Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.
The Supertrend indicator, a volatility‑adjusted trend‑following tool, was backtested on weekly S&P 500 data from 1960 to the present. Using a 10‑period lookback and a multiplier of three, the simple buy‑on‑cross and sell‑on‑cross rules generated a 44.46% gain on a single trade example and a 5.4‑million dollar portfolio from a $100,000 seed. The strategy posted a 68% win rate, 25% maximum drawdown, and a 9.8% risk‑adjusted return while being invested only 63% of the time. Its performance deteriorates in choppy markets, where whipsaws are common.
The U.S. dollar is trading in a narrow range against G10 currencies while equities and bonds are under pressure. A potential escalation in the Middle East, highlighted by Tehran’s rejection of a U.S. cease‑fire proposal, is dampening risk appetite. Oil...
U.S. equities climbed Wednesday after the White House delivered a 15‑point Iran cease‑fire proposal, sparking optimism that the conflict could de‑escalate. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq finished in the green, while chip‑related stocks rallied and oil prices fell.
European equities fell sharply on Thursday as investors priced in higher ECB rates, dragging down a range of listed companies from Germany’s SMA Solar to France’s Vinci. The sell‑off coincided with a $1.4 billion Henkel acquisition, a 1% revenue dip at...
Interactive Brokers rolled out a crypto‑linked account feature that lets clients move digital assets into the platform and trade them at 0.12%‑0.18% fees. The announcement sent IBKR shares up 3.9% in one day, underscoring market enthusiasm for broader brokerage‑driven crypto...
The last three times, we liquidated shorts at this support and the price went up. What will happen this time?
S&D (SUPPLY AND DEMAND) 📊 S&D Zones📊 S&D Refinements 📊 S&D Fractal Refinements📊 Institutional S&D 📊
The FTSE 100 jumped 1.2% on Tuesday, buoyed by signs of a diplomatic thaw in the Middle East and expectations that UK inflation data could support a softer monetary stance. Traders cited the rally as a barometer of renewed risk...
🚨 WEBINAR ALERT 🚨 Nifty To Options: Rohit Srivastava’s Complete RMI Trading Framework Stop Guessing Market Moves. In this power-packed session, Rohit Srivastava (Creator of RMI) will show you how to go from accurate Nifty Analysis → High-probability options trades using a clear,...
CHFJPY SELL LIMIT 203.292 SL 204.154 TP 197.662 📊 CHFJPY Signal Update This CHFJPY signal was created by combining the Weekly, Daily, and H4 timeframes to achieve a high-probability setup. 🔍📈 🎯 Going forward, we will share signals in this structured format so the community...
Palantir Technologies' stock is trading around the $151.5 level, a key 20‑day and 200‑day EMA support, as a Pentagon memo elevates its Maven battle‑management system to a program of record. The technical bounce coincides with a $795 million Army contract modification,...
I’m trading with a different set of data I can assure you I’m applying dark pool data + historical seasonality data + chart technicals Yall favorite traders are focused on fib levels, RSI, volume indicators, macd and vwap I’m not saying...
Trading frequency - a commentary from a five decade veteran I follow about 40 global futures markets I enter each year figuring that I might three good signals in a given market over the course of 12 months -- maybe four. That's...
On Tuesday morning, oil futures trading surged dramatically as 734 contracts changed hands between 10:49 and 10:50 GMT, jumping to 2,168 contracts in the following minute—16 times the day’s average volume. Bloomberg valued the contracts traded in that 60‑second window at...
Testing an automated futures trading strategy on Micro Nasdaq futures (MNQ). Day 10. Two trades. Two wins. +325. This is a rule based trading system built for consistency, using fixed risk management and structured execution. No discretionary trading. No overtrading. Tracking performance on a prop firm style account...
Fundamental analysis -- this is what I think You don't get any profit from fundamental analysis. You get profit from buying and selling. So, why pretend with the appearance when you can go right to the reality of price and analyze...
The March 25 “Buy on the Dip” prospects list flags 150 ETFs that meet a dual‑trend screen—50‑day moving average above the 200‑day average and price below the five‑day average—while also clearing a one‑million‑share liquidity threshold. The selection mirrors the recent U.S....
many told me they were excited with consumer staples stocks while i reminded them it was an $XLP vs. $SPX bounce in a downtrend, as they've underperformed since the peak 16 years ago... it looks like that now, as they've...
Mean reversion (MR) update for subs. There are new signals. Since inception: -#ES_F bonus MR +42% (May 21, 2025) -Bonus MR+momentum: +2.4% (October 9, 2025) -Main MR strategy: +37.6% (June 27, 2023) Links in profile (Daily mean reversion signals) 🔽 $GLD $TLT $QQQ $SPY https://t.co/G8duPD06Ug
Tron (TRX) is positioned at a pivotal point in its nine‑year market cycle, according to a new multi‑timeframe analysis. The author offers a paid‑subscriber video that breaks down Elliott Wave structures and outlines price targets between $0.10 and $0.12. Recent...
“Don’t take action with a trade until the market, itself, confirms your opinion. Being a little late in a trade is insurance that your opinion is correct. In other words, don’t be an impatient trader.” — Jesse Livermore https://t.co/FS8pNm1s6n
$ETH remains stuck in a narrow range. No breakout above 0.03250. No breakdown to 0.02600. For me, that's a no-trade zone. I'd be interested to be looking at entries on this one when we're seeing either of the two levels happen. https://t.co/d38AY2rw59
U.S. grain futures closed higher on March 25, with May corn edging up to $4.67 per bushel and soybeans climbing to $11.71. Livestock prices slipped, as April live cattle fell to $234.42 and feeder cattle slipped modestly, while lean hogs...
🇺🇸 Microsoft shares are testing the 200-day moving average - a significant event after a prolonged decline, note TA analysts. https://t.co/gJbHFrOzAC
The #BTC CME Gap is still present. Historically, about 95% of such Gaps eventually get filled. https://t.co/qkvxNOs2am
The Zweig Breadth Thrust (ZBT) indicator slipped into oversold territory after Friday’s market weakness, resetting its count for a potential buy signal. Monday’s strong rally marked day one of a new upward move, and the market has posted three consecutive...
ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm blog post https://t.co/afMKJCaz1q Thanks + follow reco to chart sources @MarketCharts @topdowncharts @WallStJesus @MebFaber @TheChartReport
The current $SPX sell-off similar to prior post war declines. Historically, the stock market has bottomed around now both in terms of time and % decline. One final flush to capitulation and reversal? Chart DB https://t.co/tR2zluZcbC
A sudden $580 million rush of oil futures contracts hit the market minutes before President Donald Trump announced a five‑day cease‑fire on attacks against Iran, prompting the CFTC to launch an insider‑trading investigation. The spike coincided with a 10% drop in...
Brent crude: - Flat price (white) - Prompt futures timespread (blue) - Dated-to-Frontline (DFL) spread (orange) All off their highs, but DFLs are both closest to the "real" spot market and they're trading nearest the high of the lot. In relative terms DFLs didn't get...
The market's character is still one of a bear market or cyclical correction; strong open, fade into close and major average living below the 200-day line. Before a reliable bottom can be established, we need to see better price and...
The author breaks down the recent S&P 500 futures (ES) action, highlighting an "elevator down" sell that led to a rapid failed‑breakdown and a 200‑point rally up to the 6720 level. After the surge, ES entered a tight consolidation between...
I put it in writing on Feb 9. No buys on $MSFT until it bleeds into $380–$360. Why? Liquidity doesn’t disappear. It gets taken. Now we’re under the 200 WMA. Right on schedule. And suddenly—news drops. AI. Nuclear. NVDA. The usual lifeline when things start slipping. This is...
Breakouts look exciting… until they fail 🚫 Smart traders wait for the VWAP pullback 📉 That’s where value lives. That’s where I enter. Drop “SETUP” 👇 #TraderLife #VWAP #PriceAction
A detailed Elliott Wave analysis shows XRP has completed its third impulse wave, signaling the end of the expansion phase and entry into a late‑stage corrective pattern. The chart indicates a mature wave cycle, with the market poised for a...
Light Crude Futures $CL_F $USO 2 hour chart on left 30 minute on right Oil had been holding support btwn 94-92 until the 🟠"taco tweet" removed some of the perceived risk in oil It dropped down to the anchor from the beginning of the...
WIG30 +2.13% led by Basic Materials, Construction & Oil & Gas (Kruk, Budimex, KGHM). Oil slid; EUR/PLN firmer. Risk: FX & commodity volatility. Trade: add selective cyclicals on pullback. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Options writer Edward Corona announced he is closing two cash‑secured put positions on Hut8 Corp and Redwire Corp after capturing more than 80 % of the collected premiums. The Hut8 trade yielded a $184 open profit on a $213 premium, while...
The price bar in Silver today is something I call a "head shot." Head shots are often a sign of volume overcoming demand and suggestive of further weakness. I am looking for a tradable bottom in the support zone (yellow) $SI_V...
📊 3/25 Post-Market: • Breadth flipped above 5d & 10d MA • Every gap up sold, every gap down bought • SPY/QQQ flat from open — no follow-through • Watchlist names gapped past triggers — $LWLG +17% standout • Playing small, preserving capital • More ideas...
The Dynamic-3 ensemble has held well during this market turmoil. Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/GswnvL4aDS
4 days below the 200dma for the S&P 500 @stockcharts More thoughts from me: https://t.co/q4uxCqxeRV https://t.co/dXZykXt9ov
RPK @RPKent nice job staying long of Tech via $AKAM while Software continues to implode
Oracle is back to bleeding lower. Needs to hold in here soon to prevent that February low retest. $ORCL https://t.co/MeqTVksAx1
here's a bunch of the key technology $XLK ETFs in @Optuma ratio grid style, allowing for an easy comparison of the % returns vs. the others... #SectorWatch left: 3-month % change right: 1-month % change... $PTF $PSCT $SMH $CHAT doing the 3-month relative...
4 financials... two Canadian, two American... all vs. the stronger denominator $TSX $EWC market... $CM + $TD - absolute & relative uptrends $BAC + $JPM - absolute & relative downtrends https://t.co/GewGS1r3RL
it's clear... U.S. stocks whether equal-weighted $RSP or market-cap $SPX weighted are trending down vs. Canadian stocks $EWC making an oppoortunity cost for U.S. investors... https://t.co/MKHgNCqmYQ
commodities $DJP vs. U.S $SPX & Canadian $EWC stocks... absolute uptrend + relative uptrends (x2) https://t.co/otOoKew2k3
$XLE - The 14 week RSI is currently at 84.76. The RSI's highest level ever was 84.86 on March 3, 2011. 4 weeks later XLE made a major top that led to a 33% crash over the next 6 months...
$APD Daily. While paper oil markets are under scrutiny, chemicals are some of the best charts in the market, another issue with Strait of Hormuz choked off. Air Products long setup https://t.co/1km1EcbjOH
