
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.
The S&P 500 is trading roughly 5% above its 200‑day moving average, a technical buffer that keeps the index from a formal breakdown. A sharp pullback in AI‑related stocks is being offset by a rally in energy shares, creating a short‑term battle that traders are monitoring closely.
I’ve decided to make my full Deep Dive on $NVDA completely free. I want you to see exactly how I’m thinking— my thesis, my entry, my full reasoning. No paywall. Just value. It’s up on my Substack Take a look and tell me where you...

$Gold - I want to remind you that the 14 month RSI closed at 95.67 at the end of February, its most overbought level in history. If you can't stomach an 11% drawdown and cry about "manipulation" or "suppression" or...
Gold is trading just above the $5,000 psychological barrier as investors await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and monitor escalating Middle East hostilities. Institutional inflows remain robust, but short‑term technical indicators point to a bearish bias.

266 points on NQ. 💰 Hot CPI → price discovery → no fade. Just execution. Most traders fight this move. I press it. Comment “I’m in” and I’ll send the setup 📩 #vwap #futurestrading #tradingstrategy

SP - test previous swing low....6631.50. (Will be main reference point for rest of day) but easy to see the initial short covering come in. https://t.co/UBAbLSkevS
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Index arbitrage is a high‑speed trading strategy that captures price differentials between an index’s cash value and its futures or ETF equivalents. By simultaneously buying the cheaper instrument and selling the pricier one, traders lock in a spread that should...

$EQWL - What's NOT confirming the breakdown taking place in the market? Honestly - share some charts with me. *Note - I don't want to see some really creative relative ratio chart* https://t.co/iVgMBmPQWM

Let’s see if this is shakeout at 50 dma for gold or if it will be start of longer consolidation. $gld https://t.co/MV6awyEjJp

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (NASDAQ:CRDO) is testing a key technical level, sitting within 0.75 of its 320‑day moving average’s 20‑day ATR after a 52% pullback from its December high. Quant analyst Rocky White notes that this signal has historically...

$SPY -0.1% $IWM -0.6% $VEU -0.8% $GLD -3.2% $IBIT -1.3% $USO -1.1% $XLE +0.6% https://t.co/iZ5UFBuvtj
owning stocks with strong relative strength is great, but it's far greater if they also have strong absolute strength...
Wall Street rebounded on March 17, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.2% to 6,716.09 and the Nasdaq rising 0.5% to 22,479.53, driven by a resurgence in AI‑related stocks and optimism ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting. The rally also...

Bitcoin #BTC $BTCUSD is RSI(5) oversold on the 6-hour chart, in an uptrend, for the first time since the mid $60K's... sitting ~$70,400... https://t.co/froI9P5R8I
Mean reversion (MR) updates for subscribers. There are new signals. -#ES_F bonus MR +16% YTD -Bonus MR+momentum: +4.2% YTD -Main MR strategy: +5.2% YTD - $SPY -3% YTD Links in profile (second link) 🔽 $GLD $TLT $QQQ
#EAH "ahead of expectations". Pretty beat up so recovery could have plenty of legs. Worth looking at. I don't hold.

Tactically $spy $661ish is the battle ground for today. Does it stay under or reclaim. https://t.co/NCX9lIi8IW

Imagine someone gave you an entry, 48 hours in advance, that only went $1 offside from last weeks high 😉 #efl26 https://t.co/Z59J1kQC7K

i've been playing with AI tool for my pre-market game planning. it runs at 8AM and 8:45AM. i used #2 #3 from 8AM run. #2 from 8:45 for my GP. #1 $COHR traded well of the Open to R3. #2 $SAIL #3 $TTD...

$CPCE - The CBOE equity put/call ratio spiked to 1.11, its highest level since April 2024. The 10 day moving average of the ratio is now at 0.73 which is higher than it was at April 2025 low. The last...

The higher timeframes always tell the real story The daily and weekly are my go to Nas100 (Nasdaq) rejecting off that daily 50 MA VIX bounce off that daily 50 MA Gold falling through that daily 50 MA Market is still ranging technically...

Breakdown in COMEX Copper joins Gold, Silver and Platinum in weakening as real yields turn back higher and Bund yields on the verge of a major multi-year breakout @IBDinvestors Investors Business Daily @marketsurge charts of Freeport McMoran $FCX fell also to...
A recent fintwit observation is that I've never seen such strong sentiment against shorting, particularly equities, despite what seems like the perfect environment for it. I guess it's not surprising that's the consensus view given record low investor cash levels,...

This is not encouraging if you are bullish. $SPY confirmed below major level of supply $QQQ hanging on by a nose hair (advanced technical analysis term), ready to break lower $SMH carving out a right shoulder of HnS top? $IWM most neutral...

$660 is the MVC on $SPY and is/has been a very significant level recently. Worth keeping an eye on as price approaches 👇

Precision beats prediction. This is how smart money enters the market clean structure, liquidity sweep, and a perfect FVG entry. Stop chasing trades. Start waiting for confirmation. Discipline + Strategy = Consistency. If you understand this setup, you’re already ahead of 90% traders. #forex #trading...

Most traders see noise… pros see structure. 📊 Volume Profile shows you where business is actually getting done. Stop guessing. Start reading the auction. #trading #daytrader #volumeprofile

Monday's close gave a near record # of pinball Sells for 2026, but often when a market is so oversold, it needs another day to push above the 5 SMA. Today the Sell Short day kicked in...

Feels like they ran the $NVDA playbook nearly identically on $MU. Run it up into an earnings print everyone knew was going to be a massive beat, trap everyone at the top and dump it. https://t.co/U6oFLLrLx9
#SP500 Down Candle and parked on 200 day MA Line. Support 6521, 6443, 6360. Resistance 6710, 6845, 6901. RSI 39 not low. 13/21 day EMAs Bearish. Top Bollinger Band 6860. Midpoint Line 6727. Bottom Band 6590.

$SPY Below Gooner EMAs on weekly for the first time since May of last year. Bad sign of things to come. https://t.co/igdrgtKgwA
$SPX $SPY $QQQ all look ready to touch 200 day SMA for the 1st time in 10 months

The technical setups for shorts here look good too. Strong risk:reward propositions with invalidations nearby. Stop loss at new closing high above $138 on $EWY for example risks $6 to make $20-$40 depending on if it lands at 100 or...

Here's your intermarket cheat sheet All those critical levels in play for risk assets... are likely to be violated if these bases break higher $DXY $HYG https://t.co/uF7nG5qda6

If 590 zone (200sma daily and recent lows) $QQQ does not hold, natural magnet 575 which is horizontal support and 50sma weekly https://t.co/xmzd9tN8q6

That biotech $TERN that folks were murmuring about days ago getting some bigly OTM call buying in the March $55 strike Think it was this nutty guy https://t.co/YIWYwL0845

vix news highs, SPs new lows in afternoon session, trend for the day has been high to low. Naz PDL in play now. https://t.co/H3SuPKaDSm

$VNRX I used to try to go bell to bell but too much risk now if @EternaLEnVy1991 decides to cover 10% of his position. Nice fader today from the ss vs .35s @IUTraders https://t.co/7hOy9UzMdP

👀🫡 SHORT here the #NASDAQ with $TQQQ off #VWAP @alphatrends lets go #fed all live @traderTVLIVE https://t.co/evYRVnXky0

$XLF down 9% from January while $XLE is up 23%. Banks hate rising oil and flattening yield curves. Energy loves it. Intermarket analysis tells you exactly where the stress is. https://t.co/bOfy6Vuy07

i thought $WDC's price action today could offer a clue on whether an $MU overnight gap on earnings holds tmrw. $WDC held 300 support and reversed so good sign for $MU tmrw... https://t.co/qcamrUdWQz

Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC/USD 26% Surge Rejected – Breakdown Risk Builds https://t.co/SjuoyfwNjp #BTCUSD Weekly & Daily Charts https://t.co/Oo4d6Ws1FG

Envirotech Vehicles $EVTV Nice runner we spotted earlier today in the 1.70s! Now up +37% https://t.co/EqXFUSpUCq
$BROS gap up yesterday and follow thru today. I own in my investment/spec/gamble account for now. I am watching for trade account.

$UKOIL - Brent oil is significantly outperforming WTI oil for obvious reasons. Both topped around $119.50 last Monday, but while WTI has only reached $98 today, Brent reached $110 at today's high and is close to the 78.6% retracement of...
FOMC announcement coming up at the top of the hour. IMO it is the press conference that could/can move the market and create a lot of gyration. Are your stops where you want them in the machine? ...

$MU $SMH MU release in Dec was before 4:15, so QQQ/SMH option slingers will have time to play the spike party before they close https://t.co/S4f0jns98f

Copper had another choice sell short setup last night (ROC poised to flip down) only this time it broke support after distribution top. https://t.co/lfa7rLCvZO

$SWMR spider sense engaged. Here's timing of the concept. Goal was $61 stuff for $55.50 trigger to circuit down. https://t.co/mR65xaTJUB

$GLD @marketsurge #IBDPartner gapped below 50sma like it wasn't even there-- next support, and its a better one, is 420 (horizontal and 100sma) https://t.co/M8WnAWuWgs