Nasdaq Surges 3.3% on Iran Peace Hopes, Risk Persists
Iran's president said they want to end the war but they want guarantees - US Market got over excited and closed high. Nasdaq up 3.3% While the statement wasn't new, people are still worried it can be false rise and one drone attack can take market down again #StockMarket #Nifty #Nifty50
Earnings Outlook Rises Even as Markets Plunge Amid War
The S&P 500 just pulled back 9% and the Nasdaq fell 13% during a Middle East war. Corporate earnings expectations kept rising the entire time. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/gBCdVSxqZS
S&P 500 Climbs Above 20‑day MA Despite Recent Lows
Big jump in stocks in the S&P 500 above their 20-day MA. But this is another one that didn't break to new lows recently even though price did. https://t.co/vHH6Uj8IiQ
S&P 500 A/D Divergence Signals Strength Despite Breadth Lows
Breadth didn't break to new lows with price. Here's the S&P 500 A/D line sporting a positive divergence with price. https://t.co/CtFPUMxDpj
Most S&P 500 Stocks Rise Since November 25.
419 stocks on the S&P 500 higher today, the most since November 25. That marked a low back then fwiw. https://t.co/vbZ1vp1Heu
NYSE and S&P 500 Hit New Lows Again
New lows fell again on the NYSE and S&P 500. It was really interesting that we saw this yesterday, even as price moved lower again. https://t.co/ZifaFDWEc6
Dow Ends 10‑month Rally with First Drop
It was bound to happen eventually, but the Dow finally fell after a historic 10 month win streak. https://t.co/DwMq8LbfKh
Early 2024 Record Low Volatility Sets Up March Surge
Might not feel like it now, but the first two months of this year were literally one of the least volatile in history. In terms of the range, it was indeed the smallest range EVER. To see a bigger move in...
S&P's Biggest Rally Highlights Volatility’s Two‑way Nature
The S&P 500 gained 2.9% today, its biggest up day since last May (China tariff pause rally). Important for investors to remember: volatility cuts both ways and is not linear over time. Big down days and big up days often...
Markets Kick Off Q2 Bullish on Yield Drop, Asia Gains
Markets looking to start 2Q 2026 on positive note: •US stocks ended 1Q last day sharply higher. Led by Mag 7 stocks up as much as 7%. •10 UST yield softened to 4.29% •S Korea and Japan up 3-4% early morning •Gold higher...
March: Energy Surges as Equities, Metals Tumble
March... Oil $USO: +55% Gasoline $UGA: +42% Commodities $DBC: +15% $VIX: +27% Energy $XLE: +10% Bitcoin $IBIT: +3% Bonds $AGG: -2% S&P $SPY: -5% Mag 7 $MAGS: -6% REITs $VNQ: -6% Retail $XRT: -7% International Developed $VEA: -9% EM $IEMG: -9% Gold $GLD: -11% Silver $SLV: -20%
SPX Rebounds From Oversold, Eyes 200DMA Resistance
#SPX: As mentioned this weekend and yesterday, oversold conditions were extreme. Moment of Truth: Price filled the gap and hit the 10DMA, the dominant March trendline. Today’s difference: the candle shows bullish conviction. Next major hurdle: the 200DMA. #SPY
NDX and QQQ Near Resistance: Rally or Dead‑Cat Bounce?
Strong bounce today but $NDX $QQQ now close to overhead resistance. Next few days will confirm if this is the start of a durable rally or a "dead cat" bounce. https://t.co/4ieYl9Fzob
Markets Surge on Trump Iran Peace Hint, Energy Lags
The Dow gained 1,100 points today. The S&P jumped 2.9%. Best day since May. The catalyst: a WSJ report that Trump told aides he's willing to end the Iran war even if Hormuz stays partially closed. Every sector rallied except...
Trump Oversaw 14 of 16 Dow 1,000‑Point Gains
This was the 16th 1,000 point gain ever for the Dow. President Trump has 14 of them. https://t.co/oP8XQ1LVb1
Market Rallies, Best Day Since May 2025
S&P 500: +2.91% Nasdaq: +3.83% Dow Jones: +2.49% Today was the best day in the market since May of 2025!
Quarter-End Rebalancing Fuels Record U.S. Pension Stock Purchases
🇺🇸 Today is the last day for funds to rebalance their portfolios for the quarter-end close. Earlier, Goldman reported that by the end of the quarter, U.S. pension funds could buy equities in amounts close to a historical record as part...
Most Magnificent Seven Stocks Enter Bear Markets, Signaling Leadership Shift
The S&P 500 is only down 9% from its January high. But 6 of the 7 members of the Magnificent Seven are already in bear markets. This is what a shift in leadership looks like. https://t.co/QcFh9RaBaK
Equity Put/Call Ratio Near 2‑Year Highs Signals Short‑Cover
The 5-day Equity-Only Put/Call Ratio has been sitting near 2-year range highs The setup for a short-covering rally was there Tough tape if you can't stay reactive $SPY $QQQ https://t.co/5RbeIFVmNC
Nasdaq Rallies, but Bearish Indicators Warn of Pullback
#Nasdaq Comp big Up Candle. Support 21000, 20690. Resistance 22000, 22569, 22906. RSI 37 not low. 13/21 day EMAs Bearish. Top Bollinger Band 22500. Midpoint Line 21622. Bottom Band 20750.
SPX Bounces Above 10‑DMA, Still Needs 200‑DMA
$SPX - All previous bounces in March failed closing above the 10 DMA. Today's bounce succeeded so it may go higher but the key MA that has to be regained is the 200 DMA. Until that happens we're still in...
SPX Q1 Rebounds Into Massive Trading Box, No Coincidence
$SPX - Concludes Q1 by snapping right back to the massive trading box. There are no coincidences. https://t.co/iY8uUWWVLA
SPX and COMPQ Recover, Holding Above 10‑EMA
$SPX and $COMPQ both filled their recent gap downs and today's sticks back over 10ema daily
Bulls Buying the Dip Sparks Major Market Rally
When bulls buy the dip, they’re relentless. • S&P 500 +180 points 🟢 • Dow Jones +1075 points 🟢 • Nasdaq 100 +784 points 🟢 Is the stock market back in business?
Large‑cap New Highs Outpace Lows: 21 vs 11
there are 21 large-cap stocks hitting the 52-week new highs list today... there are 11 large-cap stocks hitting the 52-week new lows list... #FinanciallyINsync #HighLowShow #marketUpdate #investing
Rising Rates and Concentration Risk Drive Market Pullback
With the headlines lurching from one end to another, it’s not getting any easier to find clarity on how or when the conflict in the Middle East will end or what damage the ongoing Hormuz bottleneck will inflict on the...
One Week Below 50‑week MA Signals Seller Exhaustion
I shared in Sunday's Thrasher Analytics note that if the S&P 500 was able to spend just one week under its 50-week MA then history has shown it's been indicator sellers were exhausted and price kept climbing. Week isn't over...
SPY Rebounds From Oversold, Signaling Bullish Momentum
$SPY - The reversion from oversold is happening. FYI - That's the bullish part...oversold isn't. https://t.co/CavnAyx1jq
Apple Tests 200‑Day Support Amid Mag7 Weakness
$AAPL is the latest Mag7 stock to negotiate with its 200-day moving average. Most of the Mag7 have failed to hold this crucial level of price support. Will $AAPL follow suit this week?... https://t.co/EUg1Bro2TV
CEOs' Guidance Beats Consensus Amid Oil‑Driven Margins
Q1 earnings season starts in 2 weeks. Consensus: +11.3% growth. But oil at $101 changes every corporate margin. Nobody cares about the number. Everyone should care about guidance. What do CEOs say about the next 90 days? --- https://t.co/CtGIcnkFfj
NDX Bullish Percent Index at 30% Signals Nasdaq Bounce
$NDX Bullish Percent Index touched the 30% level on Monday, which usually means at least a short-term bounce higher is imminent for the Nasdaq. https://t.co/57UyvAJ0ou
Rate‑Hike Odds Surge, Triggering Massive Market Unwind
January: everyone positioned for rate cuts. Now: hike odds above 50%. That's the largest positioning reversal in years — and the mechanics of unwinding a crowded consensus take months, not weeks. Every hot inflation print, every hawkish Fed signal triggers another exit from...
Rate‑cut Bets Collapse, Biggest Positioning Reversal in Years
January: everyone was long rate cuts. Now: hike odds >50%. That's not a rotation. That's the largest positioning reversal in years — and the unwind isn't finished. $SPY -3.4%. $QQQ -4.2%. The price tells you where we are in that unwind. --- https://t.co/mDbRSIwQT2
JPM Collar Pin May Boost Markets, Ease VIX Backwardation
"so the JPM collar pin of 6475 for end-of-day Tuesday ** could ** help to pull up markets to relieve the VIX backwardation we are in" 🤣😇 Lucky init.
6,600 Resistance Threshold; CL Under 100 Signals Go
Update. 6,600 is resistance *if* this Iran thing is real. I think CL <100 is the green light. PS: I'm not saying Andy endorsed this map...although he didn't explicitly not endorse it... https://t.co/u0zeKHrpcJ
War News Fuels Reflexive Sell, Spurs Leveraged ETF Buying
Gamma. Roll delta flips, month end equity buying not needed as much given price, sudden massive leveraged ETF buying now needed. All this in an environment which makes folks think the war news is actually the thing driving markets....
Markets Await Direction as 5‑Day SMA Slides
Markets are deciding what is next at this important level of interest, the 🟠declining 5sma $SPY $QQQ $SMH $IWM https://t.co/gDrz6QdLec
Market Panic Eases as Sellers Cause Thin, Quick Swings
Feels like panic is gone (today so far) in market compared to prior days, still sellers present but as soon as sellers are done paper thin swipes back up. Next seller steps in, paper thin back up. Before it was...
S&P Must Clear
Above 6780-6800 and the uptrend gets back on track, but we have a few levels and averages to get through before that... $SPX $SPY $ES_F https://t.co/5uG7W6JG21
Markets in Correction: Dow Falls, S&P Below 200‑day MA
The Dow just entered correction territory. S&P 500 is 3.8% below its 200-day moving average. 5 straight weekly losses — longest streak since 2022. 3 of 4 intermarket signals say: get defensive. Full breakdown 👇 https://t.co/bFlg5yAcKY
Energy Surges, Tech Slumps: Market Signals Survival Mode
Q1 rotation: $XLE +20%. $QQQ -4.2%. Money is moving FROM innovation TO survival. That's not a style rotation. That's the market telling you what it believes about the economy. When energy beats tech by 24 points in a quarter, listen. --- https://t.co/SxMLhgCbeX
S&P 500 EPS up 7% YTD, Margins Hit Record Highs
S&P 500 12-month EPS is up about 7% YTD, with half of that coming once the war started. Profit margins have hit new highs as well, not necessarily end of world stuff here. https://t.co/O1CvyznyMm
Buffett's Premature Apple Sale Highlights Weak Q2 Performance
$AAPL Daily. Buffett admits he sold Apple too soon. And yet the stock is the worst performing Mag7 name off the open, rejected at 200-day m.a. so far. Notable relative weakness into Q2 https://t.co/Mtr7QAaRut
Q2 Begins Amid Record March Losses and Broken Support
Five consecutive weekly losses. Worst March since 2022. $4.5 trillion in market cap gone. The 200-day MA broke. What that means practically: the dip buyers who stepped in at that level didn't get saved. They got more losses. Now that level is...
CNBC Crowd Clings to Losing Positions Amid Crash
CHART OF THE DAY: CNBC Crowd Holding The Bag7 Into The Crash https://t.co/LRATvgaFh8 via @hedgeye
SPX Poised to Rebound to 6500 8‑MA
$SPX working to highs here, noted late yesterday to expect a news-headline pop back to 8-MA near 6500 as we tend to revert to that level from oversold https://t.co/Fyzf77Rc68
SPY Rebounds, Testing 641‑643 Resistance Level
$spy up again this morning making it a tricky set up. Seems like it might stick a bit better than yesterday. $641-$643 is resistance#1 area https://t.co/0AaWtvQofQ
Brutal Correction Creates Opportunities for Patient Traders
📺 THIS MARKET IS BRUTAL… BUT OPPORTUNITY IS COMING We are in a frustrating, choppy market correction—the worst quarter since 2022. However, such environments often create significant opportunities for disciplined traders who remain patient. Big picture, the market is ~10% off highs,...
Record Margin Debt Signals Looming Market Crash
Margin debt: $1.279 trillion. Record high. 7th consecutive record. The problem isn't just the level. Debt grew 482% in real terms. The market grew 327%. Leverage outpaced the asset it was financing. That gap doesn't compress gradually. It compresses violently — through forced...
Investors Rush Short‑Term Treasuries Amid Equity‑Gold Decline
With equities down and gold in the gutter (zero corr can be a nasty surprise), investors are PILING into treasury ETFs, which took in about $30b in March, over double recent monthly avg, namely ultra short like $SGOV and $BIL...