Wisconsin Lets Couples File Separately Federally, Jointly Statewise
I was today years old when I learned there is a state out there that allows you to file separately at the federal level and jointly at the state level. Thanks, Wisconsin. Your married physicians seeking PSLF really appreciate you. #TaxTwitter
Allies’ Trust in U.S. Plummets, Eyes Turn Away
It will be a while before America can look another ally directly in the eye Source: Visual Capitalist https://www.visualcapitalist.com/sp/ig02-countries-losing-trust-in-the-u-s/
SPY Bullish on Earnings, AI
Macro: SPY supported by ~17.5% S&P earnings growth and AI/NVIDIA outperformance. Technicals are bullish but 150‑day EMA caps. Risk: higher oil → inflation, Fed hawkish shift. Trade: buy pullbacks; stop <150‑day EMA. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Emotions Up, Profits Down: Discipline Beats Impulse
Emotions high = profits low. Liquidity taken. Structure shifted. Imbalance respected. The setup was perfect… discipline wasn’t. Save this before your next trade. #forex #smartmoney #icttrading #tradingmindset #priceaction
Iranian Rial Gains 9% Amid War, Defying Claims
BNE Intellinews claims that the Iranian rial is "losing ground as military strikes hit infrastructure across the country". WRONG. FACT: Since the beginning of the US-Israeli war on Iran, the Iranian rial has APPRECIATED by 9% vs the USD. https://t.co/6tlVgFd2Lt
Year's Lightest NYSE Volume Leaves Market Stagnant
Today was lightest NYSE volume of the year....went nowhere fast...and now just took out morning OP in the SPs
Overweight Tesla as ARK Pivots to EVs
Macro: ARK shifts from industrial semis to EVs. Key: sold Teradyne, bought Tesla. Risk: ARK flows will amplify volatility. Insight: Consider overweighting TSLA within risk limits. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
QQQ Holds, VIX Spikes Amid Iran Tension Risks
QQQ: +0.6%, not bad for Black Monday. Anyway, the price must stay resilient reclaiming levels. The 20DMA acted as resistance today. The setup is open to escalations in Iran with the daily volume and Money Flow both diverging from the...
Stop Analyzing, Start Investing: You Can't Time Markets
You can’t time a market you’ve never participated in. Stop reading articles and watching videos about when to buy. Just get started.
Real‑time Alerts Stopped a $60K Fraud for Cardi B
I was out here swiping my card, already knowing I was about to have to “figure it out” later… Scamming myself. But the SAME alert notification I use to keep myself in check now? That’s what helped Cardi B catch a $60K+ fraud...
US Real Estate for Fast Freedom, International for Lifestyle
If your goal is to quit your job in the next few years… Buy real estate in the US first. If your goal is to build a life somewhere specific… then international might make sense. Buying in the US is about...
Buy DXY on Break Above 100.20 as USD Rises
Macro: USD strengthens as global stress persists. Key factors: robust US data, rising oil and yields. Risks: Middle East tensions and higher inflation. Trade: Buy DXY on a clean break above 100.20; targets 101–103. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights:...
Dallas Fans Answer with a Quick 10‑point Comeback
Let me explain this in football terms Imagine arguing with a Dallas Cowboys fan & they come back with a 10 point response
Extending Tax Deduction Deadline to April Boosts Giving
If you could make charitable deductions until April instead of having to remember in December I feel like there would a significant boost in the giving spirit
Samsung Q1 2026 Shatters Records, Sales Double, Profit Soars
Samsung's Q1 2026 results have broken all previous records for the company Highest quarterly sales ever and highest operating profit ever Almost 2x higher sales and over 8.5x higher profit over Q1 2025 is incredible
ARK Adds $14M Tesla Stake, Tops Three ETFs
ARK buying 39,691 $TSLA shares in ARKK, ARKQ and ARKX ($14m) This morning, Tesla was in - ARKK #1 position with 9.94% - ARKQ #1 with 9.58% - ARKX #17 with 2.39% (ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF) No purchases in ARKW; #1 position with...
Macro Volatility Returns: Inflation Threats and Earnings
Stabilization Into A Trap 💫Searching For A Bottom 💫Another Trump Ultimatum 💫Mechanical Flows Waiting For Gamma Flip 💫The New Macro-Driven Volatility Regime 💫Earnings - Opportunity or As Good As It Gets 💫The Week Ahead: Inflation Threatens https://t.co/Y1dcSGIrPf
Investors Prefer Inflation Swaps Over Sketchy 1‑Year TIPS
Glad folks are finally using the inflation swap.. not the often-sketchy 1yr TIPS breakeven rate... remember this chart that made the rounds in March lol https://t.co/pHxDS0B0gu
Putin’s Eurozone Bid Once Threatened US‑Europe Ties
Here’s another one: Many on X seem to forget that Europe also tried to separate from the US 16 years ago, when Putin said Russia would join the Eurozone, which would have married Russian energy with German engineering, a combo...
Sunway's RM11B IJM Bid Masks High‑P/E Time Bomb
Everyone thinks Sunway's RM11 billion bid for IJM is just about building a "NATIONAL CHAMPION," but the underlying math reveals a brilliant trap. At an implied 46.6x P/E, this isn't a generous premium buyout—there is a ticking time bomb most investors...
Set Rules, Stop Reactive Trading for Real Gains
Being active with your investing strategy isn’t the same as being effective. It can be similar to rush hour traffic, as you switch lanes, the one you move from starts moving faster, and you don’t actually get to your destination...
EU Tried Pricing Iraqi Oil in Euros, US Halted Independence
Many on X seem to forget that Europe tried to separate from the US 26 years ago, when the EU arranged for Iraq to sell oil in EUR instead of USD (Source: CNN Int’l👇) The EU would have been independent of...
Innovation Requires Production: Rethink USD Reserve for Reindustrialization
“To innovate, you must make.” -INTC CEO Andy Grove, 2011 The reality is we cannot and will not reindustrialize unless we change USD reserve status structure to a system with a neutral reserve asset instead of USTs; it’s a fundamental double-entry...
US Stock Trading Slows; Oil Prices Surge to New Highs
Slowest full-day volume (for US Stocks) of the year while Oil is ripping a new one to new highs again tonight - no worries
Weigh Mortgage Payoff vs Investing for High‑income Doctor
You’re 47, Physician, Dallas. $700k income. Married, 3 kids. $2.5M retirement, $300k brokerage, $100k cash. $1.1M mortgage. $800k equity. Do you Aggressively pay down your mortgage OR Keep investing everything
TSLA's Bag7 Day: Core MOAB Component Plummets Over 50%
Another #Bag7 Day for $TSLA The TWO TIMES $TSLL Bull was down another -5.5% on over 127 MILLION shares This core component of #MOAB has crashed > 50% since DEC https://t.co/LZQNougUuF
SPY Hits Lowest Volume Since Feb, Down 60%
SPY closed with just ~36M shares traded, about 60% below average and the lowest volume since February of last year.
VIX Backwardation Signals Lower Trend, Watch -1.44 Break
April-May $VIX calendar spread closed at -0.49. Still in backwardation. Primary trend remains lower. -$1.44 is the key level to watch. Break below it, and another short-vol squeeze is in play, which means more pressure on stocks. Backwardation doesn't lie. Near-term fear...
ETF Launch Shifts Trading From Exchange to OTC, Preserving Stability
ETF pre-launch accumulation drove exchange volume creating all-time high approach. Post-launch shifted to OTC desks, dark pools. TWAP/VWAP strategies spread institutional buying maintaining stability. Fiduciary duty demands best execution pricing.
Casey’s General Stores Replaces Hologic in S&P 500 Lineup
Biolsi @Hedgeye_Staples has Hedgeye Nation Long $CASY $CASY Casey's General Stores $756.05, +8.28) -- to replace Hologic Inc in the S&P 500 following the acquisition of HOLX by Blackstone and TPG Global https://t.co/3sxRpNo2yY
ISM Services Data Reveals Hidden Stagflation Amid Rally
The S&P 500 rose for a fourth straight day. Markets rallied on ceasefire hope. But the ISM Services report just delivered the clearest stagflation signal since 2022 and nobody noticed. Prices Paid surged to 70.7%. Employment contracted to 45.2%. Service...
VIX Warns: Uptrend May Flip, Watch Closely
The $VIX is a "watch carefully, don't dismiss" indicator right now. The uptrend is intact until it isn't.
Florida Falls, Alabama Rises as Migration Slows Nationwide
States with the highest inbound migration in 2025. Note how Florida has fallen to the 8th on the list nominally, and only 22nd in % terms. Alabama is now higher. Even the states at the top (Texas, North Carolina) are seeing heavily...
Gas Prices Hit Record High Since 2004, AAA Says
BERNSTEIN: Gas prices yesterday “surpassed 2004’s peak to become the highest non-pandemic related gas price in AAA’s history.” ⛽️ https://t.co/lHbZWM1faL
Elbit Systems: Israel’s Top Drone Maker Dominates Tel Aviv Exchange
Thanks, Neil. Monster Bullish Formation of a stock (that means Bullish TRADE, TREND, and TAIL) $ESLT
Start Valuation with Balance Sheet, Not Earnings
"Graham valuation starts with balance sheet reality, then adjusts for earning power." Most investors focus on earnings, but overlook what’s actually real.
Market Hits First Genuine Buy Signal Since Liberation Day
The stock market has trigged its first ‘proper buy signal’ since Liberation Day – HSBC’s Kettner @seekingalpha https://t.co/RO8qGJrtNm
Last‑Minute Tax Savings: Contribute IRA, HSA, Solo 401k
3 things you can *still* do to save money on your 2025 taxes if you haven’t filed yet: - Contribute to an IRA for 2025 - Contribute to an HSA for 2025 - Set up and make your 2025 Solo 401k contributions if...
Markets Stay Calm Amid Iran Uncertainty, Expect Resolution
The market has been surprisingly calm given the growing uncertainty in Iran. It is signaling that it expects a resolution. We are one President Trump tweet away from a face ripping rally. 💪🏻⏳🚀 https://t.co/PC697j3Xeb
Gift Business Shares to Cut Estate Tax Liability
Entrepreneurs whose businesses grow substantially over time can end up with an asset worth many millions of dollars, creating a potential 'problem' of exceeding the estate tax exemption amount. https://t.co/15oEYyCXLW In this guest post, Anna Pfaehler, CFP, AEP, a Partner and Wealth...
Founder‑led Companies Crush S&P Returns with Long‑term Focus
Data from Bain & Company shows that indexed total shareholder returns for founder-led firms vastly outperform the rest of the S&P 500. Why? ✅ Long-term obsession > Quarterly smoothing ✅ Willingness to pivot fast ✅ "Founder's Mentality" Is your portfolio weighted toward founders?
Rupee Rally Stalls, Marks Biggest 5‑day Drop Since 2022
The Indian rupee's rally seems to have run out of steam. $USDINR ran a 5-day retreat (rupee a rally) through Friday and notched the biggest 5-day drop since Nov 2022. Put in for a bounce today... https://t.co/qewdcUneMg
Homebuyer Demand Slips Below Last Year's Pace
Home buyer demand just dipped below last year's pace for the first time since the January storms. ➡️85,000 new pending sales this week, down 2.6% from 2025 ➡️Price reductions at 34.5% of active listings, climbing ➡️Inventory only 4% above last year (was 36%...
First‑of‑its‑kind ETF FMKT Climbs, Targeting Regulation‑driven Growth
$FMKT closed strong at $20.64, up 0.08% today! As the first-of-its-kind ETF in this space, $FMKT offers investors exposure to businesses we believe are positioned to benefit from streamlined regulations—often resulting in faster innovation cycles and improved margins. https://t.co/FPAeyf9jRB
Winter Wheat Condition Hits Decade Low at 35%
🇺🇸Only 35% of U.S. winter wheat is in good or excellent condition, below all trade estimates and down notably from late Nov. This is the week's fourth lowest rating of the last decade. Corn, cotton and spring wheat planting have just...
SPX Straddles Trendline: Bullish Signals Mixed
Some technical ambiguity from Monday's $SPX performance. The index is above its short/medium term trend channel resistance and the 20-day SMA. Alternatively, still below a zone of resistance around 6,630/20 and the 200-SMA on lowest volume since Dec 31st. Bullish or not?...
Japan's 10‑Year Yield Peaks, Yen Slumps to 160
Japanese Government 10-Year Yield Highest since 1997, Yen at 160 despite Intervention Threats, But Bond Vigilantes Still Dead. Inflation and deteriorating yen pushed the BOJ into hawkish stance, and bond yields are on their own https://t.co/sF7g5sRsaq https://t.co/XX7yIUKRhS
S&P Near 200‑Day MA, Downward Move Expected
$SPX - 4th up day in a row and approaching the 200 day MA. The most likely scenario is hitting the 200 DMA and then turning down again for another down leg. Obviously, a ceasefire agreement with Iran will probably...
SPY Holds $5 Range; MVC at $660, Exposure at $658
We spent the whole day in the $5 range we identified earlier on $SPY. $660 remains the MVC, and there's quite a bit of positive exposure at $658. Pretty much the same analysis as this morning...
Simplify Debt Payoff with the Snowball Method
A lot of people stay stuck because they feel overwhelmed. The debt snowball breaks debt payoff into simple steps to help you keep moving forward.