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Tuesday recap
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Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
The S&P 500 closed below its 170-day moving average for the first time since May.
$SPX - We are getting a lower low after all. Going back to the April low, we've had a ~80 trading day cycle. Due to many holidays in this cycle, I expect this cycle to be shorter in trading days...
S&P 500's worst close of the year... lowest since late November -4.5% from the January record high https://t.co/kASRYfc9MR
$SPX has traded below the latest trading box for 7 straight days. Only closed below it twice. Today would be the 3rd. https://t.co/gYeIND2TmK
There's actually a pretty decent list of S&P 500 52wk highs... bunch of food/ag, chemicals, refiners @stockcharts 1-in-4ish US stocks are up today https://t.co/ebgPXxwKyU
The Nasdaq 100 is staring down its 200-day SMA just like the Dow and S&P 500. Notably, the index is sporting its 2nd smallest 6-month range (as a percentage of spot) on record: https://t.co/D3FuDpSJFh
I thought $aapl would act better this morning. It didn’t. Hurt a bit. $254 a key level now
Wow. The cost for protection is nearly off the charts. Feels extreme given S&P 500 is about 4% from new ATHs. Nice one from @MacroCharts
$spy failed it reclaim $673 and now below $669.50. See if it stays below. Fast tape. $662ish is low of the week
Today the market got exactly what it wanted: inflation right on target at 2.4%. And it still fell. Oil surged 7% to $89.50. Ships were struck near the Strait of Hormuz. The FBI warned about Iranian drone attacks on U.S....
What would you say the prevailing trend is for the $SPX? That is a question of time frame of course, but there is a multi-week descending trend channel tentatively forming against the larger bull trend from last April's Liberation Day tariff...
$SPX -0.08% and closes smack-dab in the middle of its intra-day range. Was it a failure to go up or an inability to go down?
Bonds fall on growth fears and rise on recession fears - as a rule of thumb. But that’s under monetary dominance, not fiscal dominance. The new rulebook will look very much like February into the April tariff terror event where dollar and bonds...
S&P 500 peak-to-trough drawdowns this decade: 2020 -33.9% 2021 -5.2% 2022 -25.4% 2023 -10.3% 2024 -8.5% 2025 -18.9% 2026 -3.4% (so far) Why isn't the market falling more? Why are investors ignoring the headlines? Are we due for a correction? https://t.co/4VHwh9ODKB https://t.co/jZPvMOVHiI
If the markdowns continue for equities, then the Mag7 will likely break support (below). That could be enough to turn what so far has been a 4% SPX drawdown into a more bona fide 10% correction. We can see from the...
According to @Nasdaq, large caps and small caps are both seeing strong earnings growth — but for very different reasons. @GuyAdami and @DanNathan discuss on today's @mrktcall https://t.co/Q95mKW3icS https://t.co/dgdG2u5mGW
$SPY has gone nowhere in 3 weeks. Stuck between headline rallies and overnight selloffs. Range-bound markets after a shock aren't stability. They're indecision before the next leg.
Nasdaq outperforming Russel by +6% since this. Would start to exit the small cap underperformance theme and rotate back to the big tech short theme, although both probably struggle together from here. https://t.co/H7964lBBpH
$SPX went 6636 to 6845 yesterday and pulled back, and now 6759 (yesterday’s low) is the key—if it can’t hold, it gets sloppier. Most things are just range trades, and keep an eye on oil. https://t.co/LABgJBL6qw
This makes sense - manufacturing PMIs corroborate EPS breadth as it’s the beta of the business cycle. Thanks for bringing back the 📙! https://t.co/SrEetSesnP
Futures are at their lows of the day, but everything's quieted down since the start of the week https://t.co/sqcA2J1f9o
US markets are at the end of another counter trend bounce - #DJI TradingView https://t.co/65H6d7i8NU
🚨 US MARKET — MARCH 10, 2026 🚨 S&P 500: 6,781 (-0.21%) | Dow: 47,707 (-0.07%) Nasdaq: flat | Russell: -0.22% The market barely moved. But underneath: • Oracle: best AI earnings in 15 years — after hours • BioNTech crashed 18% — founders leaving •...
Oil prices are spiking as the frozen Straits of Hormuz has become the epicenter of the conflict. As of Sunday night’s futures open, WTI futures are trading at $108, which could make the...
With the conflict in Iran becoming seemingly more contracted, the markets seem to be pricing in a less benign outcome despite what has been a Goldilocks backdrop of robust earnings growth, rising margins and productivity, hefty capex spending, an easing...
JPMorgan sees a 10% $SPY pullback. Goldman raised Brent to $76 Q2 target — before oil hit $111. When the sell-side is behind the curve, the real move hasn't happened yet. https://t.co/eWvAv1XMRu
US Equity Weekly (Mar 10, 2026) S&P 500 -2% (worst week since Oct) to 6,740. Dow -3%, Russell -4.1%. Oil spiked on Iran strikes + weak payrolls (-92k jobs). Energy led; Tech/Discretionary lagged. VIX →28, yields to 4.14%. Monday relief rally after...
$spy morning glance as we try and digest higher. So far the morning trade worked https://t.co/PmlVmn37AU
Most positioning surveys hint that markets are Max Long. I don’t Think that is true - see e.g the below https://t.co/0m7dt8z2e2
Flows did a 180 yesterday and went FULL risk-on with $12b flooding into trading crowd favorites $SPY $QQQ $HYG et al.. while $VOO (the tortoise in the wealth creation race) doing its half a bil a day regardless of the...
After the big recovery yesterday, and the headline that we got since Trump's comments, it's interesting that stocks are still green, and that oil hasn't bounced very much
⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Update $NVDA $TSLA $IBIT $SPY ➡️ Free VIP List Newsletter: https://t.co/EW4O2nc6Yl https://t.co/O9fqCH2Dy0
$SPY now up 1% on the day.. let the gnashing of the teeth commence https://t.co/PDQSFKpyuT
At today's low, the S&P 500 was down 5.2% from its Jan 28 peak, the 32nd pullback >5% since the March 2009 low. Each one came with a scary headline. Each one felt like the end of the world. But the world didn’t...
67 days into 2026 and here’s how major markets are performing: 🟢 Oil +128% 🟢 VIX +99% 🟢 Silver +19% 🟢 Gold +18% 🔴 SP500 -2% 🔴 Bitcoin -21% 🔴 Ethereum -32%
left: Canada $TSX stocks right: S&P 500 equal-weighted $RSP stocks both entering the trading day RSI(5) oversold, in uptrends, on the daily charts... https://t.co/BARO3vCCGX
Now some see it. I presented to clients a full week ago: "Tech To Lose Its Key Source Of Funds" Update here: There's A Torpedo Headed For The US Stock Market But It's Not The One You Think https://t.co/zzV2LfHfgz
Either the crash the market is pricing in arrives — or this is peak fear. Why? VIX at 32. SPX moving at 14%. The gap between fear and reality is the 5th widest since 2000: -Jan '09 (GFC): +24.4 -Jan '21 (Meme...
Flows were def risk-off-ish last week, which caused net number to slow drastically, led by the trading crowd faves $SPY, $QQQ, $IWM, $HYG. The Vanguardians however didn't blink. Get this: Vanguard ETFs took in $7b last week, the rest of...
US equities are only starting to sneeze. When it does, droplets fall everywhere, and you get infected. S&P500 and the CBOE Put/Call ratio. #SP500 #PutCallRatio #StockMarket $SPX $SPY #GlobalMarkets #PutCallRatio #TechnicalAnalysis #indiacharts https://t.co/hkGs4mAlj7
S&P is down almost 5% this year https://t.co/jJ8zHsWyLU No one thought it could be done, but Donald Trump did it!
Losses for stock futures accelerating Nasdaq futures now down 2.3% S&P 500 futures down almost 2%
The S&P 500 spent months holding in a tight 6,800–7,000 range, yet the options market signaled fragility beneath the surface. The Iran conflict finally broke the equilibrium as we saw play out last week. Check out our weekly analysis: https://t.co/UMX9NhD0Z1
“We see no reason to actively add equity exposure at this time as risk/reward will improve from either price action or a path to de-escaltion forming:” Citi’s Kaiser. The oil VIX reached its highest level other than during COVID since...
busy week ahead with CPI GDP $ORCL $PATH $ADBE earnings and lots of news flow. Get my game plan tomorrow: https://t.co/YtTTmqCyAJ https://t.co/IOFyfaYqny
Market stress is surging at a rapid pace: The spread between the average 9-month volatility of S&P 500 stocks and the S&P 500 index's 9-month volatility is up to 18 points, the highest since 2008. This spread has DOUBLED over the last...
$MSFT - After almost hitting its 200 week MA last week we had a bullish reversal this week so I don't expect it to hit the 200 week MA anymore in March. An intermediate term low is probably in but...
High yield credit (HYG) down 0.5% on March 6th. When junk bonds sell off alongside equities, it means credit markets are sniffing out real economic stress, not just a volatility event. Watch HYG. It leads. Always. https://t.co/HpbzOsBALw
Only two sectors green on March 6th: Consumer Staples (+0.4%) and Energy (+0.2%). Tech -2.1%. Discretionary -1.8%. Financials -1.3%. When people buy Cheerios and oil but sell everything else, you're not in a growth scare. You're in a survival trade. https://t.co/8RrBLVWIBN
S&P 500 sector valuations... Industrials a nosebleed 26x P/E Staples same as Info Tech https://t.co/p5OdBIqFE8
