🐂 Bulls vs. Bears 🐻 A bull market occurs when prices climb 20% or more from the recent low. A bear market happens when prices drop 20% or more from the recent high.

"The best value opportunities appear when uncertainty distorts risk perception." Uncertainty isn’t the enemy — it’s where real opportunity lives.

$SYPG vs. $SPYV - Growth vs. Value One to pay attention too but to be honest - the makeup of these are kinda silly. https://t.co/oomWnQN9LD
Stock selection is absolutely critical. 📈 because not every stock that dips is going to recover, and the ones that do recover the fastest and strongest are almost always the names with relative strength, institutional sponsorship, and a strong theme backing...

With SPX implied near 6800, the P/E multiple is down almost 2pts from the November 2025 high https://t.co/bDmapKAmlt
If you haven't picked up these odd-lots yet there's still time to next week. Docebo's net should be nice even with some withholding tax headwinds. See details & disclaimers in my 'stack post:
The best earnings report in semiconductor history erased $450 billion in two days. Bonds rallied through hot inflation. Gold hit its best month since 2012. Defensives surged while tech sold off. The regime is changing. https://t.co/n37OTbPZWx

Monthly hybrid allocation signals +2.6% in February, versus a loss of 0.9% for $SPY ETF. YTD +6.8% versus 0.6% for SPY ETF. Sharpe ratio is 1.73 since Jan 2020 vs. 0.88 for SPY. Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/307eeSFnzN

This chart is a classic, but let’s move that "We Are Here" pin 📍 Where would you say we are in the cycle right now? The Early-Cycle easy gains are over, I think. It's time to focus on GARP (Growth at a...

Markel 2025 Shareholder Letter: "I hope you share our confidence that the 2025 results, and those over longer time periods, provide a strong case for the value we have and will continue to create for our shareholders." https://t.co/vcbR3seqEk

The NAAIM Exposure Index represents the average exposure to US Equity markets reported by Active Investment Managers. This week's NAAIM Exposure Index number is 74.93, the lowest reading since May. What do you think these folks are all so scared about? https://t.co/UbFEeY61e7
“At Berkshire, equity investments are fundamental to our capital allocation activities; responsibility ultimately resides with me as CEO. Ted Weschler manages about 6% of our investments, including a portion of the portfolio formerly overseen by Todd Combs…” - Greg Abel
A blast from the past. I gave this presentation at @smallcapdisc in 2023. Multi-Bagger First Principles https://t.co/YJT8idrZf0
Key takeaways from Druckenmiller - Sees potential for higher long rates thanks to productivity growth - Out of the AI trade at this point - What he learnt from Soros was sizing - Visualizes the future 18-24 months out - Sells if valuation becomes...
Markel 2025 Shareholder Letter: "2025 was a year of productive change and recommitment in our largest business, Markel Insurance. Most notably, in March 2025, we promoted Simon Wilson to serve as CEO."

Duolingo bears are having a great day, but there is an interesting near term set up: 1) 25% of Duolingo float is shorted ($1.2b). 2) Duolingo just launched a $400m buyback program. That adds up to $1.6 billion to be bought sooner...

Asana CEO has purchased over $1B of Asana stock since they went public 🤯 Asana market cap today is only $1.7B. The purchases were funded by selling his Meta stock... He lost several billion dollars from selling Meta and buying Asana... >>https://t.co/cRAFDwGz2b https://t.co/ltv5Z71gZq

Today's Edition is out, packed with goodies that you can read over the weekend: 615: Nvidia Q4, Ben Evans on AI Economics, Meta + Google TPUs, China Solar at 1TW/Year, Anthropic vs DoD, AWS Outages, METR, Sora, and Marty Supreme https://t.co/m8aYjFz1jo
Passive has been tough to beat -for sure—but 20 years ago I did a study “What Happened to the Original Stocks in the S&P 500 index” and the recent experience is far from unique. The committee members are human still.

Jim Simons charged some of the highest hedge fund fees in history—5% flat + 44% of gains—and still delivered spectacular returns. Learn how elite investors tolerate high fees and what it teaches about investing, stock markets, and wealth building. Would you...
“Risk is the uncertainty of lifetime consumption.” We sit down with @cullenroche to discuss his new book Your Perfect Portfolio. We start with a basic 60/40 portfolio and then examine, step by step, the case for adding international, factors, gold, private assets,...
This week in value: @GSpier : What Really Counts in Life — Beyond Wealth and Returns @bogumil_nyc Pzena – The Value Stocks to Watch 2026 @PzenaInvstmtMgt ) Semper Augustus 2025 Letter: Cloud Delusions; Value at a Secular Plateau; And – Berkshire Hathaway:...

Floor & Decor FY23 10-K: "We believe there is an opportunity to significantly expand our warehouse-format store base by a low- to mid-teens annual percentage growth rate over the near-to-medium term, reaching at least 500 in the U.S. within approximately eight...

Bear markets happen more often than many realize, and most people will have to navigate multiple severe downturns during their investing years. https://t.co/3M4SDMlWOY

STREAK ON LINE: The S&P 500 is trying to notch its 10th straight positive month on last day of Feb today to secure the 2nd longest streak in the SPY Era (33yrs). It only needs 30bps of gains. Problem is...

Howard Marks: “You can’t predict the future. You can prepare for it.” Takeaway: Build flexibility, not forecasts. Stop trying to predict the market. Start preparing for it. 📉➡️📈

The market may be wrong about $IGV, which is down 30% in past few months. Our tech analysts went through and graded stocks for AI vulnerability and AI potential, a select few got green on both (list below) and guess...
#GHH interesting Update with signs of improvement. Net Debt down a little to £28m. ShareScope has fwd p/e 16.9 falling to 14.2 and fwd Divvy 1.8% each of next 2 years, BEFORE 5% jump today. Worth considering. I don't hold.
#BBOX decent statement. Not much Discount to NAV but ShareScope showing fwd Dividend Yield 4.7% rising to 5%; several growth drivers so definitely interesting. I don't hold.
Duolingo 2026 guidance: Revenue growth and EBITDA margin a slight disappointment, but does everything to double daily active users from 50 million to 100 million. 400 million buyback program initiated ✅ Now at 10.8x EV/EBITDA $DUOL
South Korea single-stock ETFs will likely be approved by the summer, just before Interactive Brokers starts offering access https://t.co/WpRK4ten0F.
It seems like Korea goes through these speculative bubbles every five years or so https://t.co/jCSmYlbkaj

The Japan Company Handbook on m-up 3661 JP… not sure whether it’s moaty enough https://t.co/Aqsud8W7VX
With its index business now >50% of revenues, FnGuide is becoming a KOSPI market proxy on steroids. But I think the index AUM rising from KRW 14 trillion to 50 at 40%+ incremental margins is still underrated. I'm getting to...

The S&P 500 is less than 2% from its all-time high. The Nasdaq 100 is down nearly 5%. The NYSE FANG Index is down 17%. Three indexes. Three very different pictures. Full breakdown with charts: https://t.co/1Skwzjqna3 https://t.co/NAO3m5uBUh
Kudos to management for being willing to walk away. There will be plenty of opportunities over time to keep improving the customer value proposition and the long-term value of the business. This was the right decision by Netflix.
Mngt at @vox_royalty buys a producing Australian #gold asset for <$200 an ounce, an obvious wide margin vs spot. See the Part That Pays from JV, how the company is stacking incremental cash-flowing exposure in pro-jurisdictions, & why stock is...

Russell 2000 $IWM top 25 holdings. Shows a meaningful shift from early Q4 last year. Top holdings have rotated from speculative tech optionality toward industrial/defense/capex cyclicals over the past few months. https://t.co/c24tFJQjc5

Warren Buffett on wealth building: focus on fundamentals, ignore the noise, and evaluate businesses with clarity. Smart investing is about patience, discipline, and knowing what you own. Most investors fail because they chase noise instead of value. 📈
If you’re investing and don’t know the difference between: • Index Funds • Mutual Funds • ETFs You might be choosing the wrong one without realizing it. New vid tomorrow is going to breakdown the pros and cons of each so you can pick the...
$VITL shares down >60% from the August 2025 highs EV down to ~$800 million, it trades at ~10x EV / EBIT
CHART OF THE DAY: 86% Of The Names We Own Are Beating SPY https://t.co/aAYyRsV4YB via @hedgeye
Mason Morfit: "The lion's share of credit has to go to Satya Nadella. To state the obvious, he's just been an incredible CEO... The company was losing ~$5 billion a year on this ill-fated devices venture... Satya very quickly pivoted...
LLM-driven AI tools are much better with words than with math... at what point is the time to back-check the output calculations more time-consuming than just using established software providers for key investment research and financial planning functions? "Mass market AI...

Nasdaq is contorting its own index rules to court the IPOs of SpaceX et al, and @thekrazykobra brings the 🔥 https://t.co/ExpsatLZ6h https://t.co/VjWaHmMJYd
Agree, Citrini got a massive debate going and increased subs, but. $IGV, $QQQ up big in past two days. And ETF flows are pouring into US equity ETFs (as usual). It only reinforces my view that doomerism is what sells...

Peter Lynch: “The key to making money in stocks is not to get scared out of them.” Takeaway: Staying invested beats reacting emotionally. Most investors don’t fail because they’re wrong — they fail because they panic. 📉
Our 300th episode of Stock Club has dropped. Mike and I review the 13 stock portfolio from an early show 7 years ago (it has one 24 bagger in it) — and we each pitch three to buy now and...

The PHLX Semiconductor index: ASML, TSMC, Texas Instruments, AMD, Nvidia, NXP, Qorvo, Qualcomm, Applied Materials, Broadcom etc. More than a ten-bagger in the past decade https://t.co/P0OKb3JVYf

Seems to me that the biggest improvements have been in firms: - Shamed into increasing their P/B to 1.0x - Targeted by shareholder activists like Oasis - Already had the right mindset, eg Hitachi / Itochu - Illusory improvement from the weak yen https://t.co/KxTgEB3c9O https://t.co/DoX7UvP2gs