
Whether this benign broadening will continue depends largely on whether the Mag 7 can hold on to its trading range. So far it has, but should support be taken out at the range lows I could easily see another 10% decline for this cohort. It would take a lot of bullish price action in the broader market to keep the S&P 500 cap-weighted index from falling if the M7 declines a lot further.

The chart below shows that the equal-weighted S&P 500 has outperformed the Mag 7 by 12% over the past 3 months. The last time that happened was in the fall of 2024, and the time before was the spring of...
Another week, another headline bombshell. Such has been the norm during the past year or so. But charts are charts, and there is a lot we can learn from them in order to optimize the signal-to-noise ratio. What do...
Surprised to see $LE dip so much the past few days. No news afaict. I'm not allocating more here presently given current size, but seems a solid expected IRR special situation as we approach the 4Q earnings where presumably management...
There's a word for this. Starts with an F. "Hegseth said he could label [Anthropic] a supply-chain risk, a move typically reserved for companies linked to adversaries, or invoke the Defense Production Act to force the company to work with the...
Tech momentum is stretched. If macro weakens or earnings disappoint, crowded high-momentum tech could unwind quickly. This chart shows the performance and valuation of a high-minus-low (H–L) momentum factor within Russell 1000 Tech. Top Panel: H–L Momentum = Long Q1 (top momentum...

$HD Big Ticket ($1,000+) Transaction Comps "Big ticket comp transactions were +1.3%... We were pleased with the performance we saw in categories such as power, plumbing and electrical. However, larger discretionary projects remain under pressure." https://t.co/m5NwpVXZPR
After the big drop today, ShareScope now showing fwd Dividend Yield 7.7% FALLING to 7.6% for #UTG
Interesting… Ritholtz filing for first ETF. Trend following strategy. I like the Goaltending name/concept (a la Granny Shots another bball metaphor). Ben and Mike are the PMs. One to watch.

$IRDM continuing off that strong base. These guys are the only global low earth orbit (LEO) satellite company. Big name in the space race.

Leveraged ETFs: The Last Stronghold of the 1% Fee.. check out how the asset-weighted avg fee of 2x ETFs is actually going UP. Only category totally immune from Vanguard Effect, which explains the $1b in ann revenue and the torrent...

🔬 Research links: the problem with macro data, why bots love bad news, and how to use calendar-based strategies. https://t.co/gUmyuaWsPO chart: https://t.co/9NGWAEXTU1 https://t.co/QufnB6WSHu

Chart shows the shape and evolution of the yield curve (3-Month Treasury yields (blue) and 10-Year Treasury yields (red)) from Feb 2023 to Feb 2026. It's been a wild ride from the extreme inversion in 2023 to normalization beginning Q4 2025....

Mag 7 forward price/sales ratio now back to the 2021 peak of ~7.1. * 2013–2020 average ≈ ~3.8–4.2x * Including bubble years (2020–2021 + 2024–2025) average ≈ ~4.5x https://t.co/AfvDJpv0iW

a weekly glance at my @Optuma sector ratio grids which compare the performance of each of the 11 GICs sectors against the others... #SectorWatch left: 3-month % change right: 1-month % change https://t.co/JSBqVZnPwL
“Markets are at a tactical–fundamental crossroads. Historically these conflicting signals precede >5% S&P 500 drawdowns. Pullbacks are opportunities to add thematic exposure. A clearer equity “index” upturn should follow once policy catalysts materialise lower mortgage rates via falling UST yields,...

For decades, long-term investing has been treated as a vague virtue rather than a distinct source of returns. Turns out long-horizon thinking may actually translate into its own source of alpha. by @ebasilico https://t.co/wIUJpxYujR https://t.co/d3aF2IAeAT

Americans 55 & older now control: 45% of consumer spending 74% of the wealth What does this mean for the next generation, the housing market or the stock market? Some thoughts: https://t.co/tnQSK0khDB https://t.co/7BBPkFGnml
Infrastructure may be the most crowded “safe” trade in markets. Consensus says utilities lag in a growth cycle. Leverage flips that narrative. If rates stabilize, leadership may rotate where few are looking. Read: https://t.co/GYU4HseCXx
“…its limits may be more revealing than its success. The trades the system failed to anticipate — roughly 29% — were, on average, more closely associated with outperformance. In other words, the activity that falls outside routine, detectable investment patterns...

I hadn't realized that $OWL came public via SPAC. It's now right back to its original price. Turns out it was all priced in. EMH undefeated https://t.co/Q6eyG9hYLM
Yes, altho if you look at flows since Jan 2024 it STILL ranks #5 overall (only superhuman Vgrd ETFs did more), even after all this destruction. All told bitcoin ETF flows are still net net +$55b altho you'll be hard-pressed...
The AI trade isn’t peaking. It’s rotating. Leadership is shifting from chips to control of data + distribution. Most will chase yesterday’s winners. The next phase is structural. Read before consensus catches up: https://t.co/PmCr4t3wZc @ckaiwu @Mela_Schaffer

Charlie McElligott at Nomura says that the market is being driven by 'Doomers and Boomers' https://t.co/PbuzHGo8VF

ETF inflows up to $304b YTD, which is DOUBLE the all-time record pace from last year. $VOO at $30b, also ahead of its record pace by 6b while Vanguard as whole is already at $100b, a $3b/day pace, and double...
Pretty cool that $AAPL has become the two year note of the modern age. Risk off equals appl rally.

Forward P/E Ratios... Colgate $CL: 23.4x Proctor & Gamble $PG: 22.5x Netflix $NFLX: 19.9x 🤔 https://t.co/3B4ig8yjTW

It is a Big Trap - Avoid the Rotation trade The rotation trade is making the rounds on social media, but this trend is based on what worked in 2025 and might not work in 2026. Dow theory suggests it...
i'd like to think i've learned a lot about investing over the years... there were times that i was very discouraged as profits disappeared and/or losses grew... it happens so fast... there've been times of great excitement & enthusiasm, which have coincided...
Everyone assumes Apple’s lead is secure. But 2026 may test that narrative. Leadership isn’t about new products. It’s about what’s already priced in. Expectations are the real risk. Read closely: https://t.co/L377mvJehE @willrhind @graniteshares
The median stock in the S&P500 Index is up 6.7% so far in 2026. The median stock on the NYSE (> $300M Market-cap) is up 6.3% YTD. Meanwhile, the median stock in the Nasdaq100 Index is up 1.3%, while the...
Successful stock picking isn’t just picking winners. It also means picking out the losers in your portfolio. The greatest advantage in public markets is “You can sell”. But you must know when to sell. https://t.co/iL6AHqtOyR

The number of core goods in the PCE basket with >2% inflation is clearly on the rise https://t.co/zfnw5c3Qnr

National Bank of Canada just sold 1.04M MSTR shares valued at $127.8M. Now holds 1M shares worth $122.7M. https://t.co/w8ishlNKSE
#TPX raised Guidance and says has momentum. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 9.3 falling to 7.9; could be cheap still. I don't hold.
#BTG (used to be #BEG ) "in line with expectations". "Challenging" backdrop helping them. ShareScope has fwd p/e 10.8 falling to 10.2 with fwd Divvy 3.8% rising to 4%; lot to like. I don't hold.
The software industry's payroll has been flat since ChatGPT launched. The AI productivity boom may be eliminating the workers who created it first. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/xRx5vLZILo
AI winners aren’t who you think. Dell’s margin shift changes the AI narrative. Infrastructure, not software, may drive the next leg of leadership. Most investors are looking the wrong way. Read this: https://t.co/nY4GbIKIfM @graniteshares @willrhind
$AMC 10K firmly puts bankruptcy back on the table. To quote: In order to achieve net positive cash flows from operating activities, revenues will need to increase from current levels to levels at least in line with pre-COVID-19 revenues. However, there...

As a friend dm'd me, $SNDA just pulled the "Andrew Walker" special (big merger followed by a massive PSU grant with ambitious stock price versting targets) https://t.co/iEnOdITDX3

Today was a solid day of relative outperformance for the all-weather portfolio thanks once again to our yellow rock. https://t.co/o0Q3fVP5ux

"Financial leverage increases equity volatility, not business quality." Leverage doesn’t make a business better — it just makes the stock wilder. ⚠️📈 Financial leverage amplifies equity volatility. When debt is added to the capital structure, small changes in operating performance translate into...
No Cheap Squeeze-Outs: My Process Letter to the Weedmaps Board The settlement AIP cleared the path for insiders to strike. With a renewed take-private looking imminent before the proxy, I just served formal notice to the $MAPS Special Committee. See full presentation,...

Technology production (green) * ~50 in 2000 * ~190 today Nearly a 4x increase over 25 years This is the only category with powerful long-term structural growth. It recovered strongly after 2008 and exploded again post-2020. Everything else? Mostly flat. Industrial Production: Consumer Goods (2017...

This is not specific to OWL, but today’s sell-side discourse reminds me of some excellent advice I got when I was just starting in this biz: “you don’t need sell-side analysts in a bull market, and in a bear market...

ASML Holdings quietly floating higher in a sea of uncertainty seen here on @IBDinvestors MarketSurge. Consistent earnings execution and already up 38% YTD. $ASML #IBDPartner https://t.co/6bDmMq5jpN

Russell 2000 $IWM slightly ahead of Nasdaq $QQQ since 2000 and now ahead year-on-year. But the path was dramatic. From 2000–2006 → Small caps crushed tech after the dot-com bust Since 2006, small caps have underperformed large-cap growth for two decades, and severely...

Warren Buffett teaches the ultimate investing lesson: Real investing is about assets that produce value—farms, apartment buildings, businesses—not hype or hot crypto. Focus on fundamentals, build long-term wealth, and avoid speculation. Most people invest backwards. 💸 Warren Buffett teaches a simple truth:...

"in tech, momentum’s performance has moved into the 100th percentile. To see similar levels of performance differential between winners and losers go back to 2000 as the dot-com bubble was bursting and the semis were holding up relative to the...
Emerging markets portfolio manager Juan Torres on: * Where the Real Emerging Markets Value Is * If US Stocks Fall, What Happens to Emerging Markets? * Should You Hedge Emerging Markets Currency Risk? * Is Buying the Dip Still Smart? * Emerging Markets Outlook: Cheap or...