Bear Pressure Builds, Yet Market Still Holds Firm
Technical damage and bear sentiment is piling up. But we still haven't seen the kind of washout or capitulation that usually marks a cleaner turning point. We discuss what we're looking for in this week's video. 📺Watch: https://t.co/ieSqgIPzbx $SPY $QQQ $IWM $USO $GLD https://t.co/5QzMrS7be5
Chart Not Yet Bearish, Trend Still Unclear
This is hardly the chart one could look at and say: "Wow, we are really in a bear trend" It may become a bear trend -- but it is NOT there yet $NQ_F
Four Weeks of Slow Market Bleed Erodes Wealth
$SPY at 6,506. Four straight weeks of declines. Not a crash. Not a correction yet. Just a slow, grinding bleed that feels worse than a crash. The market doesn't need to collapse to destroy wealth. It just needs to stay down long...
Oversold NDX/QQQ Bounce Signals Potential Reversal
$NDX $QQQ remains in a DOWNTREND Our portfolio hedge triggered in early February (when price closed < red line). Yesterday, $NDX $QQQ bounced off November low. The market is very oversold and any good news will likely...
Reduced Longs, Market Rose; Dips Now Look Promising
I kind of knew the market would go lower when we posted that we reduced our longs by 30% when SPX was like 6800 and the next session when it went to 6830 we already had like ten people on...
Oil Shocks Trap Fed, Spark Volatility and Equity Losses
The 1973 oil embargo lasted six months and triggered a 48% drawdown in the S&P 500. This conflict is three weeks old. Oil already up 40%. Supply-driven oil shocks create the same policy trap every time. The Fed can't ease because...
Trump's Iran Move Could Lift November Market Lows
The stock market reaches its November low and President Trump considers ending the Iran conflict. Hopefully this war will end soon, enough lives lost already. Any good news and the stock market will be off to the races. $NDX $SPX...
Markets Lose Buyers as S&P Slides Below 200‑Day
The S&P 500 just closed below its 200-day moving average for the second straight session — lowest since November. Iraq declared force majeure on all foreign-operated oilfields Friday, sending oil back toward $100 and triggering the fourth consecutive losing week...
Small‑cap Stocks Outpace Mega‑cap Tech Amid Oil Shock
$IWM is up 0.12% YTD while $QQQ is down 3.16%. Small caps quietly outperforming mega-cap tech during an oil shock. Nobody's talking about it. That's exactly why it matters. https://t.co/uJRKl9XT9N
Economic Landscape Shifting Dramatically Amid Inflation, Rates, and Markets
Current situation: 1. US inflation expectations have surged to 5.2%, 3-year high 2. The Russell 2000 is officially in a technical correction 3. US gas prices have risen nearly +45% in four months 4. Interest rate futures are now pricing-in potential rate HIKES 5. Gold...
All Markets Plunge, Crypto Crashes Below All‑Time Highs
% Below All-Time High ExxonMobil: 0% S&P 500: -7% Google: -14% Apple: -14% Nvidia: -19% Gold: -20% Amazon: -21% Meta: -25% Tesla: -26% Palantir: -28% Microsoft: -31% Bitcoin: -44% Silver: -45% Ethereum: -57% MicroStrategy: -75% Fartcoin: -92% Trump Coin: -96% Melania Coin: -99%
Time‑Based S&P Bottom Near; Money Flow Signals Reversal
#SPX: A bottom is near in terms of Time, not necessarily in terms of Price. Money Flow is nearing the 2018, 2022, and 2025 lows and has already dropped below the 2020 levels. While the %B is also oversold. After...
Economy Strong, Energy Crisis Holds Back Growth
S&P 500 earnings growing +13%. Tax refunds running 17% higher YoY. Oil up 40% since the war started. The economy is fine. Energy is the problem. And the Fed can't drill its way out of this. https://t.co/q0FLlog6k2
Tech Giants Face 20‑57% Pullbacks From 52‑Week Peaks
Current Mag 7+ drawdowns from 52wk highs... $NVDA -19% $GOOGL -14% $MSFT -31% $AAPL -14% $AMZN -21% $META -25% $TSLA -26% $AVGO -25% $ORCL -57% $NFLX -32% $AMD -25% $PLTR -27% @finviz_com https://t.co/5XhlWNrFKR
S&P Below 200‑Day MA Signals Historically Negative Returns
After 214 trading days, the S&P 500 closed beneath it's 200-day MA this week. Since 1950, when the S&P 500 closes above this trendline the annualized return is 21.1%. When it closes beneath? -22.2%. Proving once again that bad things tend to...
Broad After-Hours Rally Lifts Major ETFs
After-hours: $SPY +1.0% $QQQ +0.9% $RSP +0.9% $IWM +1.7% $EFA +1.3% $EEM +1.8% $TLT +0.5% $IBIT +1.0% @finviz_com https://t.co/H1dLfRam9i
S&P up 35% From April Low; ETFs Post Strong Gains
The S&P 500 remains +35% from its April low... the Gain from 52wk low heat map... In the last year: $SPY +16.4% $QQQ +22.1% $RSP +11.0% $IWM +19.4% $VEU +20.6% https://t.co/tSe8pBORDA
SPX Downtrend Likely Extends to August Low
$SPX - Time wise we're still in the timeframe for an 80 trading day low, but in my opinion the weekly close below the 200 day MA and breakdown of the November low has invalidated this cycle. The downtrend is...
Dow Breaks Technical Floor, Catching Fundamental Traders' Attention
Here's my video of what I am watching in the markets over the coming week. Dow Clears A Technical Floor Even Fundamental Traders Will Talk About https://t.co/m5hFw9o7xs
Energy Sector Hits 21 All‑Time High Records This Year
The S&P 500 energy sector has reached all-time highs 21 times this year. @augurinfinity @soberlook https://t.co/j2yKbwkAig https://t.co/E7GNUI7Pz3
7.6% S&P Dip Is Typical, Not Alarming
The S&P 500 is now down 7.6% from its January peak. Is that a lot? Not at all. This is right in line with the median correction off an all-time high since the March 2009 low. We see a decline of this amount...
Expect Major SPX Lows This Year, Relief Rallies Ahead
Currently down 7%. Look for major lows in SPX later this year, with relief rallies along the way https://t.co/CUfogOJhN0
S&P 500 Slips Below Recent Lows, Support Vanishes
🚨 S&P 500 breached the October & November 2025 lows. This is a nasty break for bulls heading into the weekend. Support vaporized. Fear ramping. Expect a bounce or deeper pain? Your bias? $SPY $SPX https://t.co/0YEkEMWsD5
S&P 500 Faces Fourth Weekly Drop, Rare in 15 Years
The $SPX is on pace for its fourth consecutive week's loss. In the past 15 years, there has only been one period where we have had a slide run longer than 4 weeks (May 2022) https://t.co/trHGzh31pk
SPX Faces Crucial Demand Zone Amid Rapid Macro Shift
US500 ( SPX ) At a crucial daily demand area. We have not seen these levels since late 2025. - Stagflation environment - Elevated OIL - From rate cuts to rate hikes - AI valuation concerns The whole macro narrative has changed within days. I...
SPY Tests $650 MVC, Likely to Keep Chopping
$SPY is testing the MVC at $650 after a full day of chop. There's not much momentum going into this move, would not be surprised if we continue to chop.
Earnings and Margins Stay Strong Amid Economic Headwinds
Wars, inflation, Fed pivots, AI eating software, etc. Not a lot of good news out there, then you look at earnings and profit margins. These two tailwinds to the bull market aren't showing much of a slowdown at all. https://t.co/cICkObh98N
First 5% S&P Correction Since November, a Normal Market Reset
The S&P 500 is in the midst of the first 5% mild correction since November (-5.1%). We tend to see three of these a year on average. They aren't fun, but they are a necessary part to investing. https://t.co/txE3vFe0Vs
S&P 500's Record Small Jan/Feb Range Predicts March Volatility
Good reminder that we just had the smallest range ever to start a year for the S&P 500 in Jan/Feb. March Madness isn't fun, but it was likely. https://t.co/zW1N50hcFr
NASDAQ Must Drop Sharply to Match 2022 Levels
NASDAQ has a lot to fall if it wants to catch up with 2022 midterm+war year https://t.co/9JlG3IwkuF
S&P 500’s Next Move: Uncertain
Will $SPX unclench up or down next week? It has been pretty consistent for a while now fwiw
SNDK Hits Record High, Yet Falters Amid Rate‑Hike Bearish Pressure
SNDK has made a new all-time high but is struggling to hold on as the index crumples under the weight of tightening financial conditions via rate hikes now prifed into many global curves. Below 700 is break of 100hour and...
Vertiv's Buying Surge Hits
Last week i wrote about S&P 500 index rebalance which happens today. Vertiv $VRT, Lumentum $LITE, Coherent $COHR and EchoStar $SATS are all going into the index today. Vast majority of the trading will happen around market close. Vertiv buying...
Stocks, Bonds, Gold Slip; Yields Edge Higher
Stocks, bonds and gold all down for the week S&P 500: -1.2% 10-year Treasury yield up to 4.380% Gold prices back below $5000
Homebuilder Stocks Tumble 17% Since War Began
Homebuilder stocks are now down 2% today, and have plunged 17% since the start of the war
SPY Likely Rebounds to $660 Despite Support Test
Negative Exposure across the board on $SPY at the open. Testing support at $655 right now; the next level is $650. I am hesitant to short $655; I think a move towards $660 is more likely, given the strong exposure...
S&P Holds Near High Amid War, Oil Shock
Remarkable with everything that's going on that the S&P 500 is only down 6% from its high. Market seems to be pricing in a short-lived War with Crude Oil crashing back down. This is the hopeful outcome but is the market...
Nasdaq, S&P Open Lower, Slip Below 200‑Day SMA
It looks like we are going to have a spicy close to the week with the US session opening with a sharp gap lower on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 that dropped both below their 200 SMA. Some serious...
Energy Crisis Pushes Stocks 5% Below January High
Energy crisis pulls stocks 5% below January high, but path to quick recovery remains https://t.co/CZBb7LAj0e H/T @vixologist @SteveSosnick @StovallCFRA $SPX $VIX https://t.co/IbS0KOPgZY
Below 200‑Day MA Sparks Extreme Market Volatility
Stocks’ technicals continue to weaken, and for the first time in the post-Liberation Day bull market, U.S. large cap stocks are testing their 200-day moving average. Drops below the moving average have historically triggered more volatile trading. Extreme returns, both positive and...
Breadth Spike Near 30% May Trigger Short-Term Rally
We're getting close to 30% of $SPX members above their 50-day MA. Even if the longer-term trend continues bearish, bombed out breadth conditions like this can lead to short-term upside reversals. https://t.co/pCLd1WlCZh
S&P Futures Target $655‑$657.5 Amid Pressure
Good morning. I’m on the road so limited contact from me. Spx futures-25 as “Boots on the ground” gets floated. Simplify it for today. Do we reclaim $655-$657.50 to relieve pressure. Or do we see $650.50 which looks...
Volatile Market? Tune In Tomorrow 6:10am ET
Good timing with all this volatility for a market update with the @SquawkCNBC tomorrow 6:10am ET please tune in #fairleadstrategies
Russell 2000 Reaches 2024 Highs; Bulls Must Hold
Russell 2000 back at the 2024 highs. Bulls need this to hold. Lose it and there’s 7 to 8 percent lower in play. $RUT $IWM https://t.co/DDXQ9EAN6x
Large‑Cap Market Split: 40 New Highs, 37 New Lows
there are 40 large-cap stocks hitting the 52-week new highs list today... there are 37 large-cap stocks hitting the 52-week new lows list... #FinanciallyINsync #HighLowShow #marketUpdate #investing
SPX Weekly Close: Above or Below 200‑Day MA?
Poll question of the day... Does $SPX finish the week above or below its 200-day moving average?
Cap‑Weighted Index Overvalued; Equal‑Weighted Remains Fairly Priced
For the cap-weighted index, price has remained quite elevated and well above the rising uptrend line. While the trailing P/E ratio has contracted from 26.1x to 23.9x, it remains elevated. The equal-weighted index is far less extended against its rising trendline,...
June S&P 500 E‑Mini Closes Below Key Line, Equities Risk
A close below the horizontal line shown below on the chart of the June S&P 500 E-Mini may not bode well for equities..... https://t.co/sQT9z0yJfP
Modest S&P Drawdown Leaves Market Vulnerable to War Mis‑read
The heatmap below shows that the drawdown for the S&P 500 remains modest at -5.4%. The market is only modestly oversold with 32% of stocks above their 50-day moving average. Sentiment is mixed and both earnings expectations and margins remain...
Consumer Staples Slump, but Market Collapse Unlikely
Consumer Staples are hitting new 6-week lows today relative to the S&P500. That's not something I'd expect to see if the stock market was about to collapse.