SP Group Urges Tata Sons Listing for Valuation, Liquidity
The Strategic Push: The SP Group (which holds an ~18.4% stake in Tata Sons) is advocating for transparency and governance, but more importantly, a listing would provide a clear valuation and a liquidity event for their massive holding.
CHH Shows Strong Results, Yet Key Line Misphrased
#CHH results as robust as their crockery…but one line stood out as both critical to the investment case…and mysteriously badly worded https://t.co/BtL3NbzipO
Focus on Big Winners, Not Just Avoiding Mistakes
Most investors obsess over not making mistakes. Peter Lynch obsessed over making sure the winners were big enough to cover them. That's the whole game.
Japan’s Pre‑deal Hype Misleads; Fundamentals
I'm always interested in these pre event M&A trades in Japan where some legit media outlet publishes about M&A... and then months pass with silence and the speculators are forced to unwind... in Japan sometimes the passage of time does...
Globalization, Not Valuation, Drives Index Decline; Seek New NABOTS
One thing most misunderstand about “https://t.co/OjEtVHRmkY” is that the problem for the index was not valuation, but globalization. Asian hardware producers killed to US hardwareproducers in the zeroes. So “PE-analysts” has ever since missed the train because of misunderstood fear of...
ServiceNow’s Cheap Valuation Hints at $67 Target
Hard to ignore $NOW if it goes to 67 which was 2022 bear market lows 🤔 Service Now has strong growth, solid margins & a cheap valuation of P/OCF of 15.95 below 5-Year Avg of 42.63
Tech Valuations Halve, AI Bubble Shrinks to Pre‑hype Levels
Tech valuations in the US have declined from 40x to 20x. That's back to levels before the AI hype. AI BUBBLE = NOT NEARLY AS BIG AS IT USED TO BE. https://t.co/2ApBKLgFiI
Core Short Ideas Held Over 30 Days
INVESTING IDEAS (longer-term research product) Looking for Core Short Ideas tomorrow? We've held these for 30 days or more https://t.co/LF9BBqVzXP
Safety Lies in Capital Structure, Not Just Stock Price
A bad year tests a business. High leverage ends one. Earnings recover. Dilution doesn't. Bankruptcy doesn't. The equity you owned before the rescue round doesn't. Margin of safety isn't just about price. It's about capital structure.
Lowest‑P/E Stocks Explode: Micron Up 520% Year‑to‑Date
The cheapest stock in America is up 520% in a year. The 10 lowest-P/E stocks are up 70% YoY. Micron has the lowest P/E in the S&P 500 at just 4.4x. Disclosure: long $MU https://t.co/W2gEcOm2By
New Global Opportunity Index Ranks Countries by Long‑Term Returns
the Clocktower Global Opportunity Index is live 🔥 we built an index to show our selection criteria for long-run investment return potential across the world. view all countries and adjust our factor weightings here: https://t.co/Ltmo4wt0Gk https://t.co/onOARPsiBm
Big Tech Valuations Hit Multi-Year Lows
$NVDA 17.00x out-year EPS $MSFT P/E ratio now below 20 $META well below the market at 18.3x @finviz_com https://t.co/1sFShbTxQX
Aperam Earnings Drop Amid Weak European Stainless Prices
Aperam earnings fell as weak European stainless prices offset stable shipments and cost savings. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/aperam-stainless-steel-earnings-fall-as.html
SaaS Growth Leaders Surge Amid Low Valuations
Anthropic’s new Mythos model hit SaaS hard. With valuations now near cycle lows, it may be a good time to look at the names where analysts still expect the strongest NTM revenue growth. Top 10 fastest-growing SaaS names based on NTM estimates: $PLTR...
Tech Firms' Record Margins Fuel Unstoppable Growth
“Tech stocks are in a bubble.” I disagree. Tech companies today are far more efficient than ever. Companies like NVIDIA are keeping ~$0.50 in profit for every $1 in revenue. That was unheard of decades ago. High margins allow companies to easily: - Outspend competitors - Acquire...
Focus, Not Timing: Concentrate on Few, Win Big
Buffett doesn't time the market. He times his attention. The best capital allocators I've studied don't work harder — they work on fewer things, longer. Concentration isn't just a portfolio strategy. It's a life strategy.
Goldman's 7,600 S&P Target Now Seems Achievable
That Goldman 7600 S&P 500 year-end target looks more doable now vs a couple weeks ago https://t.co/ylS7dFh44o
SUTL Enterprise Trades Cheap, Cash‑rich After Keppel
SUTL Enterprise (SUTL SP): The market leader in Singapore's luxury marina industry. Trades at 7.1x 2028e with a solid cash pile once the acquisition of Marina at Keppel Bay goes through. https://t.co/phzy16ip8T
Focus on a Few Long‑term Holdings, One Idea Yearly
Joel Greenblatt on portfolio management "We hold 5 to 8 securities for a year to 2-5 years. We may only need to find one idea a year."
Tesla's Business Grows Even When Stock Dips
On green days and red days alike, the value of Tesla’s business is increasing. For example, this week the stock was red almost every day. But the value of the business as FSD expanded to the EU went up immensely. As a...
Buy When Pessimism Drives Prices Below Liquidation Value
Ben Graham waited for bad news. That's not a typo, it's the whole strategy. A true bargain only exists when pessimism has priced the business below what its parts are worth in a liquidation. No pessimism = no bargain. The crowd hates the...
High EPS Growth, Low Multiples Signal Undervaluation
Was updating some spreadsheets last night… using the conservative sell side estimates… $APP $RDDT $CRDO are expected to grow EPS this year by an average of 56% yet at the start of April they were trading at an average of...
SMH ETF Delivers 209% Return Over Five Years
If you want exposure to semis but don’t want to pick individual stocks, SMH is worth a look. It’s one of the best-performing ETFs, up 209% over the past 5 years.
Florida Canyon Mine's Life Extends Far Beyond Expectations
@IntegraResource's Florida Canyon Mine will have a far longer mine life than people would expect. CEO @GeorgeSalamis spoke to Mining Stock Daily this week. https://t.co/S9UIFtIp9f $ITR https://t.co/uEaPdW8dj2
Ajinomoto: Undervalued Monopoly Powering AI Chip Infrastructure
In February, activist fund Palliser Capital took a stake in Japanese toilet maker Toto and pushed it to expand a ceramics line used in semiconductors. Palliser is back. Says Japanese MSG maker Ajinomoto is “most undermonetized AI infrastructure monopoly” because: ▫️in...
Ignore Debt Seniority, Destroy Acquisition Value
Buffett's hierarchy before making any acquisition: 1️⃣ Can the business pay its own way? 2️⃣ If we borrow, who now sits above the shareholder? 3️⃣ Is the upside worth that demotion? Most acquirers never ask #2. That's why most acquisitions destroy value.
Scorecard Analysis of NBIS and CRWV
Scorecards for $NBIS and $CRWV Subscribe my substack for more deep dive insights and analysis
TSMC's Customer Base to Quadruple High‑Revenue Clients by 2027
Doing some customer modeling on TSMC and this stat stands out: In 2023, TSMC had one customer (Apple) above $10 billion in annual revenue. By 2027E, it is projected to have four, including Apple, all above $20 billion.
Buy Critical Minerals Now Before Treaty-Driven Surge
Critical minerals including #silver will be the next major investment narrative. Now is the time to load up on metals and producers - before the announcement of the impending bilateral treaties, not after.
S&P 500’s Top Ten Still Dominate, Gap Shrinking
Concentration of S&P 500 market cap and earnings in the 10 largest index constituents... gap closing... https://t.co/smrJLaSTcS
Financials Lag Despite Record Earnings and Top Margins
Financials are the worst-performing sector this year despite forward earnings at record highs and profit margins second-highest in the S&P 500. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/VkoCJ4Zo5n
A Few Stocks Drive All Market Wealth—Diversify
Absolutely insane stat: Just 3.7% of stocks created 100% of U.S. stock market wealth over the last century. Miss a handful of winners … and you miss the market. That’s why you need to diversify. https://t.co/33wit1ajzk
Butler National’s Insider‑Backed Surge: >40% EBITDA, Single‑Digit Valuation
What a stock. Butler National $BUKS continues its strong run, and insiders continue to buy. Love to see that combo. The last quarter (ending Jan. 2026) showed very strong, accelerating revenue growth and an EBITDA margin of >40%. Earnings up almost...
Gold Peaks Signal Potential 25% S&P Decline
When Parabolic Gold Peaks, Stocks Typically Drop The stock market tends to decline when gold peaks from high-velocity rallies. Will it be different this time? My graphic highlights the metal rolling over from its greatest premium to the 20-quarter moving average...
SaaS Valuations Hit Historic Lows Despite Steady Growth
Negative sentiment in the SaaS software space is intensifying following the release of Anthropic’s new Mythos model, and average valuations across the sector are at historical lows - median EV/Sales for SaaS companies has declined to 3.30x ATL, while analyst-estimated...
Patience Pays: Stocks Spike After Years of Stagnation
Stock performance is rarely linear. You sometimes have to hold onto a position for a couple years before it goes up 300% in 6 months. It always looks easy in hindsight, but holding dead money is excruciating and few are...
Don't Let Daily Noise Obscure Long-Term Trend
Most investors are so easily distracted by short-term day to day price movements, that they completely forget about the direction of primary trends.
Buffett's $370B Cash: History Reveals Waiting Signal
Hey @grok Warren Buffett is sitting on $370 billion in cash. What does history say he's waiting for — and how close are we to that signal?
Consider SIPs in Global Markets Despite FII Sell‑off
Anurag, so yr advise is that public wait for 600 billion of FII selling before investing. In the meantime where to invest. FDs ? Or u think with SIPs as low as 100 rupees per month they should start investing...
PLTR Overvalued: True Worth $128, Watchlist Only
#PLTR Scorecard My Full Deep Dive Thesis on $PLTR Beat the Market to the Real Value And I Still Disagree With Wall Street On March 24, when $PLTR was trading at $160, my full thesis already uncovered its true Expected Value at...
GEN Stands Out: 6.5x P/E, 12.5% EPS Growth
Cheapest software names based on forward P/E (market cap >$2bn) I'm a fan of $GEN on this list... 6.5x earnings with 12.5% estimated EPS growth next 3 years https://t.co/TPgzemEkVy
AI Hype Inflates Multiples, but Narratives Drive Price
Freee could easily have traded up to 5x EV/Sales on the expectation that its new AI powered features would bring in greater revenues. No-one would have batted an eye. But narratives follow price.
Consistent Dividends Reveal Management Integrity Over EPS
Most analysts study earnings per share. The smart ones study dividend history. One can be massaged. The other has to be paid, in cash, every quarter, for decades. Show me 20 years of uninterrupted dividends and I'll show you management that can't...
Radical Portfolio Theory Needed as 60/40 Fails
There has never been a more important time for the "Radical Portfolio Theory" than now. 60/40 is completely broken. https://t.co/iIo9oxu8YX
Amazon's Growth Lies in Physical Retail and On-Prem IT
Read Andy Jassy’s annual letter and these are two valid bull cases for Amazon: > 80% of retail is still in physical stores > 85% of IT spend is still on-prem https://t.co/MREb97tYrY
Two‑Week 3%+ S&P Surge Predicts Strong Year‑Ahead Returns
More good news for the bulls. S&P 500 up >3% back to back weeks is historically quite bullish. Above average returns across the board and higher a year later 86.7% of the time. https://t.co/vVfLF8fE7P
Anthropic's AI Layer Poised for $26B Revenue
We articulated this abstraction layer Anthropic is going after and how this turns into $$ in our full report on Anthropic and their revenue potential. The financial model we built end of February had them at $26B in 26...
Risk‑Responsive Rotation Offers True Diversification for Equity‑Heavy Portfolios
Equity-heavy portfolios need a counterweight that actually responds to risk. Not just duration. Not just yield. $JOJO rotates based on inter-market signals. Real diversification. https://t.co/5sPzGCpJ6s
Rethink 60/40: Seek Uncorrelated Returns in Commodities and Alts
The positive stocks/bonds correlation highlights the need to think beyond the 60/40 model in order to find other sources of uncorrelated returns. Fortunately we have those in the form of commodities and alts. https://t.co/l0uBYTBbYD
Intel's Bright Future Validated by Google Partnership
$INTC 🤝 $GOOGL I still remember when people thought I was crazy when I said Intel’s future is bright back when it was trading below book value. 😎