Currencies Blogs and Articles
Currencies Blogs and Articles
The latest Elliott Wave analysis notes that USD/JPY lingered around the 160.00 level last week, buoyed by safe‑haven demand as the Iran‑U.S. conflict escalates. While the pair struggled to break higher, the wave count points to a potential move toward the 170.00 resistance. The analysis also references broader market dynamics, including rising oil prices and ECB policy discussions, which could influence the yen’s trajectory. Traders are advised to watch the wave‑based targets for entry and risk‑management cues.
The long‑standing petrodollar system compels oil sales in U.S. dollars, creating massive dollar reserves that finance U.S. Treasury debt. Iran has hinted it could restrict oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz unless the transactions avoid the dollar. Such a...
USDCAD advanced 52 pips last week as investors turned to the U.S. dollar for safety amid the escalating war in Iran. The pair is now testing the 1.40 resistance zone, a level that has historically capped upside moves. Elliott Wave...
National Ferret Day, observed each April 2, celebrates the quirky "weasel war dance" of domestic ferrets and highlights a historic mascot that traces back to the 15th century. The Daily Feather’s post blends light‑hearted cultural trivia with a visual collage of macro‑economic...
President Trump’s address failed to lift market optimism, leaving risk appetite severely compressed ahead of a long holiday weekend. The US dollar surged, pushing the yen toward the 160‑per‑dollar mark while the euro stalled near $1.15 and sterling slipped below...
The NZD/USD pair surged but stalled at key technical levels, failing to sustain a break above the 38.2% retracement around 0.57714 and the 200‑hour moving average at 0.57808. After peaking at 0.57764, price reversed and is now testing the 100‑hour...
On April 1, 2026, the Central Bank of Colombia voted 4‑2‑1 to raise its benchmark rate by a full percentage point to 11.25%, after a similar move in February. Inflation has fallen sharply from 18.3% in March 2023 to 4.8% in mid‑2025, yet...
The Federal Reserve has outlined a plan to shrink its balance sheet by roughly $1.7 trillion, effectively halving the liquidity it provides to markets. The proposal assumes a high degree of coordination between the Treasury and the Fed, as well as...
The FX market is pricing an end to the Middle‑East war before any formal peace, igniting a short‑squeeze‑driven risk‑on rally. Dollar weakness is accelerating as safe‑haven demand fades and Fed expectations turn dovish. Oil remains above $100 a barrel, with...
Australian consumer sentiment has collapsed to a 53‑year low, according to the ANZ‑Roy Morgan weekly confidence index. All sub‑indices, including current and future household finances, fell to their weakest levels since the series began in 1985. The decline follows two...
The USDCAD pair has broken back above the 1.3924‑1.3937 swing zone, shifting the bias firmly bullish. Buyers are anchored by a solid 61.8% retracement floor at 1.3888 and have kept the price above the 200‑bar moving average. Technical momentum points...
Bank of America’s month‑end fixing model shows the U.S. dollar as the clear beneficiary as March and Q1 close, forecasting material inflows of about one standard deviation into USD assets. The model also predicts modest euro inflows and outflows from...
The week ahead is data‑heavy, with Eurozone inflation, U.S. payrolls and retail sales, and Canada’s GDP on the calendar. Energy‑price pressure from the Iran conflict could push euro‑area inflation higher, complicating the ECB’s path to price stability. In the United...
German inflation data, driven by higher energy prices, is set to rise sharply in March, prompting the ECB to consider a June rate hike despite likely looking through the spike. Market pricing reflects a 55% probability of an April hike...
At month‑end, pension funds, insurers and asset managers rebalance portfolios, triggering large foreign‑exchange trades. These flows, often billions of dollars, concentrate around the London 4 p.m. fix and can move major pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. When U.S. equities...
The European Central Bank’s annual Frankfurt conference highlighted a sober mood as policymakers grapple with the lingering energy‑price shock and geopolitical risks from the war in the Middle East. President Christine Lagarde’s keynote outlined a "graduated response" strategy, emphasizing scenario‑based...
The week ahead is dominated by central‑bank minutes and key data releases that could reshape monetary policy trajectories. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s minutes reveal a hawkish tone after a 25‑basis‑point hike to 4.10%, while the Eurozone’s CPI flash jumps...
The USDCAD pair surged sharply last week as investors fled to the U.S. dollar, pushing the pair toward the 1.4000 psychological barrier. Meanwhile, traditional safe‑haven assets such as gold, equities and cryptocurrencies weakened, reflecting a broad risk‑off mood. The latest...
Thailand’s baht is under renewed pressure as rising oil prices and a stronger U.S. dollar converge. Tensions in the Middle East keep crude near $100‑$120 per barrel, inflating Thailand’s energy import bill and weakening the currency. Meanwhile, the two‑year U.S....
The People’s Bank of China is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9089, a key daily fixing watched across Asian FX markets. China’s managed‑floating system permits the yuan to trade within a ±2% band around this midpoint. The...
The U.S. dollar is trading in a narrow range against G10 currencies while equities and bonds are under pressure. A potential escalation in the Middle East, highlighted by Tehran’s rejection of a U.S. cease‑fire proposal, is dampening risk appetite. Oil...
China’s annual trade surplus now exceeds $1.2 trillion, yet official foreign‑exchange reserves remain around $3 trillion. Export firms split operations between domestic manufacturers and offshore entities in Hong Kong, Singapore or the UAE, invoicing only production costs locally while retaining full profits abroad...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has accelerated its tightening cycle, pushing the cash rate to 4.35% as inflation remains above target. The aggressive stance has sharply increased borrowing costs for households and businesses, curbing consumption and investment. Critics argue...
Federal Reserve Governor Miran delivered a strongly dovish speech, arguing that inflation risks are muted despite a recent oil price surge. He cited measurement challenges and minimal impact on market inflation expectations, while warning that the labor market is on...
Singapore’s Monetary Authority has invited Ripple to join its Borderless, Liquid, Open, Online, Multicurrency initiative, using the XRP Ledger and Ripple’s USD‑linked stablecoin (RLUSD) to settle cross‑border trade. The pilot automates payment release the moment a shipment is verified, eliminating...
The webcast examines Kevin Warsh, President Trump’s nominee to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and his likely dovish stance under presidential pressure. It models three possible durations of the Iran conflict to gauge their impact on monetary policy under Warsh...
MoonX, a Saint Lucia‑registered derivatives exchange, has broadened its offering to include six major Forex pairs and spot gold and silver, all with up to 1000 × leverage. The new assets sit alongside the platform’s existing 300+ cryptocurrency futures, allowing traders to...
The latest Elliott Wave analysis shows USD/JPY recovered from an early‑week decline, returning to its opening level. Traders are now watching whether the pair can break the psychological 160.00 yen barrier. The analysis suggests bullish momentum may resume if wave...
The Australian dollar remains pinned around US$0.70 as the US Dollar Index eases amid peace‑rumor optimism. Safe‑haven demand for the Japanese yen is pressuring regional currencies, leaving the AUD in a narrow range. Commodity markets are volatile: gold prices have...
Since the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran began in late February, the U.S. Dollar Index has risen sharply, pulling down precious‑metal prices. The dollar’s strength is tied to a parallel surge in crude oil, which jumped from the $60s to around...
Swiss National Bank Chairman announced that the central bank is prepared to push policy rates into negative territory, but acknowledges a high hurdle before such a move. He emphasized that while the policy rate remains the primary tool, foreign‑exchange intervention...
European banks have formed a consortium called Qivalis to issue a euro‑denominated stablecoin, marking the first large‑scale, bank‑led effort to internationalise the euro in digital form. The project receives backing from the European Central Bank’s regulatory sandbox, signaling official support...
The IMF’s COFER database shows the U.S. dollar still commands roughly 60% of global foreign‑exchange reserves, keeping its status as the premier reserve currency. Over the past decade the euro and Chinese yuan have inched upward, while the British pound...
The piece contends that foreign‑exchange trading occurs in distinct liquidity pockets rather than a steady stream. Critical windows are the Tokyo 8:55 AM fix, the 7:00 AM London open, the 4:00 PM London WMR fix, and month‑end balance‑sheet rebalancing, each offering a unique...
The market is experiencing a broad liquidity withdrawal, turning the U.S. dollar into the primary exit asset as equities, bonds and precious metals sell simultaneously. Elevated oil prices are driving risk premia across asset classes, eclipsing central‑bank influence and tightening...
The Capital Spectator’s Book Bits (21 March 2026) spotlights two new titles. Barry Eichengreen’s *Money Beyond Borders* examines the U.S. dollar’s more‑than‑10 % slide against major currencies since early 2025 and evaluates scenarios that could dethrone it, emphasizing domestic policy missteps. Gary A. Hoover’s...
EURUSD surged over 150 pips after the European Central Bank signaled readiness to resume rate‑hike discussions as early as April, reflecting persistent inflation pressures. The ECB’s hawkish pivot quickly lifted the euro against the dollar, underscoring the power of central‑bank...
The week of March 21‑27, 2026 features a sparse calendar of central‑bank meetings but a flurry of high‑profile speeches from Fed Chair Powell, BoE’s Taylor and Greene, and several ECB officials, fueling speculation of rate hikes later in the year. A slate...
USDCAD opened near the month’s high of 1.3752 but could not sustain a breakout above the recent peak of 1.37476, sending the pair back toward the 100‑hour moving average at 1.37086. Sellers briefly pushed the price below this level to...
On March 20 2026 the Central Bank of Russia trimmed its benchmark rate by 50 basis points to 15.0%, the seventh reduction since the October 2024 peak of 21%. The cumulative easing amounts to six percentage points, the deepest policy shift in over two...
The U.S. dollar posted mixed moves, gaining against the yen and won while slipping versus the euro, sterling and Canadian dollar. U.S. Treasury yields rose five basis points, outpacing modest increases in Japan, Spain, Switzerland and Germany, while all four...
Peter Zeihan argues the U.S. dollar is set for a multi‑decade rise, driven by unrivaled naval power, favorable demographics, abundant food and energy resources, and a looming manufacturing expansion. In the near term, however, policy choices—tight immigration, high tariffs, regulatory...
New Zealand’s fourth‑quarter GDP expanded only 0.2% quarter‑on‑quarter, missing the 0.4% consensus, while annual growth held at 1.3% year‑on‑year, below the 1.7% forecast. Both production‑based (0.2% q/q) and expenditure‑based (0.1% q/q) measures signalled a sharp slowdown in domestic demand. The weaker...
The Bank of Canada left its overnight rate unchanged at 2.25%, citing headline inflation of 1.8% and a softening core CPI. Governor Tiff Macklem repeatedly emphasized uncertainty, flagging dual‑shock risks from higher oil prices and the Iran conflict alongside volatile...
Markets are navigating heightened uncertainty as the Middle East conflict eases oil flow, pushing WTI back above $94, while the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada are set to keep policy unchanged. The Fed’s updated dot‑plot still signals a single...
The latest Elliott Wave update examines USD/JPY’s recent dip, assessing whether it presents a buying opportunity before the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Analysts note that the pair is in a corrective wave that could signal the start of...
Retail forex traders often lose because of behavioral biases rather than broker manipulation. The article explains that taking profits early and letting losses run creates a mathematical edge for brokers through spreads and commissions. It outlines a disciplined, business‑like approach—risk...
The Daily Feather’s new post spotlights the oddball nicknames of U.S. colleges, zeroing in on Wichita State University’s “Shockers.” It traces the Shockers moniker to early 20th‑century wheat‑harvesting students who earned a reputation for “shocking” the grain. The article pairs...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is under market pressure to increase interest rates as inflation remains sticky. The author argues the RBA should refrain from a hike, citing a historical parallel where the European Central Bank raised rates in...
