
S&P 600 up 9% YTD. S&P 500 flat. Tech lagging. Energy leading. Value crushing growth. This isn't a head fake. This is a regime change. The small-cap rotation is real and it's getting started. https://t.co/AYVusIGbRd

FWIW - Sure feels like something to keep a close eye on no now that we've arrived at 43.9999. https://t.co/00dDXuJBOI
Beware of False Narratives When we were shorting $WMT $10 higher than today's price (which is -$4.98 in trading), the "talking heads" made up narratives that the $WMT strength confirmed the notion that the consumer is swell. Stay independent and turn the...
CRM big push in Software today as well, call fly earnings play now more than a double, seeing a lot of these names rally with insider buys, buybacks into the Software is Dead move

$SPY - a breakout above 689.00-690.00 sets the stage for a move to retest all time highs.
Treasury (TLT) buyer 5000 December $89 straddles expecting bond volatility, tends to be bad for markets, good for TW MKTX
Jumping on the NYSE set of the @SchwabNetwork to break down this market with @NPetallides in a moment.

Are we finally seeing AI in the productivity data? A big upward revision to earlier data and strong Q4 bring us 2.2% above CBO's pre-pandemic forecast. Annual rates: 1 year: 2.8% 2 years: 2.5% 6 years: 2.2%
"The 2.2-percent annualized rate of nonfarm business productivity growth in the current business cycle thus far is higher than the 1.5-percent rate of the previous business cycle, from the fourth quarter of 2007 through the fourth quarter of 2019, and...
📺 THE MARKET’S BIGGEST TRAP RIGHT NOW It has been one of the most difficult and volatile trading weeks in a long time. Despite geopolitical headlines and sharp overnight moves, every attempted breakdown quickly failed. Key levels like $SPY $675–$682 and $QQQ...
Some recent data: * ISM services best since Aug '22 * ISM manufacturing >50 two months in row after years < 50 * Auto sales were better than expected * ADP best in 7 months and most of the jobs came from small...
Why would you get "stopped out" of something that's still Bullish TREND @Hedgeye? Down days are Buying Opportunities

Tech started doing better. $qqq reclaimed $594 area on Tuesday to relieve pressure and hit $612 yesterday. A digestion day above $607-$609 would be constructive https://t.co/CakJqjZ5sf

US plays major catch-up to ex-US YTD... @augurinfinity No longer the worst start to a year since 1995... not by a long shot $SPY $VEU $VTI $ACWI https://t.co/l8DRcKNBof

The problem isn’t the stocks, it’s their weight. These two lines contain the same exact stocks. #Mag7Diet $RSP $SPY https://t.co/OXqmQXkEkc

The $SPX is stuck in a sideways range… but that doesn’t mean there aren’t opportunities. Today I break down: $AMZN and $TSLA bouncing $LRCX momentum divergence $AVGO earnings reaction #Bitcoin reclaiming 70K $MRNA and $LYB trend shifts Full episode of CHART THIS: https://t.co/VhhjxmCKSs
Patient Shorts Rewarded - live trading room Tuesday ;-) $VIX $SPX $EWY $EWT $EWJ $SNDK $STX $WDC $MU Charting VIX for intraday scalps PLUS timing the top in South Korea ;-) https://t.co/zuRtN2DthN

MARKET RECAP 📈 The S&P 500 gained over $450 billion in market cap today, while the VIX dropped 10% 👀 This was a really constructive day. What the heck is going on?! Let’s talk about it 🗣️

Update: After a 30+% rally in Netflix, it now trades at a premium to Colgate and P&G. Investors really didn't like the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition and the stock has rallied every single day since they exited the bidding war...

Lockheed Martin up 6% Monday. Down 1.3% today. The defense trade isn't fading because the war is ending. It's fading because the market is starting to realize war doesn't fix earnings multiples. https://t.co/xXNtusNgkE
Is the VIX showing signs of a short-term market bottom? 🎙️@GuyAdami on the correlation between the $VIX & $SPX https://t.co/BIswcB9QAe

Citi: Options investor positioning in the SPX index is extremely bearish, with skew close to 3-year highs https://t.co/8bOEw1FFfS

The Fed is trapped. Oil at $81 → inflation rising. Stocks selling off → growth slowing. Yields above 4% → no room to cut. Stagflation isn't a theory. It's a Tuesday. Rate at 3.5-3.75%. Next meeting March 17. They will do nothing. And that's the problem....

TLDR: Call OI keeps going higher while Put OI does not. These PC chart on X differ in a bunch of ways. What "S&P Ratio" specifically means can differ: are you including SPX options, is it single stocks only, is it...
Can this bounce be trusted.. or not??. I'll break out WHAT needs to happen to have more confidence, today at 2:25 EST on @FoxBusiness w/ @cvpayne

MongoDB: Revenue up 27%. Beat on earnings. Rule of 40. Record cash flow. Stock: Down 22%. Why? Two top execs left. Guidance light. The market doesn't care what you did. It cares what you're about to lose. https://t.co/u0W819CWth

Iran made a "secret" offer to negotiate. Futures surged. You are about to be whipsawed. Again. The pattern: Gap down. War headline. Recover. Peace headline. Surge. Escalation headline. Flush. Rinse. Repeat. The only thing that matters is long duration Treasuries. That is your signal for what's...

Everyone is watching the Dow recover 800 points off its lows. Nobody is watching IWM. Down 1.7%. Hit $253 intraday. Back to November levels. Small caps don't lie. They don't have buyback programs to prop them up. The canary is choking. https://t.co/N8FcBwc8lA
$SPX up about double $RSP and 57% of large cap stocks are advancing this morning. Large cap growth leading the drive, up 1.28% compared to LC Value up 0.31%.

At the same time, the equal-weighted price index remains in a solid uptrend and unlike its cap-weighted sibling is not over its skis from a trend perspective. The broader market is well-grounded from a price, breadth, earnings, and valuation perspective. It’s the...

Software is *very* oversold and likely bottoming $IGV Our portfolio has exposure to quality software stocks which have been unfairly caught in the selloff and appear poised for a multi-month run. https://t.co/9W3aDdLK3Q https://t.co/Ursw6tsRqw
There are still a good number of stocks forming bases following strong prior uptrends, and so far market pressure has not caused widespread technical damage. However, after running my stock screens, the dominant theme is right-side volatility — which often...
AI, cybersecurity and infrastructure software stocks are *very* oversold. When the market volatility subsides, these growth stocks likely to embark on multi-month rally.

Everyone is getting increasingly bearish here, and while I understand the concern, the macro backdrop is improving a lot, especially in the US - that we can measure live with Nowcast IQ There is a very very underappreciated comeback in the...

"If it is obvious, it is obviously wrong." George Granville Alphabet is creating a picture perfect head and shoulder top. Many expect this to resolve lower. What if it doesn't? If this one breaks higher, it would be a clue the...

Animal Spirits: A Wave of Redemptions Geopolitics vs the stock market vs AI Is inflation risk back? Is it time for a correction? The optimistic view on AI The most broken housing market in America The private credit crisis of confidence & more https://t.co/3VV58HRcdq https://t.co/V5eIvRDjMe
MARKET PANIC WITHOUT FOLLOW-THROUGH Just 24 hours ago, fear was dominating sentiment. Many commentators were predicting a market crash after $SPY opened below the key $675 level, briefly falling to around $669. However, the market quickly proved those fears wrong. Instead of...
Between falling stock prices and rising gas prices, events in Iran are negatively impacting both ends of the K-Shaped Economy.
Just the usual reminder that while circuit breakers are seen as an output of falling investor confidence, they are also an input. And there, repetition matters.
March 4, 2026 📊 Insight: Jobs + services data = volatility window 8:15–10:00. Watching tech strength early with $NVDA/$MSTR bid. Services miss could pressure risk. $AVGO earnings tonight key for semis. Patience at the open — let data hit first. 0815 – ADP...
We shorted the Indices on this BS report. The S and P futures ripped (+28 handles) and we put them out: * $SPY $682.35 * $QQQ $604.37 @dougkass @thestreetpro @tomkeene @business
Yes, the January Effect is my leading theory for this year -- strong USD throughout the rest of the year

$spx futures -3 as today settles out a bit after $spy hit $669 and reclaimed $675 to get home back on the range https://t.co/NY794d92MH
If that was my market BOS would be at Tier#2 this morning. With two left in case

LIVE Shot of our Inflation Nowcast Accelerating into #Quad3 in Bond Market Volatility terms https://t.co/cTSAqYA6P7

While Crude remains more than 10% higher than last Friday's close in two trading sessions, stocks like Exxon $XOM are at lower levels from last Fri close after its steep runup. @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Similar to Gold stocks starting to...

Software up more than 1% today. @FrankCappelleri shared this potentially bullish pattern this morning. So far, so good. https://t.co/qlwNHx7eF2
Odd stat of the day: the $SPX has closed ABOVE its intra-day midpoint in 11/12 days. It's down a net 50 bps over that time span.

The "Fog of War" hit the tape today. 🌫️ $SPX salvaged support at 6800 after a brutal open, but the $VIX spiking to 28 is a major red flag. I’m also honoring the late legend John Murphy and applying...

Charts can always morph, but it looks to me that the Platinum party is about to be interrupted by a head and shoulders pattern. I am not allowing replies on this because I have no interest in reading what you...