Yesterday the S&P 500 surged on Trump's claim of productive talks with Iran. Today Iran said those talks never happened. Oil jumped 4%. The rally evaporated. The S&P closed below its 200-day moving average for the third straight session — the first time since May 2025. One Truth Social post gave markets hope. Reality took it back in 24 hours.
#DOW doji Candle and Sideways 4 days. Support 45369. Resistance 46712, 47428, 48000. RSI 34 quite low and flicked up. Top Bollinger Band 47486. Midpoint Line 46468. Bottom Band 45450.

Good breadth today (if you're a bull) @stockcharts 60% of SPX names were up... $MDY $IJR $IWM higher https://t.co/pH2LtE4VaQ

$QQQ (per request) Very similar to SPY. Top Goon X sell approaching alert is playing out and price currently looks like a clean breakdown below horizontal and 99smma support https://t.co/1V81W01FXC
Sam, you're having a good day with names like $DELL and $CIEN ramping higher in a down Tech tape @SamofAmerica
The market's taking the path of most frustration with no clean flush, just chop. Here's a short update on what I'm watching to signal the next real move, plus one trade idea showing serious relative strength despite the noise. $SPY...
Trump said US-Iran talks were "productive" and markets rallied over 1% on Monday. Iran's parliament speaker then responded: "No negotiations have been held with the US." Today the rally is already fading. The trend is down we’re making lower lows.

The $SPX now has logged five 1% moves in the last eight sessions, which is a high and dangerous pace. We can see just how different it is versus what happened from January through late February. While we didn’t see...

$SPY Can't rule out a 30% drop but I think it could take a long time. Some supports along the way but if we go sub $475 then that's the ideal zone to build back long term exposure (not financial advice just...

In the table below, we see that the drawdown in the S&P 500 has now reached 7.6%, with breadth reaching moderately oversold levels. That drawdown masks a far bigger decline in valuations, with the trailing P/E down 20%. The MSCI EAFE and...

At the beginning of recent weeks, SPX wicks up and then as the week goes on, the gains are given back. Certainly a way for the market to keep people continuously second-guessing their resolve https://t.co/vJ5eWqHZA8

Nice look at US stocks' performance vs international after geopolitical shocks. US tends to be cleanest dirty shirt in these times. This time no dif, $VOO down 4.6% since Iran strike but $EFA down 9%. Nice note (which he put...

Yesterdays rally continues to fade pre market as $ES_F and $NQ_F remain below🟠5SMA and 🟢WTD AVWAP (hourly chart on left) On the 10 min chart, the 🟠"TACO news" AVWAP provides us with the average price since that event, with prices below...

Simplify it today. Does the $spy stay below yesterday’s low of $654 to keep some pressure on. Or reclaim it to relieve some pressure https://t.co/55Ia8e83Mu
Fake News Saved The Market My morning rant Monday. Strong opinions held strongly.🙃 The short-covering bounce driven by headlines & algos, not fundamentals, doesn't change the fact: IRAN RISK IS NOT PRICED IN. $SPX $6666 –6718 as $DXY falls won't save us as yields...

Citadel on Flows: - ETFs have accounted for ~35% of trading volume over the past three weeks, peaking at 47%, and setting a record streak above 35%. - This reflects active shorting via ETFs to reduce net exposure. - Levered end-of-day flows remain...

Why is 200dma important? Last year when S&P broke below its 200dma the markets crashed due to april tarrifs

Mixed markets around the World after yesterday’s bounce attempt. $spx futures-7. We’ll see if $spy has an inside day above $654ish to show some commitment to yesterday. Or not. News flow remains fluid. https://t.co/tJBZY4fjc3
YES - the S&P 500 "bouncing" today at one of the 700 lines you have drawn on the chart....is just a coincidence.
#Nasdaq Comp Doji Candle but up on Friday's Candle. Support 21522 must hold. Resistance 22189, 22569, 22906. RSI 39 not low but flicked up. Top Bollinger Band 22879. Midpoint Line 22251. Bottom Band 21616.

All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK HIGHS at some point today Clear Secure $YOU Akamai $AKAM ConocoPhillips $COP Digitalocean $DOCN EOG Resources $EOG TechnipFMC $FTI GE Vernova $GEV Halliburton $HAL Mastec $MTZ Murphy Oil $MUR New York Times $NYT Pembina $PBA Restaurant Brands $QSR Tenaris $TS Tower Semi $TSEM

MARKET RECAP 📈 What a wild day, the S&P 500 gained over $650 BILLION in market cap today, jumping 1.15%. Earlier in the day, the index was up over $1 TRILLION in market cap, up 2% 👀 What the heck is...

Through today's (massive) volatility, the #Dow has held up the 200-day SMA as former support new resistance and maintained the descending channel of the past ~5 weeks. What will the Trump headlines bring for markets tomorrow? https://t.co/t3i7qUOG2I

$SPX - The attempt to close above the 200 day MA has failed. Even if it closes above the 200 DMA it won't be enough to confirm a Friday bottom. Last year before the "Liberation Day" crash it closed above...

A day after the heaviest down volume in NYSE history, we get the heaviest up volume. Totally normal market. https://t.co/odNR7bgM5P
S&P 500: four straight weekly losses. 200-day MA: decisively broken. Fed: discussing rate hikes. Gold: worst crash since 2011. Oil: above $110. 3 of 4 intermarket signals say defense. The one that doesn't? It's the least convincing of the four. https://t.co/zTqF9056g8

All this drama and $QQQ still stuck between this range between 20 and 50sma weekly. More chaos politically the more leaning technically. https://t.co/cRWdMHiEh5

IEA confirmed it. 40+ Middle East energy assets severely damaged. Not 1. Not 5. Forty. $XLE is the only S&P sector positive since war began. +31.8% YTD. Everyone else is still pretending this is temporary. https://t.co/5G2vuSlSjh

I guess we are taking the President's remarks of 'productive' talks between the US and Iran at face value and not just a fear of hitting the 48 hour deadline and having to escalate with a market reaction... Dow has rebound...

$SPY Crazy price action. Now backtesting broken support. Key level here not a good spot to FOMO long into https://t.co/lxFPici06g

The S&P 500 has been down 4 weeks in a row, and six of the last 12 weeks. As of Friday, we were off ~6.8% from recent highs, with the Nasdaq off ~8.2%. This looks less a case of TACO, and more...

We’re getting breathing room for longs this morning, but this is the tougher path for traders as price drifts back into the chop without a clear washout event. Friday could prove to be the low and the start of...

last week, as the S&P 500 $SPX made lower (ugly) lows, the volatility $VIX index did not... https://t.co/Vmdmxc3JXz

Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: 1. Stocks are at a make-or-break point (major support level). 2. Conditions are increasingly oversold. 3. Sentiment and valuations have seen a partial reset. 4. (albeit from an overvalued/excess-greed starting point) 5. Pre-war, the global earnings/macro pulse was...
🔴 Dow swings 1,600 points after Trump pauses Iran oil strikes - but the Strait of Hormuz risk isn't gone Oil. Gold. Rate hikes. I break it all down. Are you buying or selling into this move? Let me know below 👇 $DOW...

$nvda can give some clues on how much of today’s gap up can hold https://t.co/oNBBNMrr7h

Hope you’ve had your coffee Futures are ripping to start the week S&P is up 1.5% pre market after Trump says the U.S. will pause further strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure for 5 days Oil reacting fast, down 10% to $90 Big week ahead...
📺 IF YOU’RE SHORTING NOW… YOU’RE LATE The key level in $SPY (~$677–$680) was lost much earlier than you think — that was the real exit signal. Once that broke, the market entered a sell-the-rip environment, where every bounce into the...

45% of the S&P 500 stocks are trading above their respective 200-day moving averages. The 40% level is where bear markets live. Recessions. Major market corrections. 2018. 2020. 2022. Five points away.

The morning changed pretty fast — $SPX futures went from -45 to +130 handles after Trump said the last 48 hours of talks were very productive. There should be some resistance near 6623ish, and 6754 is the major if this...
We have a little ceasefire for the next five days, but it seems like the indices have moved a lot more than individual stocks pre-market.

$SPY printed a Sky Scraper Candle after Trump says U.S. and Iran have held ‘productive’ talks: CNBC https://t.co/1sxKxOeC2e

$SPY pre market looks wild after reacting from more news. Never seen anything like this before ha. https://t.co/iFCOQ8PDfa

Dow futures jump 1,200 points after Trump says U.S. and Iran have held ‘productive’ talks: CNBC https://t.co/ayLrxCx0Ot

From GS on Flows (BBG): - Biggest sell imbalance since 2022 (Friday) - Stresses no longer “ignored” - “can start talking at what innings we’re in because the game has finally started” - Hedging is so expensive that to break even, would need indexes...

🇺🇸 The positive correlation between the “Magnificent Seven” stocks and the S&P 500 index has disappeared again. https://t.co/Aq6mZl2Tcn

$qqq lost so many levels while names broke down prior to last weeks move. We’ll see if if in a sea of red some names can go green. Perhaps the $qqq give a pivot low to use in the first...

Mostly red arrows around the World Lots of spots to switch gears as the $spy lost the 8/21/50/100/200 day. $spx futures-42. Simplify today like last week. Does the $spy reclaim $644-$645 area to relieve pressure. Or Do we do...

The notion US stocks have yet to price in a dramatic war escalation makes sense. The S&P 500’s down just 6% from the peak. We’ve seen mediocre earnings, eco reports trigger deeper declines than the one we have currently https://t.co/esTq56VbOq

The stock market is very oversold $NDX $SPX SPX-BIGBOT algorithm we monitor (see bottom panel on chart) is flashing 94.4% probability of a large market bottom. On watch for a final flush (capitulation) followed by an intra-day reversal. https://t.co/BrhHwoD6Ls