Japan's TMS-007 Shows Promise for Stroke Treatment
@ej23ny @BiotechXGuru @biotech_cash @Ceazar_Black Anyone here look at Japan Biotech? I'm far from an expert, but I think 4891.T (TMS) is worth looking into. Its a nano cap with dilutive equity warrants (and a smallish cash runway) but their main drug TMS-007 (aka JX10) is a novel acute ischemic stroke drug that has lots of promise.
Flat Guidance Crushes Growth Stock Valuations Despite Earnings Beat
What is a "sell on beat" and why does it happen? Look at $SOFI last week. They crushed Q1 revenue estimates. They beat member growth estimates. Stock drops 15%. Markets do not care about what you just did. They care about what you will...
Credit Corp Stock Cheap, EPS Growth, Potential Short Squeeze
$CCP.AX Credit Corp group...investor update steady as she goes...buying at $10-10.5 was easy $$, but still more to play for: https://t.co/vueRwNEVQb - guidance reconfirmed - seq improv in US debt buying - consumer biz steady growth, no change - no comment on incl losses etc -...
S&P 500 Gains Over 1400% Since 2009 Bottom
The S&P 500 has now returned more than 1400% since the March 2009 bottom $SPXTR https://t.co/NLduOwH7Ey
Global Equity Breadth Matters as Much as U.S. Stocks
"Remember that breadth is not just a siloed study of U.S. stocks. Rather, analyzing the expanse of global equities rising or declining is crucial." @stockcharts $VGK $SPY https://t.co/1CtnwNLYhI https://t.co/K3HZsKjk0u
Puma's Low Valuation Sparks Global Demand
I like the set-up in Puma here. Insides are buying. Int'l Google search queries are rising. 0.88x revenues is a dramatic discount to even Nike. And you'd think that Anta Sports should be able to push the brand domestically within...
Supply Constraints Decide Winners in Compute Boom
You’d think no one would be surprised we can’t make enough chips. Three earnings prints in 48 hours just confirmed the same story that compute demand has lapped supply, and capacity is the binding constraint across silicon, optics, and IP....
65 Companies That Ate Their Own Shares
"Pay close attention to the cannibals – the businesses that are eating themselves by buying back their stock" -Charlie Munger Here are 65 Stocks that have bought back 10%+ of their outstanding shares in the last decade:
APP Appears 50% Undervalued with Explosive Growth
I think $APP does at least 56% revenue growth in 2026 and at least 42% revenue growth in 2027... which gets them to $12B+ revenues in 2027... assuming 84% ebitda margins... $APP now trading at less than 16x 2027 ev/ebitda...
Tesla’s Trillion‑dollar Valuation Already Bets on Robotaxis
In the last four quarters, Tesla produced $3.86 billion in profit. The market cap of the company is $1.5 trillion. It’s hard to argue the market isn’t already giving Tesla significant credit for Robotaxi progress. As the service continues to...
Adjusted Q1 S&P 500 Earnings Growth Near 16%
This is great stuff from Goldman's Ben Snider. If you adjust for Amazon and Alphabet's investment gains, Q1 S&P 500 earnings growth is closer to 16%. https://t.co/1TY62XR8gF
Miners Undervalued; Operating Leverage Drives Upside
Early breakout in the miners. Amazes me how the miners-to-gold ratio still sits at historically undervalued levels. This move is likely to accelerate to the upside. Operating leverage in mining companies during a secular cycle is one of the most powerful dynamics in...
AppLovin Q1 Revenue Jumps 59%, Net Income Surges 67%
AppLovin $APP released its Q1 2026 earnings: revenue of $1.842 BN (+59% y/y), Net Income from continuing operations of $1.206 BN (+67% y/y), Q2 revenue guidance of $1.915 BN - $1.945 BN.
Emerging Markets Set to Outpace Nasdaq 100 Gains
As impressive as the Nasdaq 100's charge is as it pushes fresh record highs, there is another asset class that is looking to outperform the market-cap dense/tech oriented index: emerging markets. Here's the EEM ETF overlaid with the EEM-NDQ ratio:...
Power‑rich Bitzerodotcom Draws Investors with Stable Nordic Assets
My investment thesis was that @bitzerodotcom has power and other investors are definitely coming to this theme. They have power contracts at very attractive prices. So a company like @bitzerodotcom that has power, land, permits, and fiber, becomes very attractive...
Data Center Surge Makes Optics a New Bottleneck
$COHR delivered a clean BEAT and RAISE on every line that mattered, and the data center business is now the entire story. Record revenue, expanding margins, accelerating bookings, a structural tailwind from CPO. The stock is selling off post-print due...
Arm's Data Center Royalties Double, Silicon Demand Soars
$ARM delivered a clean BEAT and RAISE on every line that mattered, and the data center business doubled YoY. The story is no longer pure IP licensing. It is now also silicon with AGI, and the silicon business is ramping...
AI-Driven Mac Demand Fuels Growth, Cost Pressures Loom
Prediction: When people start getting cowork and codex rockin on their laptops, these gonna a run to upgrade laptops. Good for Macs I’m FY27. Street is looking for 7% growth. Question is how they’ll handle the increased component costs....
Dutch Bros Posts 8.3% Same‑Store Sales Rise, Boosts Guidance
Dutch Bros same-store sales up 8.3%, including 5.1% transaction growth. Revenues up 31%. Company raises guidance on (checks notes) roughly everything. $BROS
Bumble's Q1 Woes Mask 30% Earnings Yield
I wrote an update on Bumble after Q1. Still a messy setup: users are down, the stock is hated, and the new loan is expensive. But bumble remains highly cash generative and I get to a near 30% owner earnings...
Staying the Course: TMDX’s Long‑Term Thesis Remains Intact
Excellent post (below) on $TMDX, I'll do another detailed post in the next few days however in the meantime I'm doing calls with sell-side analysts and management. Here's what I'll say for now... Today is obviously frustrating for long-term shareholders but I...
Emerging Markets Still Undervalued—Diversify Now
Saw an ad from another firm that said: "Emerging Markets: the train has left the station, but you can still catch it" 10/10. Never too late to diversify. Especially with EM valuations *still* way below US and DM.
Telesat's GEO Business Falls 25%, Loss Triples
Seems like a lot. "Telesat’s Geostationary Orbit (GEO) satellite business declined 25% year-over-year in the first quarter of 2026" Net loss for the quarter was CA$151 million ($111 million) compared to a CA$51 million ($37 million) loss in the prior year, https://t.co/cluTNPsoHJ
Accept Market Returns: Use Total Market Index Funds
The Rolling Stones on investing: "You can't always get what you want But if you try sometime, you'll find You get what you need." We want to outperform, but it's very hard. So, when investing in stocks, at least earn a market return....
Free AMD Price Target Deep Dive – Subscribe Now
👉🏽 You can read my free Deepdive on $AMD here. Make sure to subscribe https://bdinvesting.substack.com/p/amd-price-target-deepdive?r=1fden7&utm_medium=ios&triedRedirect=true
LLMs Likely Mirror Mediocre Funds, Not Market Alpha
I respect the hustle but the concept that an LLM can beat the market, unless very carefully deployed, is, in my opinion, very dubious. Alpha in public markets follows a power law distribution. We see this in multiple dimensions: > 92% of...
SOFI's Strong Business Undervalued Amid Market Melt‑Up
$SOFI has a great business, and I remain convicted that the company's long-term valuation will eventually be appreciated by the market. However, the opportunity cost of owning SOFI right now is becoming massive as it has completely been absent from...
ARM Results Boost Growth and TAM for Agentic CPUs
$ARM results should continue to fuel the fire. Especially the expected order growth and TAM expansion for agentic CPUs. 💪
Insider Buying Needed to Boost Confidence in Constellation
David Poppe on not adding to $CSU "Constellation has always said acquisitions provide higher returns than share repurchase, but senior executives are not rushing to buy either... I have my reasons for believing Constellation's business will prove durable, but I would be...
Direct Indexing Unlocks Massive Tax Loss Harvesting Cheat
Tax loss harvesting is pretty insane I'm up almost 10% for the year simply investing in S&P 500 But because I use a direct indexing strategy instead of buying an ETF, I have 50K in "tax losses" I can use to offset...
Canadian Banks, Tech, and Emerging Markets Lead
a weekly glance at the short, intermediate and long-term S&P 500 $SPX relative trend of the key North American sectors & indices... #SectorWatch those Canadian banks $ZEB, technology $XLK and emerging $EEM market stocks relatively the best... https://t.co/xwje7eIdx3
FTEK's Governance Flaws Make It Prime Activist Target
$FTEK may have somewhat of a governance problem and would be an interesting activist target. Little insider buying and the minimum Board approved bonus structure of $5M in bookings/1M contracts, given a “$70/$100M data center pipeline,” is a joke. And...
High‑valuation Stocks Crumble in Market Corrections
Often, the stocks that you see in the headlines have lofty valuations, making them vulnerable during market corrections. https://t.co/U1r9TiakDy
BWEN Sells Wind Assets, Cash Use Remains Unclear
$BWEN finally selling wind business is what it should have done a long time ago, or at the very least, last year when they disposed of a related asset. Will they burn through $19M in cash from the sale or...
Shopify Poised to Hit Half Amazon's GMV by 2025
"Back in 2017, Shopify’s GMV was only ~10% of Amazon’s estimated GMV. Given the way Shopify is growing, it seems likely that it will be half of Amazon’s GMV by the end of next year." $SHOP $AMZN https://t.co/4vusO6FaET
VDL April: Asset Play Guide and Key Stock Updates
April write-ups on VDL: 1) Guide to asset plays (SOTP, net-nets, liquidations, stub shares, etc.) 2) Nomad Foods $NOMD — management change 3) Gen Digital $GEN — beaten down 4) Middleby $MIDD — spin-off https://t.co/Qxe5wECpiD
Value and Growth Only Matter When Numbers Support Them
Most investors treat "Value" and "Growth" as two different teams. Michael Mauboussin calls this "fuzzy thinking." The truth? Growth AND value only matter if the math backs them up. Here are the key insights from "The Math of Value and Growth"...
Avoid Tilt: Don't Overtrade Losers or Prematurely Sell Winners
We all know about tilt in poker & in markets. We are down & losing money & instead of reining risk in we go the other way to try to get even. We bet more, we bluff, we press losers, we...
Gold Beats S&P Over 1‑10 Year Horizons
think the S&P 500 $SPX has gone up too far and is "overvalued"? remember, gold has a better cumulative return and CAGR on a 1/2/3/4/5 & 10-year time frame as stocks lagged... https://t.co/1Wlno2Mgsx
TMCR’s New Royalty Deal Creates Positive Cash Flow Perpetual
The Koala likes this deal but in particular the option to buy another 1% of the 4% royalty in the 45 days after closing for The Metals Royalty Company $TMCR DRI is one of the least appreciated growth commodities by consensus...
Disney Flags FCC License Renewal Risk in 10‑Q
Disney has updated the "risk factors" section of its 10-Q to include the FCC's move to call in its broadcast licenses for renewal. https://t.co/pUePgeqz9P
Promising 3‑5 Year Opportunities in RDCM, RELY, DRVN
New post: sharing some ideas with attractive 3-5 year outlooks. Lots of interesting opportunities in the current environment. I talk a little about $RDCM, $RELY, $DRVN and a few more. https://t.co/jqC1Yqe8S7
Hyperscalers' Cash Flow to Plunge 70% by 2026
"Wall Street projects hyperscalers’ free cash flow to fall by over 70% from its peak by the end of 2026, even as earnings keep climbing" BCA Research via John Authers, BBG
Dialysis Stock Surges; Deutsche Bank Forecasts Continued Gains
JUST IN: This dialysis stock has performed strongly this year, with Deutsche Bank expecting further gains.
Cal‑Maine Poised for Upside as Egg Prices Dip
Egg prices are in a down-cycle, but market leader Cal-Maine (CALM) might be a buy. Strong balance sheet, low costs, and value-added eggs could fuel the next up-cycle. 💰🥚 EggStocks
ELAN Posts Record Organic Growth and Margin Expansion
$ELAN: best organic Q since becoming public. Beat and raised guide across all key metrics. 10% organic growth 24.5% EBITDA margin, 8% y/y EPS growth and lowered net leverage to 3.5x adj EBITDA. #animalhealth
Target Emerging Stocks with Core Factors for Multi‑Bagger Success
3 things to keep in mind when referencing this quality list we use at @GeoInvesting & @MSmicrocaps to go MultiBagger hunting: -It’s more about finding stocks moving to meet these criteria, more so than finding stocks that already“meet” them. -That being said,...
Fiserv Targets Clover Growth, AI, Margin Expansion in Q1
Fiserv (FI) is ramping up for Q1 2026 earnings. Expect focus on Clover growth, AI integration, and margin expansion. Always worth watching their merchant vs. issuer performance. Fintech
RFX Profit Upgrade Lifts P/E, Cuts Dividend Yield
#RFX upgraded FY profit guidance. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 7.2 RISING to 10.2 and fwd Divvy 6% FALLING to 4.2% BEFORE 9% jump today. Highly dependent on Gold Price. I don't hold.
RSW Turns Around: Lower P/E, Higher Dividend
Good Update from #RSW and they seem to have really turned the business around. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 29.9 falling to 27.1 and fwd Divvy 1.7% rising to 1.9%; that's a high rating so it will need to keep delivering...