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Every morning
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Tuesday recap
Mortgage rates dip to 6.22% as 30‑year fixed falls a quarter point
The national 30‑year fixed mortgage rate slipped to 6.22%, marking a quarter‑point decline since last weekend. The 15‑year fixed rate eased to 5.72% and refinance rates averaged 6.43% for a 30‑year loan. Industry forecasts diverge, with the Mortgage Bankers Association seeing rates near 6.30% through 2026.
Also developing:
In this episode, veteran‑turned‑CRE professional Will Curtis shares how his Army experience and a pivotal financial‑specialist presentation sparked his transition into commercial real estate, leading him to specialize in office and industrial assets across Texas. He emphasizes the importance of disciplined leverage management, drawing parallels between military maintenance routines and property management, and credits his early pursuit of CPM and CCIM designations for accelerating his career into acquisitions and asset management. Curtis also discusses his mission to help fellow veterans enter the industry through his Vets in Real Estate podcast and community, highlighting mentorship and structured education as key success factors.
New analysis by the Daily Telegraph reveals that 18% of UK homes sold for over £1 million changed hands at a loss in 2024, with the figure climbing above 25% in the final quarter of the year. Adjusted for inflation, the...
What the institutional homebuying ban actually does, according to ResiClub’s reading of the bipartisan Senate housing bill Me + @MalasMeghan's latest ResiClub PRO report: https://t.co/GIci6e5eqY
Sydney’s housing market is poised for a steep correction, with SQM Research now projecting up to a 6% price decline by 2026, while Melbourne may see a 4% drop. Recent data show zero growth in Sydney and a 0.1% dip...
Existing home sales rose 1.7% in February, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.09 million units, surpassing the NAR forecast of 3.89 million. The rebound follows a 5.9% drop in January and coincides with mortgage rates slipping to 6.05%, the lowest...
The Bank of England reports UK residential mortgage stock reached a record £1.734 trn in Q4 2025, up 0.8% from the previous quarter and 3% year‑on‑year. New mortgage advances slipped 1.3% to £79.4 bn and commitments fell 11.9%, indicating a slowdown in...
UK renters are experiencing the weakest competition for homes in six years, as Zoopla’s Rental Market Report shows demand down 14% and supply up 11% over the past year. The average number of enquiries per listing fell to 4.8, and...
The UK property‑management industry is set to approach £38 bn in revenue by 2026, according to Rushbrook & Rathbone research. After a 1.7 % dip in 2024, the sector rebounded with a 4.1 % gain in 2025, marking a decade‑long growth of roughly...
Supply of Single-Family Homes Surges to Highest for February in 9 Years, Demand Stuck in the Deepfreeze. Condo sales plunged to a record low shared with two other months https://t.co/U3vgbxThRe https://t.co/3Dk5D9QugD
The AFME seminar in London underscored that resilient borrowers and chronic housing shortages are reshaping the EU mortgage market. Even as central banks keep rates elevated, default rates remain low, bolstering strong performance of UK residential mortgage‑backed securities (RMBS). Refinancing...
Malaysia’s housing market remains “seriously unaffordable,” with median home prices in Kuala Lumpur climbing 7% to RM560,000 in 2025 and the house‑price‑to‑income ratio staying above the World Bank’s affordability threshold of three. First‑time buyers like Nur Syarah Alya, earning RM3,900 a...
Institutional landlord AMH says some Florida homebuilders are buying out their tenants leases "Some of the builders in our Florida markets got pretty aggressive, and we're willing to buy out some of our leases for our residents who were...
Government loan performance issues have tightened underwriting, while jumbo credit availability rose 2.9% in the past month, driven by non‑QM loan growth. In contrast, FHA‑backed loan availability slipped 0.8% as delinquencies topped 11%. The Mortgage Credit Availability Index edged up...
Newrez introduced TitlePass, a title‑insurance waiver for qualified rate‑and‑term refinances in 18 states, promising up to $2,200 savings for borrowers. Pennymac’s third‑party origination arm launched a non‑QM menu featuring debt‑service‑coverage‑ratio, bank‑statement, and asset‑qualifier loans aimed at entrepreneurs and retirees. Rate’s...
U.S. homebuilders face a tough 2026 backdrop marked by strained affordability, rising land and material costs, and cautious buyer sentiment despite underlying demand. Builders are leaning on mortgage buydown incentives and selective land acquisitions to sustain sales, while technology adoption...
The PwC‑ULI Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2026 report finds that, despite geopolitical volatility, real‑estate fundamentals are strengthening and capital availability is rising worldwide. Investors are prioritizing sector and country diversification, with office transactions up 18% to $195.8 billion and data...
Durham, North Carolina, approved a $95 million affordable‑housing bond in 2019, supplemented by $65 million in federal and local funds. The program has delivered 1,668 new rental units and preserved 888 existing homes, exceeding its original targets, and has housed over 2,030...
Digital Realty Trust posted 2025 Core FFO of $7.39 per share, delivering a roughly 34% dividend buffer against its $4.88 payout. The REIT maintains a 4.9× leverage ratio and BBB ratings from S&P, Moody’s and Fitch, keeping credit risk low....
Existing home sales in the United States posted a modest 1.7% increase in February, marking the first uptick after a sharp decline the previous month. The rise caught many economists off‑guard, as most forecasts anticipated a continued slide. While the...
NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.09 million SAAR in February Median House Prices Increased 0.3% Year-over-Year https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existing-home-sales-increased-836
Single‑family acquisition, development and construction (AD&C) loan stock slipped 1.5% in Q4 2025, reaching $456.3 billion despite two Fed rate cuts. While overall AD&C volume fell, 1‑4‑family residential construction loans rose 1.7% year‑over‑year, marking a second consecutive YoY gain. Nonaccrual and...
Morningstar DBRS assigned a stable A rating to the $10.8 million mortgage loan for 516 Northwestern Associates, secured by a 135,324‑sq‑ft office‑lab‑classroom building on Purdue University’s West Lafayette campus. The loan carries a 4.14% interest rate, matures in November 2039, and...
Morningstar DBRS assigned an A (low) rating with a Stable trend to a 4.14% mortgage loan due July 1, 2038, financing Miracle Mile Properties' Glenwood Apartments in Reseda, California. The 237‑unit, garden‑style property is valued at $12.4 million, yielding a loan‑to‑value...
Hounslow Council unveiled the Golden Mile London regeneration programme, a 15‑year, £7.5 billion initiative. The plan calls for 14,000 new homes and aims to generate 25,000 jobs in creative, digital and technology sectors along the 4 km stretch between Heathrow and central...
Toronto’s rental market continued its decline in February, with average asking rents slipping to $2,030 for the 17th month in a row, a trend analysts attribute to broader affordability constraints beyond simple supply‑and‑demand dynamics. Meanwhile, Premier Doug Ford is weighing...
Rents In Canada Falling For 17 Straight Months: A Good News Bad News Story Let's be really clear on this: in 2023 - 2024 Rents in many Canadian cities were insanely high This constant drop in Rents was so badly needed BTW: Rents...
Joined @SchwabNetwork to discuss the spring housing outlook. Affordability is improving, rates are lower than a year ago, and pent-up demand is real. But a low-hire, low-fire labor market and geopolitical uncertainty keep the outlook fragile. I'm still cautiously optimistic.
A Savills survey of European real‑estate investors shows purpose‑built student accommodation (PBSA) remains the most favoured asset class, outpacing other sectors. While PBSA holds the top spot, allocations to single‑family rentals, co‑living, senior living and care homes are rising. The...
Not a shocker to see the median sales price tick up in February. This was expected. Happens almost every single year. Remember, the median isn't a perfect metric to gauge price change (there is no perfect metric). Lots of stats...
The housing market is hitting stagflation. Jobs are cooling, but the unauthorized war in Iran is keeping oil prices and rates high. Sellers are losing patience and re-listings are at a decade high, giving buyers more leverage. https://t.co/tK43N2ajFT
Fitch Ratings warned that UAE homebuilders will shift focus to cash conservation after the regional conflict, as property viewings have already declined. The agency noted that pre‑sale escrow accounts provide short‑term stability for projects already under construction, but future developments...
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today: 6.09% Same day last year: 6.72% -------------------- 10-year Treasury yield: 4.12% Spread today: 197 bps
U.S. existing home sales total 257,000 in February 2026 Since 2000, February has averaged 310,000 U.S. existing home sales Resale turnover remains constrained Table via @ResidentialClub Data via @nardotrealtor https://t.co/4g2dE9eSU5
RPD revisits Simon Property Group after the REIT’s share price climbed from about $160 to near $200, defying his earlier skepticism about forward earnings growth. He highlights SPG’s strong credit profile—an A‑ rating, $9.1 billion in liquidity against $35 billion of debt,...
February home sales see small rebound, but supply growth is 'sluggish' https://t.co/lU7RWyXYsP @nardotrealtor #realestate #realestateinvesting #housing
1.29 million total inventory in 2026 4,000,000 in 2007 It's 2026, the 4th year after the big sales crash in 2022. Stop dancing with a ghost 🫡
The Liverpool City Region has unveiled a £2 bn Investment Fund designed to accelerate housing construction, office and lab development, and transport upgrades. The fund aggregates existing and new public capital to support a £2 bn pipeline of up to 64,000 homes...
So we can move along from this 2-month period Last month's report was a holiday softness; the rebound should be discounted as well, and just forget these last two months and follow the trend that has been since mid-June
Just remember, this is the final existing home sales report that has some of the snow variable in it; our forward-looking data looks fine for the last 3 weeks https://t.co/JtXKhBSDDM
Florida’s commercial‑property‑assessed‑clean‑energy (C‑PACE) program has shifted from a niche financing tool to a core capital solution for hotel owners. Legislative changes, notably Senate Bill 770, broadened eligible resiliency upgrades, and the state eliminated the 3.5‑year lookback, allowing retroactive financing on...
What many YIMBYs miss about the Austin housing supply miracle: Investors were willing to capitalize that construction, in part, bc, except in cases of *actual* emergency, Texas bans rent control at the state level. https://t.co/rl9bpQ94Cx
The On The Market podcast highlighted how the emerging Iran‑Russia conflict is injecting fresh uncertainty into the U.S. housing market, prompting buyers and sellers to pause amid rising oil prices and potential rate hikes. Transaction volume has slipped to under...
Hines and Burstone have announced a pan‑European joint venture focused on light‑industrial properties. The partnership is seeded with six existing assets located in Germany and the Netherlands. The new entity aims to capitalize on the accelerating demand for logistics and...
Wall Street wiped 12‑14% off the market caps of CBRE, JLL and Cushman & Wakefield after analysts warned that high‑fee, labor‑intensive CRE models are vulnerable to AI disruption. At the same time, Yardi’s research with AREF found only 45% of...
The 2026 Hotel Chain Development Pipelines report from W Hospitality Group shows a record 123,846 rooms across 675 hotels and resorts, an 18.6% year‑on‑year increase. Egypt dominates the continent with 45,984 rooms in 185 properties, accounting for over one‑third of...
Persimmon warned that the escalating conflict with Iran could erode UK home‑buyer confidence, adding pressure to an already fragile mortgage market. The builder still expects to complete 12,000‑12,500 homes in 2026, a modest rise on 2025, and reported a 9%...
Luxury co‑ops on Manhattan’s Upper East Side saw a record‑breaking week, with 15 units priced above $4 million sold—the most in five years. Olshan Realty reported 43 contracts for properties over $4 million between March 2‑8, totaling $421.5 million, up from 32 deals the...
Hilco has announced its entry into the medium‑term commercial real‑estate lending market, targeting loans with maturities of three to five years. The move is designed to capture growing investor demand for longer‑duration property financing that bridges the gap between short‑term...
Ardian and the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) have signed an agreement to launch a dedicated real‑estate secondaries platform. The initiative arrives as the global real‑estate secondaries market recorded a record $20 billion in transaction volume for 2025. The platform will...
Australia’s federal budget foresees $11.99 billion annually lost to negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount, with a projected $193.9 billion revenue shortfall over the next decade if unchanged. In 2025 investors accounted for 39 percent of new housing loan commitments—almost double...
