
“.. The plan .. reflects the administration’s desperation to reduce oil prices, encouraging Iran to sell more oil even while it is at war ..” @nytimes https://t.co/MWCiL3jrqQ https://t.co/wCWv18Be6N

We are in the midst of a hot war in the Middle East, with Oil prices kissing $120, a cooling (pre-war) labor market, and the odds of a recession ticking up from modest levels. And despite all of this geopolitical economic...
Trump Administration Shuts Down Export Ban Rumors as Trump Moves to Cool Oil Prices https://t.co/yzIMSfps18

‘One day chicken, one day feathers’: why US shale producers are not cheering $100 oil. This and more in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/cEMRj6MyHl
People assume oil shocks are bad. But is that true for the US? After all, we are net exporters. This week's newsletter works through some simple models and calculations https://t.co/wohddXGXAR

Following @IEA Member countries' decision to release 400 mln barrels of oil stocks to counter disruptions, initial volumes have already been made available Thank you to countries for their stock contributions & to Canada & Mexico for increased production: https://t.co/CjYXygzQpG https://t.co/sUGUpkuuU0
Gold and Silver are down in what is a very interesting move in how the war is changing markets. In Gold, UAE is one of the largest importers (#1 in 2024, $105bn) and exporters (#2 in 2024, $78bn) of gold...
Energy insecurity starts here. Fossil fuels are traded through systems where price is influenced not only by supply and demand, but by conflict, sanctions, and speculation. That means households and utilities can face higher costs even when local production remains...

"Tomorrow marks the official start of Spring and prices at the pump continued to climb by 28 cents since last week. With the Spring equinox ushering in warmer weather and more time on the road, gas prices are trending upward...
“We’d be using the Iranian barrels against the Iranians to keep the price down for the next 10 or 14 days.” Masterful gambit, sir.
COLUMN: Trump has seemingly turned WTI oil into a referendum on his war against Iran: more than $100 👎; less than $100 👍 But WTI isn't what matters for America's Main Street: refined petroleum products do -- and prices are rising...

Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Plunges 17% – Key Support Break Sparks Risk https://t.co/oj3h71da7v $XAUUSD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/ehqks3gynu

The next chart shows the major oil shocks, including 1973, 1979, 1990, 2008, and 2022. Some were brief, others were not. 🧵 https://t.co/SHZJOMDkYG
Gold is down 15% since the war escalated, even as the Pentagon seeks $200 billion for the conflict. Safe havens aren't behaving like safe havens. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/bzmDKfsv4g
Precious Metal Miner Misery #crudeoil $XAUUSD $XAGUSD $GLD $SLV $DXY $GDX I break down how rising oil, yields & a stronger dollar are pressuring gold, silver and miners - while client research shows oil shocks disrupt auto demand & hit platinum and...
As with fuel, so with fertilizers. If maintained, China will remove a major global fertilizer exporter (second largest in 2024) from the market already slammed by the closure of the Straits https://t.co/ecZOLrSkBL

For those of you trying to figure out what's going on with the Brent-WTI spread. Let me point out an old gem that helps explain it. - Different delivery date windows - Different contract expiration dates - When things are volatile, individual...
*US WILL NOT IMPLEMENT CRUDE EXPORT BAN: POLITICO ... OK, so how about refined products? I've been saying up 'till now that they're going to be tempted to restrict trade, but that I thought they'd be more likely to restrict refined products...

U.S. comparative inventory rose 3.7 mmb for the week ending March 13 Crude C.I. rose 4.5 mmb, gasoline fell 3.6 mmb and distillate fell 1.7 mmb #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/C0YGpBqbqu
@mrmbrown and I talk about whether fuel retailers are price gouging, or is the government the villain here? https://t.co/IeuhUHsjut
Why is everyone assuming CL manipulation and not just occam's razor that asian markets need oil and they cant access landlocked wti as easily and are all bidding up whatever is accessible even if at a significant premium
Fascinating to see where Brent and TTF are trading right now after the last 24 hours of attacks and counter attacks. Brent is up a mere 3%, and TTF is lower than at the peak on Tuesday March 3rd. The...

$Silver is trading below its 100 day MA for the 1st time since its April 2025 low. However, I don't think it's relevant since it retested the February low earlier today, so unless it breaks below 64 it probably made...
Perfect day to ask the question... the price of $gold a year from now will be
Three “oil prices” isn’t just geography—it’s quality + refinery demand. Oman (sour, heavier) = scarce barrels complex refineries need → blowout Brent = global seaborne benchmark → war risk premium WTI = light sweet, inland → discounted #OilMarkets #Crude #Energy #WTI #Brent #Oman

Crude Oil - Imp Update WTI & Brent crude Premium Gap is $17 now Normal Premium $4-5 Means $10-12 additional premium due to Geopolitics We have seen similar trend in Silver before the 20-23% fall came If any positive trigger will...
The Strait of Hormuz carries roughly 20% of the world's oil supply. Iran has now completely disrupted it and Brent crude surged to $115 this morning. The Fed can't cut its way through a supply shock. And Bitcoin's entire bull case for...
i can hear the copper stock investors from here... "but, but, but, there is a shortfall of copper" why are the stocks falling? $COPX $FCX $SCCO answer: more supply than demand... they rallied hard, many were surely late, and now...
QatarEnergy CEO says the Iranian attack overnight damaged ~17% of its LNG production capacity, and it would take 3-5 years to repair the damage. https://t.co/LWYkomhG8G
European gas is now >6x the price of US gas. US nat gas assets becoming more valuable by the day.
[Editor's Pick] European Freight Rates Face Immediate Corrections on Soaring Diesel Prices - https://t.co/0yXOKgPT8A @TransporeonUS @TrimbleCorpNews #dieselprices #EU #trucking #transportation #logistics #supplychain

Germany weighs windfall tax as Iran war drives fuel price surge https://t.co/9SNpQgvAXy via @KowalczeKamil https://t.co/YrOXXrSiVq

FWIW - "Cheapest Gas Near Me" searches tell us that while consumers are now concerned, they still aren't as panicked as they were during 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine. https://t.co/P4wIhotOdw

🇺🇸U.S. export sales were modest all around last week with wheat and soybeans falling below all expectations. The corn volume is a bit more normal for the week historically but somewhat underwhelming in the context of 2025/26's record pace. https://t.co/3LR2fLgFuR

What US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told @FoxBusiness about unsanctioning Iranian barrels -- and a potential 2nd SPR release. (I look forward to see how KSA, UAE, Iraq, Qatar, and Kuwait feel about unsanctioning Iranian oil barrels) https://t.co/buyI81abII

Of course it's possible that oil goes to $200. But that kind of price level basically assumes a return to full shut down for all oil coming out of the Persian Gulf and a very low price elasticity of demand....

GC: overnight downside follow-through with more range expansion. Key reference point still in play. https://t.co/HJ2JZL0ipm

Brent near $110. WTI at $96-103. Strait of Hormuz blocked. $XLE at all-time highs. $SPY at 2026 lows. This is not an oil rally. This is a tax on every consumer, every margin, every growth assumption. https://t.co/QUhNdfGuZ7

It's all about Oil and Natural Gas. Brent Oil hits $110 and higher. Natural Gas is skyrocketing. As a result, markets have been tumbling as another escalation is unfolding in the Middle East. If this doesn't consolidate, I don't see a reason for the...
Funny reading back through the comments from the trolls now in a panic with Silver almost at 50% of its Jan high What ever happened to the Silver supply shortage and the big premiums in China?
Commodities plunged post China yuan devaluation in 2015. I wonder if there is a signal here for Gold & Silver. China isn’t exporting their refined products to neighbors who are at great risk. China has 3-4 months of reserves itself -...
Big thanks to @Aaron_Krolik for including me in this great @nytimes story on how Russia is a major beneficiary from the sharp rise in oil prices. Temporary US waivers of Russia sanctions are de-stigmatizing Russian oil and giving Putin a...

Surging Crude Oil Prices: The geopolitical unrest caused Brent crude oil prices to spike past $115–$118 per barrel. As a major energy importer, this poses a significant risk to India's inflation outlook, the rupee, and corporate profit margins.

Platinum has now entered an intermediate bear market The problem with intermediate bear trends is that they can become complete routs https://t.co/MdjgBz11ky
This is not good news for an already strained global energy market. The longer this goes on the more long-term damage will be done to oil production that will take markets longer to recover from. Oil prices will not “drop...
“The price of Brent crude surpassed $118 a barrel on Thursday, an increase of nearly 10 percent, but has since pared some of those gains.” https://t.co/Z9YDmbtUW3
Reminder from 2003 Iraq invasion, Gold dipped sharply right after start of war due to margin liquidation despite pre-war rally. Then roared for 7+ years. Today's US-Iran tensions + recent pre war rally = similar early pressure? Margin calls and sell the...

$3.19 RBOB gasoline futures imply $4.10 AAA average gas price in a couple weeks https://t.co/7IwQpsyBoY

Iran War Sparked Gold/Crude Reversion - Significant reversal potential, with a worthy catalyst, may be the takeaway from silver reaching its highest ever vs. copper and crude oil, and from the gold/crude ratio peaking in January. Was the Iran-US conflict...
Disruption of LNG supplies from Middle East showing what an excellent idea it has been from our wonderful political class to run down the North Sea.