Defense Social Media and Updates
Defense Social Media and Updates
Many of the early countermeasures to cheap OWA drones are also relatively cheap, such as mobile machinegun teams. This requires the modernization of the drones, employing them in greater numbers, and new methods of employment to overcome cheap countermeasures, which increases their costs. To destroy important targets now, Russia will employ complex and expensive strike packages that can include more than 50 heavily upgraded OWA drones, more than a dozen cruise missiles, and 3-5 ballistic missiles. Likewise, there is a reason why Ukraine is so focused on developing cruise and ballistic missiles to augment its deep strike capabilities with OWA drones. We should be careful about drawing the wrong conclusions about cost ratios and OWA drone effectiveness after only two weeks of war with Iran.
NATO is looking into reinforcing further its ballistic missile defense capacity in Turkey against threats from neighboring Iran, according to people familiar with the matter https://t.co/AlRLpSnUZz via @SelcanHacaoglu @AfPalasciano https://t.co/xyotcPWyxM
I believe this is the first sucessull Iranian attack against an **oil / gas field** since the war started (previous strikes against oil facilities involved refineries, terminals, and storage tanks). (Althought the tweet calls it an oil field, it likely...
This is very, very funny--but also the way a PNE works is that one explodes the device underground to make a crater. That's what the SEDAN crater is. https://t.co/Nn2cliua8J
AI models are getting better at hacking. Surprisingly (to me) they're still not world class hackers. But on this pace they could be within a year or two. As I've said recently, the way to defend against this is at...
It is clear that Iran is in control of one of the world's greatest choke points. Apparently, the US military planners failed to see what is CLEAR AS A NOSE ON YOUR FACE. https://t.co/mGgjrf1ZGW
Taking Kharg Island (variety of ways) "kind of checkmate" - General (ret) Jack Keane, Chairman @TheStudyofWar , on @FoxNews "The Straits of Hormuz eventually will be a problem that will be solved, but not immediately. Kharg Island; Kharg Island,...
New blog post I just wrote: How NightBeacon Cuts SOC Alert Fatigue Without Replacing Analysts Blown away at how fast it's learning, not only false positive reduction, but the quality of interpreting true positives, enriching data, going in and pulling additional...
Iran has launched drone strikes on Dubai International Airport. The BUSIEST airport in the world, with 95.2 MILLION passengers, has now SUSPENDED ALL FLIGHTS. https://t.co/nkHDA8z9yJ
Defenses in the Persian Gulf are collapsing as Iran continues large drone attacks, but there's a country that already has the answer. Enter Ukraine's Sting interceptor. Note: name correction at the end 📸: Wild Hornets #drone #iranwar #geopolitics
Like I wrote about last week, China's military equipment has been shown to be inferior in multiple recent and ongoing conflicts. https://t.co/zXE50ZTq1t
I'm so glad we're getting ABS. I think we've finally hit critical mass for people to agree it is needed. I'm ok with taking humans out of strike zone calls altogether
I fully agree. Iran will emerge from this war weaker. The United States, our forces in the region, Israel, and our partners will ultimately be more secure. Iran’s nuclear and military capabilities, its long-held assumption that it could build forces...
Middle East war live: Germany and UK refuse to be drawn into wider war https://t.co/MACvJwo5KK via @ft
Allies Push Back On Trump’s Demand They Send Warships To Strait Of Hormuz Germany on Monday flatly rejected Trump's demand that NATO allies send naval vessels to help protect shipping in this strategic waterway. Back to updating live: https://t.co/9CGuuJp9dQ
War Doesn’t Belong to U.S. Weapons Startups Yet Defense tech companies argue that warfare is changing rapidly—but the current conflict is using mostly traditional weapons. https://t.co/eyALpB6CWW
Israel says it has plans for at least three weeks of war as airstrikes pound Iran https://t.co/hRP2oqGdPd
Spain's @Defensagob, #Hisdesat on verge of selecting @AirbusSpace to replace Airbus SpainSat NG2 sat, which failed 5 wks after launch from 'impact of high-energy space particle in critical area of satellite.' SpainSat NG3 replacement could launch in 2030.https://t.co/l5TJ7Tc01C https://t.co/nHIzh6iWXD
This is broader commentary than he gave last night — when asked about the deaths of US service personnel.
Israel Claims Destruction Of ‘Iran Force One’ The Iranian government’s Airbus A340 had been part of an exodus of Iranian state-operated aircraft to Oman amid Israeli airstrikes last year. https://t.co/K7ChGieT1N
Tucker Carlson on the war in Iran: “At no juncture, have I ever met anybody who has laid out a reasonable, even slightly fantastical, but logical case for how this war will benefit the United States.” https://t.co/fApB1lb4c0
In conversations with clients and friends (also in reading X takes), it seems like folks underestimate how painful it is to withstand unrelenting, unfettered, strategic and punitive attacks from the air by the US. Iran surely has a high pain...
A Possible Upside to the Iran War Perhaps inadvertently, Trump is revealing the limits of China’s Axis of Autocracy. It was never an "axis" and China will be fine...much more damage in other quarters... https://t.co/VCer4OGGeb
The President posted this? If he was actually trying to persuade allies, partners, and others to deploy to Hormuz, this surely is not going to do it. But he obviously thinks this kind of thing is just so cute.
Did Iran just negotiate safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz? The Aframax tanker KARACHI just became the first non-Iranian cargo ship to transit the strait with AIS on since attacks on shipping escalated—raising questions about whether certain vessels are...
KTOS at $87.53 just hit a high-conviction BUY setup. Pure-play leader in autonomous drones, hypersonics & next-gen defense electronics — exactly where DoD is front-loading billions. 12x forward sales while margins are about to expand sharply from development to production scale. Market...
Nice graphic illustrating the Biden-era shift in the US alliance system in Asia from hub and spokes to latticework. One thought was that it might be “Trump-proof”. This and more on the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/5rn87BajVq
The Strait Of Hormuz: Energy Lifeline Or Global Time Bomb? | 4K Documentary https://t.co/t6N6hRSPrD via @YouTube
I'm biased, of course, but hats off to the @FT for some truly groundbreaking work on the Iran war. Ed Luce's commentary has been essential to understanding the dilemma Europe finds itself in as its leaders try to edge away...
What exactly is going to do to NATO? A US withdrawal would actually force Europe to seriously build a military independent of the US. Maybe include Canada into the mix.
NEW ODD LOTS: War in Iran is chewing through America’s missile defense stockpiles @tracyalloway and I talk to @tomkarako about Pentagon procurement and the efforts to ramp up production of offensive and defensive weaponry https://t.co/Wnm1RozhbR
Usually there is a wave of mechanized assaults around April and then they're once again revealed to be costly and ineffective. UA defense is optimized for defeating mech assault, and much of the fight is about suppressing or displacing opposing...
Kenyans will no longer be enlisted to fight for Russia in Ukraine, Mudavadi says https://t.co/PmrAsfFTIZ
New update from Adm. Cooper. Highlights specific strikes on Iranian facilities, including what he says is a drone storage depot near the Strait of Hormuz. Also says that more than 100 Iranian vessels have been destroyed. Again says about 50,000 U.S. troops...
You know how we say in Ukraine: now Trump has to eat the mess pie he was baking for others. You either support alliances, respect your friends and their interests, coordinate with them and thus benefit from partnerships with countries close...
....the US should establish a federal framework through legislation that requires frontier labs to test their systems using classified government capabilities. https://t.co/9SaQfR7sMc
#EuropeanTroika to #Trump "I thought we were sending our troops to #Greenland. Now you want #Hormuz ?"
"China Has a Lot to Lose in the U.S.-Israel War on Iran," my latest in @WSJ @WSJopinion The U.S.-Israel war against Iran isn’t only reshaping security and the balance of power in the Middle East. Its stakes are also high...
The big mistake the West made in 2022 was to not embargo Russian oil. That would have spiked oil prices further, but Russia's economy would have imploded and it likely wouldn't still be waging war in Ukraine. The lesson for...
Top US allies are turning toward China instead. Blame Trump...European allies broadly support building closer ties to China — and believe America's role as a global superpower is fading. Despite the best efforts of Europe's China pundits... https://t.co/Oz9BsswmeL
Trump Floats Xi Summit Delay If China Doesn’t Help in Hormuz “Head of state diplomacy plays an irreplaceable role in providing strategic guidance to China-US relations,” he added, without specifying a timeframe for the leaders’ meeting. https://t.co/2UjmNtyIUW
This is from the end of December. Was this meant to lure Iran into negotiations? ran says $2bn of frozen assets released by neighboring country https://t.co/miz6slNXAM
For those casually discussing the Houthis closing the Bab al-Mandab Strait: Experts usually talk about it in dry, theoretical terms. But a surprising number of online commenters keep having "Freudian slips" — accidentally revealing just how much they’d love to see...
I’m fairly sure the Russians are whispering in Trump’s ear right now: “Sure, we’re helping the Iranian regime kill American servicemembers. But you still haven’t forced your intelligence agencies to stop giving Ukraine information about our missile strikes on them. Do...
Perhaps more importantly, she neglects to mention that Bedouin villages have no bomb shelters, are not covered by the Iron Dome, and are often close to Israeli military facilities.
The Iran war has shifted from strikes to a sustained operation with no clear end in sight. That raises big questions about munitions depth and the pace of operations. I joined @BloombergRadio’s Here’s Why podcast to unpack how it could...
The Kremlin says there may be a new round of peace talks with Ukraine "in the foreseeable future," which sounds like a step down from the usual "soon"... https://t.co/amwYlwVvT4
Dubai under serious stress. Airport Dubai atau DXB tutup akibat serangan drone berdekatan. Implications? •Home of Emirates, the world’s most profitable airline, pretax profit USD6.2b (31 Mar 25). •Dubai Airport is the 2nd busiest in the world. •The aviation sector amat penting,...
Belgium’s PM Bart de Wever: “We must normalise relations with Russia and regain access to cheap energy. That is common sense. [...] We must end the conflict in the interest of Europe, without being naïve towards Putin.” https://t.co/BopPAyhKSL
SCMP: “Is Beijing stepping up island building in South China Sea after 10-year pause?…China has significantly stepped up its land reclamation activities on a disputed shoal in the South China Sea, according to satellite images.” https://t.co/ldcaW2FKcB
