SPX Straddle Cheap Despite Recent
Tomorrows SPX straddle is $41/58bps SPX last 2 days: +111bps +100bps also VIX EXP tomorrow
S&P 500 Near Record, 10‑Day Rally
The S&P 500 all-time closing high was January 27, 2026, at 6,78.60 As I write this, the S&P 500 is at 6955, less than 14 points away. The last six months of closing the S&P 500 is below. The green annotation...
One‑day Rally Won’t Erase Q1 Market Pain
S&P 500 up 1% on Apr 14. But let's zoom out: Q1 2026: Dow -3.58% | S&P -4.63% | Nasdaq -7.11% One session doesn't erase a brutal quarter. $SPY rebounded from a 7.5-month low — but the damage done to sentiment and...
Geopolitical Risk Revives, Sparking Rapid Market Shifts
US-Iran peace talks collapsed over the weekend. Markets repriced oil, gold, and risk assets instantly. Geopolitical risk premiums aren't dead — they're just dormant between headlines. When they wake up, they move fast. $WTI $GLD $SPY — all in play. https://t.co/oTOb2cKuEy
Risk Appetite Soars as S&P Nears Record High
What Middle East crisis? Sticky inflation? Exacerbated existing economic uncertainties? None of this is competing with risk appetite right now. $SPX is within 1 percent of its record intraday high and sporting is second strongest 10-day rally in four years...
Falling VIX Masks Ongoing Geopolitical Risks
$VIX spiked to 29.3 in late March. It's now at 18.75. The market is telling you the fear is gone. But is it? VIX dropping while geopolitical risk stays elevated and Q1 earnings loom is either a relief rally — or dangerous...
SPY Holds Near
As we chop around $690, exposure at $695 has been increasing since open on $SPY. $689-$690 is now support for me. The data has been on point :)
Nasdaq 100 Posts 11.75% 10‑Day Surge
10 day rolling returns for the Nasdaq 100 (+11.75%). That's one of the best streaks over the past 5 years. V-shaped happiness rally right into earnings season. $QQQ $NDX https://t.co/njBENziqXC
Options Expiry Fuels S&P 500 Swing, Not Fundamentals
In just 2 weeks, the S&P 500 has gone from widely oversold to overbought. However, this is not being driven by fundamentals. Options expiration is creating complacency.
Risk Appetite Returns: High‑Beta $SPHB Outpaces Low‑Beta $SPLV
Spring is here and risk appetite is back in the air. High beta basket $SPHB relative to low beta stocks $SPLV pushing higher https://t.co/vr7eIgfZgR
Stocks Climb Despite Bad News, Says Analyst
Why are stocks higher with all the bad news? Nice one from @_JoshSchafer on earnings.
Analysts Align on $7,700 S&P Year‑End Target
As markets approach their highs, as if on cue, Tom Lee at Fundstrat calls a market bottom MONDAY as Yardeni comes out to remind of their $7,700 S&P year-end target😉 TUESDAY, Citi updates their target of $7,700 at year’s end as...
S&P 500 Near New Record, Up 1% YTD
The S&P 500 is now up 1% YTD and above the level it was at when the Iran war began. Only needs another 1% gain to hit a new all-time high. $SPX Video: https://t.co/GTwCFLgKqY
NDX Gap-Up Expected; Avoid Longs Near Resistance
NDX: A gap-up at the open is coming. Given the overbought oscillator, it's prudent to avoid chasing longs. Price action remains bullish above $25,256.6, while $25,514.1 is a key daily resistance level worth watching. The complete set of daily levels...
NASDAQ 100 Eyes 10-Day Winning Streak, Best Since 2021
The NASDAQ 100 is on track for its 10th straight day of gains, potentially the best run since 2021. https://t.co/8MuxGQ3w3C
Bearish Outlook Persists Despite Short‑term Price Rally
Bearish big picture with eyes wide open for all the same reasons I’ve discussed for months… Campbell details well below. @abcampbell It does not mean press short in a mania of momentum. Price action for higher since we got back above...
TRACE Predicts S&P Resistance, Confirms Flat Close
Two hours before Thursday's close, TRACE showed a massive call position that formed overhead resistance at SPX 6,830. Sure enough, the S&P 500 hit that level and flatlined into the close. TRACE unlocks that same edge for S&P 500 traders every day...
Higher EPS Won’t Offset Rising Rates and Inflation
@ferrotv @lisaabramowicz1 @tomkeene @business Regarding your bullish guest (Lisa)who says the EPS outlook has improved so stocks are inexpensive: * The small business confidence is lowest since April 2025. * Global bond yields have risen. The Fed is no longer likely to...
Nasdaq Rallies Nine Days; SPXL Spikes After Breadth Flip
Nasdaq composite up 9 days in a row. The most recent breadth flip that started on the close of 3/31 produced one of the biggest percentage gains on SPXL in a while https://t.co/m0qkqv9kgn
Big Tech Valuations
Big Tech NTM PE near COVID-crash + '22 bear mkt lows The risk/reward is favourable. AI + software stocks are like coiled springs https://t.co/zDyYRJ2Sdv
Lucid Jumps 12% as PIF, Uber Pour $750M
Lucid shares +12% in premarket. Saydi PIF + Uber investing another combined $750 million $LCID
Media Hype Misreads Earnings, Hurts Investors' Decisions
Fin TV reporters - often like the panelists (who provide post EPS judgment calls before conference calls and even reading the entire release) - are great in (verbatim) reading of the reports. They are not so great in understanding and...
Tech Stocks Defy Crash Narrative, Reach New Highs
People out there talking about how Technology stocks are crashing the market. Meanwhile, Tech stocks just hit new all-time highs yesterday, on an equally-weighted basis 👀 https://t.co/9AQW2dZNHN
P/E Drops 18% as EPS Growth Accelerates
Nice charts from Mike Wilson at Morgan Stanley on earnings. P/E multiple down 18% (pretty rare) and EPS growth continues to trend higher. Quite the bullish combo. Thanks @dailychartbook for sharing it in tonight's report. https://t.co/2wvXsU1CWb
Staples Lagging S&P Signals No Imminent Bear Market
One of the bigger clues we were never headed for a bear market and things were quite contained was the action in Staples. Staples have lagged the S&P 500 on a relative basis since mid-February. If the end was near like...
Analysts Forecast S&P Earnings Double 30‑Year Average
Wall Street analysts are projecting S&P 500 earnings growth at double the 30-year average. They're more bullish than the bulls. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/F5lhKKAzl8
Breakaway Momentum Requires 2070 Net Advances Tomorrow
The market has a chance to generate Breakaway Momentum -- which I believe is the Best Breadth Thrust Of Them All -- tomorrow. But it will take 2070 net advances for it to do so; we then lose March 30th's...
Cautious Approach Prioritizes China Delays and Q2 Plans
Caution Beats Conviction 💫Are We There Yet? 💫Waiting On China 💫Big Level On Deck 💫The Week Ahead & Q2 Plans https://t.co/yIsx9u9K0b
S&P 500 Recovers Fully, Likely Bottomed for 2026
S&P 500 has erased all its losses since the US-Iran conflict and may have bottomed for 2026.
SPX Bounce Turns Key Level Into Support, Continuation Likely
SPX: Even bulls didn't expect this. Once the price bounced from the daily support zone of 6,786, it began gaining traction, then the key daily level of 6,823 flipped to support. With the 100DMA now recovered, the move suggests...
Majority Predicted NQ at 23K at Month Start
feels like these two tweets belong together If at start of the month you said NQ 23K or 25K almost everyone would have said 23K https://t.co/p9mVQ22gS3
SPY Near All‑Time High, V‑Shape Recovery Questions Bearish Stance
$SPY is now 1.7% away from making all time highs. A clean V-Shape recovery & you’re still bearish?
S&P 500 Near Record High, Bull Market Still Alive
The S&P 500 moved to positive on the yr and is now only 1.32% away from a new all-time high. After an incredible 9 month win streak, we saw a perfectly normal 9.1% mild correction. They happen most yrs. We've said for...
Credit Spreads Signal S&P Resilience Amid Geopolitical Noise
Credit spreads gave a heads-up on the S&P 500 turns. So far, they’re holding firm despite the noise out of the White House and the Middle East. Good to be back at the desk after a few days off for...
S&P 500 Climbs Above Pre‑war Level
The S&P500 is now higher than it was on Feb. 27, the last trading day before the US and Israel started the war against Iran.
IGV Jumps 5% as Markets Rally Across Board
Not a HALO day.. $IGV soars 5% for its best day in almost a year @finviz_com Actually just about an all-skate today... stocks, bonds, commodities all up! https://t.co/zmpOV5nZ3z
S&P 500 Rebounds 1% Monday After Sunday Gap
S&P 500: Gap-down Sunday night, then finish up 1% Monday is not something the bears wanted to see @augurinfinity https://t.co/a1fSTNInZa https://t.co/0FGmm4YiWn
S&P 500 Adds $4.5T, Recovers From 7% Loss
This is pretty crazy, the S&P 500 has gained over $4.5 TRILLION in market cap since March 30th, up 8% 😳 Back on March 30th, the index was down over 7% YTD. Now, the index is only down 0.32% YTD 👀
SPY RSI Signals March 30 Bottom, Divergence Emerges
Another signal (as they pile up) that March 30 was the bottom: $SPY on the verge of a higher high in RSI, nergating momentum divergece with price https://t.co/HVxScEKu6b
Charts Reveal Which Banks Will Lead Earnings Season
📈Banks kick-off earnings season this week, what are the charts saying about who is poised to outperform? @CarterBWorth joined Dan Nathan & @GuyAdami on MRKT Call to break it all down $BKX $C $BAC $JPM https://t.co/pR2yVXQsON
SPX Hits 6317, Confirming 6300 Implied Support Level
$SPX low hit was 6317 Super-interesting, my annual market outlook lays out all levels (shown) 6310 was AVWAP off 2025 low but even more interesting I lay out start of year implied move levels which tend to show a lot of...
First Thursday‑Friday Rally Since January’s Third Week
Stocks green on a Monday is nothing new for 2026. What would be much different is an up Thursday and Friday. In fact, the third week of January is the last time Thursday and Friday were higher during the same week....
Risk Assets Hold Steady After Iran Ceasefire, Not Collapse
Risk assets are not as put out by the collapse of US-Iran peace talks as they were heartened by the announced ceasefire. Wonder how long this lasts... Markets: SPX, EEM, HYG, Gold and Bitcoin https://t.co/FwSi3lcMY7
Charts Reveal Market Strength Despite Negative Headlines
The headlines are negative, the market seems to be doing okay, but what are the charts saying? Dan, @GuyAdami & @CarterBWorth are LIVE on MRKT Call at 11am ET! WATCH: https://t.co/LPowoIp1fi https://t.co/OgfszATc4x
Merger Odds Between Charter and Comcast Rise Significantly
"We think the odds of a Charter-Comcast merger are higher today than just a month ago," says New Street's Vikash Harlalka $CMCSA $CHTR https://t.co/MMBitMjhZw
Goldman Sachs Drags DJIA Down 165 Points
$GS worst in the S&P 500 at the open, but down just 3.5% Shaving 165pts off the DJIA @stockcharts https://t.co/jjhIsAT9qq
S&P 500 Down YTD, yet Most Sectors up 6%+
while the S&P 500 $SPX remains down on a YTD % basis, most sectors are up more than +6%... 👀#SectorWatch https://t.co/Z2jpYjb9Yt
Goldman: Oil Price Drag Neutralizes 2025 Fiscal Boost
GOLDMAN: “.. we now expect the drag on growth from higher oil prices to roughly offset the boost to growth from the 2025 fiscal bill.” #OBBBA https://t.co/tjt1bVV0cv
IGV Records Its Worst Week Vs. S&P 500
Software stocks $IGV coming off their worst week in history relative to the S&P 500 https://t.co/zaCRYoPb9i
Indexes Surge, First Dip Signals Buying Opportunity
indexes been on extended run UP...first flush below was buying op. Now: hold this upside 240 channel, or put in a lower high today... https://t.co/ChRsgSpkin