Battery Prices Keep Dropping, Reshaping Portfolio Strategies
🆓 Tuesday links: finding great ideas, overdiversifying your portfolio, and declining battery prices. https://t.co/QGbSHqpwzA chart: https://t.co/X0xCKyP5KB https://t.co/vgLndjI4h8
Bumble Rebounds 50% to Rational 30% FCF Yield
Bumble up 50% from the lows. Turns out Mr. Market got a little extreme dumping $BMBL at a >40% free cash flow yield. Now priced at a fully rational ~30% FCF yield.
Datacenter Power Scarcity Fuels Long Positions in CIFR, WULF
Energy and capacity are both still highly constrained. I continue to be long $CIFR and $WULF as I accessible datacenter power will to be in short supply. 💪🏻🚀
Investors Should Judge CEOs by Their Future Reputation
Buffett met Gianni Agnelli once. One line changed how he thought about people: "When you get old, you've got the reputation you deserve." Here's what that means for investors: 1️⃣ The market is short-term forgiving, long-term honest. 2️⃣ Management track records are lagging indicators...
Quantum Market Set to 10x by 2035, Stocks Cheap
McKinsey estimates quantum computing market to grow ~10x by 2035 Quantum computing stocks were crushed during the recent selloff and the risk/reward now looks good. https://t.co/Bgr7oW49kB
Capstone Poised for Multi‑bagger as Growth Accelerates
I think it might soon be $CGEH time again. Def no chartist here, but I like what I'm seeing. Results are backing the story. Continued good revenue and profitability growth. Capstone is getting more and more traction. This will feed momentum...
Measuring How Long Competitive Advantages Last
We have a new report out today on the concept of "competitive advantage period." A company’s anticipated value creation is measured by how much its return on invested capital (ROIC) exceeds its cost of capital as well as how long...
Cloudflare's Edge Network Powers Essential AI Infrastructure
Why I’m Bullish on Cloudflare $NET Cloudflare leverages its expansive global network to become critical infrastructure for emerging AI workloads — and it is the kind of infrastructure without which AI cannot function. Cloudflare operates a distributed network that delivers security, networking,...
Asset Types
It's an honor to contribute to our team's annual survey of diversification and correlations. Here, @AmyCArnott1 calls out which asset types bring something to the diversification party and which don't deliver. Her piece includes a link to the full paper....
Investing in a 50%+ CAGR Hyper‑Growth Stock
🚨A new Trading Alert is now live📈 We've just invested in a hyper-growth business (its stock was down ~70% from its all-time high). Revenue is projected to grow at 50%+ CAGR over the next few years. Subscribers: Login 👇https://t.co/YKr5pL7G2c
Best Returns Follow Market Lows, Invest Through Fear
Every time the market feels the worst, it’s the beginning of something better. Since 1949, the S&P 500 has returned +38% on average in the year after bear market lows. The hardest time to invest is when the biggest opportunities appear. https://t.co/EQJa1ErbAB
Herbalife Issues $800M Notes, Boosts Credit Outlook
Herbalife plans $800M 2033 secured notes to refinance costlier debt and extend maturities. 78% gross margin, $253M FCF, S&P upgrade support credit. Risk: leverage. Trade accumulate on pullbacks. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Higher EPS Won’t Offset Rising Rates and Inflation
@ferrotv @lisaabramowicz1 @tomkeene @business Regarding your bullish guest (Lisa)who says the EPS outlook has improved so stocks are inexpensive: * The small business confidence is lowest since April 2025. * Global bond yields have risen. The Fed is no longer likely to...
AI‑powered Threats Boost CrowdStrike’s Growth Prospects
Why I’m Bullish on CrowdStrike $CRWD The increasing use of AI in cyberattacks, along with the rapid advancement of more powerful AI models, is driving both the volume and complexity of cyber threats — making cybersecurity more critical than ever. CrowdStrike Falcon...
SK Hynix Appears Massively Undervalued, Poised for 50
SK Hynix (@SKhynix) currently has an enterprise value around $486 billion… over the next three years I believe there’s a 60-70% chance they generate more than $486 billion of net income. With the stock trading at less than 3.5x NTM...
Tonies Defies Odds with Strong Revenue and Margin Growth
Tonies $TNIE remains such a weird company. After listing I honestly never thought they'd still be doing this well. Euro SPAC, weird product, hype potential, etc. Ok the share price is barely back at 10, but operationally performance has been quite decent: >...
Brazil Stocks Enter Secular Bull, Not Just Rally
Brazilian equities near record inflows. The real at its strongest level in two years. First I was told this wasn’t possible. Now I’ll hear it’s not sustainable. Nothing moves in a straight line, but don’t confuse a bear market rally with the start of...
Big Tech Valuations
Big Tech NTM PE near COVID-crash + '22 bear mkt lows The risk/reward is favourable. AI + software stocks are like coiled springs https://t.co/zDyYRJ2Sdv
SaaS Premiums: Palantir Leads, Momentum vs Value
Most expensive SaaS stocks - where the market is pricing durable growth. Ranked by Forward EV/Sales: $PLTR Palantir | 41.9x $NET Cloudflare | 22.0x $APP AppLovin | 16.6x $CRWD CrowdStrike | 15.5x $FICO Fair Isaac | 9.6x $DDOG Datadog | 9.3x $PANW Palo Alto Networks | 8.2x $FROG JFrog...
Descartes AI Boosts Routes 30%, Still Overvalued
Descartes launches Fleet Data Intelligence with AI agent René; early deployments show up to +30% route density. Strong revenue/gross margins but P/E appears stretched. Trade: buy on pullback. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Royal Gold: Low‑Risk Gold Exposure with Strong Dividend
Royal Gold's 2026 strategy is clear: leverage their streaming model for low-risk exposure to gold. Strong balance sheet, disciplined growth, and a reliable dividend. A premium pick for precious metals exposure. Investing
Half of Microcaps Survive, Few Beat S&P
Always fascinating to see the base rates of microcap success. A multi-part "Hendrik Bessembinder" report on microcaps brewing here.. After 10 years: 51% of microcaps still exist in the dataset 24% returned > 0 9% returned > S&P 500 3% returned 10x or more H/T @RTelford_invest
Institutional Money Quietly Buildup Amid Media Hype
Hey @grok Analyze the last 30 days of unusual options flow and institutional 13F filings. Which stocks, asset class, or theme are big players accumulating while the media is obsessed with headlines?
U.S. Stocks Naturally Trend Up Over the Long Term
The path of least resistance in the U.S. stock market is up long term. 📈 https://t.co/iSglzoKrCN
T‑Mobile US Outshines Deutsche Telekom as Better Buy
Think the parent company is the better buy? Think again. Analysis argues T-Mobile US is now a more attractive investment than its owner, Deutsche Telekom, due to its pure-play on faster U.S. growth. investing
Investing: Markets Don't Return Your Affection, Valuation Matters
"The stocks we buy don't love us back". At the end of our first financial year @CapitalmindMF, I'm interviewed by @imNavneetDubey in a summary of our investing approach, how we approach markets, and our view on valuations: https://t.co/DqSkWotEiV
FIIs Misread India: Growth Potential Undermined by Taxes
what this article shows is how wrong the FIIs can be. When they thought India was the only game in town in 2 yrs it was not- now they think other countries are the only game in town so... Reality is...
PROC Shows Strong Cash, Falling P/E, Yet Not
#PROC "ahead of exams". Net Cash up to £4.4m. ShareScope has fwd p/e 17.8 falling to 12.6 and fwd Divvy 4.7%, 2 years out. Seems in good shape after pandemic woes. I don't hold.
PRV Holds Steady, Worth Considering Despite Minor Weaknesses
#PRV in line. Some weakness in Autos bit but small part. Lumpy orders in Aerospace. ShareScope has fwd p/e 16.5 falling to 15.5 and fwd Divvy 1% each of next 2 years. Good business and worth considering. I don't hold.
Intel Poised for Agentic AI Surge, Nvidia Also Benefits
I wrote on $INTC on March 29th as a new idea based on Agentic AI requiring more server microprocessors per gigawatt versus chat-based AI. Though the stock is up over 50% already since then, I think there is more upside...
Timeless Value Investing Beats Every Market Shift
The market changes every decade. The principles don't. New asset classes. New technologies. New narratives. But buying below intrinsic value? Still works. Margin of safety? Still works. Patience? Still works. Ben Graham figured this out in the 1930s. Mr. Market still hasn't gotten...
P/E Drops 18% as EPS Growth Accelerates
Nice charts from Mike Wilson at Morgan Stanley on earnings. P/E multiple down 18% (pretty rare) and EPS growth continues to trend higher. Quite the bullish combo. Thanks @dailychartbook for sharing it in tonight's report. https://t.co/2wvXsU1CWb
Analysts Forecast S&P Earnings Double 30‑Year Average
Wall Street analysts are projecting S&P 500 earnings growth at double the 30-year average. They're more bullish than the bulls. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/F5lhKKAzl8
Four Metrics to Identify Truly Cheap Stocks
Someone on r/stocks asked "what's the best way to tell if a stock is actually cheap?" Quick framework I use: - P/E below sector average (not just "low P/E") - Revenue growing >10% annually - Insiders buying on open market - Debt under 3x EBITDA -...
Exploring Emerging Electrification Opportunities From Personal Experience
This was a fun discussion on what I've been owning for the past few years but the important new electrification story opportunities https://t.co/r9i05c4jwy
ET: High‑Yield Stock with 14% YTD Gain
I listed $ET as one of my top high yield picks heading into 2026. YTD Gain: 14.41% Analyst Upside: 17.6% Dividend Yield: 7% 5 YR Dividend CAGR: 7.69% This one still has upside.
Powerful Malaysian Tycoon Controls Key Assets, Still Unknown
One man controls Malaysia’s rice supply, national car, biggest port operator, and a major gas utility. His company is quietly preparing for a $7 billion listing. Yet, he remains a mystery to the average Malaysian.
Nokia Poised for Growth via Hyperscalers, 800G, Nvidia AI‑RAN
"Analyst Oliver Wong and his team are positive on Nokia $NOK due to hyperscaler-driven growth in optical systems, inflection in pluggable revenues on shift to 800G... a potential advantage in AI-RAN with an Nvidia (NVDA) partnership." https://t.co/rQSQErgiEK
Identify Top SMID-Cap Needing Better Governance
Semi-regular post: what is the highest quality SMID-cap you have come across which would benefit from improved governance/strategy?
KeyBanc Upgrades T‑Mobile to Overweight Ahead of Q1
"Ahead of T-Mobile’s (TMUS) first quarter results, KeyBanc upgrades the telecom company to Overweight from Sector Weight amid expectations for better-than-expected results and an increase in guidance." https://t.co/weFGutHQ8z
Three‑question Checklist Decides Conviction vs Caution
Three questions before I buy anything: Would I pay this price for the assets alone? Do the earnings justify it if growth flatlines? Does the dividend signal management believes the story? One "no" = caution. Three "yeses" = conviction.
Buybacks Drive Returns; High Prices Limit Gains
"Apple wouldn't be where it is today if it weren't for those buybacks. Now, stocks go up if your capital allocation is productive. It's the #1 driver of stock price returns. So if you're buying a stock at too high...
BNY Mellon at $128.76 ATH, Buy Dips Target $140
BNY Mellon hits $128.76 ATH; YTD +67.7%. P/E17.3 PEG0.6 56y div $500m perp. Risk: softer fees, rising costs. Trade: Buy dips $120-125; target $140. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Indonesia Hosts World’s Cheapest Stock Market; US Stays Most Costly
We have a new cheapest stock market in the world...🇮🇩! The most expensive remains the same...🇺🇸 Full list here: https://t.co/CShmcTxzxG
Robinhood’s “Free” Trades Generate $4.5B Revenue
Day 3 of 30: How $HOOD Robinhood actually makes money Spoiler: "free trading" was never free... $4.5B in revenue in 2025. Up 52% Here's who's actually paying 🧵
Upgrade 40% Bond Allocation with Active Defense
The 60/40 portfolio needs an upgrade on the 40 side. Static bond allocations don't position well in credit events. $JOJO adds an active layer of defense. https://t.co/r7U1174Vtd
Netflix Ad Tier Set to Double Revenue, Price Target $700
Netflix's ad-supported tier is crushing it. Analysts now project its ad revenue will DOUBLE to ~$3B this year. Bullish outlook has one firm raising its price target to $700. 📈 Streaming
Merck's $30B Offer Now Exceeds Revolution's Market Cap
Reminder that Merck tried to buy Revolution for $28-$32B (per Jan reporting from FT), vs current market cap after today's great data of $26.5B https://t.co/hoq2P0oiG9
Adobe's Stock Slump Masks Strong Fundamentals and Value
Is $ADBE a falling knife, as AI is disrupting them? Or a misunderstood opportunity? $ADBE -57% 5Y 🔴 -36% YTD 🔴 - Really Strong Margins - Incredible 9.8% BuyBack - $26B ARR - Cheap Valuation - 32% Below Consensus Price Target
Strong Fundamentals, Weak Stock: Valuation Drives Returns
$ADBE Since 2020: 🔴 Stock Price -30% 🟢 Revenues +85% 🟢 EBITDA +91% 🟢 FCF +86% This is a clear example that valuation is everything. You might be right on the business fundamentals, but be wrong on the stock performance. Was $ADBE incredibly overvalued then, or is...