American Stocks Social Media and Updates
American Stocks Social Media and Updates
American Stocks Pulse
EMAIL DIGESTS
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Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
EMAIL DIGESTS
Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
The impossible trinity: - Oil above $100 - Fed cuts rates - Inflation falls to 2% Pick two. The market is pricing in all three. That's the trade. $SPY $WTI https://t.co/OvC9wyNGXm
66% of S&P 500 earnings growth came from ONE sector. Strip out Information Technology and earnings growth drops from 13.2% to ~5%. Meanwhile: • The Magnificent Seven grew earnings 27% • The other 493 companies grew ~5% • AI capex is heading toward...
Feb payrolls: -92K. Three-month average: +6K/month. The labor market isn't softening. It's contracting. And the Fed can't cut because oil won't let them. $SPY $TLT https://t.co/RVUtPtl388
PCE at 2.9%. Oil above $100. Fed rate at 3.50-3.75%. Goldman just pushed the first cut to September. The market is pricing in cuts that aren't coming. That's mispricing, not hope. $TLT https://t.co/xYBdA2JDGM
The Fed starts its most consequential meeting of the year today. Oil is above $100. The S&P 500 clings to its 200-day moving average. Wednesday's dot plot will reveal whether any rate cuts survive in 2026. The answer could set...
$SPY getting a bit more constructive this week Sentiment washed out a bit Hit my 660 target nicely and basing type price-action above a rising 200-MA as NYMO hit extreme oversold Warned of the bearish RSI divergence into highs earlier this year, that...
🚨 TRADERS JUST TIPPED THEIR HAND BEFORE FED The market is already telling us what to expect from the Fed - and smart traders are paying attention. Stocks are rallying and the dollar is pulling back ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. That's...
📺 RANGE COMPRESSION IN $NVDA, EARNINGS RISK IN $MU $NVDA raised its AI outlook to roughly $1 trillion in demand/revenue visibility through 2027, effectively doubling prior expectations and reinforcing the long-term AI bull case. Despite that, Nvidia is still range-bound and struggling...
After a little bit of a scare, @traderTVLIVE will be back on Youtube at 8am ready to Air. The $NVDA GTC keynote turned into sell the news while oil prices threaten to continue to give the market the blues....
Historically oversold market based on the McClellan Oscillator, right as the S&P 500 hits the upward sloping 200-day MA. https://t.co/TqybXrzkXG
Rus, SP, Naz and DOW: All got look above 5 SMA, but could not hold. SP, Rus and DOW remain on extended runs DOWN. https://t.co/3ZBu6MNk9F
SPX $6630 hit Friday target & we bounced on cue into a 'stabilizing week' ahead of VIX expiration, MU earnings, FOMC, BOJ & month end OpEx. Even chasing $CAVA, swing long $JD & trend long $AA from live trading room. But be...
The fact that Jensen guided CY27 revenue about 7% ahead of the Street, yet the stock only moved about 1% higher on the news, speaks to investors' willingness to believe. $NVDA
The S&P 500 has 3 headwinds right now. Most investors are only watching one. Here's what all 3 are, and the single indicator for each that tells you if it's getting better or worse 🧵
Gas prices reach highest level since October 2023 as oil holds above $100 per barrel; US stocks jump https://t.co/voUmM6Kcb0
S&P 500 down the past 3 weeks in a row, but down 'only' 4.01%. This is the smallest 3 week decline since October '19 (N=15). Pretty incredible if all you looked at was the headlines. https://t.co/Tzkqd8oLsv
S&P 500 advance/decline line pulling back to trendline support. S&P 500 index still trading in a big ol' range the past few months, as it works off the historic 40% rally after Liberation Day. Yes, the headlines are really bad, but...
$IWM down 9% from highs. $SPY down 5%. 400 basis points of divergence. Small caps always crack first. The question is whether large caps follow. History says yes. https://t.co/sp96ah5BoF
The last 2 times BDCs were in a bear market (2020 & 2022), the S&P 500 was in one as well. Interesting divergence today with the S&P 500 down only 5% off its January high... Video: https://t.co/P29a0c5vMR
$SPY levels going into the week. On the agenda: - CPI & PPI Inflation Data (Wed) - FOMC / Interest Rate Decision (Wed) - Fed Press Conference (Wed)
Top 3 S&P 500 Sectors YTD... 1) Energy: +29% 2) Utilities: +10% 3) Staples: +9% Bottom 3 S&P 500 Sectors YTD... 1) Financials: -11% 2) Consumer Discretionary: -7% 3) Tech: -5% Video: https://t.co/P29a0c5vMR
📺 DON’T RUSH TO SHORT TODAY’S MARKET OPEN — BUT THIS ISN’T THE MARKET BOTTOM YET Many traders expected a sharp selloff after Friday’s weak close to start this week. Instead, the market points to opening stronger, creating a situation where...
It *could* be a big week for a vanna driven rally into the 6,800s. Note here how VIX spread to SPX movement (RV) often contracts around VIX exp, which is this Wed. We've unlocked the AM Founder's Note to explain our...
$spy daily chart as $SPX futures look+27 after the oscillator went out -52. $spy has small resistance $665ish much bigger $669-$671. Fridays pivot low $662ish https://t.co/EdvepYd8dv
Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: 1. Technically things look fairly bearish overall. 2. But recent history shows the tendency for rebounds (even during bear markets). 3. And conditions are currently looking notably oversold. 4. Yet there are some vulnerabilities being exposed in...
SPX has broken solidly below its 3-month range. This next week brings expiration dynamics and FOMC, with the backdrop of geopolitical risk from the Iran conflict. Where could this market be headed? View our weekly analysis at: https://t.co/f2As6iRdoD
The S&P 500 is down 5.4% from its Jan 28 peak, the 32nd pullback >5% since the March 2009 low. Video: https://t.co/P29a0c5vMR
All 7 members of the Magnificent Seven are down on the year and underperforming the S&P 500. Video: https://t.co/P29a0c5vMR
Positioning suggests equities likely near a bottom... Weakness early next week followed by a reversal? Chart @SubuTrade https://t.co/u7fpaG36eG
Dow below 47K. S&P at 2026 lows. Three straight weekly losses. What concerns me isn't the level — it's the character. This isn't a crash. It's a slow grind lower that constantly tempts you to buy too early. The 2008 decline took...
Dow below 47K. S&P at 2026 lows. Three straight weeks of losses. The "buy the dip" crowd is running out of dips to buy. This is what repricing looks like. Slow. Grinding. Relentless. $DIA https://t.co/n4HR4uNcCX
Berkshire Hathaway bought back the equivalent of 309 $BRK.A shares (~$226 million worth), on March 4th, the day it resumed it stock buyback program for the first time since May 2024 - CNBC
Today felt like a textbook risk-off session. Weak GDP revision. VIX back above 20. Short-term breadth rolling over. Dollar up. Rates pushing toward 4.3%. Oil surging. In CHART THIS I walk through what’s actually changing — and what isn’t. Six viewer questions. Clear levels. No drama. Watch...
Since the start of the US-Iran war, breadth has deteriorated sharply across large, mid, and small caps.
Risk premium rising across equities and credit while intraday correlation between oil and equities around -80%. Oil shocks push the tide out and expose underlying weak links. The peak in oil in June 2022 explained the first low in markets...
The number Wall Street was dreading arrived today. Q4 GDP was revised down to 0.7% — literally half the initial reading — while core PCE inflation climbed to 3.1%, its highest since early 2024. The S&P 500 responded by hitting...
Oil = 10yr = -SPX 1 variable market continued for another week and will likely persist until oil drops back below ~$70 when the Strait is back in business. https://t.co/349BroE6sP
$SPY at 2026 lows. Dow below 47K. The "buy the dip" crowd has gone very quiet. This is what a regime change looks like. Not a crash. Just a slow, grinding repricing of risk. https://t.co/p01B1V5aNG
Energy stocks at all-time highs. $SPY at 2026 lows. Chevron, Marathon, Valero ripping. Everything else bleeding. This is not a market. It's two separate markets wearing one coat. https://t.co/yJjS0g4dAU
Beta of SPX to 1pt chg in the VIX has fallen to uncomfortable levels. Opposite in many ways to Volmaggedon where VIX was at depressed levels, but SPX showing almost no response to implied vol changes. https://t.co/zaPe03rueo
Market Crash Risk Odds Have Increased $SPX $VIX #crudeoil #10Y #USD All eyes on rising oil, yields & dollar... for increased pressure on equities... before or after OpEx is the big question... https://t.co/fgfY8OJ2nm
$SPX hit a 6636 low Monday and bounced to 6670, and now we’ll see if early strength holds or fades with 6740ish as resistance. #FOMC is the next move as the Fed turned more hawkish with inflation and higher...
War in Iran Oil up nearly 70% YTD Software stocks crashed Private credit imploding Legit chance of no cuts this year Inflation set to surge Yields globally moving higher S&P 500 down only 2.5% this year
Two different crises hit the market on the same day Thursday. Brent crude closed above $100 for the first time since August 2022. And four of Wall Street's biggest fund managers — Morgan Stanley, BlackRock, Blackstone, and Blue Owl —...
Nike $NKE stock has now closed lower for the last 10 trading days in a row
CF Industries $CF was the strongest outperformer today within $SPX and it continues to be right to favor Agriculture & food prices in 2026 @IBDinvestors @marketsurge I added one of its competitors to UPTICKS for my early March addition and while...
% Below All-Time High Chevron: 0% S&P 500: -5% Gold: -9% Apple: -11% Google: -13% Nvidia: -14% Amazon: -19% Meta: -20% Tesla: -21% Palantir: -26% Microsoft: -27% Netflix: -30% Bitcoin: -44% Ethereum: -58% MicroStrategy: -75% Fartcoin: -94% Trump Coin: -96% Melania Coin: -99%
MARKET RECAP 📉 What a day, the S&P 500 lost over $800 BILLION in market cap today. The index is now down 4% in a month, losing $2.5 TRILLION 😳 What the heck is going on?!? Let’s talk about it 🗣️
NEW: The S&P 500 fell 1.5% today, erasing nearly $1 trillion in value Crypto held mostly unchanged
The S&P 500 just closed beneath the December low in the Q1. 38 times this happened and 38 times it didn't. When it breaks (like this year) the avg full yr return is 0.2% and up only 50% of time versus 18.9%...
