Rally Needs 90% Up-Volume or Advances—Absent Now
In order for today's stock market rally to be sustainable, in the absence of a Zweig Breadth thrust, we need a 90% up volume day or a 90% advances day on the NYSE. At the moment we have neither of those happening.
SPX Above 6800 Triggers Heavy Selling, Below Supports Buying
In terms of SPX buying/selling pressure the key thing is that >6,800 the pressure gets heavy (darker red) which builds up into the billions of delta notional selling. Its light buying support below ~$500mm of delta buying below, selling above =...
Morning SPY Trim Beats Buying, Lows Offer Opportunities
$spy morning follow up as the first 30 minutes was a better trim/sale vs. buy.. now we have morning lows to use https://t.co/khvYAKig5Y
S&P 500 Jumps 2.1%, Biggest Gap Since Tariff Relief
The $SPX's opening gap today was a massive +2.1% over yesterday's close. That is the biggest bullish gap since May 12th - when the US and China agreed to cut their heavy reciprocal tariffs on each other for 90 days:...
S&P 500's 200‑day MA Breach Fails to Spark New Highs
That's interesting. In all of these cases the S&P 500 was still in a longer term downtrend and did not make a new ATH following the close above the 200 day MA. https://t.co/THrRmHqWrG
Let Markets Breathe: No Rush on Gap‑Up
Pretty controlled digestion of this large gap up for the first hour. No need to rush in on days like today, let markets breathe and balance out. $QQQ https://t.co/5E2FwCGwMb
Iran Ceasefire Sparks Risk‑On Rally, Tech Oversold Gains
Look forward to discussing this risk-on market post the Iran ceasefire news and what this means for the oversold tech sector looking ahead on @CNBCClosingBell at 3:35 pm with @ScottWapnerCNBC @CNBC 🏆🍿📺🎯🐂
Fear and Greed Index Climbs to 29, Easing Extreme Fear
The Stock Market Fear and Greed Index just moved up out of Extreme Fear into Fear now at a 29/100
Dow's 1,000‑point Surges Mostly Occurred Under Trump
Today is the 25th time in history the Dow gained more than 1,000 points on an intraday basis. 23 of those happened under President Trump. https://t.co/huMO8XedSx
US Stocks Hit Daily Overbought RSI(5) First Since Year‑Start
U.S. stocks are RSI(5) overbought on the daily for the first time since the start of the year... left: $SPX right: $QQQ https://t.co/9R3C9smFf9
ETF Rush to Mimic QQQ Before SpaceX IPO
As ETF providers race to create QQQ substitutes ahead of the SpaceX IPO, I guess we're going to force-feed not one snake but an entire Medusa-head full of snakes. How all those snakes digest what looks to be one supersized rat...
Six-Day S&P 500 Rally Rare: Only 2018 Fell Red
If the S&P 500 finishes higher today, that'll be six in a row in the green. Going back 20 years, only one year that had one of those finished in the red and it was 2018. Down years like 2011, 2015, and...
S&P 500 Nearing All‑Time High, Within 3% Opening Gap
The S&P 500 is set to open less than 3% from the late January all-time high.
Recent Sell‑off Lacks Low Expansion, New Highs Persist
the reality is the recent stock market selling didn't look anything like it did a year ago in '25... we didn't see the lows expanstion and we kept seeing highs throughout... here on Russell 1000 $IWB we can see (bottom)...
Pakistan‑brokered Ceasefire Fuels S&P Gap‑up Rally
Big news Tuesday night as Pakistan helped broker a two-week ceasefire, and Europe/Asia are broadly higher. $SPX futures +165 have us gapping into 6810–6840 major resistance, so we’ll see how much of the gap holds. Trim and trail into it,...
Weekly Close Needed to Confirm SPX 200‑DMA Recovery
Saw a post from 10 hours ago: $SPX is back above the 200 day MA. It was a false breakdown. Even a close above the 200 DMA won't rule out a failed rally like March 2022 or a bear trap...
Key Market Targets Hit Before Vacation: DXY Down
2 days before going on vacation, the key targets were hit. #DXY 200 DMA https://t.co/iYwNgfojQK
Pakistan Ceasefire Fuels Green Arrow Rally, Watch Resistance
Mostly green arrows around the World as Pakistan brokers a two week ceasefire. Europe and Asia are potentially higher $spx futures +165 Make sure to trim and trail as $spy has pretty major resistance $677 $qqq has pretty major resistance $610ish https://t.co/k3DBWKaiiR
Ceasefire News Fuels Stocks, Crypto Surge – Trade Live
Peace talks are moving markets fast this morning. Stocks and crypto are both ripping higher on the US-Iran ceasefire news. We'll be trading this momentum live at 9am NY with our DOTS indicator to spot the best entries. https://t.co/66dSROeuCi https://t.co/hFqQuGZt4y
New Daily Subscriber Post on ES Futures & SPY
April 8, 2026, 4:50 AM: New post for subscribers in Daily Posts. Link in reply below. 👇#ES_F $SPY https://t.co/e2jKy9u9cj
NDX Oversold: Growth Stocks Poised for Rally
$NDX severely oversold - on watch for multi-month rally Growth stocks are on the bargain table and the risk/reward is favourable. https://t.co/9W3aDdLK3Q https://t.co/WrgqzQzWfN
Discipline Over Panic: Stay Invested, Control Emotions
S&P Futures Just Went Very Green Today For Now Here’s the Only Mindset That Wins - Don’t be overly bearish. - Stay invested. - Control your emotions. Markets love to test you with sudden swings, but the winners are the ones who stay disciplined and...
Stocks at New Lows Since Discussion, May Drop Further
Also, stocks haven't been lower since this discussion was posted. Looking like that might continue tomorrow. @APompliano
Greed Wins: S&P Up 31% After VIX Spike
Update: a year ago, the $VIX ended the week at 45.3, one of its highest weekly closes in history. The S&P 500 has rallied 31% since then, adding to the list of times when it paid to be greedy when...
Staples Slides to Multi-Month Low Amid Bullish Trend
Staples down nearly 2% today. On a relative basis, fell to new multi-month lows versus the S&P 500. This is consistent with bullish overall behavior. https://t.co/Omn14mWZSK
S&P 500 Rebounds 31% After Historic April Plunge
Update: the S&P 500 has gained 31% since last April when it experienced one of the biggest 2-day declines ever (-10.5%). $SPX https://t.co/KcyPMWIw8p
Falling TDEX Signals Market Complacency Amid Crash Bets
The tail risk index (TDEX) is a measure to understand the cost of protection against a possible crash as it shows the implied volatility of far OTM puts of SPX. Currently is heading lower giving us a confirmation of complacency...
SPX Gains 2% Post‑Ceasefire, Reclaims 200‑Day SMA
Big 2% rally from the $SPX after-hours following the announcement of a two-week ceasefire between the US/Israel and Iran. Back above the 200-day SMA. Now the burden is on markets to capitalize on the 'good news' https://t.co/djEZLD8zgj
SPY Climbs Above 200‑DMA as Oil Plunges
$SPY back above its 200dma.. by a nice margin right now. Like I always say, nothing good happens below the 200dma... except market bottoms. WTI -16%, Brent -18% https://t.co/iY6pN0daWo
S&P 500 Swings $500B in Minutes, Market Volatility Spikes
MARKET RECAP 📈 What a wild day, the S&P 500 had a $500 billion market cap swing, going from down 1% at 11AM to +0.02% at the close. As I always say, we’re one tweet away from crazy town… What the...
SPX Futures Eye 6680: Break Upside, Drop to 6316
$SPX futures are testing the downtrend line from below after bouncing off $6498 support. $6680 is the level. Break and hold above it changes the picture. Fail here, and 6,316 is still on the table.
U.S. Stocks Rise for Fifth Consecutive Day
All that and US stocks closed the day UP.. 5th straight day of gains. https://t.co/aNxOTPxAmF
Watch for Outlier Trades Before Market Close
Half an hour to the regular close. Keep your eyes out for outlier prediction market trades and options activity on major/liquid equity index derivatives...
Year's Lowest-Volume Day Leaves Market Liquidity Thin
Yesterday was the lowest-volume session of the year. Today’s picking up slightly, but liquidity is still thin for this time of year. $QQQ $SPY https://t.co/9gr6CfZanL
Bulls Remain Resilient on AI, Earnings, Cheap Valuations
Earnings Expectations Rising With Tail Risk $SPX $QQQ #Valuations Why market bulls can stay resilient despite risks: committed AI narrative, rising earnings expectations, valuations "on sale", and 'stable' yields & USD. Until they aren't. https://t.co/5NVOuV0Jdz
Magnificent 7 Slump; Broader S&P Shows Resilience
The Magnificent 7 are pulling back… hard. Meanwhile, the rest of the S&P 500 is holding up better. For years, a few tech stocks carried the market.
Markets Stay Calm Amid Trump's Apocalyptic Warning
President Trump posted "A whole civilization will die tonight..." and the markets seem to be almost totally disregarding the threat... SPX has carved out a restricted range, 5-day ATR is pulling back and the implied overnight volatility in $VIX1D little worried......
S&P Drops Three Bars, Volume Steady—Side‑liners Linger
SPs had 3 bars down off OP (negative) but pace of volume same as yesterday suggesting folks on sidelines. https://t.co/m3DyfjRblV
Apple’s 200‑Day MA Under Pressure, May Break
$AAPL Daily. Multiple 200-day moving average tests for Apple over the last few weeks. Head-fake bounce yesterday. The more the 200-day is tested the more likely it is to give way. https://t.co/Ci7YFiC1lq
First 2026 Breadth Thrust Signals Positive, More Needed
We got the first breadth thrust of 2026 yesterday (at least the first of the many that I track). Is that a good sign? Yes. Is one enough? No. I prefer to see at least 4 over a two-week period....
SPY
Elevated negative gamma exposure present under spot on $SPY. It is testing a break of $655 now; if there's follow-through, $650 is the next support. As Trump's Iran ceasefire deadline approaches, the market will be looking for any catalysts.
Oil Spike Threatens Market; SPY Holds Key Levels
📺 THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM: THIS MARKET CAN FLIP FAST Today is a big geopolitical event for the markets. We either see escalation (oil spikes → market drops hard) or de-escalation (ceasefire, partial reopening of Strait of Hormuz → relief...
Expect QQQ Bounce to 585 After Trump‑triggered Dip
market started dropping in trump's truth social post. i held the $QQQ bid at 583.25. look for retracement back to 585.
Oil Gains Threaten Tech, Boost Market Volatility
🚨 Morning Market Rundown – April 7, 2026 🚨 Macro + geopolitics in focus today — watch oil and volatility as the Hormuz deadline looms 👀 🗓️ Economic Events: 0830 - Durable Goods Orders (Feb): Exp -1.2%; Prior 0% 0830 - Core Durable Goods...
US Tech Hyperscaler Valuation Premium Declines
GS: The valuation premium of the US technology Hyperscalers has fallen S&P 500 12m forward P/E multiple https://t.co/29BVbVl8AT
Broadening Forward Earnings Signal Bullish Market Momentum
"S&P 500 forward earnings continues to rise rapidly, while S&P 400 and S&P 600 forward earnings are also moving higher. The broadening breadth of forward earnings in recent months is a bullish development." -Yardeni
S&P Short‑Range Oscillator Flips to Overbought
Keith: The S&P Short Range Oscillator is now overbought (after being oversold for several weeks) -at 2.28% v -0.52% (day earlier). @dougkass @SamofAmerica @HedgeyeDJ @KeithMcCullough
SPY Bounce Occ
VOLUME: yesterday's Counter #Quad3 TREND Bounce for $SPY came on one of the slowest volume days of 2026 https://t.co/YCQoCnGu0n
S&P Short‑Range
By contrast, the S&P Short Range Oscillator is now overbought -at 2.28% v -0.52% (day earlier).
SPY Bullish on Earnings, AI
Macro: SPY supported by ~17.5% S&P earnings growth and AI/NVIDIA outperformance. Technicals are bullish but 150‑day EMA caps. Risk: higher oil → inflation, Fed hawkish shift. Trade: buy pullbacks; stop <150‑day EMA. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov