Software stocks are cratering on fears AI will destroy their business. Yet job postings for software engineers are up 11% year over year. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/7PaTI6jR9W

$SNOW revenue, RPO and guidance came in ahead of consensus and the WSJ headline says company benefiting from AI adoption. This is the point we've been making for several weeks... some infrastructure software businesses are beneficiaries of AI. https://t.co/dX1lJsYfye
I think reading through Jim Grant's old books with snippets from his newsletter is great market education. You'll get perspective on the current market environment.

The Goldman Sachs list of AI winners & losers: Supposed winners: - Cloudflare - CrowdStrike - Palo Alto Networks - Oracle - Microsoft - Amazon - Alphabet - Nvidia - TSMC - Micron - Arista Networks - Palantir - Zoom - Vertiv - Eaton - NextEra Energy Supposed losers: - https://t.co/yZK0mvfWhp - Salesforce - DocuSign - Accenture - Duolingo - Workday - SAP - Atlassian - UiPath -...
Small caps just hit record highs. While everyone chases mega-cap AI, leadership may already be rotating. That’s not a squeeze. It’s a signal. @JDHatfield_ICAP @InfraCap explain why it matters: https://t.co/11ZhJg1jL3

The Mag-7 used to trade at a 100% premium over the rest of the S&P. It's now collapsed to a 10-year low. Do you realize what's happening?

On Q1 FY27 guidance, NVIDIA TTM revenues of ~$250 billion. Three years ago (in Q1 FY24), TTM revenues were $25.9 billion. https://t.co/n7nDwriJvG

The top 10 largest stocks in the S&P 500 are 50% more volatile than the S&P 500 itself right now. Important for risk... but more important for alpha right now. https://t.co/yqBR2QU8nK
This is an extreme spike in the SONAR Truckload Rejection Index – Flatbed (STRIF.USA) from 2018–2026. A 40% rejection rate means: * Strong industrial throughput * Tight labor + equipment capacity * Improving pricing power in physical economy * Early/mid expansion phase dynamics It usually leads: *...
Similar to the November lows, when they all start saying the word Hindenburg often, you know we are close to lows. We've seen 225 Hindenburg Omens since 1970 and if you look closely you'll see the great majority of them...

Oil peaked in 2008 at $140 and has fallen sideways since to ~$65 today. In hard-money gold terms, 1 ounce buys 100 barrels of oil. Oil has been deflating for decades. The only time it was cheaper was 2020 when...

Just keeps going $FORM Seeing this Co-Packaged Optics discussed across a bunch of big winners this year https://t.co/sosRLrP3tq

Despite Large-cap Technology stocks down over the past 4-5 months, both the Mid-cap Tech and Small-cap Tech indexes keep hitting new all-time highs this week. https://t.co/X2wjg3v8Qp

One way to visualize the global earnings convergence is by showing earnings estimates for the different regions on a log scale. All estimates are rising but EM estimates are rising the fastest. Shown another way, EM estimates are now rising at...

Jack Bogle’s investing wisdom still holds true: when you lower your stock allocation and raise bonds, someone else is doing the opposite. That’s how market equilibrium works. Understanding asset allocation, the 60/40 portfolio, and index investing is key to long-term...
Bull markets will make you a lot of money. But you need to be mature enough to understand capital preservation. Most people lose because they only learn the first half of the game.
Dan Sundheim on SpaceX: "The telecom market globally is now the TAM... They've come so far down the cost curve that I think in a relatively short time - months or a few years - they'll be dramatically cheaper than...
Uber isn’t building robotaxis. It’s aggregating them. That changes everything. $UBRL may be a leveraged bet on the entire AV ecosystem. Read why: https://t.co/uYTNGDwJMe @willrhind @graniteshares

I’m 62 years old and previously worked as a financial analyst at Morgan Stanley. After decades in the market, here are my simple rules for beginners: 📉 If it drops 5% → Hold 📉 If it drops 15% → Add 10% 📉 If it...
Our fundamental team use the Monte Carlo simulation to derive a 12 month projection In September when $UPS was at $84, we shared our analysis The Median target was $106 The 90% percentile was $147 Price hit $120 recently We combine our fundamental analysis...

This AI is gonna kill software trade echoes the "Death of the Mall" trade from 10yrs ago which was to go long $AMZN and short $XRT (brick and mortar). ProShares made $CLIX, $EMTY and $ONLN to do trade for you....
CHART OF THE DAY: Our Country Exposures Continue To Outperform $SPY Monkeys https://t.co/xvYrId3oap via @hedgeye

Diageo North America 1H FY26 organic net sales down ~7% YoY "Consumer wallet pressure and competitiveness in tequila" https://t.co/BHQJiiv6lk

In December 2021, Cathie Wood remarked that her flagship fund, with its best-in-class research, could deliver a 40% CAGR over the next five years. As we surpass the 4Y mark, they are hitting a negative 6.5% CAGR.
Check out the airport terminal in the beginning of this video and you’ll understand why I’m bullish Fairfax India https://t.co/KDIukR4iLv
Successful microcap investors are always independent minded people. They are used to no analyst coverage, no institutional following, no liquidity - no safety net. They are used to doing their own work and building their own conviction. It's why most...

Benjamin Graham: “The real money in investing will have to be made not out of buying and selling, but of owning and holding securities.” Takeaway: Compounding rewards commitment. Most investors lose money not because they pick bad stocks — but because they...

Nobody likes to hear it but these are dangerous times for retail #lithium investors that throw money at projects that shouldn’t (and ultimately won’t) be built. Buy quality assets - currently producing or with a clear path to production. Traders?...
You can tell that Indonesian-Chinese have moved assets to Singapore the past year. I would have done the same.
#ADVT "ahead of market consensus". 80% Recurring. £96m Cash. ShareScope has fwd p/e 14.7 falling to 14.2 but no Dividend, BEFORE 6% rise today. Strip out cash looks cheap. This is the Vin Murria vehicle. I don't hold.

Dr. Copper inflates again and we remain long of it in $CPER terms @RPKent $HBM https://t.co/amj1QWvmMl

S foods owns 48% of this 7614.T OM2, what the heck is this thing still doing listed. 0.1x EV/EBTIDA. the decimal is not a mistake. https://t.co/vQ1k9VL2Yk

Public Bank. Highest Annual Net Profit •4Q Net Profit RM1.88b, up 2% •Total 2025 RM7.22bn, highest ever. •ROE ~12%, upper league among banks •Div 12 sen, 2025 total 22.5 sen (2024: 21 sen). Record high div payout ~60%. Annual div yield around...

According to Goldman Sachs, shares of MicroStrategy are currently the most shorted among U.S.-listed stocks. Amid the crypto downturn, the company’s unrealized loss on its $BTC holdings has recently exceeded $9,500,000,000. https://t.co/cTdZMYj9A7
🚨Have US stocks PEAKED? The US stocks versus emerging market equities ratio has been falling for the last 15 months, after peaking in November 2024. Over this period, emerging market stocks have returned +48% while the S&P 500 delivered just +15%👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-stock-market-has-peaked
Foreign stocks are beating US stocks and the dollar is weakening, yet foreigners bought $1.4 trillion in US securities last year. The selling wave everyone is talking about isn't showing up in the data. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/yXliX9IMIO

What happened to the stock market? The market rally has come to a HALT. Earnings and innovation are not the problem, liquidity is.
Buying and selling feel easier than holding because we are wired to believe activity = productivity. Holding is hard because it feels like inaction and complacency. But every day holding is an active decision.
Bonds may be setting up the surprise of 2026. Equities own the narrative. Duration owns the asymmetry. If growth cools, fixed income becomes leadership. Framework here: https://t.co/NWtS4ggYI5 @JDHatfield_ICAP @InfraCap
The next bull market may not be American. Dollar weakness changes leadership. If the dollar is in a structural bear, global diversification stops being optional. Capital rotates. Narratives lag. Read the full framework: https://t.co/RJWIidZeAI @DynamicAlphaSol
I just posted a tutorial on the new @Deepvue Industry Ranks Feature.| Track rotation, dive deeper to find leading stocks, and see themes as they develop 👇 https://t.co/RtfsckwAaF

US mega caps and international stocks... same return since the start of 2024 $XLG $VEU +55% https://t.co/ivvWB6wtEx

Companies are spending more of their revenues on capex, and so far, this hasn’t come at the expense of either dividends or buybacks. At the bottom in 2022, companies were spending 5.4% of their revenues on capex, and that has...

🆓 Tuesday links: narrative-loving investors, the end of the DAT boom, and growing demand for elevators. https://t.co/vZ3ezyQCtk chart: https://t.co/tgBy66cSK7 https://t.co/E3cZ7Gtawi

The earnings picture has continuedto provide support for this now 40-month old bull market. With Q4 earnings season soon wrapping up (with 425 companies having reported), 75% have beaten estimates by an average of 773 bps. The dollar estimate has...

"Cyclicals should be valued on mid-cycle earnings, not peak performance." Most investors overpay at the top. Don’t be one of them. 📉

Whether this benign broadening will continue depends largely on whether the Mag 7 can hold on to its trading range. So far it has, but should support be taken out at the range lows I could easily see another 10%...

The chart below shows that the equal-weighted S&P 500 has outperformed the Mag 7 by 12% over the past 3 months. The last time that happened was in the fall of 2024, and the time before was the spring of...
Another week, another headline bombshell. Such has been the norm during the past year or so. But charts are charts, and there is a lot we can learn from them in order to optimize the signal-to-noise ratio. What do...
Surprised to see $LE dip so much the past few days. No news afaict. I'm not allocating more here presently given current size, but seems a solid expected IRR special situation as we approach the 4Q earnings where presumably management...