Economics for the Real World — a Provocative New Playbook, Plus India’s Growth Story
A newly released playbook titled "Economics for the Real World" argues that traditional macro models must be replaced with data‑driven, policy‑focused frameworks. The authors illustrate the approach with case studies, notably India’s recent economic surge, where GDP grew roughly 8% to about $3.7 trillion. The book highlights how structural reforms and digital infrastructure have drawn an estimated $150 billion of foreign capital. By coupling theory with actionable insights, the work aims to reshape how governments and investors approach growth strategies.
China, Latin America: Partners Of Choice
China’s State Council released a December white paper outlining an expanded partnership with Latin America, moving beyond traditional trade in natural resources to strategic sectors such as AI, digital tech, renewable energy, and defense. The document builds on earlier 2008...
DRC’s Power Demand Boom Underscores Need for Massive Energy Investment
Electricity consumption in the Democratic Republic of the Congo jumped 18.2% in 2024, outpacing a 0.4% dip in generation caused by a technical shutdown at the Inga II hydropower plant. The surge reflects expanding industrial activity, especially in the Maluku Special...
African Bunkering Hubs Gain as Ships Reroute Around the Cape
War in the Middle East and Houthi attacks have forced carriers to avoid the Suez Canal and the Red Sea, prompting a surge of vessels rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope. This shift has dramatically increased demand for ship‑refuelling...
Guatemala: Connecting The Oceans
Guatemala is advancing a $7 billion private "dry canal" called the Guatemalan Interoceanic Corridor (GIC), a 372‑kilometer land route linking a new Pacific port at San Luis with the Caribbean port of San Jorge. The project, backed by the Guatemalan Interoceanic...
India, Russia Reaffirm $100 Billion Trade Goal as West Asia Simmers
India and Russia reaffirmed their ambition to lift bilateral trade from $68.7 billion to $100 billion by 2030, emphasizing a balanced and sustainable approach. Both ministers highlighted that 96 percent of current trade is settled in national currencies, bypassing Western payment systems. Ongoing...
U.S. Executives, From Apple to Eli Lilly, Revamp Their Push Into the World's Second-Largest Economy at the China Development Forum
More than 30 U.S. executives, including Apple’s Tim Cook and Eli Lilly’s David Ricks, attended the China Development Forum in Beijing, signaling a renewed push into China’s consumer market. Apple reported a 23% year‑on‑year rise in iPhone sales, while Eli Lilly announced...
Russia Is the Biggest Winner of the Iran War
The United States’ decision to engage militarily with Iran has sparked a sharp rise in global oil prices. Analysts argue that the price surge disproportionately benefits Russia, whose economy relies heavily on hydrocarbon exports. The influx of revenue bolsters Moscow’s...
The War on Oil: Iran Conflict and the Global Energy Crisis
Veteran oil trader Adi Imsirovic told the Beyond the Indus podcast that the ongoing Iran‑Israel conflict has choked the Strait of Hormuz, creating the most severe energy shock of his career. He argued that futures markets are underpricing the supply...
Is Indonesia’s Special Economic Zone Strategy Starting to Bear Fruit?
Indonesia’s special economic zone (SEZ) program has expanded to 25 operational zones with seven more under construction, attracting roughly $19.7 bn in cumulative investment and creating about 248,000 jobs by the end of 2025. Early zones like Sei Mangkei and Gresik...
Global Economy Under ‘Major Threat’ From Strait of Hormuz Crisis: IEA Chief
International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol warned that the ongoing Strait of Hormuz crisis poses a "major threat" to the global economy. The US‑Iran confrontation has nearly halted traffic through the waterway, which carries about 20% of world oil and...
Fabio Panetta: Introductory Remarks – Conference "Laying the Groundwork for Jobs in Africa: Core Infrastructure and Business Environments"
Fabio Panetta highlighted the looming youth employment crisis, noting that 1.2 billion young people will join the labour force in developing nations over the next decade, with Africa accounting for a quarter of the global youth population by 2050. He warned...
Business Entities Outline Risks Middle East Conflict Poses for South Africa
The escalation of the Middle East conflict is expected to ripple through the global economy, pressuring South Africa’s fuel costs, inflation and exchange rates. Business Leadership South Africa’s CEO Busi Mavuso warns that higher diesel prices will strain the mining...
Threats Abound to India’s Traditional Geopolitical Role
India’s multialignment strategy is under strain as the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran triggered a domestic LPG shortage, exposing the country’s energy fragility. Simultaneously, New Delhi’s decision to reopen critical sectors to Chinese foreign direct investment deepens its reliance on a...
MPIC Increases 2026 Capex to over ₱200 Billion Due to Investments in Renewables
Metro Pacific Investments Corp (MPIC) raised its 2026 capital expenditure budget to over ₱200 billion, up from roughly ₱190 billion in 2025, driven primarily by large‑scale renewable‑energy projects such as Meralco’s SP New Energy Corp and the Terra Solar farm, slated to...
JV Ejercito Pushes for Creation of Inter-Agency Task Force on Middle East Conflict
Senator Joseph Victor "JV" Ejercito urged the Philippine government on March 23 to create an inter‑agency task force that would monitor and mitigate the economic and energy fallout from the escalating Middle East conflict. He cited Senate Resolution No. 43, which...
Great AI Divide: Markets in America, Systems in China
The United States and China are pursuing opposite AI strategies: the U.S. relies on market‑driven, fragmented innovation while China embeds AI into coordinated, state‑led systems. American firms chase autonomous models and rapid scaling, whereas Beijing focuses on using intelligence to...
Nina Schick: “This Is the First AI War”
Nina Schick argues the Iran‑US conflict marks the first AI‑driven war, exposing how massive compute and electricity needs are now strategic assets. She links the fighting to the broader US‑China rivalry, noting that energy constraints directly affect AI scaling and...
‘Outlook Has Grown More Daunting’: Moody’s Warns on Asia-Pacific Growth, Sees Slowdown to 4% in 2026 Amid Heightened Middle East...
Moody’s projects Asia‑Pacific GDP growth slowing to 4 % in 2026 and 3.6 % in 2027, down from 4.3 % in 2025. The downgrade reflects surging commodity prices from the Middle‑East conflict and lingering U.S. tariff uncertainty. Export performance remains resilient, driven by...
Global Economy Faces Major Threat Amid Worsening Energy Crisis: IEA Chief
International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol warned that the world is heading toward a severe energy crisis as at least 40 oil and gas assets in West Asia have been severely damaged. He described the situation as a combination of two...
How China Forgot Karl Marx
China’s labor share fell from 21% in 1987 to 15% in 2023, leaving workers with a shrinking slice of economic output. Despite dramatic poverty reduction, wages in manufacturing now rank near the bottom of a 87‑country survey, and the minimum...
How the West Asian Conflict Upended Global Monetary Policy
The US‑Iran war has forced major central banks to pause rate cuts, reversing earlier expectations. The Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of Japan all kept rates steady, while Sweden and Switzerland...
India, 39 Others Raise Concerns over China-Led Investment Pact Proposal
Around 40 countries, including India and Turkey, have lodged objections to a China‑led Investment Facilitation for Development (IFD) proposal at the WTO ministerial meeting. Proponents aim to adopt the framework as a plurilateral agreement at the MC14 in Cameroon, arguing...
Amazon Sees India as High-Growth Market, Expands Seller Incentives and Logistics Network: Report
Amazon is treating India as a long‑term growth market, expanding its zero‑referral‑fee program to cover roughly 125 million products. The company announced an additional $35 billion investment in India by 2030, on top of the $40 billion already spent. A new air...
As Global Yuan Use Expands, Questions Resurface About China’s World-Leading Forex Reserves
A Renmin University report urges China to trim its $3.42 trillion foreign‑exchange reserves, which sit at roughly 16% of GDP, to a more moderate level of about 11.5% of GDP as the yuan gains global traction. The paper argues that a...
Vietnam PM Visits Russia to Sign Energy Deal Amid Iran War Disruption
Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh travelled to Moscow to sign a suite of energy agreements, including oil‑and‑gas cooperation and a nuclear power plant partnership, as Hanoi seeks to bolster fuel reserves. The deal covers trade, investment, exploration, extraction and...
What’s Happening in EM: Oil Spikes Upend Local Bonds (Podcast)
Bloomberg’s Emerging Markets podcast notes that soaring oil prices have forced a revision of global interest‑rate expectations, unsettling the once‑popular strategy of investing in emerging‑market local‑currency bonds. The energy price shock is prompting investors to unwind positions as higher rates...
South vs West: African Banking Majors Scramble for East African Market
African banking giants from Nigeria and South Africa are accelerating acquisitions and greenfield launches in East Africa, drawn by Kenya’s role as a regional financial hub and the trade‑finance potential of the African Continental Free Trade Area. The Central Bank...
Europe’s Trade with Iran: Which Countries Do the Most Business with Tehran?
EU‑Iran trade collapsed to €3.72 billion in 2025, the lowest level in two decades, as renewed sanctions tightened economic ties. Germany remains the dominant EU partner, accounting for 31.8% of the remaining trade, followed by Italy and the Netherlands, together representing...
Iran War a Setback for Super Returns as Investors Brace for Fallout
The escalation of the US‑Israel conflict with Iran has pushed global equity markets down more than 5%, dragging Australian superannuation returns lower. Median growth‑option super funds fell about 3% in March, leaving the financial‑year return at roughly 3.3%, while balanced...
As Iran War Disrupts the Gulf, India's Growth Story Faces New Risks
India’s rapid economic rise is now threatened by the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran, which jeopardizes the Gulf’s oil and gas supplies that account for 40 % of its oil and 80 % of its gas imports. Disruptions to export routes and a...
Could Ultra-Precise Harvest Forecast Give China an Advantage in Iran War Fallout?
China’s grain‑output forecasting system, honed over 46 years, now predicts national harvests with sub‑0.2% error, far outpacing the 5‑10% margins typical in the West. The model’s April release gives Beijing a six‑month lead before the autumn harvest, allowing pre‑emptive moves...
Premier Li Qiang Calls for a Global Pledge to Open up, While ‘Power Politics’ Runs Rampant
At the opening of the China Development Forum 2026, Premier Li Qiang called for a global pledge to deepen economic openness, warning that protectionism is not a cure for current challenges. He indirectly rebuked the United States, suggesting its trade...
Will the Houthis Join Iran in War Against Israel and the US?
The Houthis, known as Ansar Allah, have so far avoided direct involvement in the US‑Israel‑Iran war but recent statements suggest they are reconsidering. Their political bureau said “all options are on the table,” hinting at possible alignment with Iran against...
Why Brazilian Excellence Inspires the Global South — But Also the Global North
Brazil has turned its natural endowments into a strategic advantage by building a hybrid capitalist model anchored in family ownership, deep sectoral integration, and dense institutional networks. This architecture enables firms to weather currency crises, political upheavals, and regulatory volatility...
‘They Want to Colonise Us’: Brazil’s Lula Warns of Foreign Interference
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva warned at the CELAC summit that foreign powers are attempting to “colonise” Latin America by targeting critical minerals and rare earths. He cited U.S. actions such as the January 3 abduction of Venezuela’s Nicolás...
Blended Capital Is Kenya’s Digital Growth Engine
Kenya’s digital economy is booming, but infrastructure gaps threaten its momentum. Konza Technopolis, a 5,000‑acre smart‑city project, is being built through public‑private partnerships to provide core utilities, roads, and digital services. Phase One, commissioned in October, delivered essential power, water, and...
Shockwave of War Is Rippling Through the Global Economy
The outbreak of war in the Middle East is sending shockwaves through the global economy, prompting the first coordinated health check via business surveys across the United States and the euro zone. Bloomberg’s median forecast expects every purchasing managers index...
Rising Rhetoric and Deepening Gulf Tensions Push the Middle East to the Brink
Israel’s strike on Iran’s South Pars gas field marked a decisive escalation, signaling that no energy asset is off‑limits. Iran responded with missile and drone attacks on energy sites in Qatar, the UAE and Saudi Arabia, turning a shadow conflict...
Is Museveni’s $1.5bn ‘Mega Airport’ Project a Real Deal?
Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni announced a $1.5 billion privately financed mega‑airport in Mbarara, aimed at becoming a transit hub between Asia and Latin America. The project, led by Base Seven and backed by Chinese construction firms and the UK‑registered Blackrock Uwekeza, plans a 21 sq km...
Gulf Producers Urge US to Tackle Hormuz Closure Head-On
Gulf oil producers are urging the United States to confront the Hormuz blockage directly, warning that temporary "oil‑on‑water" licences aid Iran while constraining regional exporters. They cite roughly 140 million barrels of Iranian crude stranded at sea and argue that without...
West Asia Conflict May Trigger Global Inflation Shock if Disruptions Spread; India Relatively Insulated: SBI Research
SBI Research warns that an expanding West Asia conflict could reignite global inflation by disrupting energy markets, trade routes and supply chains. While the immediate price impact may be modest, prolonged hostilities risk broader macro‑economic fallout. India appears relatively insulated...
India & China “Bypass” Iran’s Near-Blockade of Strait of Hormuz; Secure Exceptions as Oil Traffic Drops By 95%
Iran has effectively sealed the Strait of Hormuz, slashing daily oil‑tanker traffic by roughly 95% since early March 2026. The closure has pushed crude prices above $100 a barrel and disrupted about 20% of global oil and LNG flows. Despite...
FPIs Pull Out ₹35,475 Cr This Week From Indian Markets, March Outflows Hit ₹88,180 Cr
Foreign portfolio investors withdrew ₹35,475 crore from Indian equities this week, taking March’s cumulative outflow to ₹88,180 crore – the highest monthly net withdrawal recorded in 2026. The sell‑off accelerated after a Monday outflow of ₹10,827 crore and ended with a Friday dump...
Iran Ready to Let Japanese Vessels Transit Hormuz, Kyodo Reports
Iran has signaled willingness to permit Japanese‑flagged vessels to transit the Strait of Hormuz, a key conduit for global oil shipments. The offer follows phone talks between Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi and Japanese officials amid heightened tensions from the...
Prabowo Pushes All-Electric Transport to Cut Import Reliance
President Prabowo Subianto announced a nationwide push to replace all personal, public and commercial transport with electric, solar‑powered vehicles. The move aims to curb Indonesia’s reliance on imported fuel, which reached 232,417 kiloliters per day in 2025, and to revive...
EWZ: The Case For Brazilian Equities In 2026
Analysts upgrade iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) to BUY, citing the central bank’s monetary easing and expanding trade ties with China and the EU. The fund offers a 4.2% dividend yield and stands to benefit from the upcoming EU‑Mercosur free‑trade...
EWZ: The Case For Brazilian Equities In 2026
FinHeim Research rates the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) a BUY, citing anticipated monetary easing and expanding trade ties with China and the EU. The fund trades at $35.06, offers a 4.22% dividend yield and holds $9.3 B in assets, positioning...
Our Underappreciated International Reserve System
The latest NBER paper shows a pronounced shift in the composition of global foreign‑exchange reserves. The U.S. dollar’s share slipped below 57% in Q3 2025, while gold overtook the euro to become the second‑largest reserve asset. Central banks are diversifying into...
Brewers’ Global Search for Growth Opportunities
The beer industry in the United States and Western Europe has stalled at pre‑COVID volume levels, reflecting a broader shift toward low‑alcohol drinks and reduced consumption. Analysts label this a long‑term structural stagnation, prompting brewers to look beyond mature markets....