Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.
The January Effect 2026 Edition revisits the century‑old seasonal rally that typically lifts equities and certain currency pairs in the first weeks of the year. By analysing price action from the 2025‑2026 transition, the piece highlights a pronounced EUR/USD volatility spike coinciding with heightened buying pressure in U.S. growth stocks. The article also references Peter Brandt’s chart‑based observations, noting that the effect remains robust despite tighter monetary policy and lingering geopolitical uncertainty. Overall, the analysis suggests the pattern still offers a modest edge for disciplined traders.
Your setup didn’t burn you. 🔥 Your expectations did. Even a 60% strategy loses 4 out of 10 trades. Consistency comes from executing the same edge over and over until the probabilities play out. Comment VWAP and I’ll send the guide 📈 #TraderMindset #DayTradingLife #TradingEducation
MP Materials Corp (NYSE: MP) shares rose 2.9% to $62.05, marking a 22% gain year‑to‑date after retreating from a January peak. The stock is now within 0.75 of the 200‑day moving average’s 20‑day average true range, a bullish signal that historically...
We've been chopping around for the last 2 hours, as expected on $SPX. I can see some positive exposure building at $6860, which is my next resistance over $6840 if it can break out of this range.
Volatility has surged across markets, driven by geopolitical sparks such as the Iran situation. Crude oil experienced an extraordinary intraday swing, with WTI’s high‑low range topping 40% yesterday—the second‑largest percentage move since the 2020 price collapse. Today the energy sector...
$HIMS surged 55% while the S&P hit its 2026 low. 35.5% short interest. Novo Nordisk deal. Classic squeeze. Fat people need weight loss drugs But here's the thing — if it rips past the value trigger, take profit. Don't fall in love...
Analyst Mike Zaccardi maintains a buy rating on the iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) after the fund held firm at the critical $58,000 support level and showed improving momentum. Implied volatility has normalized following a February spike that signaled a market...
Nvidia posted a blowout earnings report, yet its shares stayed flat, defying expectations of a price surge. Wall Street shifted focus to the upcoming GPU Technology Conference (GTC) as a potential catalyst. However, analysts now argue the event is unlikely...
NVIDIA makes $120 billion in net income a year. The stock is down from its highs. One week before the most watched event in AI — GTC 2026 — this may be the best entry point in over a year....
Mosaic Co. (NYSE:MOS) shares slipped 2% to $26.39, but a technical signal suggests a near‑term upside. The stock is within 0.75 of the 80‑day moving average’s 20‑day ATR, a pattern that historically produced a 4.4% gain one month later in...
Micron's stock chart showed a noticeable uptick this week, sparking talk of a broader tech sector rebound. The State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) rose 0.48%, outpacing all eleven S&P 500 groups. This marks the first weekly gain for...
Micron Technology’s stock rebounded above its 50‑day moving average amid heightened volatility ahead of its March 18 earnings. The article proposes a diagonal put spread—selling a March 20 $345 put and buying a March 27 $340 put—as a low‑upside‑risk strategy targeting a 10‑15%...
If you know where the dollar is going, you know where global liquidity is going. $DXY just bounced hard off 96.65 multi-year support and is pressing into the $100 resistance zone. Momentum is improving with higher lows and rising RSI. Today’s pullback looks...
Oil prices surged to historic highs amid Iran‑related tensions, prompting trader Nishant Pant to propose a bearish play on the United States Oil Fund (USO). Pant recommends a $1‑wide at‑the‑money bear put spread with a 35‑50 day expiration to capture...
Balanced Price Range ( BPR) 📊 Balanced Price Range📊 How to Identify📊 What's make BPR High Probability📊 Bullish BPR📊 Bearish BPR📊
The USD/CHF pair slipped below its 100‑hour and 200‑hour moving averages, turning the short‑term bias bearish. During the Asian‑Pacific session the price briefly crossed the 200‑hour MA but stalled in a resistance zone between 0.7785 and 0.7793, allowing sellers to...
The U.S. stock market is showing numerous signs of a technical breakdown, which is alarming given the bubble conditions of recent years.
📺 SEMIS ARE LEADING AGAIN? Join Power Plays: https://t.co/m0rkY6jL0N Late last week, I suggested focusing on semiconductor plays: Broadcom $AVGO, Marvell $MRVL, and Nvidia $NVDA, which all showed relative strength and offered profitable setups. $AVGO was the clearest setup, holding above the $323...
Thrilled to be featured on @TheStreet with Caroline Woods @Cline_Woods in a piece by Rebecca Mezistrano. The topic: why panic markets create the BEST buying opportunities. This morning was a live case study. Oil at $119 → back under $97. VIX at 32...
$AVGO no green to red stop hit all out for OK %. The name goes back on go to list
Some nice calls and plays if u tuned into @WOLF_Financial @StocksOnSpaces $spy $682-$684 was area to sell at first kiss
Back and forth. Back and forth. That's the current rhythm of #Bitcoin. No breakout, but the longer it stays in here, the stronger the move will be. Looking for another higher low, and then set for a test at the highs. https://t.co/pQfHLAv8iq
Another winner from Biolsi @Hedgeye_Staples that you got from The Call @HedgeyeTV today too = Long $CASY
McGough nailed this $KSS reversal. But, if you watch The Call @HedgeyeTV every day, you already knew that @HedgeyeRetail
Another illustration that displays just how few places there are to hide in this market. Short $COST big. Short $WMT smedium. https://t.co/GNQlkIyRbv
Buying $CBOE on red today. Why is this one of the few "Financials" Signaling Buy? @SamofAmerica
Sold a bunch of $RIG this morning on the 1st lower-highs Signal fyi @SamofAmerica @RPKent
Software (IGV) buyer 40,000 August $80 puts $5.40 Oh god, what is Claude about to do next
$INTC nice move today out of the base and over all major ma's. Still own it here. https://t.co/OlrGxoCa8g
$GOOGL a close over the 21ma on my radar. No change to the stop today. https://t.co/x9cSWUMbgw
Down to 25% $sco for anyone from the #630club that bought $9.30 area yesterday. It’s $11 ish
JPMorgan sees a 10% $SPY pullback. Goldman raised Brent to $76 Q2 target — before oil hit $111. When the sell-side is behind the curve, the real move hasn't happened yet. https://t.co/eWvAv1XMRu
Trade US CPI LIVE tomorrow with Boris and Sam starting at 8AM ET / 12 GMT @fxflow They'll be hunting for opportunities in NQ, Gold and Forex https://t.co/9c2DFZTDGK
$HIMS price action today opposite of friday. --chasers on Open punished but but seeing buying above friday afternoon resistance. --50% move above recent prices needs some time to digest. https://t.co/3DBSVSTVw0
decent upside follow thru in $GOOGL today. buyers stepped in right at ystdy afternoon resistance. https://t.co/TCVlsnIdzE
Nothing has changed: the bounce was predicted on mechanical put monetization NOT fundamentals. Now we wait for VIX to base & move higher as posted for clients on more active timeframes. ;-) But big picture, risk has only increased for investors....
I don't think the lows in $MSTR nor its premium to NAV are in. True capitulation only arrives when the orange dots stop. https://t.co/Xo0lbzEvxE
If you are bullish crude on reescalation, this is the buy zone .. Equilibrium in CL1 should be 83/92 .. Single prints yesterday on trump comments in the 91/92 area. Below $75 (the first Sunday gap when the war started)...
i don't think this resolves to the upside but if it does 616 would be in play. $QQQ https://t.co/5aOYPZSx0r
Lumentum graduating from mid-cap status into the big leagues with inclusion into the S&P 500. Stock is part of our momentum buy list and continues to act well technically (long) $LITE https://t.co/DTkN238w42
Perhaps some Oracle earnings day jitters for the software etf $IGV. Nice 15% bounce off the recent lows and still might not be done, but we're seeing our first rest day. https://t.co/5RTK5xXcNv
Back to underside of 20sma weekly $SPY now resistance, and goal for the bulls is to close over it by Friday. For bears, to slap down against it
I'm liking the price action so far in the first hour of trading. There's definitely some subtle improvements beneath the surface in recent days. It's still going to be volatile over the near-term, but having a strong entry point, a...
$SPY Not 100% in the clear yet but this could just be setting up as a spring. Quick drop below key level and immediately reclaimed with a strong buy back. https://t.co/9LQw3JcRRH
downtrends on all 4-time frames for technology $XLK vs. S&P 500 $SPX... top right: 8/20EMA top left: 20EMA/50SMA bottom left: 50/200SMA bottom right: 13/34-week EMA https://t.co/886pewnn9R
$MSFT Daily. Software sector has been a trendy bottom call the last two weeks. But no firm evidence yet, with $3 trillion Microsoft sporting pedestrian bounce https://t.co/YBzR4iFcQQ
Spot VIX is lower but VX futures are higher. WTF? Well, the March contract is moving closer to expiration so the gap to spot needs to start shrinking. Futures will have a hard time unless and until spot drops a...
Senior Loans ETF (BKLN) buyer 7500 Oct. 19/16 put spreads, been a play on credit worries
🔴2026 high VWAP 🔵YTD VWAP 🟢MTD VWAP -------- 2025 close A lot of reasons to continue to be cautious $SPY $QQQ $SMH $IWM https://t.co/DkfU8D5ejP
Trump yesterday said war will be over soon. Oil tumbled. As I signaled over the weekend, better to steer clear of the frenzy around oil and focus on EM differentiation. That theme's only been traded for a few days and...
