Graham Screens Simply Systematize Buying From Headline‑driven Sellers
Graham screens aren't magic. They're just a systematic way of buying from someone who read one bad headline and sold.
Intel's $280B Surge Masks 100x Valuation Risks
INTC up $280 billion in market cap from low. Q1 Revenue beat by $1b, Guidance raised for next Q ~1-1.5b. Still trading at 100x earnings the most expensive semiconductor company that still has a lot of...
Debunked Dividend Growers Study Still Circulates After Ten Years
Hey @hartfordfunds, you should really consider not running these articles on "Dividend Growers"...we debunked this faulty study almost a decade ago. It gets repeated, and repeated, and repeated everywhere... https://t.co/AdFNkynxGt
Intel's Server CPU TAM Set to Quadruple by 2030
Definitely glad I never gave up on $INTC. Still execution milestones to watch, but as we anticipate the server CPU TAM to from ~$25b this year to ~$95b in our base case in 2030 it's greenfield dollar expansion. ...
US Dividend Yield Near Historic Sub‑1% Threshold
A few more up days and the US stock market is going to take out the all-time low dividend yield of 1.1%. Do we see a sub 1 % dividend yield?!
Easy Policy Fuels Stock Rise, Then Yield Spike Crashes Markets
One of the popular narratives is from those focused on easy policy stance and persistent inflation. It follows the purple line. Higher stock prices with modestly higher yields driven by growth and inflation and then a capitulation by central...
Buffett’s 1962 Deal: 83% Cash, 4× EBIT
Warren Buffett Case Study: East Sullivan Mines - 1962. 83% of Net Cash. 4x EBIT. https://t.co/xpfz5TrvtQ
Tesla Dwarfs Peers with 539% Profit Outlook
Expected profit growth in next 5 years: Tesla: +539% Palantir: +326% Carvana: +250% Oracle: +178% Microsoft: +131% Amazon: +124% Uber: +119% AppLovin: +107% Meta: +87% Alphabet: +87% Palo Alto: +86% Spotify: +85% Apple: +77% Netflix: +65% Robinhood: +61% (avg analyst estimates)
Holding Energy Exposure Yields New Cycle Highs
Unlike some, we didn't sell our Energy Exposures - new Cycle Highs for us in $OIH terms https://t.co/Ita9wyMzJx
13 Elite Stocks, 9 Hyper‑Elite, Diverse
66 stocks in my universe. 13 clear the R40 bar. 9 hit Hyper-Elite territory. Every elite compounder has a different profile — growth vs margin, quadrant by quadrant. $NVDA. $APP. $CRDO. $HOOD. $PLTR. Same elite score. Different engines. Full breakdown 👇 https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/13-stocks-one-system-heres-how-i?r=4zq7nk&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
SentinelOne Profits by Selling AI Agents per Endpoint
Day 11 of 30: How $S SentinelOne actually makes money Most people think it's "the AI version of CrowdStrike" That's a positioning slide. Not how the money flows Their revenue isn't from selling software. It's from selling AI agents that hunt threats on...
Alani Nu Could Boost CELH Revenue, Undervaluing Stock
$CELH does seem too cheap at ~2.9x NTM ev/revs with Alani Nu growing at 94% YoY. At the end of 2025, the Celsius brand was 60% of total revenues and the Alani Nu brand was 40% of total revenues. Before the...
Nike Insiders Bought $8.2M of Stock Since Nov 2025
Since November 2025, Nike insiders have purchased ~$8.2 million of the company's stock on the open market at an average price of ~$53 per share https://t.co/7QNDEnhdU8
Roche Bets on Cancer and Obesity Drugs Amid Biosimilar Pressure
Roche, facing biosimilar threats, puts faith in new cancer and obesity drugs https://t.co/IIt0INA9sI @ByJonGardner $RHHBY
Cannabis Offers Low Competition, High Long‑Term Gains
I have never been so bullish on the opportunity in cannabis. Do the work, do your own due diligence. There are so few eyeballs on the space. It's amazing what you will find and the long-term opportunities available. You will...
IBM's Software Rebound Drives 19% EPS Surge
$IBM: solid Q getting caught up in software meltdown. EPS growth +19.4%, TR +9.5% and SW +11% with a reaccel from RHT. Consulting in line, Infra up 15% with a nice tailwind from M/F Z. GM...
Buy‑and‑hold Global Index Outperforms Most Strategies over Life
When it's all said and done - if we're being totally honest - by the time one reaches a ripe old age, most stock investors will earn more money in a buy-and-hold total global equity index portfolio than doing anything...
Sanofi Reports Strong Sales Amid Growing R&D Pressure
Sanofi posts upbeat sales as R&D pressure builds https://t.co/4WUccjXY5D by Kristin Jensen $SNY + 2% $REGN
Starlink Posted $4.4B Profit on $11.4B Revenue
Starlink last year: $4.4 billion in operating profit and $11.4 billion in revenue, according to @Reuters review of pending S-1 https://t.co/e9KFllMATS
SME Leaders Show Strong Growth, Lower Valuations
Two popular SME recent results - 1. Prizor Viztech : Revenue 105.93 Cr vs 40.06 Cr (+164.42% YoY) PAT 14.84 Cr vs 5.87 Cr (+152.83% YoY) PE down from ~48x to ~29x post results Margins up Sector Tailwinds Management beats guidance 2. Rajesh Power : Revenue 990 Cr vs...
RMS Margins Boost May Not Return for Decades
Besides being a multiple expansion story, and besides compounding revenues at a low teens rate for years, $RMS' stock has largely also been a margins expansion story, which is unlikely to repeat over the next 15-20 years.
Secular Bull Markets Can Endure Far Longer than Expected
Wild chart on Animal Spirits this week with @michaelbatnick and @awealthofcs. I'm more of a 'this secular bull started in 2013 on the beakout' guy, but this hammers home how these secular bulls can last much longer than most could ever...
QTWO Undervalued vs Peers; Quebec Spodumene Near Unicorn
Excellent chart @zempheth which I've modified slightly to highlight your very correct pointing out the @Q2Metals -Cisco valuation (USD 420M) comp to Azure/Andover which was bought for USD 1.1B+ when spodumene prices were half what they are today. With Elevra proving...
AI Winners Accelerate Revenue, Losers Cut Guidance
$NOW dragging down other tech stocks like Rubrik, Crowdstrike, Snowflake, etc. means investors haven't yet grasped how this works. There are winners and there are losers of AI. Those decelerating/cutting revenue guidance - losers. Those accelerating revenue YoY - winners. Easier...
Bullish Odds Slip: 58% Chance S&P Rise
Probabilities are becoming less favorable for bulls. Roughly a 58% chance for a higher S&P 500 a year from now, down from 82% a little over a week ago. https://t.co/IpLeBfyhKL
Time Multiplies Investments: $10k Grows to $3.3M in 50 Years
If you invested $10,000 in the U.S. stock market 10 years ago you would have $37,595 today. The same investment made 50 years ago would be worth over $3.3 million. The magic of compounding, in one chart… https://t.co/xsMqEDHpje
ELV Cash Margin Triples as Prices Surge, Costs Stay Steady
$ELV reported good CQ1/26 with output up on higher recoveries. Inventories down on higher sales but what stands out for me is the cash margin which rises from US$186/t for the last quarter to US$569/t for this quarter as costs...
Kinross Poised for Iamgold Takeover Amid Gold M&A Frenzy
Given Agnico $AEM is digesting Finland (not that they are tapped out by any stretch) and beginning to look under the hood at B2 Gold $BTG Have to think this is Kinross $KGC moment to strike on Iamgold $IAG and “make...
USAF to Triple AMRAAM Orders, Boosting Solitron's Top Program
$SODI The US Air Force has requested to triple annual AMRAAM purchases. Based on my due diligence, I believe this is Solitron‘s largest defense program they sell into. https://t.co/azt1d7PWkv
AI Adoption S‑Curve Beats Bubble Narrative
AI "bubble"? Think again. AI stocks are likely to benefit from this S-Curve adoption and our portfolio owns many of these businesses https://t.co/9W3aDdLK3Q https://t.co/UV9KJoT8SH
Activist Push Reveals Asset Worth Over Company Valuation
High-quality asset trapped inside a dysfunctional company. Activists with 20% stake have forced a strategic review. Core asset alone is worth more than the entire EV. 50%+ upside if the company eventually gets sold. https://t.co/2ryfkObL69
Whales Stockpile Energy Stocks While Retail Chases AI
Hey @grok Analyze the last 90 days of billionaire 13F filings. Which sector are the whales quietly loading up on while retail chases the obvious AI names? Top 3 tickers.
Tesla Q1 2026 Money Flow Visualized in Sankey Chart
Where did the money go? Here's the Q1 2026 Tesla income statement with the full flow explained in a Sankey chart: https://t.co/3pBpHEDf6z
JNEO's New Acquisition Gains £1m Utility
#JNEO recent acquisition Crime and Fire Defence won £1m of contracts within a 5 year Framework Agreement "with a major UK Utility". ShareScope has fwd p/e 13.2; not much to go on but not expensive. I don't hold.
OMG's £31.7m Cash Pile Fuels
The most interesting bit regarding #OMG is the Cash mountain of £31.7m. ShareScope is showing a Mkt Cap of £56.4m and fwd Divvy 6.7% rising to 7%. Worth considering. I don't hold.
Mark Hu's Model: Analysts Build, He Decides, Accountability Ensues
I really like Mark Hu's approach... each analyst running his own model portfolio, and him making the investment decisions. Full accountability. As is appropriate.
AMD's NTM P/E Double Nvidia's—Potential Upside?
Fun fact… $AMD now trades at a NTM P/E multiple that is 2x bigger than the $NVDA NTM P/E multiple. $AMD trading at 46x NTM EPS $NVDA trading at 23x NTM EPS. Which stock do you think has more upside over the...
SK Hynix Posts Explosive Growth, Valued at 4x EPS
SK Hynix just reported 2026 Q1 earnings. Revenues up +198% YoY Net income up +405% YoY Net income margins of 77% …and SK Hynix trades at 4x NTM EPS 🤣 These are wild times for memory stocks 😳 NFA. DYOR. *We own SK Hynix...
ServiceNow Margin Guidance Tests AI Disintermediation Narrative
$NOW lowering margin guidance will be an important test. Those that think AI disintermediating software is an over-done theme has helped push $IGV (software ETF) from -37% to a 52 wk low to +19% vs S&P +5% in the past...
Only 18% of US Public Firms Survive Long‑term.
Michael Mauboussin on survival rates for U.S. public companies "For every 100 companies, 18 survived and 82 died. Of those that died, 43 were the result of mergers and acquisitions (M&A). The other 39 were delisted for reasons other than M&A, with...
Media Criticism Makes META Stock a Buying Opportunity
It's amazing how badly the media wants Zuck and Meta to fail. Journalists LOVE pointing to various flaws of social media and Meta's ad business as if they are so morally superior. These people are sad as they criticize all...
Tesla Hikes 2026 CapEx to $25B, Forecasts Negative Cash Flow
Tesla’s raised 2026 CapEx to $25 billion from $20 billion and sees negative free cash flow for the rest of the year.
Enterprise Momentum Surges Amid $NOW Sell‑Off
A harsh $NOW sell-off based on what happened and what’s going to happen with real financial commitments. So what do you gauge enterprise momentum from? Well: - revenue beat - subs +22% and raised guidance - cRPO +22.5% - RPO +25% - Now Assist $1M...
SODI Posts Strong Q4 Sales, Robust $27.3M Backlog
$SODI reports a great 4Q 2026 sales of $5.3 million. https://t.co/NpVNbR8qGx Backlog stands at $27.3 million. The future looks bright.
Dell Evolves Into AI Powerhouse, Not Just PCs
Dell just posted $113.5B in revenue. Up 19% YoY. $64B in cumulative AI orders. $43B in unfilled AI backlog. $30B in new buybacks. 20% dividend hike. This isn't a PC company anymore. $DLLL gives you 2x daily leveraged participation: https://t.co/ZjkBdri46R @GraniteShares
Nasdaq Breadth Thrust Signals Limited Crash Risk
According to SentimenTrader the Nasdaq had a breadth thrust on April 14. Based on that the market is unlikely to crash for the rest of the year, since the biggest drawdown at any point over the next 8 months in...
S&P Earnings Growth Likely Peaks 2028‑2030 After Rate Cut
Street consensus, S&P 500 earnings growth: 2026: +21.8% 2027: +14.8% Those are big, tough-to-achieve numbers. But look at the historic record. The S&P's earnings growth rate historically peaked 40 to 76 months after the first Fed rate cut. Yes, forty to seventy-six. Powell...
Yardeni Predicts S&P Rebound, Summer Consolidation Ahead
YARDENI RESEARCH IN BLOOMBERG (April 22, 2026) Ed Yardeni became convinced that US stocks were primed for a rebound after the S&P 500 Index had tumbled more than 9% from its record high. Yardeni said the selloff had the feeling of...
AI Disruption Won’t Hit All SaaS Companies Equally
Claude Code & AI disruption will not impact software companies equally 🤖 @DivesTech thinks buying downbeat SaaS names might just be the biggest "ghost trade" of his career 💻 https://t.co/C1b1iQA5na
New $10M Funding Fuels Drilling,
A C$10M raise from @AstraExp, a bought deal from high-quality resource funds. This will ramp up drilling, in a system already demonstrating size and growth potential, what could set up this #gold stock for a major re-rate. We're actively buying:...