2025 Portfolio Review: Hits, Misses, and Dollar Lessons
My annual portfolio review is one of my most read posts of the year. The 2025 edition is now live 📊 Did I hit my goals? 👉 The Good, The Bad and The Dollar 😉 Check it out here: 🔗 https://europeandgi.com/inspiration/2025-dividend-portfolio-review-the-good-the-bad-and-the-dollar/ Share ⏩ & Repost ♻️ to help others find it 🙏
Tepper Dissects Markets, AI, Capitalism, and Crisis
Our chat with Jonathan Tepper on: * Building a Dominant Long-Only Fund in a Distorted Market * Buying Booking at Peak Fear: COVID, Google & Mispriced Risk * Will AI Disintermediate the Platforms? * AI Winners, Losers & the SaaS Apocalypse * The Myth of...
Broad Market Breadth Improves, Favoring Value and Cyclicals
Second strong ISM NO print in a row. I'm not bullish, I'm BROADish. We see macro and micro breadth improving into 2027. Benefits to value, cyclicals, active management. https://t.co/geofWJYULy
Disney/Hulu/ESPN Integration Will Appear Easier than Expected
Prediction: this will make the Disney / Hulu / ESPN DTC integration, which has taken 5+ years and with a lot of tough decisions to make along the way, look like a walk in the park. And that's before considering...
GENB CEO Describes Emotional Whirlwind Going Public
2March: How did @generate_biomed CEO @mike_nally describe his whirlwind of emotions as his company went public? Read what he and CFO Jason Silvers, MD, JD said about $GENB plus updates on $CASIF, $NVAX, $PMVP & $SRPT in my latest StockWatch...
Geopolitical Shocks Bottom Fast, Recover in Weeks
Geopolitical shocks feel scary… but history says bottoms come faster than you think. Avg S&P drawdown: -4.6% Avg time to bottom: 19 days Avg recovery: 40 days 6–12 months later? Mostly positive.
Investing Deep Dive: Philosophy, Process, and Minimal AI
Fun to do this with my friend @tseides Minimal discussion of AI; much more of a focus on investing. Background, philosophy, process, etc. https://t.co/f8X30Hd4RY
80% of Revenue Target Already Contracted, AI Fears Dragging Stock
#DATA results look OK and interesting bit about 80% of Analyst target for revenue already contracted. ShareScope has fwd p/e 11.6 falling to 9.1 and fwd Divvy 1.8% rising to 2%; I suspect it's been weak due to AI fears....
Hedge Fund Star Credits Kahneman for 18-Year Winning Streak
1/ Brevan Howard's Minal Bathwal hasn't had a losing year since the start of his fund, 18 years ago. In a recent interview, he said that his style is influenced by psychologist Daniel Kahneman, including his book Thinking, Fast & Slow....
Historic Low Range Hints at Upcoming Market Volatility
This year is the smallest range EVER for the first two months of a new year at only 2.7% for the S&P 500. Pretty incredible when you look at all the big winners and losers out there, yet, the overall market...
L1 Group's Cost Cuts and Fund Surge Boost Appeal
A rare post about an Australian stock: L1 Group (L1G-ASX) which reverse-acquired my former employer last year, looks interesting. The stock is not optically cheap, but when you look at... 1. The run-rate cost savings (guiding to $30-$35m, ~75% of...
Jobs, Sales Data May Confirm Fed Rate Path Amid Tensions
Geopolitical shocks meet key labor and retail data this week. February jobs and January sales could seal the Fed's rate outlook amid Middle East tensions. 🟢 Open https://t.co/NUBk2v4rcI
Even Top Pickers Need Decades to Find Few Winners
🎯 It takes the best stock pickers in the world a few decades of owning hundreds or even thousands of stocks to find a handful that are worthy of holding long-term. https://t.co/KRxH9wKOSP
EPS Gains Prove Bull Market Still Strong
2027 EPS up another couple bucks the past two weeks. Yes, the headlines are scary, but this is why this bull market is alive and well. https://t.co/G1hArdVPz9
Success Hinges on Cash, Growth, and Capital Returns
What do the most successful companies have in common? They all excel in these three critical areas 1️⃣ Strong, predictable cash generation 2️⃣ Attractive growth opportunities 3️⃣ High returns on capital
Invest $145 Weekly, Retire with $1.4 M
The Roth IRA limit is $7,500 for 2026. That's $145/week. If you invest $145/week in an S&P 500 index fund for 30 years, you'll spend $225,000 of your own money. But at retirement you should have $1.4 million. That’s the power of compound interest.
Free Cash Flow Conversion Reveals True Economic Profit
"Free cash flow conversion separates accounting profits from economic profits." Most profits are fiction. Cash is truth. 💸 Free cash flow conversion separates accounting profits from real economic value — and serious investors know the difference.
SOFI's Explosive Growth Undermined by Inflation Fears
$SOFI - Lending Revenue $267M ➡️ $1.85B - Tech Platform $0 ➡️ $450M - Financial Services $1M ➡️ $1.54B - Members 652K ➡️ 13.65M - Lending Originations $11.7B ➡️ $36.4B But sure, sell the stock because inflation is a bit higher, or you don't like the...
Tel Aviv Index Rallies: 11‑Month Streak After Historic Dip
That’s 11 straight up months for Israel’s Tel Aviv 125 Index, and 19 of the last 20. The October 2023 capitulation turned out to be one of the greatest buying opportunities in stock market history. https://t.co/S7CKED4mYT
CEOs Become Risk Chiefs, Blame AI, Term Spread Narrows
🆓 Sunday links: CEO as Chief Risk Officer, blaming AI for job cuts, and the shrinking term spread. https://t.co/4BDeewwVe5 chart: https://t.co/nJv6ecVuec https://t.co/rixP9PqbVA
Micro‑Cap Index Hits Record High Amid Weak Market
The market is so weak and turning so defensive that the Micro-cap Index is now up for ten consecutive months, and just closed the month at the highest level in history. https://t.co/R0UyyR24z2
Prophet Strategy Surges 1,982% Since 2008 Launch
On the day we launched Prophet publicly in December 2024, it was already up 1,640% from the date the strategy was first implemented in Dec '08. Now it's up 1,982% -- or ~20% since Dec '24. But the best is...
Growth Stocks Thrive Outside Mag 7, Defying Bearish Outlook
There's nothing wrong with being defensive until we see better accumulation in the Nasdaq, but I'm not getting bearish because there are so many growth stocks (outside of the Mag 7) that are in strong uptrends. More here in this...
Carbon Markets Near Turning Point; Investors Unprepared
Carbon markets are at an inflection point. Policy momentum. Capital rotation. Tightening supply. Most investors aren’t positioned for what’s next. Read this before the crowd catches on: https://t.co/axCJ40q8bX cc: @LukeAOliver @kraneshares
China Sales Plunge From Half to Just 3%
Former $FND CEO Tom Taylor, August 2021 - "Three years ago [in FY18], almost 50% of what we sold came out of China; today, it is less than 30%." Q4 FY25 call - "China represented ~3% of our fourth quarter receipts." https://t.co/9Bv96S1bvH
Late-February S&P Dips Historically Precede Major Lows
Looking at the past 20 years, it is perfectly normal for S&P 500 weakness in late February and into mid-March, then a major low forms. Yes, 2009 and 2020 are a big reason why, still worth noting. https://t.co/di2DeekJx8
Chain Stock Pricey but Has Expansion Potential
I really like this chain. The stock was never cheap but probably has expansion potential.
Finding Solid Dividend Growth Stocks in US & Europe
We went back to basics on the latest DividendTalk by covering how to find solid dividend growth stocks in both the US and the Europe. Worth a listen if you're building your watchlist 🙌 Tune in here: 🔗 https://open.spotify.com/episode/30VKC7ETTzOBI65Lfl5dnD?si=OtYzweq5RrKPJUEyQi876A Feel...
Portfolio Gains 6.8% on Korean Surge, Eye Japan SaaS
The portfolio's value rose by +6.8% in February 2026, driven by a skyrocketing Korean stock market. Opportunities in Japan SaaS and luxury wristwatches. https://t.co/dYm3oOEyPD
Berkshire's Capital Allocation: Focus, Integrity, and Discipline
Berkshire’s capital allocation principles and strategy: Invest in businesses that we thoroughly understand, with durable advantages and long-term economic prospects; Partner with high integrity leaders who understand their customers and act like owners; Avoid businesses that undermine the fabric of society or...
Bull Vs. Bear: 20% Moves Define Market Trends
🐂 Bulls vs. Bears 🐻 A bull market occurs when prices climb 20% or more from the recent low. A bear market happens when prices drop 20% or more from the recent high.
Opportunity Thrives When Uncertainty Skews Risk Perception
"The best value opportunities appear when uncertainty distorts risk perception." Uncertainty isn’t the enemy — it’s where real opportunity lives.
SYPG vs SPYV: Growth‑Value Split, But Silly Composition
$SYPG vs. $SPYV - Growth vs. Value One to pay attention too but to be honest - the makeup of these are kinda silly. https://t.co/oomWnQN9LD
Pick Dipping Stocks With Strength, Institutional Backing, Strong Themes
Stock selection is absolutely critical. 📈 because not every stock that dips is going to recover, and the ones that do recover the fastest and strongest are almost always the names with relative strength, institutional sponsorship, and a strong theme backing...
SPX Implied ~6800; P/E Drops 2 Points Since Nov 2025
With SPX implied near 6800, the P/E multiple is down almost 2pts from the November 2025 high https://t.co/bDmapKAmlt
Docebo's Net Remains Strong Despite Withholding Tax
If you haven't picked up these odd-lots yet there's still time to next week. Docebo's net should be nice even with some withholding tax headwinds. See details & disclaimers in my 'stack post:
Semiconductor Boom Wipes $450B, Bonds Rally, Gold Soars
The best earnings report in semiconductor history erased $450 billion in two days. Bonds rallied through hot inflation. Gold hit its best month since 2012. Defensives surged while tech sold off. The regime is changing. https://t.co/n37OTbPZWx
Hybrid Allocation Beats SPY: +2.6% Feb, 1.73 Sharpe
Monthly hybrid allocation signals +2.6% in February, versus a loss of 0.9% for $SPY ETF. YTD +6.8% versus 0.6% for SPY ETF. Sharpe ratio is 1.73 since Jan 2020 vs. 0.88 for SPY. Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/307eeSFnzN
Shift to GARP and Solid Balance Sheets Now
This chart is a classic, but let’s move that "We Are Here" pin 📍 Where would you say we are in the cycle right now? The Early-Cycle easy gains are over, I think. It's time to focus on GARP (Growth at a...
Markel Confident 2025 Results Demonstrate Ongoing Shareholder Value
Markel 2025 Shareholder Letter: "I hope you share our confidence that the 2025 results, and those over longer time periods, provide a strong case for the value we have and will continue to create for our shareholders." https://t.co/vcbR3seqEk
Active Managers Cut US Equity Exposure to Five-Month Low
The NAAIM Exposure Index represents the average exposure to US Equity markets reported by Active Investment Managers. This week's NAAIM Exposure Index number is 74.93, the lowest reading since May. What do you think these folks are all so scared about? https://t.co/UbFEeY61e7
CEO Emphasizes Equity Focus; Weschler Handles 6% Portfolio
“At Berkshire, equity investments are fundamental to our capital allocation activities; responsibility ultimately resides with me as CEO. Ted Weschler manages about 6% of our investments, including a portion of the portfolio formerly overseen by Todd Combs…” - Greg Abel
First‑Principles Approach Unlocks Multi‑Bagger Stock Success
A blast from the past. I gave this presentation at @smallcapdisc in 2023. Multi-Bagger First Principles https://t.co/YJT8idrZf0
Druckenmiller Bets on Higher Rates, Cuts AI, Values Sizing
Key takeaways from Druckenmiller - Sees potential for higher long rates thanks to productivity growth - Out of the AI trade at this point - What he learnt from Soros was sizing - Visualizes the future 18-24 months out - Sells if valuation becomes...
Markel Names Simon Wilson CEO Amid Productive Shift
Markel 2025 Shareholder Letter: "2025 was a year of productive change and recommitment in our largest business, Markel Insurance. Most notably, in March 2025, we promoted Simon Wilson to serve as CEO."
Duolingo's $400M Buyback Counters Heavy Short Interest
Duolingo bears are having a great day, but there is an interesting near term set up: 1) 25% of Duolingo float is shorted ($1.2b). 2) Duolingo just launched a $400m buyback program. That adds up to $1.6 billion to be bought sooner...
Asana CEO Spends Billions Selling Meta for $1B Asana Stake
Asana CEO has purchased over $1B of Asana stock since they went public 🤯 Asana market cap today is only $1.7B. The purchases were funded by selling his Meta stock... He lost several billion dollars from selling Meta and buying Asana... >>https://t.co/cRAFDwGz2b https://t.co/ltv5Z71gZq
Weekend Read: AI, Cloud Outages, Solar Milestones
Today's Edition is out, packed with goodies that you can read over the weekend: 615: Nvidia Q4, Ben Evans on AI Economics, Meta + Google TPUs, China Solar at 1TW/Year, Anthropic vs DoD, AWS Outages, METR, Sora, and Marty Supreme https://t.co/m8aYjFz1jo
Passive Investing Still Beats Human‑Run Index Committees
Passive has been tough to beat -for sure—but 20 years ago I did a study “What Happened to the Original Stocks in the S&P 500 index” and the recent experience is far from unique. The committee members are human still.
Performance Beats Fees: Why Investors Pay 5% + 44%
Jim Simons charged some of the highest hedge fund fees in history—5% flat + 44% of gains—and still delivered spectacular returns. Learn how elite investors tolerate high fees and what it teaches about investing, stock markets, and wealth building. Would you...