great company, but the stock price demands near-perfect, sustained growth that may be unrealistic. All eyes on cRPO guidance. investing
ServiceNow Overvalued: Near‑Perfect Growth Required to Sustain Price
ServiceNow's a top company, but this analysis says its stock price is too high. It needs near-perfect growth to justify current levels. A stumble could hurt. investing
Skip Firms Needing a Banker’s Handshake to Survive
Graham's most overlooked filter wasn't P/E ratios or book value. It was this: does this business need a banker's handshake to survive the next downturn? If yes, pass. Refinancing risk is where defensive portfolios quietly go to die.