I'll be on @FoxBusiness this morning with @MariaBartiromo today at 7:10 am EST, talking markets, recent tariff developments & what's in store

the realized vol spread of the average single stock vs index just broke to the highest level on record with avg stock realizing ~25 vol points over gs via @zerohedge https://t.co/KVW5ZluLpt

Stocks have had one of their best three year runs in history and the economy hasn't sniffed a recession. https://t.co/hBhFjc8em2

For years they said only seven stocks were outperforming. It wasn't true, but it is what we were told. Today? We are seeing the broadest rally in history. https://t.co/bt2fsADcXC

As of Fri's close, the SPX sat just 0.99% below its Jan 28 all-time high (~6,978.6). Yet everyone's screaming "chaos & uncertainty"? Blue = mkt-cap wgted avg "VIX" of the 500 constituents (now 38) Orange = standard 30-day VIX (17.6) Green =...
Strategic Patience Is Needed 💫Let’s start with the good news… 💫Now, let’s get to the bad news… 💫Blood Red Moon 💫Strategic Patience Is Needed 💫So What’s The Trade? 💫Bounce Then Trounce https://t.co/lP47X6m5Jw
What's fascinating is that tariffs are deeply unpopular --- as tax increases often are -- and the White House doubles, triples down on them.
January PPI lands Friday. Core PPI already printed +0.7% MoM vs 0.2% expected — biggest monthly jump since July 2025. NY Fed puts underlying PCE trend at 2.83% by December, up from 2.55% in September. WTI crude +15.6% YTD. Rapidan...
Dealer gamma indicates stability through SPX 7,000, although expiration dynamics and a potential put skew unwind could trigger reflexive upside if that level is breached. Read our full weekly analysis: https://t.co/sk0ViuP0W7

‼️US Cybersecurity stocks are getting CRUSHED by AI fears: CrowdStrike fell -8.0% on Friday, Cloudflare -8.1%, Okta -9.2%, and SailPoint -9.4% after Anthropic unveiled a new Claude AI security tool that scans codebases for vulnerabilities and suggests patches. The Cybersecurity ETF, $BUG,...

“Low put/call = euphoria” is an outdated shortcut. Equity put/call: 0.65 (Feb 20, 2026). VIX: 20.23 (Feb 19). That’s selective hedging, not carefree positioning.

“Low put/call = euphoria” is an outdated shortcut. Equity put/call: 0.65 (Feb 20, 2026). VIX: 20.23 (Feb 19). That’s selective hedging, not carefree positioning. https://t.co/V7FSThxtRN

For those who have missed the Raging Bull Market in Cyclicals Core Capital Goods = +0.567% M/M = +19bps acceleration to +5.9% Y/Y = 39-month RoC High https://t.co/hIsrs59WXP
$RNG has always claimed to be an eventual AI winner, stock soared 35% on results on Friday, back near 2023 and 2024 highs for a Software name Agentic voice AI is transforming business communications, with RingCentral positioned as a leader in...
In this episode, Michael and Stephen break down one of the most confusing market environments in years. While volatility in mega-cap software and AI names has grabbed headlines, the broader market is quietly telling a very different story. https://t.co/uhRhg9iiil

The Dow Jones Composite Average just closed at another new all-time high this week. This index includes all 30 stocks in the DJ Industrial Avg, all 20 in the Dow Transports and all 15 stocks in the DJ Utility Average....

Weekly Market Analysis , Macro Update & Trade ideas on Gold , US indexes & Bitcoin https://youtu.be/HNcStxTfQSg?si=D3pxln2A4J1VbDYV

If you thought Trump would stop throwing around tariffs right, left, and centre after Friday’s ruling, think twice… I still think the impact is blown out of proportion by the media, but it does affect economic sentiment due to the lack...
2026 could be the best year for active management in decades. The combination of a heavily concentrated index alongside a period of cyclical broadening provides for a backdrop of most stocks beating the benchmark.
I joined the @MilkRoadMacro show this week. Laid out why we remain overweight equities, but you want to still own other parts of the 🌍. https://t.co/X8faci8XLY
⚠️US Dollar weakness is historically BAD news for US stocks: AVERAGE ANNUALIZED RETURNS during the 5 major Dollar bear markets since 1967: S&P 500: +6.4% annualized Gold: +43.1% annualized EM stocks: +23.7% annualized👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-stock-market-has-peaked
Recall @HalftimeReport Slink's confidentally quoting (on almost a daily basis) of the robust GDP Now projections by the Atlanta Fed (among the worst forecasters extant) to support her "the economy is great" and bullish market thesis? That is the...

The Supreme Court Ruling In a 6–3 decision (Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump), the Court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) of 1977 does not give the President the authority to impose tariffs.

JPMORGAN: “.. many trade deals negotiated to date have relied on IEEPA tariffs and have not yet been formalized as trade agreements. With the legal basis for these tariffs now invalidated, the fate of these deals is in question. These...
The market sentiment for Humanity flipped bearish 2 days ago. Support is identified, offering a compelling short opportunity of approximately 35% (more with leverage). #Trading #ShortOpportunity #IvanClips https://t.co/vNtVS3D8mw

$NCI never doubt spider sense 😎 Nice long bias today @IUTraders for potential $BNAI Friday night replication. https://t.co/sEPvEtmdVc
Mystery solved via Ben re the $17b in $IQMM on Day One. The call is coming from inside the house, literally, ProShares own funds are all now using IQMM now for their cash positions. Big time BYOA and not as...
Historic Dispersion From Growth To Value Rotation - some quant talk to highlight growing risks in market structure. #CTA #IRAN $NVDA https://t.co/ZcfZDnpE7l

Prepping for presentation I found this slide from last year, it's a bit strong but I stand by it re what will be the main impact of MFs adding on ETF share classes (which should kick off in next few...

Since our bullish call on Korea last August… EWY +99.27% SPY +7.78% Money counting time. https://t.co/EKTw9HANNh

$SPX closed back above 6900 to end the week. $GOOGL $AMZN and $NFLX powered the rally, silver surged 8%, and I tackled viewer questions on $CAT entries, $MSFT Fibonacci risk, $ENPH breakout and the Hindenburg Omen. Full CHART THIS Mailbag: https://t.co/HpUIXN5kHi https://t.co/AiL2WR6RDf

In my weekly markets video for clients, I highlighted how investors have gone from “7 to Staples”. Usually, growing macro risks lead to Staples leadership. This time macro isn’t the issue, but it could be due to Mag 7’s idiosyncratic...

That was just the highest weekly close in the history of the NYSE Composite Index https://t.co/jxcFWw2qDi
T-minus 5 days until $NVDA reports. I expect guidance to come in ahead of expectations for CY26. That said, the real question is: what about 2027? My take: Growth in CY27 will be closer to 40% vs. the Street at...
Another Friday, another “Friday Night Dirty” from @VD718 @Seawolfcap & myself from our “WAWD” Substack. A throwback to “Electric Company”: $CVNA $OWL & you will be hearing the name “Vipin Arora” who heads the BEA which is responsible for reporting...

⚠️Apple has almost NEVER decoupled from its Tech Peers like this before: $AAPL, 40-day price correlation with the Nasdaq 100 dropped to 0.2, the lowest since 2006. This is down from 0.92 in May 2025, a truly historic divergence. This comes as Apple...
ludacris day means that sometime in the day the s and p turns negative after being substantially higher. the s and p did turn negative (briefly) qualifying as a ludacris day.
An equity risk premium which has recently turned into an equity risk discount. (Historically, an awful launnching pad for future returns) Policy turmoil, slowing domestic economic growth, sticky inflation, circular financing deals in AI (holding up the econ data) and traditional...
S and P now down on the day (reversing 45 handles in last few minutes) From an hour ago... on @thestreetpro Dougie Kass Ludacris Day? @dougkass

Markets flat near the highs + valuations near the upper end of history. Tom Martin of Globalt breaks down what that actually means—and what could sustain (or break) it in 2026! Our latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast: https://t.co/nA9bmU87rf...
Value ex-US ripping again this year, spreading to US value too. Not a lot of discussion about it in my world yet. Every advisor we speak to still way underallocated relative to benchmark...
A fun(?) 🧵 on how nerdy government accounting rules had a big impact on Q4 GDP. And how they reflect how wasteful the 43-day government shutdown was. TL;DR: Small reduction in nominal federal spending in Q4. But a big decline in...
TTMI, GLW, COHR, LITE, CIEN, FN AI connectivity group stays super hot to close the week
🚨 GOLD DEEP DIVE | FEB 20, 2026 🚨 Gold: $5,048/oz (+1.25% today | +71.82% YoY) Silver: $81.94 (+151% YoY) GDX Miners ETF: $104.23 (+21% YTD) The most telling signal: gold is surging today while stocks ALSO rally on the Supreme Court tariff ruling....

Markets can be tricky... SCOTUS tariffs ruling giveth...then taketh away... SPDR S&P Retail ETF intraday...upside volatility...that has been slowly eroded in the last 45 min...now trading where it was before announcement. Let's see how things shake out by closing bell 🤔 $XRT https://t.co/d2XrrhSSlC

With tensions high around Iran, here's an updated table of major geopolitical events and how the stock market did after. Yes, some of them definitely caused volatility, but the longer-term median returns are fairly normal. https://t.co/477EvHtgAn
$amzn nice week. RDR Tuesday around $197 pivot. Cleared $207 and now it’s $210+ to manage.
$GE Feb 330/350 call spreads from earnings snapshots now near $13 from $7, often pays to give extra time when playing a high quality name

When the CPI-PCE spread heads lower (the spread is cyclical), it is because inflation is going lower. CPI is what matters.. End of discussion The economy is currently doing the opposite of that Q4 GDP report https://t.co/xBUcAxE1EP

The yield curve inverted 43 mos ago ... still no recession Nearly everyone told us a recession was coming. If you didn't, you were mocked and told it was Quad Four People say the NFC winning the Super Bowl being good for...