Optimism Returns as Lithium Prices and ESS Boom Questioned
Sunny & cold in Florida. How high will #lithium price go this cycle was the # 1 question. How real is the ESS boom was #2. Nice to see some optimism after a couple of lean years. https://t.co/KLtvzNOlxk
Quant Rockets Adds Structure, Risk Control to Momentum Trading
I’ve been putting in a lot of time building Quant Rockets, a new platform for momentum swing traders. The goal is to bring more structure, risk control, and statistical context to trading the markets' fast-moving leading stocks.
Selling US Chips to China Fuels AI Competition
tough look for Jensen and @DavidSacks and everyone arguing to keeping the China market open to older US chips (myself included) The case against export controls was always: sell to China so theres no market for their own. But they're...
Cautious on Software Rally Until
Green day in software land as the market tries to convince everyone that the worst is behind us. Weekly close over 81 would be a good start, until then i'm not buying it. $IGV https://t.co/TgcAI7S20J
50‑Day MA Misleading in Rangebound SPY Market
There seems to be a lot of talk about the 🔵50 day moving average for $SPY If you recognize the market has been stuck in a range, you expect price to cross above and below the 50, that is a...
IRDM Dominates the Global LEO Satellite Market
$IRDM continuing off that strong base. These guys are the only global low earth orbit (LEO) satellite company. Big name in the space race.
NYSE and S&P 500 AD Lines Hit Record Highs
Both the NYSE Advance-Decline line and the S&P500 Advance-Decline line closed at their highest levels ever on Friday.
Weekly S&P 500 ChartStorm Recap Now Available
ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm blog post https://t.co/BjOhiFzufn Thanks + follow reco to chart sources @MarketCharts @AlphaPicks @TaviCosta @0xkyle__ @SamRo @SubuTrade @SnippetFinance @OptimizedPort @topdowncharts
Lowes and Trade Desk Earnings Preview Highlights Premium Trends
Premium Earnings 2-24-26: Lowes and The Trade Desk, on the blog and here https://t.co/cXdDRXQ7dq $LOW $TTD
Choose a Solo 401k Provider Supporting Mega Backdoor Roth
How I use my solo 401k as a 1-person LLC electing to be taxed as an S corp 1.) Open a solo 401k with a provider that specifically supports the mega backdoor Roth strategy. I use Carry. Fidelity/Schwab/Ascensus do not support...
Leveraged ETFs Fees Rising, Unaffected by Vanguard Effect
Leveraged ETFs: The Last Stronghold of the 1% Fee.. check out how the asset-weighted avg fee of 2x ETFs is actually going UP. Only category totally immune from Vanguard Effect, which explains the $1b in ann revenue and the torrent...
Macro Data Flaws, Bots Favor Bad News, Calendar Strategies
🔬 Research links: the problem with macro data, why bots love bad news, and how to use calendar-based strategies. https://t.co/gUmyuaWsPO chart: https://t.co/9NGWAEXTU1 https://t.co/QufnB6WSHu
U.S. Tops Global Oil, Gas Production Under Biden
What's interesting about this is that the U.S. led the world in oil and natural gas production during the Biden Administration, too.
Smart Money Builds Positions via Liquidity Sweep and Order Block
SMC Swing Setup – Smart Money Concept in Action 📈 This chart shows a complete swing structure using SMC principles. We can clearly see: • Break of Structure (BOS) • Change in market direction • Liquidity sweep (SSL) • 50% Order Block reaction • Strong bullish continuation Price...
Yield Curve Shifts From 2023 Inversion to 2025 Flattening
Chart shows the shape and evolution of the yield curve (3-Month Treasury yields (blue) and 10-Year Treasury yields (red)) from Feb 2023 to Feb 2026. It's been a wild ride from the extreme inversion in 2023 to normalization beginning Q4 2025....
QQQ Likely Stuck $600‑620 Amid Nasdaq Indecision
$QQQ Daily. Sideways for 5-6 months and now Nasdaq becoming even more indecisive short-term with pennant forming. $600-$620 rough range https://t.co/EP70gR3L5H
Parana's Second Corn Planting Lags Year‑ago, Barely Above Five‑year Average
🇧🇷Second corn was 45% planted in Parana, Brazil as of Monday, well behind the year-ago pace of 64%. It reads above the five-year average for the date, but the five-year includes the dreadfully slow 2021 & 2023 campaigns. https://t.co/Bv10A7ILhk
Socratic Walk‑Through Reveals Hidden Options and Premium Logic
Today's spaced repetition is a socratic walk-thru of a situation where you could spot a hidden option AND also realize when something that looks "wrong" makes sense (in this case the premium to NAV)
US Government Fails to Push Firms Toward Supply‑Chain Security
Great story in the New York Times highlighting the difficulties that the US government has faced in getting the world's most profitable companies to take supply chain security seriously, and reduce their exposure to a crisis in the Taiwan straights 1/...
Growth-Value Pullback Persists Amid Long-Term Uptrend
i've been pointing out the various moving average changes on a variety of time frames with value $IVE vs. growth $VUG... all said, this 20+ year chart still looks like a growth vs. value pullback in the context of an uptrend......
2‑Year Auctions Shine During Nasty Treasury Roll Week
2y auctions during roll week are usually more interesting esp when TU (ZT) roll is this nasty
Mag 7 Forward P/S Ratio Returns to 2021 Peak
Mag 7 forward price/sales ratio now back to the 2021 peak of ~7.1. * 2013–2020 average ≈ ~3.8–4.2x * Including bubble years (2020–2021 + 2024–2025) average ≈ ~4.5x https://t.co/AfvDJpv0iW
Europe Must Block Chinese‑Made Cars From Flooding Market
Good points from Thorsten Brenner -- The "car bosses" are tempted to use their Chinese factories to supply the European market. Deindustrializing Europe isn't their concern. European policy makers need a policy framework that makes this impossible...
Investing Strategies Aligned with the Big Cycle
Last week, I shared a chapter from my 2021 book Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order that details the classic signs to watch for as the world geopolitical order breaks down in a classic progression of events that I call...
Weekly Sector Ratio Grids Reveal Top GIC Performers
a weekly glance at my @Optuma sector ratio grids which compare the performance of each of the 11 GICs sectors against the others... #SectorWatch left: 3-month % change right: 1-month % change https://t.co/JSBqVZnPwL
Pullbacks Signal Buying Chance Before 5% S&P Drop
“Markets are at a tactical–fundamental crossroads. Historically these conflicting signals precede >5% S&P 500 drawdowns. Pullbacks are opportunities to add thematic exposure. A clearer equity “index” upturn should follow once policy catalysts materialise lower mortgage rates via falling UST yields,...
Build a Mini Hedge Fund Using Python Algorithms
How to create your own "mini" hedge fund with algorithmic trading and Python A thread 🧵
Spotting the Three Hottest U.S. Sectors Now
every week, i have a bunch of different routine components to get to our "focus" sectors... here's an @Optuma U.S. sector bubble... #INsyncFocus guess which three they are? x-axis: 12-month % change y-axis: 3-month % change https://t.co/2cVEFnhGt8
Long‑horizon Investing Can Generate Its Own Alpha
For decades, long-term investing has been treated as a vague virtue rather than a distinct source of returns. Turns out long-horizon thinking may actually translate into its own source of alpha. by @ebasilico https://t.co/wIUJpxYujR https://t.co/d3aF2IAeAT
Consistency Beats Volatility: Stick to Your Trading Plan
Stay consistent — because the market will test you every day. Sticking to your levels, your stops, and your process isn't just good practice on the easy days. It's what separates the traders who survive the volatile stretches from the...
Spring Accelerates Sales: Days on Market Drop
Seeing spring vibes in the stats as expected. It’s taking less time to sell. Here’s a preliminary look at days on market. The dotted line for March is based on pending contracts in February.
Spring Slashes Home Sale Times, Days on Market Drop
Seeing spring vibes in the stats as expected. It’s taking less time to sell. Here’s a preliminary look at days on market. The dotted line for March is based on pending contracts in February. https://t.co/Jqac1DVmAr
Memory Chip Prices Surge 50% in Two Weeks
Wow, a respondent to the Dallas Fed's Service Sector report said that the prices they're paying for memory chips have jumped 50% in the last two weeks https://t.co/RdULT0epp4
NVIDIA's Guidance Tomorrow Could Validate Six Months' Patience
🔴 NVIDIA EARNINGS EVE — Feb 24, 2026 $NVDA reports Q4 FY2026 tomorrow after close. The stock at ~$190 has been locked in a $170–$195 range for 6 months despite delivering record quarters every time. Tomorrow, one number changes everything —...
Industrial Sector Hits 30‑year Valuation Peak Amid Optimism
S&P 500 Industrials’ forward P/E, at 26.5X, matches sector P/E in 2021, when earnings were impaired by the pandemic, and at 1.24X the index, is higher than at any point in the last 30 years. EV/Forward EBITDA, Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book...
Honesty Required: Share Full Numbers for Real Help
Some calls are tough. You can’t help someone if they’re not willing to be open and honest about the numbers and their situation. If you want real answers and real help, you’ve got to bring the whole story to the...
Boomers Command 45% Spending, 74% Wealth—Shaping Markets
Americans 55 & older now control: 45% of consumer spending 74% of the wealth What does this mean for the next generation, the housing market or the stock market? Some thoughts: https://t.co/tnQSK0khDB https://t.co/7BBPkFGnml
Trading Demands Discipline: Our Proven Process
A long time coming, #trading isnt easy. But it requires a process and discipline. This is ours.
SPY Holds $
$spy morning glance as $680 range support helps again while we get a few RDR tactical buys in broken areas for cash flow https://t.co/avz7fuVMj0
Redirect Chinese Savings to Gold to Preserve USD Dominance
“The goal is to keep the USD as the world's transaction rail without agreeing to absorb unlimited foreign savings into USTs” Exactly. Separating from China & re-shoring requires redirecting Chinese surpluses into a neutral reserve asset (gold)…and that requires 5-figure...
SNDK Holds 10‑EMA, Pauses Amid Wild Estimates
$SNDK not doing anything wrong, pausing under the pivot holding the 10ema for now Those EPS & Rev estimates are crazy. Nice fund ownership trend https://t.co/Xo7NoLx7TN
Federal Deficit Swells to Historic 8% of GDP
US Federal Budget Deficit as a % of GDP... 1950s: -0.4% 1960s: -0.7% 1970s: -1.9% 1980s: -3.8% 1990s: -2.1% 2000s: -2.3% 2010s: -4.8% 2020s: -8.3% https://t.co/W7GwqCkcBx
Leverage Could Shift Infrastructure Leadership Amid Stable Rates
Infrastructure may be the most crowded “safe” trade in markets. Consensus says utilities lag in a growth cycle. Leverage flips that narrative. If rates stabilize, leadership may rotate where few are looking. Read: https://t.co/GYU4HseCXx
Rare 240‑Unit West Palm Beach Deal Under $300K/Unit
Offers Due March 4: Rare, (240-unit) Surface-Parked Multifamily Offering, 7min from Downtown West Palm Beach - Asking less than $300k/door (built in 2019) with a 3.91% Fixed Rate Assumable Loan
MSTR’s Upcoming SPX Addition Ignored by Pumpers
$MSTR the March SPX additions and subtractions are less than a month away and the announcement 10 or 17 days away. Why aren't any of the pumpers discussing the potential for addition? Have you given up?
Shorted XLF at VWAP, Missed Breakout Bias
Green or red, $XLF short played to vwap. have to give it more. Bias from last night was WANTING it to breakout. Not good enough https://t.co/H0Yj1St5cg
Unpredictable Trades, Not Routine Patterns, Drive Outperformance
“…its limits may be more revealing than its success. The trades the system failed to anticipate — roughly 29% — were, on average, more closely associated with outperformance. In other words, the activity that falls outside routine, detectable investment patterns...
Spot Uptrends and Downtrends to Grasp Market Context
learn to spot uptrends and learn to spot downtrends... whether you want to invest (or not) in them isn't even necessarily relevant, but context and #marketpulse matters to understand the market and staying #FinanciallyINsync https://t.co/fhnr7JcEKh
Mini Repair Sparks Three Consecutive Up Bars
Mini Repair. (Note, SPs had three consecutive bars UP in the first 30 minutes...) https://t.co/jQfzM4XChT
Home Depot Stuck in $350‑$400 Range Since 2021
$HD Quarterly. Home Depot up a bit after earnings. Long-term chart shows pressure building both ways, stuck in 50-point range, $350-$400. Overall sideways since 2021. https://t.co/6wVM43PMBr