Co‑CEO’s Energy Background Highlights Top Market Themes
$OWL - Co-CEO was a "Global Head of Energy and Infrastructure" two of the literal best trades / themes in the market right now......🤨 https://t.co/0BlIXTjHJX
DXY Forms Rising Triangle, Bullish Break Possible
That is a very distinct - 'pretty', if you will - rising triangle on the $DXY Dollar Index. Resistance is also the midpoint of the Nov-Jan bear leg of this descending channel. Tech pattern more often resolves with a bullish...
Russian Oil Exports Up 6% Since Pre‑War
Is Russia exporting more oil now that it was before the Russo-Ukrainian war? Contrary to Western propaganda, the answer is YES. Russian crude export volumes are 6% above pre-invasion levels. SANCTIONS = NEVER WORK. https://t.co/pElmHdXmbQ
Stay Nimble: Trade Shorts or Longs in a Choppy Range
Chop chop and range market. Stay nimble short positions or long positions. Scrolling chart here looking for the next opportunity
Month‑end Rebalancing Triggers Rare Feb Fixed‑income Sell
Month end rebalancing has slight fixed income SELLING after today's move. That's rare for Feb since new 10yr and 30yr UST issuance usually leads to buying for index rebalancing. It's really all about the equity underperformance MTD. https://t.co/JSSOj5jEOD
Master Bad Beat Management with Simple Position Sizing
Moontower for today... 🌙options policework A highly useful and approachable post (well that claim is for you to decide) for deconstructing a bad beat, how to manage the position, and basic sizing framework https://t.co/lriLcCfSTC https://t.co/zBmPgdFBWn
Integrating Sentiment Surveys and Trends Into Market Analysis
Latest episode of the Trading Global Macro Podcast discusses market sentiment. @MWellerFX and I touch on sentiment surveys, market-based positioning and looser measures (eg headlines, search trends) - and how to integrate it into your market analysis: https://t.co/B06D4S71N8
SB 79: Infill Housing Near Transit, A Missed Environmental Victory
SB 79, which legalized hundreds of thousands of new infill homes within walking distance of transit, is perhaps the biggest environmental win of a generation, yet the old guard of environmentalism can't even recognize it as such.
Balancing Rates Drives Predictable Credit Cycles
In order to have successful capital markets, you see the same things happen again and again. Since one man’s debts are another man’s assets, you have to keep interest rates not so high that they crush the debtor, without having them...
Russell 2000 Shifts From Tech to Industrial/Defense
Russell 2000 $IWM top 25 holdings. Shows a meaningful shift from early Q4 last year. Top holdings have rotated from speculative tech optionality toward industrial/defense/capex cyclicals over the past few months. https://t.co/c24tFJQjc5
Oil Reverses Upward, Signals Heightened Iran Tensions
$USO Daily. Strong upside reversal in crude oil today, off 20-day m.a. for ETF. I'm still using oil as a gauge for how serious Iran situation is. https://t.co/w7SKdZNPuo
Fast 7-Year Auction Turn; Feb Extension Increases Friday
It will be a quick turn from today's 7y auction to month end tomorrow. Reminder Feb duration extension will be larger Friday as it always is in a refunding month.
Trade Probabilities, Not Emotions, Using Deviation Bands
Stop guessing. Start trading probabilities. 📈 Price Wave Deviation Bands show you when price is statistically stretched — and when mean reversion or expansion is likely. This is how we trade structure, not emotion. Comment TOOLKIT 🧰 #daytrading #vwap #futures
Trade Smart: Follow Structure, Not Noise
Order Block Model The market moves with structure, not noise. Identify the right Order Block, wait for a clear Break of Structure, and enter with patience. Trade less. Trade smart. #OrderBlock #SmartMoney #PriceAction #ForexTrading #tradingstrategy
Housing Market Snapshot: Latest Home Price Index Insights
Today’s podcast covers the state of the union housing talking points and the recent home price index reports @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #realestate #housing #mortgagerates #economics #chartdaddy
Key Tax Extension, Payment & Unexpected Planning Tips
Tax season can be busy. Here’s what taxpayers should know about filing for extension, making payments and planning for the unexpected. https://t.co/18PsgNFiEr
84% of UK Adults Skip Stocks & Shares ISAs
~84% of UK adults don’t invest through a Stocks & Shares ISA 🇬🇧 Here’s my take on why that’s a problem:
Data Centers Push Power Use, Threaten Residential Rate Backlash
U.S. data centres seek to avert power price battle with voters After stagnating for more than a decade, U.S. electricity consumption has surged to a record high, driven primarily by growing demand from data centres handling artificial intelligence and other applications. But...
NVDA Plummets Quickly, Prompting Rapid Position Adjustment
$nvda failed fast. At lead u had $193.50 to use to adjust as it hit $184.58 pretty fast. https://t.co/YM6ciJGW9t
Build a Personal Cash Cushion, Not Just Business Equity
How much of your net worth is your business? Knot in your stomach? Keep reading. Roman Khan (@RomanEcom) spoke at one of our eComFuel events a few years ago. If you ever get the chance to meet Roman in person, do...
When Grief Strikes: Unseen Financial Fallout
My February article is LIVE with @selfmagazine. As a monthly contributor, I share a new piece each month. We talk about budgeting. We talk about investing. We talk about building wealth. We don’t talk enough about what happens when life interrupts all of...
Home Prices Need Multi‑Metric View, Not Just Median
What are home prices doing? Here’s a look at some traditional price metrics and a few price indexes. I think it’s important in today’s market to look beyond just the median and average. https://t.co/flulXSqx4R
Good Setups Need Market Context; Size and Manage Risk
A technical setup is only as good as the market environment it lives in. Position sizing and risk management are tools to make up for the uncertainty.
High‑Earners Need Clear Solo 401k & Roth Strategy
Working with an anesthesiologist who made ~$400k in 1099 income in 2025. Expects a similar income in 2026. Lives in Tennesee. Files single. He's received all sorts of conflicting opinions from CPAs on SEP IRAs, solo 401ks, S corp, no...
VIX Holds Above $20, Market Still Unsettled
VIX rejecting $20 and market curling a bit Not out of the woods yet need to fade back down under $19
UBS Predicts Private Credit Defaults Surpass 2008 Crisis Level
UBS's worst-case default rate for private credit is 15%. Up from 13% a month ago. For context, the 2008 leveraged loan default rate peaked at 10.8%. UBS is now modeling a scenario worse than the financial crisis for private credit. And they...
From 54% Analyst Returns to World's Largest Hedge Fund
This top II-ranked PC sell-side analyst made +54% per year from 1995–1999 running $15B … then founded a hedge fund that briefly became the largest in the world.
Invest with Fundamentals, Patience, Not Market Noise
Warren Buffett on wealth building: focus on fundamentals, ignore the noise, and evaluate businesses with clarity. Smart investing is about patience, discipline, and knowing what you own. Most investors fail because they chase noise instead of value. 📈
US‑Iran Tensions Push Gold, Oil up; Stocks
Since the US session has opened : Gold : higher Oil : Higher Vix : Higher Indices : Lower Talks between Iranian & US officials are not going that well so far & markets are clearly reacting to that. I am short on SPX (small risk...
ETF Cycle: 2‑3 Day Sell‑off Followed by Buy‑back
we have been seeing the same basic pattern in index ETFs for four months $QQQ $SPY. --after 2-3 days of selling large rug pulls in the other direction --after 2-3 days of buying large rug pulls in the other direction. --it's not happening...
Real Estate Investing Begins With Financing, Not Money
Most people think real estate investing starts with a big bank account. In reality, it starts with understanding financing, deal structure, and tax strategy. Inside my Strategic Tax Savings Blueprint, I walk through how investors approach real estate differently so they can...
Rent Rolls Must Always Include Options and Option Rents
hey guys, I can't do much with a rent roll that doesn't show options and option rents/fmr - including that stuff should be standard 100% of the time
Light, High‑obsolescence Assets Lead Recent Gains
Light asset, high obselence winning ... just over the last 3 sessions though $IGV https://t.co/gijfiDJzkr
Yesterday’s Stop‑outs Rebound as Market Reverses
All the stop-outs from yesterday, while the market was up, are up today when the market is down.
State Reclaims 35% Stake in Ramu Nickel
Wonder if they are planning on buying in or exercising rights....nickel tape is coming... --> Post Courier: "State to take back 35% equity from Ramu Nickel" https://t.co/dJzUin421K #nickel #mining
Bipartisan Bill Misattributes Housing Prices to Investors
The crazy train is getting crowded. We now have a bipartisan Senate bill to block large investors from buying houses. The entire premise is based on misinformation, which I'll lay out here: STATEMENT 1: One co-sponsor, Sen. Hawley, shared his rationale this...
Google Stock Hit Stop
$GOOGL no green to red stop hit all out made some $ on the remainder of the holding. The name goes back on go-to list.
Vol Market Is Ridiculously Easy—Trade While It Lasts
$VIX You have to love this mkt, it's so fricken stupid, it's so easy to trade vol, enjoy it while it lasts https://t.co/39f4OYBDnn
We Shorted Nvidia After Hours – Yesterday’s Call
I posted this yesterday with regard to $NVDA (when we shorted it in the after hours).... @dougkass
Gold Forecast Rises to $6K‑$7K, JPMorgan at $6.3K
On February 3rd, I revised my gold forecast from $6,000 to $6,000-7,000 per ounce. JP Morgan just revised its end-of-year gold price forecast to $6,300 per ounce. BUY GOLD, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/Hi3nzEv5w2
Know the Difference: Choose the Right Fund
If you’re investing and don’t know the difference between: • Index Funds • Mutual Funds • ETFs You might be choosing the wrong one without realizing it. New vid tomorrow is going to breakdown the pros and cons of each so you can pick the...
Semis May Face Bull Trap Above $420
$SMH Daily. Dare I say, the semis are not 4/20 friendly? Possible bull trap above $420 with a steep-on-all-timeframes chart. https://t.co/mTfXGNvwv7
NVDA Drops as Hedge Funds Pre‑bought Strong Quarter
$NVDA down hard because every Hedge Fund on the planet knew the quarter was going to be great and they bought it ahead of that
EBay Cuts 800 Jobs; Laid‑offs Weigh Benefits vs Uber Earnings
Case in point: @eBay announced today it’s cutting 800 jobs, or 6% of its full-time employees. HQ San Jose, CA If you’re one of one of them, do you collect UE benefits from CA or get paid 114% more to drive @Uber...
EOSE Drops 40%; Monitor 2x Long ETF EOSU
EOSE -40% on the day. Keep an eye on the 2x long ETF EOSU, especially if we trend towards -50%…
VITL Plunges 60%, Trades at 10x EV/
$VITL shares down >60% from the August 2025 highs EV down to ~$800 million, it trades at ~10x EV / EBIT
86% of Our Holdings Outperform the S&P 500
CHART OF THE DAY: 86% Of The Names We Own Are Beating SPY https://t.co/aAYyRsV4YB via @hedgeye
Low Volatility and High Beta Lead Monthly Returns
Interesting seeing Low Volatility and High Beta as the best performing factors over the last month. I don't recall seeing these two at the top together very often. https://t.co/K79dkjqxxF
Final EPA RVO Rule Arrives March, Redefines B
1. Reasonably clear that the all-important final EPA rulemaking on 2026-27 RVOs will be released by the end of March and that it will be fundamentally different from the June 2025 proposed rulemaking. Todd Hubbs and I tackle the...
Satya Nadella Pivot Saved Microsoft From $5B Loss
Mason Morfit: "The lion's share of credit has to go to Satya Nadella. To state the obvious, he's just been an incredible CEO... The company was losing ~$5 billion a year on this ill-fated devices venture... Satya very quickly pivoted...