Greenland Resources Valued at $2.5‑3B
At the current Molybdenum prices, Greenland Resources' $MOLY NPV sits around here (~$2.5-3.0bn) 👇 Market cap of $170m. https://t.co/q78aNaCpRO
Public Companies Now Outlast Since 1970s
"The longevity of public companies is the longest it has been since the 1970s." -Michael Mauboussin, Morgan Stanley
Flat SPY Decade: Overconfidence After 20% Gains
Let’s see what people think if $SPY is flat for a decade Easy to think it is easy option after 3 years of 20% gains
AllogeneTx Stock Plummets After $2 Share Offering
I saw that a lot of people on 𝕏 are surprised by the sharp decline in $ALLO stock price - from $4.3 to $2.2 in one day despite the company’s excellent cema-cel readout 🧵👇. The reason for this decline is...
XPEL Poised for 100%+ Upside After Earnings Inflection
Multibagger pitch on $XPEL from @AltaFoxCapital - High quality share gainer in a secularly growing mkt - 3 years of heavy investment → earnings inflection ahead - EBIT margins set to 2x by FY28 - 100% upside on conservative EPS forecast - 250% if...
HFEL Offers 9.5% Yield, Yet High Risk
#HFEL update looks interesting. I note Dividend Yield last year was 9.5% on current share price. Invests in Asia incl China a bit. Full list of holdings in the report today. Perhaps it would work in Income Portfolio but quite...
Start Early, Hold Long, Let Compounding Grow Wealth
Great investment advice in one page. Start early. Hold long. Let compounding do the work.
Gold Miners Lead Early Bull Cycle Awareness Phase
Gold miners are leading the market once again. Since January 2025, their performance has far outpaced every other sector. This could mark one of the most important comebacks in mining history. So where are we in the bull cycle? I would argue we are...
AI Hardware Fuels Asian Market Outperformance Despite Iran War
Which is a bigger impact on financial markets and companies' earnings: AI or Iran War? Well, the Kospi and Taiwan are still best in Asia and also world in equity performance. Why? They are the hardware of AI, as in chip...
Low‑Volatility Index Underperforms 17 Years, Cycle Uncertain
The S&P 500 Low Volatility Index's underperformance commenced 17 years ago. Let me say it again: seventeen years ago. The previous cycles were 9 years one way, then 10 years the other way. How long this factor can remain washed...
Vertiv's $15B Backlog Highlights Underpriced AI Cooling Play
Vertiv's $15B backlog proves AI's hunger for power & cooling. They're the liquid cooling leader—a critical "picks & shovels" play for data centers that Wall Street might still be underpricing. AI
Estimating How Many Years of Value Stocks Price In
New Mauboussin paper just dropped. The question it tackles: when you buy a stock, how many years of value creation is the market pricing in, and how would you even measure that? https://www.morganstanley.com/content/dam/im/assets/publication/thought-leadership/consilient-observer/article_theneglectedvaluedriver_ltr.pdf?1776183428400
Markets Shift From Fear to Fundamentals, Target Energy, Banks
Market is repricing from extreme fear back to fundamentals. What’s happening? •Unwinding of geopolitical risk built during initial escalation of war. •Talks continuing, probability of extreme outcomes declining—for now. •Stocks rebounding, USD softening, oil down from elevated levels, gold resilient. Opportunities...
Meta Poised as 2026’s Top Growth Stock
$META was a @FuturumEquities best idea for 2026. I still believe this will print. 🚀
Mondelez Beats Kraft Heinz with Snack‑Centric Growth
Kraft Heinz & Mondelez split in 2012, but their paths have totally diverged. The analysis favors Mondelez for its global snacking focus, strong growth, and clean balance sheet. A tale of two strategies. Investing
Buy Fundamentals, Not Predictions, During Market Dips
I never make short term price predictions I don’t make claims about tops and bottoms No one knows that for sure But… I keep investing in fundamentally sound companies and especially when they have drawdowns
Stress‑test Your Model Before Investing, Not Just During Booms
Mr. Market is generous in expansions and brutal in recessions. Your valuation assumptions should already know that. If your model only survives the good times, it isn't a model — it's a mood. Stress test first. Invest second.
Six Bullish Triggers That Could Defy My Bearish Stance
I just went max bearish equities. However plenty of bull cases exist. The six big things that can make me wrong 1) Collapse of long term oil prices back to the low's 2) The passage of a highly stimulative fiscal...
Low‑risk Portfolio Gains ~9.5% YTD with DS Strategies
100% Allocated DS GlobalBeta up 7%YTD. I've been 80% invested basically. Up 5.6%. DSAlpha which buys/sells options using my AUM as a resource has PNL of 3.9% of AUM YTD. Yes you can add them. Total is...
Kering Q1 Stabilizes; Buy Dips at €260
Macro: Kering Q1 stabilized; Jewelry & Eyewear offset Gucci. Key: N.A. strength, FX/disposals. Risks: geopolitics, Gucci lag, rich valuation. Trade: buy dips to €260 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
True Diversification Means Minimizing Overlap, Not Counting Holdings
I respect what they have built over the years, but the portfolio construction always struck me as inferior, with too many overlapping bets. Diversification is achieved through minimizing overlap, not owning a certain number of things.
President's Sixth Year Boosts Markets, Best Since 1950s
We all know about how midterm years aren't that great for investors, but did you know that year six of a President's term is actually quite strong? Never lower going back to the 1950s. https://t.co/jxw9n7h2QT
Equity Valuations at Historic Peaks Threaten Credit Risk
Equity valuations are stretched to levels only seen twice before. When stocks are priced for perfection, the risk to credit is massive. $JOJO offers a different path. https://t.co/PwdBLqJYUe
DJIA/Russell 2000 Ratio Hits Lowest Since July 2024
Something of a contrast to the 'concentration' perspective, the ratio of the DJIA to the Russell 2000 has actually extended its drop to its lowest point since July 2024. This shift suggests there is a diversification in risk appetite - but...
Buy Northwestern on Dips Despite Stretched Valuation
Macro: NorthWestern hits 52‑wk high on strong EPS, revenue beat and 26% 12m total return. Key: 21-yr dividend streak, Black Hills merger. Risk: stretched valuation. Insight: buy on weakness. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Lucid Secures $1.05B, Swaps CEO, Expands Uber Robotaxi Deal
Lucid Group released a trifecta of major updates, announcing a $1.05 billion capital raise, a leadership change, and an expanded robotaxi partnership with Uber and an affiliate of Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund. https://t.co/F4hrNUg0UO
Energy Sector Leads, Now 12% Dip—Inflation Hedge
Energy $XLE is the top-performing sector this year, and now it’s in a 12% drawdown. If you think this Iran conflict isn't over, or you just want an inflation hedge in the portfolio, it’s worth a look. https://t.co/jvKqx5faaw
CRE ETF Mirrors Market: Higher Highs, Lower Lows
$IYR Daily. Commercial real estate ETF may be a microcosm for broad market: Massive broadening pattern of higher highs but lower lows. Loose & sloppy since last summer. Tons of debt, empty buildings https://t.co/isus0WM0lO
Battery Prices Keep Dropping, Reshaping Portfolio Strategies
🆓 Tuesday links: finding great ideas, overdiversifying your portfolio, and declining battery prices. https://t.co/QGbSHqpwzA chart: https://t.co/X0xCKyP5KB https://t.co/vgLndjI4h8
Bumble Rebounds 50% to Rational 30% FCF Yield
Bumble up 50% from the lows. Turns out Mr. Market got a little extreme dumping $BMBL at a >40% free cash flow yield. Now priced at a fully rational ~30% FCF yield.
Datacenter Power Scarcity Fuels Long Positions in CIFR, WULF
Energy and capacity are both still highly constrained. I continue to be long $CIFR and $WULF as I accessible datacenter power will to be in short supply. 💪🏻🚀
Investors Should Judge CEOs by Their Future Reputation
Buffett met Gianni Agnelli once. One line changed how he thought about people: "When you get old, you've got the reputation you deserve." Here's what that means for investors: 1️⃣ The market is short-term forgiving, long-term honest. 2️⃣ Management track records are lagging indicators...
Quantum Market Set to 10x by 2035, Stocks Cheap
McKinsey estimates quantum computing market to grow ~10x by 2035 Quantum computing stocks were crushed during the recent selloff and the risk/reward now looks good. https://t.co/Bgr7oW49kB
Capstone Poised for Multi‑bagger as Growth Accelerates
I think it might soon be $CGEH time again. Def no chartist here, but I like what I'm seeing. Results are backing the story. Continued good revenue and profitability growth. Capstone is getting more and more traction. This will feed momentum...
Measuring How Long Competitive Advantages Last
We have a new report out today on the concept of "competitive advantage period." A company’s anticipated value creation is measured by how much its return on invested capital (ROIC) exceeds its cost of capital as well as how long...
Cloudflare's Edge Network Powers Essential AI Infrastructure
Why I’m Bullish on Cloudflare $NET Cloudflare leverages its expansive global network to become critical infrastructure for emerging AI workloads — and it is the kind of infrastructure without which AI cannot function. Cloudflare operates a distributed network that delivers security, networking,...
Asset Types
It's an honor to contribute to our team's annual survey of diversification and correlations. Here, @AmyCArnott1 calls out which asset types bring something to the diversification party and which don't deliver. Her piece includes a link to the full paper....
Investing in a 50%+ CAGR Hyper‑Growth Stock
🚨A new Trading Alert is now live📈 We've just invested in a hyper-growth business (its stock was down ~70% from its all-time high). Revenue is projected to grow at 50%+ CAGR over the next few years. Subscribers: Login 👇https://t.co/YKr5pL7G2c
Best Returns Follow Market Lows, Invest Through Fear
Every time the market feels the worst, it’s the beginning of something better. Since 1949, the S&P 500 has returned +38% on average in the year after bear market lows. The hardest time to invest is when the biggest opportunities appear. https://t.co/EQJa1ErbAB
Herbalife Issues $800M Notes, Boosts Credit Outlook
Herbalife plans $800M 2033 secured notes to refinance costlier debt and extend maturities. 78% gross margin, $253M FCF, S&P upgrade support credit. Risk: leverage. Trade accumulate on pullbacks. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Higher EPS Won’t Offset Rising Rates and Inflation
@ferrotv @lisaabramowicz1 @tomkeene @business Regarding your bullish guest (Lisa)who says the EPS outlook has improved so stocks are inexpensive: * The small business confidence is lowest since April 2025. * Global bond yields have risen. The Fed is no longer likely to...
AI‑powered Threats Boost CrowdStrike’s Growth Prospects
Why I’m Bullish on CrowdStrike $CRWD The increasing use of AI in cyberattacks, along with the rapid advancement of more powerful AI models, is driving both the volume and complexity of cyber threats — making cybersecurity more critical than ever. CrowdStrike Falcon...
SK Hynix Appears Massively Undervalued, Poised for 50
SK Hynix (@SKhynix) currently has an enterprise value around $486 billion… over the next three years I believe there’s a 60-70% chance they generate more than $486 billion of net income. With the stock trading at less than 3.5x NTM...
Tonies Defies Odds with Strong Revenue and Margin Growth
Tonies $TNIE remains such a weird company. After listing I honestly never thought they'd still be doing this well. Euro SPAC, weird product, hype potential, etc. Ok the share price is barely back at 10, but operationally performance has been quite decent: >...
Brazil Stocks Enter Secular Bull, Not Just Rally
Brazilian equities near record inflows. The real at its strongest level in two years. First I was told this wasn’t possible. Now I’ll hear it’s not sustainable. Nothing moves in a straight line, but don’t confuse a bear market rally with the start of...
Big Tech Valuations
Big Tech NTM PE near COVID-crash + '22 bear mkt lows The risk/reward is favourable. AI + software stocks are like coiled springs https://t.co/zDyYRJ2Sdv
SaaS Premiums: Palantir Leads, Momentum vs Value
Most expensive SaaS stocks - where the market is pricing durable growth. Ranked by Forward EV/Sales: $PLTR Palantir | 41.9x $NET Cloudflare | 22.0x $APP AppLovin | 16.6x $CRWD CrowdStrike | 15.5x $FICO Fair Isaac | 9.6x $DDOG Datadog | 9.3x $PANW Palo Alto Networks | 8.2x $FROG JFrog...
Descartes AI Boosts Routes 30%, Still Overvalued
Descartes launches Fleet Data Intelligence with AI agent René; early deployments show up to +30% route density. Strong revenue/gross margins but P/E appears stretched. Trade: buy on pullback. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Royal Gold: Low‑Risk Gold Exposure with Strong Dividend
Royal Gold's 2026 strategy is clear: leverage their streaming model for low-risk exposure to gold. Strong balance sheet, disciplined growth, and a reliable dividend. A premium pick for precious metals exposure. Investing
Half of Microcaps Survive, Few Beat S&P
Always fascinating to see the base rates of microcap success. A multi-part "Hendrik Bessembinder" report on microcaps brewing here.. After 10 years: 51% of microcaps still exist in the dataset 24% returned > 0 9% returned > S&P 500 3% returned 10x or more H/T @RTelford_invest