India Says Iran War Could Hit Growth, Widen Fiscal Deficit
India’s government warned that the ongoing war in Iran could dampen economic growth and widen the fiscal deficit as energy and shipping disruptions ripple through multiple sectors. The March economic review highlighted higher input costs and supply constraints as near‑term downside risks, but did not provide specific growth projections. The warning underscores the vulnerability of India’s import‑dependent economy to geopolitical shocks. Policymakers may need to adjust fiscal and monetary tools to mitigate the impact.
Africa Can Leverage Remittances for Growth Through Fintech
In 2024, formal remittances to Sub‑Saharan Africa reached about $100 billion, with Nigeria alone receiving roughly $21 billion—around 10 % of its GDP. Policymakers see the challenge of turning these consumption‑driven inflows into savings and investment, a task that hinges on scaling Africa’s...
Iran’s Water Weapon Against the Gulf
The Gulf states rely on desalination for the vast majority of their drinking water, producing roughly 40% of the world’s desalinated supply. Amid the US‑Israel conflict with Iran, Tehran has warned it will strike regional water‑treatment facilities if the United...
EU’s Šefčovič Confirms Push for Western Steel Club with US and UK
The European Union is weighing a Western steel alliance with the United States and the United Kingdom to curb China’s massive overcapacity, Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič announced at a WTO ministerial in Cameroon. Britain has been actively lobbying for the...
The EU's Recipe for Trade Deals : Easy on Beef, Tough on Wine
The European Commission has finalized trade agreements with Mercosur, India and Australia, keeping a defensive stance on beef while pushing an offensive agenda for wine, cars and other high‑value products. In the Australia deal, the EU granted a 30,600‑tonne beef...
Pakistan to Get $1.2 Billion as IMF, Islamabad Reach Staff-Level Agreement After Month-Long Review
The International Monetary Fund and Pakistan have reached a staff‑level agreement that will make roughly $1.2 billion available to Islamabad, comprising $1 billion under the Extended Fund Facility and $210 million under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility. The deal awaits IMF Executive Board...
Growth Signals Remain Intact Despite Geopolitical Shocks
Despite ongoing Middle East tensions that have heightened market volatility, global growth signals remain intact. U.S. business investment intentions are improving, with a notable tilt toward AI‑related capital expenditures. Meanwhile, the U.S. consumer continues to spend robustly even as energy...
India’s Calculated Silence on the Iran War
India is deliberately staying out of the Iran‑Israel war, opting for quiet diplomacy rather than acting as a broker. New Delhi cites its strategic‑autonomy doctrine, preferring flexible, low‑visibility engagement over high‑risk mediation. The decision is driven by massive economic stakes...
China Chip Sector Targets 80% Self-Sufficiency with US in Its Sights
China’s semiconductor industry has set an ambitious goal to achieve 80% domestic self‑sufficiency by 2030. The target was announced by a coalition of 13 leading Chinese chip firms, signaling a coordinated effort to close the technology gap with the United...
Afreximbank Pushes Industrialisation as Path to Economic Sovereignty
The African Export‑Import Bank will make industrialisation the centerpiece of its 33rd Annual Meetings in El Alamein, Egypt, from June 21‑24. The gathering will convene heads of state, policymakers, financiers and private‑sector leaders to design projects that shift Africa’s trade model from...
India, US Review Next Steps in Trade Pact Talks
India’s Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer met on the sidelines of the WTO’s 14th ministerial in Yaounde to review progress on a bilateral trade agreement announced in February. The parties reaffirmed a March signing target...
Epic Fury Oil Shock: Repositioning Your Portfolio for War
Operation Epic Fury, the US‑Israeli offensive against Iran, has effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz, choking roughly 20% of global crude oil flow and a host of other critical commodities. The closure also traps 22% of urea and ammonia, 24%...
Strategy Calls for Hub Luring Wealth Capital
Thailand’s Association of Investment Management Companies (AIMC) is pushing a private‑trust framework and new asset‑management legislation to turn the country into a regional hub for wealth capital, especially from the Middle East. The plan includes Singapore‑style tax incentives, a 10‑year...
Hormuz Ship Traffic Stays Frozen Despite Move to Start Fees
Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains virtually halted four weeks into the Iran‑Israel conflict, with only six vessels recorded on March 26 versus the pre‑war average of nearly 60 daily transits in 2025. Iran announced a toll system demanding...
The Eastern Mediterranean Won’t Replace Russian or Gulf Gas—But It Can Be Europe’s Energy Shock Absorber
Europe has cut Russian gas imports by 90% since 2021 and aims to end them by November 2027. To replace the lost volume, the continent now relies on LNG, exposing it to global shipping chokepoints. The Eastern Mediterranean basin, with...
Press Note 3 of 2020 Amendment Provides for Beneficial Ownership Definition: Govt to Parliament
The government amended Press Note 3 of 2020 to define beneficial ownership for investors from countries sharing a land border with India, allowing them up to 10% equity via the automatic route and a 60‑day approval window. Foreign direct investment reached a...
WTTC Chairman Manfredi Lefebvre Sounds Alarm: Latin America’s Trillion-Dollar Future Hinges on Fixing Infrastructure Failures
At the Future Investment Initiative in Miami, WTTC Chairman Manfredi Lefebvre warned that Latin America’s trillion‑dollar growth prospects depend on fixing chronic infrastructure gaps. The council estimates the region must invest about $150 billion each year—roughly 2.4 % of GDP—to close shortfalls...
Fitch Keeps Israel Credit Rating at A with Negative Outlook as War Costs Mount
Fitch reaffirmed Israel’s sovereign credit rating at A with a negative outlook on March 27, 2026, citing escalating war costs and fiscal strain. The agency highlighted that the ongoing Operation Lion’s Roar and northern front clashes forced Israel to exceed its budget...
Rathbones AM Broadens Lux Sicav with EM Equity Strategy
Rathbones Asset Management launched the Rathbone Sicav Global Emerging Markets Equity fund, expanding its Luxembourg‑based SICAV platform. Managed by former GAM professionals Tim Love and Joaquim Nogueira, the active fund will hold 80‑120 stocks, using bottom‑up selection and top‑down screens...
The Global Implications of China’s 5-Year Plan AI Ambitions
China’s 15th Five‑Year Plan (2026‑2030) places AI and cybersecurity at the core of its strategy to become a global tech superpower. The plan accelerates deployment of Chinese AI models, especially open‑source offerings like DeepSeek R‑1, while embedding strict information‑control mandates aligned...
Chinese Market Regulator Tells Firms to Focus on Healthy Competition Overseas
China’s State Administration for Market Regulation urged major exporters such as BYD and CATL to adopt healthier, fair‑competition practices as they expand abroad. The regulator highlighted the need to curb “involution‑style” competition that squeezes margins and forces costly overseas moves....
Boao and Qionghai Where Global Dialogue Meets Free Trade
From March 24‑27, Boao’s Dongyu Island Cultural Park hosted the “Boao: Where the World Meets, Qionghai: Where Free Trade Thrives” city exhibition, the first showcase since Hainan Free Trade Port’s island‑wide customs launch. The event highlighted Qionghai’s role as a...
Russia Survived without SWIFT, but that Doesn’t Mean It Won
Russia’s banks were cut off from the SWIFT network in 2022, prompting the country to rely on its domestic messaging system, SPFS. While SPFS kept internal payments flowing and softened the immediate shock, it did not replicate SWIFT’s global reach,...
Emerging Markets Optimism Hits Record High, but Geopolitical Risks Temper Outlook
HSBC’s latest Emerging Markets Sentiment Survey shows optimism reaching a record high, with 68% of investors bullish on EM assets over the next three months, up from 63% previously. The survey recorded zero bearish responses, marking the 14th consecutive reading...
Next Africa: Why War In Iran Risks a Farming Crisis (Podcast)
The Bloomberg Next Africa podcast warns that the war in Iran could trigger a farming crisis across the continent. Iran supplies a large share of the world’s nitrogen‑based fertilizers, and conflict threatens to choke off those exports. African growers, already...
The Rise of the Chinese Platform State
China’s recent Two Sessions underscored technology as the cornerstone of its economic strategy, signaling a shift from a purely top‑down innovation model to a “platform state” approach. In this model, the government acts like a digital platform, shaping market rules...
Trump’s Iran War Pushes India to Rekindle Old Friendship with Russia
India is moving to revive its energy partnership with Russia, negotiating a direct LNG supply deal despite the risk of violating Western sanctions. The talks follow a recent surge in Russian crude purchases, which could rise to 40% of India’s...
FA at 30: AIA's Mark Konyn on Asia's Fast-Changing Financial Ecosystem
AIA’s group chief investment officer Mark Konyn discussed how Asia’s financial ecosystem has accelerated change over his three‑decade career. He highlighted how regional crises—from the 1997 Asian financial crisis to the COVID‑19 pandemic—reshaped risk management and regulatory frameworks. Konyn emphasized China’s...
Geoeconomic Headwinds Fracture ASEAN Neutrality
Indonesia signed the U.S. Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) on Feb. 19, 2026, obligating Jakarta to align its domestic regulations with Washington’s security agenda. The pact challenges Indonesia’s long‑standing “free and active” foreign‑policy doctrine and threatens ASEAN’s reputation as a neutral,...
Iraq Gas Field Project Disrupted by Regional Conflict
Progress on Iraq’s Akkas gas field development has stalled as security concerns tied to the US‑Israel war with Iran forced the evacuation of SLB’s foreign staff. The U.S.‑based contractor was hired in July 2025 to lift output to an initial...
Strait of Hormuz Shutdown Raises Risks to Japan's Aluminum Supply
The Strait of Hormuz shutdown threatens Japan’s aluminum supply chain, as the country imports roughly 20% of its metal from the Middle East. The closure disrupts shipments of primary ingots that feed industries ranging from beverage cans to bullet‑train components....
The Clues Binance Missed That Led to Billions in Crypto Flowing to Iran
The New York Times uncovered that Binance’s vendor Blessed Trust moved roughly $1.2 billion through the exchange, ultimately reaching entities tied to Iran. Internal compliance investigators later identified an additional $1.7 billion in sanction‑evading transfers, but Binance only severed ties with Blessed Trust in...
Data Centers en América Latina: Cinco Países Concentran El 80% De Las Infraestructuras Y Lideran La Inversión
Latin America and the Caribbean host 533 data centers, but five countries—Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Argentina, and Colombia—account for roughly 80% of the total. Brazil leads with 204 facilities and expects $37 billion from TikTok’s upcoming Pecém hub, while Chile and Mexico...
Middle East’s Fundraising Oasis Awaits GPs Who Are Willing to Commit
Private equity fundraising in the Middle East is entering a boom, with capital commitments reaching multi‑billion‑dollar levels. Sovereign wealth funds and regional investors are increasingly favoring general partners who demonstrate deep, long‑term commitment to the market. The region’s regulatory reforms...
UAE Advances Alternative Trade Route to Bypass Strait of Hormuz
The United Arab Emirates is fast‑tracking a new trade corridor that connects its eastern Khorfakkan port in Sharjah to Saudi Arabia’s Dammam, allowing cargo to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. The corridor combines maritime access via the Gulf of Oman...
Oil Price Surge Is Hurting African Economies: Scholars in Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, Senegal, and South Africa Take Stock
Oil prices surged above $100 a barrel after the United States and Israel attacked Iran, prompting Tehran to close the Strait of Hormuz, which carries roughly 20% of global oil. The disruption has sent fuel costs soaring across Africa, prompting...
Rosatom and Brazil's NBEPar Launch Joint Venture for Critical Minerals Extraction
Rosatom and Brazil's private holding NBEPar have created a joint venture, Nadina Minerals, to extract and process critical minerals in Brazil. The JV will focus on uranium and other high‑technology metals, targeting deposits in Paraná's Figueira region and Bahia's Caculé....
Belt-Tightening Mode
The Philippines is entering a belt‑tightening phase as a four‑week‑old Middle East conflict drives global oil prices higher, eroding the peso and inflating consumer costs. A temporary suspension of petroleum excise taxes will cut government revenue by roughly $2.5 billion, potentially...
Venture Capitalists Eye Philippines
Venture capital activity in the Philippines surged in 2025, with private‑capital funding rising about 34% year‑on‑year despite a regional downturn. Foxmont Capital Partners alone raised $1.5 billion, up from $960 million in 2023, and e‑commerce now accounts for 67% of the country’s...
Russia Sharing Intelligence with Iran to Help ‘Kill Americans,’ Says EU’s Top Diplomat
EU foreign minister Kaja Kallas accused Russia of supplying Iran with intelligence that enables Tehran to target U.S. military assets in the Middle East. She said Russia also provides drones, facilitating attacks on neighboring states and American bases. The allegation...
After Maduro: Latin America’s Policy Community Reassesses the US-China Balance
The United States captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, prompting a hard‑power display that many Latin American analysts view as a game changer for regional geopolitics. The move reinforces U.S. coercive dominance while exposing China’s limited military reach,...
E&Ps Flag Iran War in Latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey
The first‑quarter 2026 Dallas Fed Energy Survey shows that exploration and production (E&P) companies are flagging the Iran‑Israel war as a major source of volatility. While a few firms note a temporary boost to oil prices and potential profit upside,...
Costa Rica Colon Hits Two-Decade High, Pressuring Central Bank
Costa Rica’s colon surged to 465 per U.S. dollar, its strongest level since 2005, marking a 7% gain this year. The rally was driven by robust export growth and increased foreign investment. In response, the central bank intervened, purchasing roughly...
Tazapay Closes $36m Series B to Scale Emerging Market Payments
Tazapay announced the close of a $36 million Series B extension led by Circle Ventures, bringing total Series B funding to $36 million. The round added new investors CMT Digital and Coinbase Ventures alongside existing backers. The capital will fund licensing expansion, accelerate go‑to‑market...
West Asia Conflict to Strain India's FY27 Fiscal Math, Says ICRA
India’s FY 2027 budget faces heightened pressure as the West Asia conflict drives global crude oil to $157 a barrel and natural‑gas prices to $22 per MMBtu, more than double pre‑crisis levels. Higher energy costs are expected to lift fertilizer and...
Saudi Wealth Fund Commits to Global Investments Despite Iran War
Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, led by Governor Yasir Al Rumayyan, reaffirmed its commitment to global investments despite the rising economic burden of the war with Iran. Al Rumayyan described the kingdom’s macroeconomic and physical position as strong, stable and resilient. He...
The Security Architecture of the Taiwan-US Trade Deal
On February 12, 2026 Taiwan and the United States signed the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART), eliminating tariffs on roughly 99 percent of bilateral goods and expanding market access across multiple sectors. Beyond tariff cuts, the pact embeds a security architecture...
Trump Eyes China Deal, but Dragging Out Talks Risks Backlash, Warns Former Diplomat
Former U.S. diplomat Stephen Biegun says President Donald Trump will pursue an economic deal with China during his mid‑May visit to Beijing. The agenda is expected to focus on securing large‑scale Chinese purchases of American agricultural and manufacturing products. Biegun...
SADC REGIONAL PORTS CONFIRM PARTICIPATION IN LANDLINKED ZAMBIA 2026
Land‑linked Zambia 2026 has secured participation from all six key SADC ports—Beira, Dar es Salaam, Durban, Lobito, Nacala and Walvis Bay—signaling a major push toward multimodal connectivity. Zambia’s goal of producing 3 million metric tonnes of copper by 2031 will place...
What the Engagement Debate Misses: Visiting China Is Not the Same as Understanding It
The article argues that recent calls for renewed U.S. trips to China overlook a crucial distinction: visiting China does not equal understanding it. While official delegations showcase polished factories and elite think‑tank briefings, they miss the everyday realities of ordinary...