
Russell 2000 down 2.3%. Small caps are the canary. They need cheap credit, domestic demand, and labor stability. They have none of those right now. If you're waiting for small cap leadership to confirm a bull market, you'll be waiting a while. https://t.co/mDOKLhcosE

The $VIX increased 48% this week, the 21st biggest weekly spike ever. What has happened in the past following the biggest $VIX spikes? Stocks have tended to bounce back with above-average forward returns. Does this always happen? No. There are no certainties in markets,...
⚠️US private credit stocks are under PRESSURE: Blue Owl stock is down -50% in 12 months, dropping below its $10 listing price from 2021. Meanwhile, Blackstone's $82 billion private credit fund saw -$1.7 billion in net OUTFLOWS over the last month👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-private-credit-stocks-are-under-heavy-pressure

$SMH gradually starting to show more and more weakness as the Software malaise has begun to shift to Semis & Memory. While this is nearing "short-term" support, the short-term trend break & undercut of Tuesday's lows is still a...

The S&P 500 fell 1.3% today, its 5th daily decline so far this year with a loss above 1%. Expect to see many more of these days in the coming weeks/months - the average year since 1928 has 29...
WTI crude up 35% on the week, one of the best weeks in history. S&P 500 down only 2%? And energy up only 1%? Markets sometimes don't make sense.

New filing for a Lindy Effect ETF.. which will only hold companies that are over 50yrs old. Some other ones incl Insurance ETF (haven't seen one of those in a long time). New issuer I believe too. https://t.co/c1L9kTa7hU
risk off into weekend...lack of conflict over weekend may push SPX back into its 6800 box

SPs likely to close with new momentum LOWS (basis 2 per ROC) and closing below 6800 as well, (though pick a number, any number....lol) https://t.co/qSqXTmUpt9
@TheStreetPro Starting to Buy We sold almost all our consumer staples much higher a few weeks ago.T This afternoon I began to buy back and I am working on a scale lower in consumer staples now — (PG $153.67) , (PEP $157.73)...
ORACLE $ORCL AND OPENAI ENDS PLANS TO EXPAND TEXAS DATA CENTER SITE: BBG Timber $AAOI $BE $AEHR $NVDA $SMH hello $SPX $6700 incoming ;-) As posted Feb 26th: There Are Better Things To Trade Than Nvidia https://t.co/LGkqEyi3XF
With S and P cash -61 handles we took profits in following longs: $APO $BX $MX $C $KKR $SPY $QQQ
The Fed’s biggest fear has always been having to choose between fighting inflation and protecting jobs. Friday’s employment report brought that dilemma a step closer. “Let’s not overreact to one month’s numbers, but an environment in which inflation is rising and...
Great to have @Seawolfcap back for this week's "FND" on our WAWD @Substack. We discuss the impact of the war in Iran on the economy & markets & share some thoughts on $CVNA $AXP $APO #GOLD #ENERGY $RVI #privatecredit #AI...
Tonight on "The Danny Moses Show" @scrippsnews I sit down w/@RLKJ44 & we discuss his journey from @CuseFootball to @MiamiDolphins to his 16 hour swim to shore & his views on the markets. I discuss how the move in Oil...

SPX ( US500 ) Sells closed fully today to end the week. Although we still remain bearish on SPX , especially after today's "too bad" US jobs data but we also have to understand that indices can see sharp pullbacks on...
An interesting feature of this market, similar to what @kevinmuir has pointed out ... Is that most of my clients are less worried about the downside in stocks and EMFX ... and more worried about missing the rip when the...

SPY is 2.4% from its all-time high. In the middle of a war. With oil spiking. With yields surging. The market hasn't priced in the worst case. It hasn't even priced in the base case. That's the scariest part. https://t.co/d7MxjrSyrG
The $SPX has closed above its intra-day mid-point for 8 straight days and 13/14. 3 1/2 hours left to do it again...
On March 9, 2009, the S&P 500 set a closing low of 676.53. Today, it's trading at 6,765.3
Sometimes we make it harder than it has to be. $avgo had a good response to earnings yesterday. We discussed in 8:50 call u can buy vs gap pivot of $323. It only hit $327...

A Cboe measure of crude oil volatility has surged to its highest level since 2020 https://t.co/4FBZMvXK9Y
Friday's Playbook: Oil Surging. Bearish Signals Across the Mag 7. See How We’re Positioning. https://t.co/Ab25axAjJe via @hedgeye

Macro Pros, You'll see I'm down to 25 positions in Portfolio Solutions (from 30). All incremental Cash goes into FDRXX for me because the account is at Fidelity Raising Cash on the US Equity Beta TREND break https://t.co/b9jSa8qkmu
Tech has outperformed energy the past 5 days. Proving once again, you can have the headlines a week early, but that doesn't mean you'll make 💰.
CHART OF THE DAY: We Are Pressing Our Shorts Into Their Covers https://t.co/6ATbUtxX8X via @hedgeye
With WTI now at $87, the oil price spike is now definitely in the big-enough-to-matter-to-the-US-domestic-economy zone. National average gas price is headed to about $3.80; was just $2.90 at start of Feb. I expect this increase will prove extremely popular.

The 10-year yield has risen four consecutive sessions to 4.14%. Stocks down. Bonds down. Oil up. Gold down. When everything sells off together, it's not a rotation. It's a liquidity event. https://t.co/6whtUyh3CH

Long-term inflation expectations have fallen to the lowest since April, based on 5-year 5-year forward breakeven rates. Yields on 10-year Treasuries seem to be trading on a different dynamic. https://t.co/hStpU22gbY

SPY getting crushed taking out yesterday lows, as noted yesterday, worst breadth seen in a long-time and warned of more cracks likely in the labor market which we saw today, also felt nobody wanted to hold this market into the...
After seeing the weak jobs data, my view is ever stronger that "slugfation" (sluggish economic growth coupled with sticky inflation) lies ahead. @thestreetpro @dougkass @tomkeene @ferrotv @business @SquawkCNBC @CNBCFastMoney @HalftimeReport @ScottWapnerCNBC @carlquintanilla @jimcramer @pboockvar @guyadami @saraeisen @SullyCNBC @WhitneyTilson @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick
The economy shed 92,000 jobs in February, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%. Revisions subtracted 69,000 in December and January from previously reported job growth, leading to negative job growth in December.

VIX at 23.75. Up 12% in a single session. Two weeks ago it was under 18. Fear doesn't arrive gradually. It arrives all at once. And we're not even past the first act. https://t.co/7Fy3joZKAi

🔥 Here’s my #stickynote for March 6, 2026: Big macro morning with Nonfarm Payrolls and Retail Sales at 8:30am — these numbers could move the entire market at the open. Expect volatility right out of the gate as traders react to...

Dow down 785 points on March 5. Worst week since October. Oil at $81. Yields rising. VIX spiking. And somehow, everyone's still debating whether this is a "healthy pullback." There is nothing healthy about a supply chain in cardiac arrest. https://t.co/t59DwX0YJy

$SPX :6775 is active support, then the lows of the week at 6710. Jobs report at 8:30 could change the picture — the street is modeling ~+55k, and in-line or a little stronger would be better than a miss. https://t.co/qIBCw3h3lN
Fed governor Chris Waller on Bloomberg TV: January PCE inflation is going to be hot. The energy shock is a new risk. If the labor market is solid, "It does say you can sit there and wait."

The Straight of Hormuz, which is a key shipping lane for the world's oil, fertilizer and other products, is effectively shut. Charts from @bloomberg: https://t.co/zunbN3eO7G

$AAPL broke down under minor triangle support today, & always important to monitor the "Generals" when they show meaningful strength or weakness @IBDinvestors @marketsurge While SPX and QQQ have proven range-bound in recent months, the action has proven...

We're going LIVE today at 5pm ET / 2pm ET for our daily market recap show, CHART THIS with Dave Keller. Excited to break down the latest charts and market observations as $SPX and $QQQ rallied hard into the...

$ES_F bigger picture, weekly, still amazing topped right at the 1.618 extension, the 1.382 sits at lower value edge now, 6682.5, below that it gets real thin back to 6125 with AVWAP off 2025 low at 6460 important too https://t.co/dOkIMQUPwK

Brutal day, the S&P 500 has wiped out around $800 billion in market cap, falling 1.4%. The Dow Jones is having its worst day of 2026, down over 2% 📉 Meanwhile the VIX (volatility index) is up 17% and is now...

🚨Investors are hedging against a market crash at a record pace: Combined put open interest in credit ETFs, $HYG, $LQD, $JNK, and $BKLN, plus call open interest in the Treasury ETF, $TLT, is up to a record 15.9 million contracts. This has...
I did a rant this morning live in my trading room of what to buy and what to avoid and what to short and my HIGH conviction Iran Risk Is Not Priced In - as I have been writing about...

SPX continues to be weak, as the market has not really durably moved higher in months. Same thing happened with BTC, and it eventually led to a correction https://t.co/P0cSGNfg90

$AMZN > 225 = breakout above all the moving averages $AMZN < 200 = breakdown of key support $AMZN between 200 and 225 = 💤 https://t.co/GbWTIoHDaR

Boston Scientific $BSX -34.1% from highs... another contestant on the 52-week new lows list... https://t.co/MCT33YSBqJ

Live look at $MRVL chart ahead of its scheduled earnings today. Options expiring March 20th show an implied volatility reading of 89.5%, which is about a (+/-) $11.41 move from the underlying stock.

S&P 600 up 9% YTD. S&P 500 flat. Tech lagging. Energy leading. Value crushing growth. This isn't a head fake. This is a regime change. The small-cap rotation is real and it's getting started. https://t.co/AYVusIGbRd

FWIW - Sure feels like something to keep a close eye on no now that we've arrived at 43.9999. https://t.co/00dDXuJBOI