Institutional Money Quietly Buildup Amid Media Hype
Hey @grok Analyze the last 30 days of unusual options flow and institutional 13F filings. Which stocks, asset class, or theme are big players accumulating while the media is obsessed with headlines?
U.S. Stocks Naturally Trend Up Over the Long Term
The path of least resistance in the U.S. stock market is up long term. 📈 https://t.co/iSglzoKrCN
T‑Mobile US Outshines Deutsche Telekom as Better Buy
Think the parent company is the better buy? Think again. Analysis argues T-Mobile US is now a more attractive investment than its owner, Deutsche Telekom, due to its pure-play on faster U.S. growth. investing
Investing: Markets Don't Return Your Affection, Valuation Matters
"The stocks we buy don't love us back". At the end of our first financial year @CapitalmindMF, I'm interviewed by @imNavneetDubey in a summary of our investing approach, how we approach markets, and our view on valuations: https://t.co/DqSkWotEiV
FIIs Misread India: Growth Potential Undermined by Taxes
what this article shows is how wrong the FIIs can be. When they thought India was the only game in town in 2 yrs it was not- now they think other countries are the only game in town so... Reality is...
PROC Shows Strong Cash, Falling P/E, Yet Not
#PROC "ahead of exams". Net Cash up to £4.4m. ShareScope has fwd p/e 17.8 falling to 12.6 and fwd Divvy 4.7%, 2 years out. Seems in good shape after pandemic woes. I don't hold.
PRV Holds Steady, Worth Considering Despite Minor Weaknesses
#PRV in line. Some weakness in Autos bit but small part. Lumpy orders in Aerospace. ShareScope has fwd p/e 16.5 falling to 15.5 and fwd Divvy 1% each of next 2 years. Good business and worth considering. I don't hold.
Intel Poised for Agentic AI Surge, Nvidia Also Benefits
I wrote on $INTC on March 29th as a new idea based on Agentic AI requiring more server microprocessors per gigawatt versus chat-based AI. Though the stock is up over 50% already since then, I think there is more upside...
Timeless Value Investing Beats Every Market Shift
The market changes every decade. The principles don't. New asset classes. New technologies. New narratives. But buying below intrinsic value? Still works. Margin of safety? Still works. Patience? Still works. Ben Graham figured this out in the 1930s. Mr. Market still hasn't gotten...
P/E Drops 18% as EPS Growth Accelerates
Nice charts from Mike Wilson at Morgan Stanley on earnings. P/E multiple down 18% (pretty rare) and EPS growth continues to trend higher. Quite the bullish combo. Thanks @dailychartbook for sharing it in tonight's report. https://t.co/2wvXsU1CWb
Analysts Forecast S&P Earnings Double 30‑Year Average
Wall Street analysts are projecting S&P 500 earnings growth at double the 30-year average. They're more bullish than the bulls. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/F5lhKKAzl8
Four Metrics to Identify Truly Cheap Stocks
Someone on r/stocks asked "what's the best way to tell if a stock is actually cheap?" Quick framework I use: - P/E below sector average (not just "low P/E") - Revenue growing >10% annually - Insiders buying on open market - Debt under 3x EBITDA -...
Exploring Emerging Electrification Opportunities From Personal Experience
This was a fun discussion on what I've been owning for the past few years but the important new electrification story opportunities https://t.co/r9i05c4jwy
ET: High‑Yield Stock with 14% YTD Gain
I listed $ET as one of my top high yield picks heading into 2026. YTD Gain: 14.41% Analyst Upside: 17.6% Dividend Yield: 7% 5 YR Dividend CAGR: 7.69% This one still has upside.
Powerful Malaysian Tycoon Controls Key Assets, Still Unknown
One man controls Malaysia’s rice supply, national car, biggest port operator, and a major gas utility. His company is quietly preparing for a $7 billion listing. Yet, he remains a mystery to the average Malaysian.
Nokia Poised for Growth via Hyperscalers, 800G, Nvidia AI‑RAN
"Analyst Oliver Wong and his team are positive on Nokia $NOK due to hyperscaler-driven growth in optical systems, inflection in pluggable revenues on shift to 800G... a potential advantage in AI-RAN with an Nvidia (NVDA) partnership." https://t.co/rQSQErgiEK
Identify Top SMID-Cap Needing Better Governance
Semi-regular post: what is the highest quality SMID-cap you have come across which would benefit from improved governance/strategy?
KeyBanc Upgrades T‑Mobile to Overweight Ahead of Q1
"Ahead of T-Mobile’s (TMUS) first quarter results, KeyBanc upgrades the telecom company to Overweight from Sector Weight amid expectations for better-than-expected results and an increase in guidance." https://t.co/weFGutHQ8z
Three‑question Checklist Decides Conviction vs Caution
Three questions before I buy anything: Would I pay this price for the assets alone? Do the earnings justify it if growth flatlines? Does the dividend signal management believes the story? One "no" = caution. Three "yeses" = conviction.
Buybacks Drive Returns; High Prices Limit Gains
"Apple wouldn't be where it is today if it weren't for those buybacks. Now, stocks go up if your capital allocation is productive. It's the #1 driver of stock price returns. So if you're buying a stock at too high...
BNY Mellon at $128.76 ATH, Buy Dips Target $140
BNY Mellon hits $128.76 ATH; YTD +67.7%. P/E17.3 PEG0.6 56y div $500m perp. Risk: softer fees, rising costs. Trade: Buy dips $120-125; target $140. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Indonesia Hosts World’s Cheapest Stock Market; US Stays Most Costly
We have a new cheapest stock market in the world...🇮🇩! The most expensive remains the same...🇺🇸 Full list here: https://t.co/CShmcTxzxG
Robinhood’s “Free” Trades Generate $4.5B Revenue
Day 3 of 30: How $HOOD Robinhood actually makes money Spoiler: "free trading" was never free... $4.5B in revenue in 2025. Up 52% Here's who's actually paying 🧵
Upgrade 40% Bond Allocation with Active Defense
The 60/40 portfolio needs an upgrade on the 40 side. Static bond allocations don't position well in credit events. $JOJO adds an active layer of defense. https://t.co/r7U1174Vtd
Netflix Ad Tier Set to Double Revenue, Price Target $700
Netflix's ad-supported tier is crushing it. Analysts now project its ad revenue will DOUBLE to ~$3B this year. Bullish outlook has one firm raising its price target to $700. 📈 Streaming
Merck's $30B Offer Now Exceeds Revolution's Market Cap
Reminder that Merck tried to buy Revolution for $28-$32B (per Jan reporting from FT), vs current market cap after today's great data of $26.5B https://t.co/hoq2P0oiG9
Adobe's Stock Slump Masks Strong Fundamentals and Value
Is $ADBE a falling knife, as AI is disrupting them? Or a misunderstood opportunity? $ADBE -57% 5Y 🔴 -36% YTD 🔴 - Really Strong Margins - Incredible 9.8% BuyBack - $26B ARR - Cheap Valuation - 32% Below Consensus Price Target
Strong Fundamentals, Weak Stock: Valuation Drives Returns
$ADBE Since 2020: 🔴 Stock Price -30% 🟢 Revenues +85% 🟢 EBITDA +91% 🟢 FCF +86% This is a clear example that valuation is everything. You might be right on the business fundamentals, but be wrong on the stock performance. Was $ADBE incredibly overvalued then, or is...
Oracle Oversold: Potential Breakout Amid Excessive Selling
$ORCL was oversold and underestimated. This may or may not be a real breakout, but the selling was way overdone proportionally to its upside. 👏🏻
AI Boosts Enterprise Cyber Stocks; Selloff Offers Bargain
The best of breed cybersecurity and infrastructure software stocks have been punished by the market. AI is a tailwind for the high quality enterprise-grade vendors and the current selloff is a good opportunity.
Deal Undervalues Secure, Shareholders Lose Billions
If this deal goes through as written, it's an incredibly disappointing outcome for $SES.TO shareholders. Our base case was C$34/share using conservative assumptions. Instead, shareholders are being asked to sell a scarce, high-quality waste infrastructure asset for C$24.75/share, mostly in GFL...
Cloud Deployment Margins Rebound, Set to Rise Further
"The margin trajectory of cloud-based deployment segment is far more interesting. Notice how gross margin here was precipitously falling and even turned negative in 1H’25 when the Chinese labs were essentially on a death march to grab market share. However,...
Momentum Profits Aren't Just Factor Tilt Spillovers
Stock momentum has long been a workhorse idea. Buy recent winners. Sell recent losers. Critics argue those profits mostly come from riding factor trends like value, size, or industry tilts. This paper pushes back. by @ebasilico https://t.co/I9J0gdZM0F https://t.co/RzH2IV4fuP
Hawkeye360 IPO Preps with $117M Revenue, Massive Backlog
Satellite signals-intel provider @hawkeye360, preparing IPO on @NYSE, reports $117.7M in 2025 rev, $24.8M EBITDA and sharply lower operating loss. Revenue was 61% US government, 16% Japan, 23% rest of world. Backlog, at $302.7M, up 6.8x from 2024.https://t.co/E8IPZWf3pK https://t.co/QgmLlopOAW
Record-Breaking EPS Forecasts Extend Beyond US Tech
WEI LI BlackRock: EPS forecasts have never been better. And it's not just US tech https://t.co/3LAXLRQSID
S&P Valuations Near Historic Peaks; Quality Value Outshines
Where are we in the valuation cycle? * Current reading: ~+162% * That is above 3 standard deviations * Only comparable levels: late 1990s / 2021 peak * Base case (5–10 yrs): low single-digit real returns for the index * Bear case: major drawdown (-40–60%) *...
Global Small‑Cap Value Set to Outpace the S&P
Global small cap investor Mark Cooper on: * Why Global Small Cap Value Could Outperform the S&P by 25% Per Year * The Most Overvalued Stocks Since the Dot-Com Bubble? A Data-Driven Warning * Why Value Investing Still Works: The Case for Quality...
SaaS Valuations Hit Near Historic Lows.
Quality SaaS Stocks Are Trading near All-Time Low Multiples 👇 $NOW -58.6% from ATH Forward PE 20.4x Investing
Merger Odds Between Charter and Comcast Rise Significantly
"We think the odds of a Charter-Comcast merger are higher today than just a month ago," says New Street's Vikash Harlalka $CMCSA $CHTR https://t.co/MMBitMjhZw
Microsoft’s Enterprise Distribution Fuels Stickier Cross‑App Copilot
$MSFT moat is enterprise distribution. This is a potential example of how it gets stickier.
QCOM May Be Undervalued Gem Amid 24% Drop
"Nobody is giving this stock any credit whatsoever." $QCOM is down 24% YTD, trading at 13x earnings, with analysts barely above current price. Is this a hidden gem hiding in plain sight or a value trap? Dan & @GuyAdami go 'bottom-picking' on...
Long‑Only vs Market‑Neutral: Constraints Drive Alpha Gap
An interesting diversion in the performance of alpha in long-only managers vs market neutral managers. How much of it is talent versus a bunch of constraints (e.g. no shorting; need to sell down MAG7 to make room for active bets; harder...
Only 1 in 10 Active Funds Beat Benchmarks
Why I avoid a lot of actively managed funds. Over 15-20 years over 90% underperform their benchmark. In other words.... Only 1 in 10 are really worth your money.
Buy Great Businesses Only at Suitable Prices
Graham didn't say "buy great businesses." He said buy them at suitable prices. There's a word missing from most investor vocabularies. That word is "suitable."
Avalyn Pharma Outlines IPO Fund Allocation, IVVD, REPL Updates
13April: How does Avalyn Pharma plan to spend the proceeds of the IPO for which it has filed paperwork? Read what's been made public about the company's planned initial public offering, plus updates on $IVVD and $REPL in my latest...
Wise's Dual-Listing Boosts Value After Flat Share Price
Given that the dual-listing of $WISE may be completed within a month, the blockbuster quarter the company just posted may come in particularly handy. Wise IPO'd at GBP8/share, but shares quickly ran up, and basically, the stock is (almost) flat...
MRX Thrives in Chaos, Poised for Multibagger Upside
War, volatility, chaos - $MRX's earnings love all of it. - Financial infra firm dressed up as a brokerage - Counter-cyclical by design - 30%+ earnings growth expected - Trades at 8-9x P/E vs. 13-14x for peers - Multibagger upside if the re-rate happens Pitch by...
EKF Acquires Real‑Time Glucose Tracker, P/E Declines
#EKF buying "Real-time glucose and lactate tracking for sports performance monitoring" from Beep Insights AB. ShareScope has fwd p/e 15.1 falling to 13.4 but no Dividend. Worth investigating. I don't hold.
JNEO Lands £1.7m Order; Still Fairly Valued
#JNEO won £1.7m of Purchase Orders for passenger displays "for a large local authority in the south of England". ShareScope has Fwd p/e 12.9; strip out cash and it's still a pretty reasonable rating. I don't hold.
Embrace Volatility: Buy Low, Retire Rich
Do you plan to sell all your investments and retire this year? If not, you should actually want prices to go down in the short term so you can buy more at lower levels. I know I do. For example, if I’m retiring...