Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.
The Nasdaq‑linked QQQ index dropped 2% as 10‑year Treasury yields neared 4.5% and oil prices rose 5%, tightening the macro backdrop for tech investors. Meta fell 7% after a July verdict holding it and Google liable for addictive product designs, raising the specter of widespread litigation and settlement costs. Reddit slid 11% amid weaker growth data and travel‑ad pressure, while the TMT momentum index recorded an 8% plunge, its worst day in years, as semiconductor sub‑sectors fell double‑digit percentages.
SPX is sitting 167 points below the gamma flip level. When price is below the flip, dealers are short gamma. They throttle vol moves instead of suppressing them. Swings get bigger in both directions. Bulls need a reclaim of 6,681 to get...
Mexico’s equity market, tracked by the iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (EWW), has staged a dramatic rebound after a 34% slump in 2024, delivering a 50% rally in 2025 and breaking out above the $71 resistance level in early 2026. The...
I don't use any indicators but since I been put on to this fib tool.. game changer 🔥
Systematic funds haven't panic sold yet. CTA and vol-control models are sitting at neutral positioning right now. That means they still have long exposure to unwind. If this downtrend continues, these models will keep selling mechanically. No capitulation signal. Just more rules-based selling still...
Curtiss‑Wright posted record fiscal‑year results, with revenue climbing 12% to $3.5 billion and free cash flow surging to $554 million, a 111% conversion rate. Defense electronics sales rose 17% and naval power revenue jumped 21%, while the company secured a $400 million Boeing...
Hubbell (HUBB) surged about 55% year‑to‑date, outpacing roughly 86% of stocks, as its modular electrical solutions helped data‑center infrastructures operate up to 30% faster. The company beat fourth‑quarter earnings and sales estimates, posting 9% organic sales growth and a 15%...
Sure is tempting to hold Puts down to $645 on $SPY, but I would be cautious of chop around $650. Especially as momentum slows into lunch. I would expect a few tests of $650 before anything gives...
I lost 5K on a “perfect” VWAP setup. Twice. Long → stopped Flip short → stopped again Why? Because I ignored context. ❌ Range day… trading like trend day = death by chop. This is where most traders get wrecked. Comment “CONTEXT” and I’ll show you how to...
United Airlines (UAL) stock reversed lower on Wednesday after a brief rally sparked by higher revenue projections. The pullback has prompted a recommendation for a bear call spread that bets the price will stay below $100 through the April 17 expiration....
A 23-page research paper reveals the number 1 method Hedge Funds use to beat the market: Time Series Momentum This is how: 🧵
The article outlines a structured weekly stock‑pick strategy that guides investors through disciplined market analysis, sector evaluation, and technical indicators. By reviewing financial statements, price movements, earnings, and macro data on a seven‑day cycle, analysts can spot short‑term momentum and...
📊 GOLD Update 🪙 🎯 Gold has reached our predicted level. Now we will wait for Lower Time Frame confirmation: 🔄 Market Structure Shift (MSS) ⚡ Reaction from the zone Once we get the proper confirmation, we will share the trade setup with you. 📉📈
Technically, both the cap-weighted and equal-weighted indices remain in their cyclical bull markets, which started some 41 months ago in October 2022. We still have higher highs and higher lows, which are the very definition of an uptrend. Both indices...
Invesco (IVZ) is positioned to benefit from the recent Janus Henderson acquisition wave, as the deal underscores a broader undervaluation in the asset‑management sector. The firm’s $2.26 trillion AUM and a solid 21‑cent quarterly dividend contrast with a market price that...
📺 $AMD LOOKS STRONG & CAN MEMORY STOCKS LEAD? $AMD is showing relative strength with strong closes and volume, making it one of the few tradable names in a weak tape. Memory stocks are the key group to watch, with names like...
$BATL on watch for today, it's trying to form a lower high as we speak, so I'll need to see the pivot over this local high (6.9 range) in line with VWAP support for the curl through pm highs. Range to...
Rumors that Elon Musk's SpaceX will file an IPO prospectus this week ignited buying across space‑linked equities, lifting EchoStar 5%, Rocket Lab 3% and AST SpaceMobile 3%. Analysts estimate the offering could raise more than $75 billion at a valuation above...
Corcept Therapeutics saw its shares climb almost 20% after the U.S. FDA approved its lead drug Lifyorli in combination with nab‑paclitaxel for platinum‑resistant ovarian, fallopian tube and primary peritoneal cancer. The approval, based on a 381‑patient trial, validates the company's...
Market participants are adding bullish options on the Iran conflict as the war shows signs of winding down, according to commentary from recent earnings calls and CLSA research. The shift reflects a broader move to hedge or speculate on geopolitical...
People will spend so much time over-analyzing and thinking things like Gamma levels are important, yet we break below them and snap back, break above them and fade back under...it is chop chop chop Meanwhile, just look at how simple... 8/21...
Now that cuts have been completely priced out through late 2026 into 1H 2027, long SOFR futures are extremely attractively priced. I do not believe hikes will happen as that would twist the knife into a global recession, so therefore...
Reversal Trading Cheat Sheet (Moving Averages) I use MAs to determine market conditions. Here's what you WANT: - Frequent crossovers (price keeps changing direction) - Sideways moving average direction - Mean reversion thrives in choppy conditions because levels hold What you DON’T want to see: - Minimal...
$GOOG bringing this up again just broke a 4-month head & shoulders with rising volume — bearish signal. It’s ~6–8% of S&P 500 Index / QQQ , so bearish for the market Targets: $270 short-term, $250 key
Just bought more $BUXX and still running Net Short US Equities with a big Russell $IWM Short
$ARKK Daily. Basket of high beta growth stocks. Another triangle breakdown attempt below 200-day m.a., as is case in many tech/growth stocks now https://t.co/f2DUz2WKZB
$COMPQ I know many use the $SPY and $SPX as the go to indices guide chart. I like the COMPQ as tech often leads both up and down https://t.co/SM1cwqb4GQ
$META - After today's crash it has filled all the gaps that go back to the April 2025 low, except one. The last unfilled gap is at 506.88 and this one is likely to be filled too in the near...
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Stalls Below 160 – Breakout or Reversal? https://t.co/GZOTQAu87d $USDJPY Weekly Chart https://t.co/wFejZPDsD5
Dual support comes into play at (1) for Tech. Important support holds here for $QQEW & $SPY https://t.co/UBxt5P5QT7
Selling into resistance has been key now for a while. Bull confidence won't come until that changes. $TSLA 20sma https://t.co/m2rV81HCDQ
Large growth having a heavy impact on the S&P 500 today. Index down just over -1% but only 57% of large stocks are negative right now. Large Growth down 2x, (-2.1%) the broad index while Large Value is off only...
The $QQQ is down 1.5% and testing new lows I am, unfortunately, currently flying rn ✈️ I timed the bear flag well... https://t.co/2AsId5OHai
Wave crashes on obesity drug update; Kodiak’s reboot pays dividends https://t.co/20H9OXVtIB $WVE - 54% $KOD + 58%
Last week the Mag 7 broke below its well-defined trading range, which had been in place since last October. As I have often written, in a concentrated market, as go the mega caps, so goes the index. That is now...
Quick video update on the #GBPUSD levels British Pound Struggles as Key Resistance Caps Rally Again https://t.co/fka5fSX6Wb On YouTube: https://t.co/HiVu0iuLkg
History doesnt always repeat itself. But it can rhyme. $IBIT early chop. Break trend and hold under VWAP and trade into even dollar low. Once the colsolidation range is broken, hold til the next level. #stocks #TradingEducation #TradingOpportunities https://t.co/Ijk1BhmD2O
Some asked for $googl chart follow up as it’s good to see some patterns still work. https://t.co/IvJz3BQ3VQ
Trump tends to be good for clean energy $PBW stocks and we have our first "pullback against" the new rally here vs. dirty $XOP oil & gas energy stocks... who's buying the (relative) dip? https://t.co/inQkFxBlBE
Kospi just dropped 3%+. South Korea doesn't move 3% for no reason. Yen carry trade stress. Japan buying yen. Selling Treasuries to do it. Asian contagion doesn't stay in Asia. Watch $EEM. Watch $FXI. $VIX $SPY https://t.co/M3BpoEWXWm
$TSN This looks like a basing/reaccumulation to me. As long as it holds the midline of the triangle (and especially if monthly closes strong) then I think it has nice chance for upside. https://t.co/1KRjycvN3Z
We’re now on the fourth or fifth Iran-driven market reversal this week. Mon: rally on ceasefire talk Tue: selloff after denial Wed: rally on U.S. peace plan Thu: selloff as Iran pushed back Hard to keep up, but put simply, pressure is building inside a...
$LRCX Daily. Lam Research another AI memory winner in recent quarters, like $MU $SNDK. But latest rally sets up possible bearish head & shoulders, like $SMH ETF https://t.co/VzMDwhwfpM
we've got a #betarotation signal for equities that fired as the 4-week rate of change for utilities $XLU vs. $SPX has fallen significantly after it's rally... https://t.co/RslsxolzBm
Volume Pockets are can be really powerful. This one is up another 60% today https://t.co/JXtAgTvZ9G
$XLF trying to sneak green.. would be a 6-day winning streak More from me: https://t.co/UKggIGLeI1 https://t.co/neQp5IrWeZ
the big bad #MAGS7 $MAGS... nothing new to see... top: absolute downtrend with lower highs and lower lows... bottom: S&P 500 $SPX relative downtrend... https://t.co/T69qYIfvlh
$ASTS and $RKLB were strong yesterday - Let’s see if they can hold better https://t.co/yUM59l8tyU
advance decline lines in three flavours... shhh... don't tell everyone but the mid/small lines stopped going down... https://t.co/hvgFzmM45J
Reversal Trading Cheat Sheet (Price) What you WANT: - A fast vertical spike - Price shoots up in 1/2 large candles What you DON’T want: - A grinding staircase pattern - Each candle makes incremental progress https://t.co/p62EKZy1f6
