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Russia Weakened but Still Dangerous After the Ukraine War

The Ukraine war has exposed Russia’s structural vulnerabilities, including demographic decline, waning energy leverage over Europe, and growing reliance on China. Simultaneously, Moscow has adapted its military doctrine, emphasizing drones, electronic warfare, and attritional tactics, while sanctions have not collapsed its war‑focused economy. NATO enlargement and a heavily militarised Ukraine have further constrained Russian strategic options, yet the Kremlin retains influence in parts of the post‑Soviet space. The United States now faces a dilemma: shift from a passive wait‑and‑see stance to active, long‑term containment of a still dangerous adversary.