
Market expectations of a June rate cut from the Fed have fallen to around 40%, close to their lowest levels in months following the run-up in oil prices, according to CME Group https://t.co/1DRbhts0Fk

RM11B Sunway-IJM Takeover: The Great GLC Standoff The Employees Provident Fund (EPF) and major institutional shareholders are officially in a holding pattern, freezing an RM11 billion power shift as the Independent Advice Circular faces strategic delays. This regulatory bottleneck creates a...
Honest confession — I tried Profit First when I first started my business because everyone swore by it. Five accounts, constantly moving money around, paying bank fees I didn't need to be paying. It genuinely stressed me out more than it...
Our new Prophit Engine service is now live. In this episode I cover: Who’s it for Why you should care And how to get started. https://t.co/iSLVAmatFe My challenge to every founder, CFO or CMO is to listen and ask yourself if 1)...

Kalshi markets on oil futures is crazy because it’s a 2nd derivative. Current oil price-> CL futures (first derivative) -> Kalshi (2nd derivative). Leads to very odd dynamics if Kalshi markets get big enough
The next wave of AI disruption may hit unexpected professions first. Peter Thiel suggests roles built around mathematics and quantitative analysis could be more exposed than language-heavy work. Banks are already hinting that advances in AI could mean leaner teams in finance....
Private credit is in a strange place today. The economy is tied to the cost of money. Low interest rates mean cheap borrowing, which in theory should lead to higher utilization of credit facilities. Conversely, high interest rates mean less affordable...
This has been happening for a long time. Often there is a potential legitimate reason to buy each other’s stuff, but…it more often than not ends up as shelfware. In diligence, I always compare new customer close dates to new vendor...
AI cuts costs. AI also cuts the cost of fraud. The same tooling driving efficiency is fueling the fraud surge. Financial services can't run an AI productivity strategy without a parallel fraud controls strategy. AI was meant to boost productivity. It...

High yield credit (HYG) down 0.5% on March 6th. When junk bonds sell off alongside equities, it means credit markets are sniffing out real economic stress, not just a volatility event. Watch HYG. It leads. Always. https://t.co/HpbzOsBALw
NEW @PuckNews: On heels of Telegraph acquisition, Mathias Döpfner told charges that Axel Springer was unlikely to make more big acquisitions in near future, noting that Murdochs were unlikely to sell The Wall Street Journal, which Springer couldn’t afford anyway. https://t.co/1NKCcK3NXz
If you saw the BlackRock headline this week and your first thought was "should I be worried about my own investments," you're not the only one. But the thing you're worried about probably isn't what you think it is.

Despite what you read daily in the press, the de-dollarization narrative doesn’t have legs. In 2025, overseas investors bought a net $1.55 trillion in long term US financial assets. That’s UP 31.4% since 2024. https://t.co/NUFKLfdh4l
Most SaaS founders know their ARR. Very few can explain where it came from. I've sat in dozens of board meetings where someone says "ARR is up 20%" and the room nods. Then a board member asks "how much of that...
She had $1.2 million in cash. Three years. Waiting for the "right time" to invest. She thought cash was safe. Zero risk. She didn't realise she was already taking the biggest risk of all.
Stop scrolling if you hold construction equities. Takeover rumors are actively destroying contract values right now. 1. MACC probe costs IJM a data center deal 2. MoF intercepts Sunway takeover of IJM 3. State funds clash over MRCB mega-merger Detailed Breakdown ↓↓↓ #BursaMalaysia #Equities
The thing is, the current secondary market prices of liquid private credit vehicles (BDCs) are implying a default rate north of 20%, far in excess of anything experienced during the GFC and greater than UBS’s draconian “worst case” scenario
We’re eating our own dog food. We’ve begun using our own platform to settle inter-company settlements — $68M across 8 entities. Under 30 minutes. 24/7. Our Treasury team did this with USDC and Circle Mint — replacing fiat wires that take 1-3...

Major Business News on March 6, 2026: 1. Court of Appeal to rule on RM1.7b pensioners payout 2. Ekovest secures 54-year highway concession 3. Datuk Seri Johari Abdul Ghani nears mandatory offer threshold 4. Datuk Tiong King Sing exits Timberwell at RM12.8 million Source: The...

Thought? BlackRock investors rushed to pull their money out and withdrawals were suddenly locked. Halting withdrawals typically signals serious liquidity problems and can trigger panic in the financial system.
Cloud cost management strategies for upcoming volatile decade. < My comments within... https://t.co/Zpgqt1oMun #CIO #CostManagement #TBM #FinOps #Cloud
US airlines no longer hedge fuel costs. That could hurt margins if Iran conflict lingers - https://t.co/LvmzI2bxEL

Okay. I've been seeing this make the rounds. It is just a large misunderstanding of the second graph, to the extent that it's drawing the wrong conclusions. The price of electricity from solar and wind in the US *has* flatlined...
My partner @kieranwgoodwin has been so right about this space for over a year which has really sharpened my vision. Outflows beget outflows. Gating begets outflows. Selling some of the underlying portfolio to meet minimum redemptions creates losses and begets...
If private credit sucks liquidity out of the market The hyperscalers max out their cash Then there isn't enough money in the world for the compute build out

In 2016 we broke ground on our first self storage development. I had just turned 27 and had personally guaranteed a $1.5 million loan to make this happen. We put in about $500k of our own cash (from a small business we...

Despite the bear market in private credit, negative press, and poor performance of some BlackRock funds, the quarterly redemption requests for its non-traded BDC came in below the 5% cap. https://t.co/36ABXJ1FCK

$VIX Mock cheer for COR1M, up from the dead/all time lows during earnings season to last spring and last Nov levels https://t.co/Ykw6arRCk3
The year's most important IPO isn't for SpaceX or OpenAI. It would be for the parent company of Dunkin' (do I need SpaceX or OpenAI every day? nope. but my iced coffee is a nonnegotiable) https://t.co/6kXbsBReYh
Oof. Only IPO of the week falls way short of expectations. MiniMed priced at $20 per share, versus $25-$28 range.

NEW: Kazakhstan’s central bank is set to invest up to $350M from its reserves into the crypto sector. The strategy targets crypto-linked equities and funds, not direct purchases of digital assets. The program could start in April or May. https://t.co/RlEGwWKYzs
Most FP&A teams don’t struggle with analytics. They struggle with data. 💡Finance leaders from PepsiCo, BILL, and Workday shared how they build strong data foundations and a single source of truth to enable AI and predictive decision-making: https://t.co/FnD9BnrjT6 #fpatrends

Major Business News to Track Today, March 6, 2026: 1. MACC seeks asset freeze on Tun Daim Zainuddin's family 2. Gamuda to release Q2 earnings report 3. MIDA to announce 2025 investment performance 4. AirAsia X faces margin threats amid fuel hike ↓↓↓

Update on the Fed’s Balance Sheet and its Reserve Management Purchases. Adding T-bills, shedding MBS, Treasury note & bond balances on ice, SRF unused https://t.co/M947SfSoUP https://t.co/c3uHc5VmGA

Total PITI costs surged for housing and in a QM lending environment that was set to crush sales. I had a price model limit for 2020-2024: if we didn't surpass 23% during those five years, we would be okay; we...

Terminal values are themselves short-hands for DCFs. This is because a terminal value is essentially a multiple. And a multiple is a short-cut for a DCF. More in the memo below 👇

Fannie Mae: Get use to these mortgage rates Fannie Mae's forecast for the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate: Q3 2026 --> 6.0% Q4 2026 --> 6.0% Q1 2027 --> 6.0% Q2 2027 --> 6.0% Q3 2027 --> 6.0% Q4 2027 --> 6.0%
March 2020. COVID panic. Markets collapsed overnight. Two clients. Same portfolio. Same allocation. Same advisor. What they did next created a gap worth hundreds of thousands of dollars. It will probably never close.
My biggest takeaway right now regarding mortgage rates is to expect heightened volatility. They will likely bounce around a lot more than normal thanks to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The good news is 30-year fixed rates remain near ~3-year...
A ‘Bloomberg Terminal’ for espionage? In this episode of DEX in the City, hosts @TuongvyLe12, @kkirkbos & Jessi Brooks discuss: ⚠️ Whether prediction markets are becoming a national security concern 👀 Whether alleged programmatic Bitcoin sales by Jane Street qualify as market manipulation ❕️...
One of reasons banks are freaking out about stablecoins, even though stablecoins don't pay yield, is bc there is more demand for USD outside the US than there is inside the US. And that means billions (no...trillions) of profits going...

UST funding pressure starting to ramp up as swap spreads narrow 3-4 bps across the curve. 30y tenor now less than -78 bps https://t.co/yWt8DEzUEr
Macro: credit litigation; GLAS sues Annington for £1.56bn over 2032–2051 bonds. Key: issuer rejects acceleration. Risk: repayment shock, guarantor strain. Trading insight: avoid Annington bonds. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov

Oracle Plans Thousands of Job Cuts in Face of AI Cash Crunch “In September @Oracle disclosed in a filing it was planning its largest-ever restructuring, which will cost as much as $1.6B in the current fiscal year ending May, incl severance...

“The firms are using repo-like loans from one particular investment bank to mask debt, the letter says.” https://t.co/YLQH5cPi6f
In 1973, US debt/GDP was 32%, deficit/GDP was 1%, & NIIP/GDP was +10%. There was no level of inflation & rates that could push the US into a debt spiral. Today those #’s are 122%, 6%, & -90%, & 4.8% 10y...

Still thinking about @AlexH_Johnson & my pod convo about @CashApp's plan to sell its internal credit scores to third parties That the company seems to be able to manage *credit risk* reasonably effectively makes its financial crime control failures look even...
After Hollywood turned on David Zaslav for being too much of a bean counter/financier, I’m sure The Town will appreciate David Ellison’s answer to being asked how many layoffs are coming w/ merging w/ WBD: “We absolutely need to rationalize the...

Well well well... BlackRock marked a private credit loan at 100 cents on the dollar in Q3. By Q4, it was a big fat ZERO. Not 80. Not 50. ZERO. In 3 months. This is the second time $TCPC has done this recently....
Not sure why the write-down of a $20 million loan that was disclosed nearly two months ago is news but here we are https://t.co/lfuuXrqdYg