Chain Stock Pricey but Has Expansion Potential
I really like this chain. The stock was never cheap but probably has expansion potential.
Finding Solid Dividend Growth Stocks in US & Europe
We went back to basics on the latest DividendTalk by covering how to find solid dividend growth stocks in both the US and the Europe. Worth a listen if you're building your watchlist 🙌 Tune in here: 🔗 https://open.spotify.com/episode/30VKC7ETTzOBI65Lfl5dnD?si=OtYzweq5RrKPJUEyQi876A Feel...
Portfolio Gains 6.8% on Korean Surge, Eye Japan SaaS
The portfolio's value rose by +6.8% in February 2026, driven by a skyrocketing Korean stock market. Opportunities in Japan SaaS and luxury wristwatches. https://t.co/dYm3oOEyPD
Berkshire's Capital Allocation: Focus, Integrity, and Discipline
Berkshire’s capital allocation principles and strategy: Invest in businesses that we thoroughly understand, with durable advantages and long-term economic prospects; Partner with high integrity leaders who understand their customers and act like owners; Avoid businesses that undermine the fabric of society or...
Bull Vs. Bear: 20% Moves Define Market Trends
🐂 Bulls vs. Bears 🐻 A bull market occurs when prices climb 20% or more from the recent low. A bear market happens when prices drop 20% or more from the recent high.
Opportunity Thrives When Uncertainty Skews Risk Perception
"The best value opportunities appear when uncertainty distorts risk perception." Uncertainty isn’t the enemy — it’s where real opportunity lives.
SYPG vs SPYV: Growth‑Value Split, But Silly Composition
$SYPG vs. $SPYV - Growth vs. Value One to pay attention too but to be honest - the makeup of these are kinda silly. https://t.co/oomWnQN9LD
Pick Dipping Stocks With Strength, Institutional Backing, Strong Themes
Stock selection is absolutely critical. 📈 because not every stock that dips is going to recover, and the ones that do recover the fastest and strongest are almost always the names with relative strength, institutional sponsorship, and a strong theme backing...
SPX Implied ~6800; P/E Drops 2 Points Since Nov 2025
With SPX implied near 6800, the P/E multiple is down almost 2pts from the November 2025 high https://t.co/bDmapKAmlt
Docebo's Net Remains Strong Despite Withholding Tax
If you haven't picked up these odd-lots yet there's still time to next week. Docebo's net should be nice even with some withholding tax headwinds. See details & disclaimers in my 'stack post:
Semiconductor Boom Wipes $450B, Bonds Rally, Gold Soars
The best earnings report in semiconductor history erased $450 billion in two days. Bonds rallied through hot inflation. Gold hit its best month since 2012. Defensives surged while tech sold off. The regime is changing. https://t.co/n37OTbPZWx
Hybrid Allocation Beats SPY: +2.6% Feb, 1.73 Sharpe
Monthly hybrid allocation signals +2.6% in February, versus a loss of 0.9% for $SPY ETF. YTD +6.8% versus 0.6% for SPY ETF. Sharpe ratio is 1.73 since Jan 2020 vs. 0.88 for SPY. Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/307eeSFnzN
Shift to GARP and Solid Balance Sheets Now
This chart is a classic, but let’s move that "We Are Here" pin 📍 Where would you say we are in the cycle right now? The Early-Cycle easy gains are over, I think. It's time to focus on GARP (Growth at a...
Markel Confident 2025 Results Demonstrate Ongoing Shareholder Value
Markel 2025 Shareholder Letter: "I hope you share our confidence that the 2025 results, and those over longer time periods, provide a strong case for the value we have and will continue to create for our shareholders." https://t.co/vcbR3seqEk
Active Managers Cut US Equity Exposure to Five-Month Low
The NAAIM Exposure Index represents the average exposure to US Equity markets reported by Active Investment Managers. This week's NAAIM Exposure Index number is 74.93, the lowest reading since May. What do you think these folks are all so scared about? https://t.co/UbFEeY61e7
CEO Emphasizes Equity Focus; Weschler Handles 6% Portfolio
“At Berkshire, equity investments are fundamental to our capital allocation activities; responsibility ultimately resides with me as CEO. Ted Weschler manages about 6% of our investments, including a portion of the portfolio formerly overseen by Todd Combs…” - Greg Abel
First‑Principles Approach Unlocks Multi‑Bagger Stock Success
A blast from the past. I gave this presentation at @smallcapdisc in 2023. Multi-Bagger First Principles https://t.co/YJT8idrZf0
Druckenmiller Bets on Higher Rates, Cuts AI, Values Sizing
Key takeaways from Druckenmiller - Sees potential for higher long rates thanks to productivity growth - Out of the AI trade at this point - What he learnt from Soros was sizing - Visualizes the future 18-24 months out - Sells if valuation becomes...
Markel Names Simon Wilson CEO Amid Productive Shift
Markel 2025 Shareholder Letter: "2025 was a year of productive change and recommitment in our largest business, Markel Insurance. Most notably, in March 2025, we promoted Simon Wilson to serve as CEO."
Duolingo's $400M Buyback Counters Heavy Short Interest
Duolingo bears are having a great day, but there is an interesting near term set up: 1) 25% of Duolingo float is shorted ($1.2b). 2) Duolingo just launched a $400m buyback program. That adds up to $1.6 billion to be bought sooner...
Asana CEO Spends Billions Selling Meta for $1B Asana Stake
Asana CEO has purchased over $1B of Asana stock since they went public 🤯 Asana market cap today is only $1.7B. The purchases were funded by selling his Meta stock... He lost several billion dollars from selling Meta and buying Asana... >>https://t.co/cRAFDwGz2b https://t.co/ltv5Z71gZq
Weekend Read: AI, Cloud Outages, Solar Milestones
Today's Edition is out, packed with goodies that you can read over the weekend: 615: Nvidia Q4, Ben Evans on AI Economics, Meta + Google TPUs, China Solar at 1TW/Year, Anthropic vs DoD, AWS Outages, METR, Sora, and Marty Supreme https://t.co/m8aYjFz1jo
Passive Investing Still Beats Human‑Run Index Committees
Passive has been tough to beat -for sure—but 20 years ago I did a study “What Happened to the Original Stocks in the S&P 500 index” and the recent experience is far from unique. The committee members are human still.
Performance Beats Fees: Why Investors Pay 5% + 44%
Jim Simons charged some of the highest hedge fund fees in history—5% flat + 44% of gains—and still delivered spectacular returns. Learn how elite investors tolerate high fees and what it teaches about investing, stock markets, and wealth building. Would you...
Diversify Beyond 60/40 to Reduce Lifetime Consumption Risk
“Risk is the uncertainty of lifetime consumption.” We sit down with @cullenroche to discuss his new book Your Perfect Portfolio. We start with a basic 60/40 portfolio and then examine, step by step, the case for adding international, factors, gold, private assets,...
Value Investing Shifts: Beyond Wealth, New Picks, Plateau
This week in value: @GSpier : What Really Counts in Life — Beyond Wealth and Returns @bogumil_nyc Pzena – The Value Stocks to Watch 2026 @PzenaInvstmtMgt ) Semper Augustus 2025 Letter: Cloud Delusions; Value at a Secular Plateau; And – Berkshire Hathaway:...
Floor & Decor Targets 500 U.S. Stores in Eight Years
Floor & Decor FY23 10-K: "We believe there is an opportunity to significantly expand our warehouse-format store base by a low- to mid-teens annual percentage growth rate over the near-to-medium term, reaching at least 500 in the U.S. within approximately eight...
Expect Multiple Severe Bear Markets in Your Investing Career
Bear markets happen more often than many realize, and most people will have to navigate multiple severe downturns during their investing years. https://t.co/3M4SDMlWOY
S&P Near 10‑Month Winning Streak, Needs 30bps Boost
STREAK ON LINE: The S&P 500 is trying to notch its 10th straight positive month on last day of Feb today to secure the 2nd longest streak in the SPY Era (33yrs). It only needs 30bps of gains. Problem is...
Prepare, Don’t Predict: Build Market Flexibility
Howard Marks: “You can’t predict the future. You can prepare for it.” Takeaway: Build flexibility, not forecasts. Stop trying to predict the market. Start preparing for it. 📉➡️📈
Market Misprices IGV Despite Strong AI Potential
The market may be wrong about $IGV, which is down 30% in past few months. Our tech analysts went through and graded stocks for AI vulnerability and AI potential, a select few got green on both (list below) and guess...
GHH Shows Debt Reduction, Attractive Valuation Ahead
#GHH interesting Update with signs of improvement. Net Debt down a little to £28m. ShareScope has fwd p/e 16.9 falling to 14.2 and fwd Divvy 1.8% each of next 2 years, BEFORE 5% jump today. Worth considering. I don't hold.
BBOX Offers 5% Yield, Growth Drivers, No Hold
#BBOX decent statement. Not much Discount to NAV but ShareScope showing fwd Dividend Yield 4.7% rising to 5%; several growth drivers so definitely interesting. I don't hold.
Duolingo Targets 100 M Users Amid Modest Growth
Duolingo 2026 guidance: Revenue growth and EBITDA margin a slight disappointment, but does everything to double daily active users from 50 million to 100 million. 400 million buyback program initiated ✅ Now at 10.8x EV/EBITDA $DUOL
South Korea Single-Stock ETFs Set for Summer Approval
South Korea single-stock ETFs will likely be approved by the summer, just before Interactive Brokers starts offering access https://t.co/WpRK4ten0F.
Korea Faces Speculative Bubbles Approximately Every Five Years
It seems like Korea goes through these speculative bubbles every five years or so https://t.co/jCSmYlbkaj
Questioning the Moat of Japan Company Handbook
The Japan Company Handbook on m-up 3661 JP… not sure whether it’s moaty enough https://t.co/Aqsud8W7VX
FnGuide's Index Business Undervalued Amid Explosive AUM
With its index business now >50% of revenues, FnGuide is becoming a KOSPI market proxy on steroids. But I think the index AUM rising from KRW 14 trillion to 50 at 40%+ incremental margins is still underrated. I'm getting to...
S&P Near Record, Nasdaq Slides, FANG Plunges
The S&P 500 is less than 2% from its all-time high. The Nasdaq 100 is down nearly 5%. The NYSE FANG Index is down 17%. Three indexes. Three very different pictures. Full breakdown with charts: https://t.co/1Skwzjqna3 https://t.co/NAO3m5uBUh
Netflix's Bold Exit Strengthens Long-Term Value
Kudos to management for being willing to walk away. There will be plenty of opportunities over time to keep improving the customer value proposition and the long-term value of the business. This was the right decision by Netflix.
Vox Royalty Secures Aussie Gold
Mngt at @vox_royalty buys a producing Australian #gold asset for <$200 an ounce, an obvious wide margin vs spot. See the Part That Pays from JV, how the company is stacking incremental cash-flowing exposure in pro-jurisdictions, & why stock is...
Russell 2000 Shifts From Tech to Industrial/Defense
Russell 2000 $IWM top 25 holdings. Shows a meaningful shift from early Q4 last year. Top holdings have rotated from speculative tech optionality toward industrial/defense/capex cyclicals over the past few months. https://t.co/c24tFJQjc5
Invest with Fundamentals, Patience, Not Market Noise
Warren Buffett on wealth building: focus on fundamentals, ignore the noise, and evaluate businesses with clarity. Smart investing is about patience, discipline, and knowing what you own. Most investors fail because they chase noise instead of value. 📈
Know the Difference: Choose the Right Fund
If you’re investing and don’t know the difference between: • Index Funds • Mutual Funds • ETFs You might be choosing the wrong one without realizing it. New vid tomorrow is going to breakdown the pros and cons of each so you can pick the...
VITL Plunges 60%, Trades at 10x EV/
$VITL shares down >60% from the August 2025 highs EV down to ~$800 million, it trades at ~10x EV / EBIT
86% of Our Holdings Outperform the S&P 500
CHART OF THE DAY: 86% Of The Names We Own Are Beating SPY https://t.co/aAYyRsV4YB via @hedgeye
Satya Nadella Pivot Saved Microsoft From $5B Loss
Mason Morfit: "The lion's share of credit has to go to Satya Nadella. To state the obvious, he's just been an incredible CEO... The company was losing ~$5 billion a year on this ill-fated devices venture... Satya very quickly pivoted...
LLMs Fail 85% of Investment Tasks, Math Weakness Evident
LLM-driven AI tools are much better with words than with math... at what point is the time to back-check the output calculations more time-consuming than just using established software providers for key investment research and financial planning functions? "Mass market AI...
Nasdaq Bends Index Rules to Lure SpaceX IPOs
Nasdaq is contorting its own index rules to court the IPOs of SpaceX et al, and @thekrazykobra brings the 🔥 https://t.co/ExpsatLZ6h https://t.co/VjWaHmMJYd
Doomer Hype Fuels Clicks, Not Market Moves
Agree, Citrini got a massive debate going and increased subs, but. $IGV, $QQQ up big in past two days. And ETF flows are pouring into US equity ETFs (as usual). It only reinforces my view that doomerism is what sells...